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公司简评报告:百普赛斯:估值具备性价比,有望受益于海外生物医药复苏
Capital Securities· 2024-02-07 16:00
[Table_Summary] [Table_ReportDate] 百普赛斯(301080)公司简评报告 | 2024.02.07 [Table_Rank] 评级: 买入 ⚫ 生物医药投融资是生命科学上游的业绩先行指标,目前海外已完成筑 底,国内仍静待复苏。我们认为后续若美国进入降息周期,海外生物医 药投融资有望迎来复苏,带动生物医药行业研发活跃度逐步提升。 [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) -1 -0.5 0 0.5 7-Feb20-Apr 1-Jul11-Sep 22-Nov 2-Feb 百普赛斯 沪深300 [Table_BaseData] 公司基本数据 资料来源:聚源数据 相关研究 [Table_OtherReport] 百普赛斯:海外业绩延续高增,业务 扩张利润端短期承压 百普赛斯:国内业务稳中有升,海外 业绩表现持续强劲 请务必仔细阅读本报告最后部分的重要法律声明 ⚫ 国内市场短期承压,中长期需求仍然向好。受投融资下滑等因素影响, 行业龙头公司 BIO-TECHNE 2023 财年第四季度中国地区业绩下滑超过 20%,国内需求端短期处于承压状态。从中长期看,BIO-TEC ...
公司简评报告:终端需求回暖,公司2023年营收创新高
Capital Securities· 2024-02-04 16:00
[Table_Summary] [Table_ReportDate] 聚灿光电(300708)公司简评报告 | 2024.02.04 [Table_Rank] 评级: 买入 事件: 公司公告《2023 年年度报告》。 点评: 终端需求回暖叠加产能释放,2023 年公司营收再创新高。2023 年公司 实现收入 24.81 亿元,同比+22.30%;实现归母净利润 1.21 亿元,同比 -291.09%。单季度看,2023Q4 公司实现收入 6.52 亿元,同比+33.95%, 环比+3.67%;实现归母净利润 0.44 亿元,同比-147.30%,环比-15.26%。 伴随终端库存陆续去化及下游需求回暖,公司产能释放叠加产品定位、 市场需求精准把握,高端产品产销两旺,2023 年公司营收创历史新高。 受益于成本端改善及精细化管理,公司盈利能力持续改善。2023 年公 司实现毛利率 10.44%,同比+1.33pct;净利率为 4.88%,同比+8.01pct。 单季度看,2023Q4 公司毛利率为 12.11%,同比+11.59pct,环比+2.42pct; 公司净利率为 6.75%,同比+25.88pct,环 ...
公司简评报告:国内盈利能力改善明显,海外商誉减值等拖累利润
Capital Securities· 2024-02-04 16:00
[Table_Rank] 评级: 买入 [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势(最近 1 年) -0.5 0 0.5 6-Feb19-Apr 30-Jun 10-Sep 21-Nov 1-Feb 歌力思 沪深300 ⚫ 事件:公司发布 2023 年度业绩预告,2023 年预计实现归母净利润 1-1.3 亿元;若剔除计提商誉减值影响,预计实现归母净利润 2-2.3 亿元。 点评: ⚫ 成长期品牌增速亮眼,线上及线下渠道增长稳健。伴随经营环境复苏, 2023 年公司收入预计同增 20%-25%,较 2021 年增长 22%-27%。分品 牌看,公司旗下所有品牌收入均实现增长,其中 Self-Portrait/Laurel/IRO 品牌国内市场增速亮眼,歌力思品牌预计增长稳健。分渠道看,公司线 下门店覆盖全国核心商圈,截至 2023 年底旗下门店预计达到 651 家左 右(其中 503 家为直营店),较年初净增 43 家左右;电商渠道采取多品 牌、多平台策略,并推进正价化,主动收缩高折扣渠道,线上业务预计 稳健增长。分季度看,若剔除商誉减值影响,23Q4 预计实现归母净利 润 0.64-0.94 亿元,同比扭亏, ...
公司简评报告:拨云见日终有时,春秋航空23年盈利有望创新高
Capital Securities· 2024-02-03 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2023, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders of between 2.1 billion to 2.4 billion yuan, a significant improvement from a loss of 5.136 billion to 5.436 billion yuan in 2022 [2]. - The demand for travel has been fully released, leading to a substantial improvement in the company's main business. The total passenger turnover for the year is expected to reach 42.43 billion person-kilometers, a year-on-year increase of 87.26% [2]. - The company's fleet capacity has returned to a growth trajectory, with an increase of 5 A320 series aircraft, resulting in available seat kilometers of 47.47 billion, a 56.4% increase compared to 2022 [2]. - The investment suggestion highlights the recovery of air travel demand and the holiday travel boom, which is expected to drive profitability recovery for the airline [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue of 18.41 billion yuan for 2023, with a revenue growth rate of 120% compared to 2022 [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.29 billion yuan in 2023, with a staggering growth rate of 175.4% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 2.34 yuan in 2023, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 22.4 [3]. Operational Metrics - The passenger turnover for domestic routes is expected to be 37.18 billion person-kilometers, a year-on-year increase of 65.01%, while international routes are projected to reach 4.67 billion person-kilometers, a remarkable increase of 4602.14% [2]. - The overall passenger load factor for the year is anticipated to be 89.4%, with domestic routes exceeding 90% [2]. Future Outlook - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2023-2025 to 2.29 billion, 3.26 billion, and 3.98 billion yuan respectively, reflecting the expected recovery in the airline industry [2]. - The company is strategically positioned in Shanghai, with a focus on major domestic regions and Southeast Asia for international routes, which is expected to enhance its market presence [2].
公司简评报告:订单高速增长等待兑现,公司战略或进入新阶段
Capital Securities· 2024-02-03 16:00
[Table_Title] 订单高速增长等待兑现,公司战略或进入新阶段 [Table_ReportDate] 用友网络(600588)公司简评报告 | 2024.02.02 [评Ta级ble:_R an增k]持 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [Tabl e_Summary] 翟炜 ⚫ 事件:公司发布 2023 年业绩预告。2023 年,公司预计全年实现营收 首席分析师 97.25-98.20亿元,同比增长5.0%-6.0%;预计归属于母公司所有者的净 SAC执证编号:S0110521050002 亏损为8.80-9.80亿元,上年同期为盈利2.19亿元;预计归属于母公司 zhaiwei@sczq.com.cn 电话:13581945259 所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净亏损为 11.00-12.00 亿元,上年同期 为盈利1.46亿元。 邓睿祺 分析师 ⚫ 大型企业客户业务订单充沛,后续收入转化值得期待:公司组织架构调 SAC执证编号:S0110522110004 整取得初步成效,2023年全年大型企业客户业务合同大幅增长,全年千 dengruiqi@sczq.com.cn 万级以上合同同比增长 ...
公司简评报告:2023年利润高增长 铜矿二期逐步投产打造新增长点
Capital Securities· 2024-02-03 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [8] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a significant profit growth in 2023, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders ranging from 850 million to 1.05 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 27.57% to 57.59% [17] - The prices of the main products are stable with a slight increase, and shipping costs have decreased. The average annual price of iron ore contracts in 2023 is expected to be 847 yuan/ton, up 10.3% from 2022, while the average price of copper is projected to be 68,402 yuan/ton, an increase of 1.3% [17] - The second phase of the copper mine project is gradually being put into production, with full production expected by the end of 2024. The design capacity of the second phase is 11 million tons, with an estimated annual output of 70,000 tons of copper metal [17] - Supply constraints are expected to drive up the prices of copper and iron ore. The report anticipates a tight balance between supply and demand in 2024, with prices expected to rise further [17] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from these trends, with projected revenues of 6.908 billion, 7.298 billion, and 8.334 billion yuan for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, and net profits of 958 million, 1.331 billion, and 1.514 billion yuan for the same years [17] Summary by Sections Company Basic Data - Latest closing price: 15.00 yuan - Market capitalization: 9.791 billion yuan - Current P/E ratio: 10.64 - Total shares: 653 million [10] Profit Forecast - Revenue for 2023 is estimated at 6.908 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 36.72% compared to 2022 - Net profit for 2023 is projected at 958 million yuan, with a growth rate of 43.77% [10] Financial Statements - Total assets are expected to reach 17.865 billion yuan by 2024 - Total liabilities are projected at 3.695 billion yuan in 2024 [11] Key Financial Ratios - Gross margin is expected to be 66.92% in 2023 - Net profit margin is projected at 13.87% in 2023 - Return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 9.81% in 2023 [11]
公司简评报告:短期业绩承压,长期关注服务器&GPGPU业务进展
Capital Securities· 2024-02-03 16:00
[Table_Title] 短期业绩承压,长期关注服务器&GPGPU 业务进展 [Table_ReportDate] 龙芯中科(688047)公司简评报告 | 2024.02.02 [评Ta级ble:_R an买k]入 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl事e_件Su:mm1a月ry]3 0日,龙芯中科发布2023年度业绩预告,根据公司财务部 何立中 门初步测算,预计2023年全年实现营收5.1亿元左右,归母净利润-3.1 电子行业首席分析师 亿元左右,扣非归母净利润-4.2亿元左右。 SAC执证编号:S0110522110002 ⚫ 营收方面,公司业务主要有解决方案、工控、信息化三部分,上半年分 helizhong@sczq.com.cn 电话:010-81152682 别实现营收 1.6/1.1/0.4 亿元,同比+86.9%/-37.1%/-54.8%,共计 3.1 亿 元。公司预计2023年全年实现营收5.1亿元左右,同比-31.2%。营收出 [市Ta场bl指e数_Ch走a势rt]( 最近1年) 现大幅下滑,一方面是由于整体宏观环境不利、半导体行业周期变化等 1 龙芯中科 沪深3 ...
公司简评报告:资深制片人掌舵,优质内容加持有望提升估值
Capital Securities· 2024-02-01 16:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company is expected to enhance its valuation through high-quality content and the leadership of a seasoned producer [4] - The cinema industry is showing signs of recovery, with the company benefiting from a positive supply-demand cycle [6] - The company has a strong market position, with a significant share of the domestic box office and a growing number of screens [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.9-1.2 billion yuan for 2023, with a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.4130-0.5506 yuan [3] - The domestic box office revenue reached 7.56 billion yuan in 2023, recovering to 96.4% of 2019 levels, with a market share of 16.7% [3] - The company expects revenues of 13.58 billion yuan in 2023, a 40.1% increase year-on-year, and a return to profitability with a net profit of 1.18 billion yuan [7] Management Changes - The company appointed Chen Xi as the new chairperson and CEO, who has a strong background in film production [3][4] - Chen Xi has been involved in several successful film projects, indicating potential for future content success [4] Market Position and Strategy - The company has a total of 905 cinemas and 7,546 screens, with a significant increase in market share for its direct-operated cinemas [3] - The acquisition of a controlling stake by Ru Yi Investment is expected to provide stable upstream resources and enhance content quality [6] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2023-2025 are 13.58 billion, 15.04 billion, and 16.07 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.18 billion, 1.67 billion, and 1.80 billion yuan [7] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 21, 15, and 14 times for the years 2023, 2024, and 2025, respectively [6][7]
公司简评报告:AI全线赋能,业绩高速增长
Capital Securities· 2024-02-01 16:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [1][13][17]. Core Views - The company has launched the "Tianmu" multimedia large model, enhancing its content generation capabilities, which includes video, audio, image, and text models, and is expected to complement its existing creative software products [1]. - The company is focused on deepening its digital creative software business, aiming to enrich its product matrix and provide users with a more engaging creative experience, with a user base exceeding 1.5 billion across over 200 countries [12][22]. - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 1.573 billion, 1.973 billion, and 2.470 billion yuan for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, alongside net profits of 88 million, 140 million, and 202 million yuan for the same years [13][14]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in digital creative software, offering products in video, drawing, documentation, and practical tools, with a global user base of over 1.5 billion [12][22]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates revenues of 1.573 billion yuan in 2023, 1.973 billion yuan in 2024, and 2.470 billion yuan in 2025, with corresponding net profits of 88 million, 140 million, and 202 million yuan [13][14]. - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 14.7%, 33.3%, and 25.4% for revenue, and 48.2%, 113.9%, and 58.4% for net profit from 2023 to 2025 [14]. Product Development - The company has integrated AI functionalities into its creative design software, launching several AI-driven products, including marketing tools and image generation applications, which have enhanced product competitiveness and expanded its user base [22].