[Table_Title] 核心产品稳健爬坡，新品蓄势待发 [Table_ReportDate] 神州泰岳(300002)公司简评报告 | 2024.02.23 [评Ta级ble：_R 买ank入] 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [⚫T abl事e_件Su：mm神a州ry]泰 岳披露2023年度业绩快报，2023年公司预计实现营业收 王建会 入59.65亿元（yoy+24.11%）；归母净利润8.93亿元（yoy+64.82%）；扣 传媒互联网首席分析师 非归母净利润8.32亿元（yoy+87.03%）。 SAC执证编号：S0110522050001 wangjianhui2@sczq.com.cn ⚫ 核心产品流水仍处于爬坡期，驱动23年业绩增长；两款“SLG+模拟经 营”新品蓄势待发，有望贡献可观增量。游戏业务方面，公司秉持“聚 李甜露 焦全球游戏市场，研发精品游戏”的发展战略，深耕海外市场。核心产 传媒互联网联席首席分析师 品方面，公司依托于卓越的产品能力和精细化运营经验，《旭日之城》 SAC执证编号：S0110516090001 充值流水创出自上线以来的年度新高，《战火与秩序》充值流水亦 ...

公司深度报告 证券研究报告 2.3 布局 IDE 完善产业链协同，做好信创生态补充者 公司于 2023 年 7 月完成对艾普阳科技（深圳）有限公司的收购，艾普阳 深圳拥有的产品主要为 PowerBuilder、PowerServer 等系列产品以及新开发产 品 DevMagic 系列产品，实现在集成开发环境（IDE）领域的布局。 IDE 是一种帮助程序员高效开发软件代码的软件应用程序。它通过将软 件编辑、构建、测试和打包等功能结合到一个易于使用的应用程序中，提高 了开发人员的工作效率。它们为常用开发工具提供了一个中央接口，使软件 开发过程更加高效。开发人员可以快速开始编写新应用程序，而无需手动集 成和配置不同的软件。此外，IDE 还可以在编辑代码时提供代码提示、语法 突出显示、智能代码完成等诸多便捷功能。 图 22 常见 IDE 举例 资料来源：公开资料整理，首创证券 头部大厂经常向优秀的第三方开发工具给予大量支持，或亲自提供低成 本的开发工具，以助于绑定开发者形成生态，如 GitHub、VScode。IDE 作为 软件开发领域的重要工具之一，未来也有望成为信创生态的重要组成部分。 目前国内外缺乏支持国内云平 ...

[Table_Title] 移动 24 年 PC 服务器招标超 26 万台，信创持续进行 [Table_ReportDate] 计算机 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.02.22 [评Ta级ble：_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [Table_Summary] 翟炜 ⚫ 事件：2 月 1 日，移动发布《中国移动 2024 年 PC 服务器产品集中采 首席分析师 购》招标公告，类型包括计算型服务器、公有云服务器、存储型服务器 SAC执证编号：S0110521050002 等，本次采用混合招标，共划分成 22 个标包，总量约 26.45 万台（其 zhaiwei@sczq.com.cn 中标包21采购规模为8000台，另行发布采购公告）。 电话：13581945259 ⚫ 运营商信创持续进行，国产化率已达较高水平。此前中国移动公布的 傅梦欣 2021-2022年PC服务器集采第一批次及补采、第二批次（标包1-6）及 研究助理 第二批次（标包7-9）共计28.69万台，国产化率达49.05%，其中鲲鹏 fumengxin01@sczq.com.cn 占比 28.20%，海光占比 20 ...

[Table_Title] 春节期间出行人数 23 亿，国内游和出境游多重增长 [ 交Ta 通bl 运e_ 输Rep o r 行tDa 业te 简] | 评报告 | 2024.02.20 [评Ta级ble：_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [T[⚫Ta balbel一_eS_周Sumu行mmm情aray回r]y ]顾 。2月5日至2月8日沪深300指数上涨5.83%，交 张功 通运输（申万）指数上涨 4.05%，在 31 个申万一级行业中排名第 交运行业首席分析师 17。二级板块中，航空机场周涨跌幅为+5.07%，航运港口的周涨跌 SAC执证编号：S0110522030003 幅为+3.28%，物流周涨跌幅为+6.38%，铁路公路周涨跌幅为 zhanggong1@sczq.com.cn +0.65%。 张莹 ⚫ 《2024年第7周（02月12日至02月18日）民航运行简报》：全 交运行业研究助理 国民航执行客运航班量近11.3万架次，日均航班量16248架次，环 zhangying2022@sczq.com.cn 比上周上升 20.1%，同比 2023 年上升 32.1%，同比 ...

[Table_Title] 最强春节档兑现预期，Sora 利好优质内容公司 [Table_ReportDate] 传媒 | 行业简评报告 | 2024.2.21 [评Ta级ble：_R an看k]好 核心观点 [ Table_Authors] [T[Tabalbel _eS_Sumummmarayr]y ] 李甜露 ⚫ 【核心观点】最强春节档票房再突破，持续关注供给景气下影视板 联席首席分析师 块行情。优质供给驱动下，档期总票房突破历史记录，同时头部影 SAC执证编号：S0110516090001 litianlu@sczq.com.cn 片在档期后仍具有较长线的票房空间。展望 2024 年，我们预计电 电话：86-10-8115 2690 影市场的供给端将持续保持充足水平，将刺激观影需求进一步释 放，行业有望持续繁荣。看好：a）优质储备丰富、有望释放盈利弹 辛迪 性的龙头制作公司；b）市占率稳固、有望受益于行业繁荣的头部院 分析师 线；以及 c）在技术加持和开发力度提升下有望持续挖掘优质内容 SAC执证编号：S0110522110003 价值的内容平台。Sora实现多维突破，利好优质内容公司。Sora的 x ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The total box office for the 2024 Spring Festival reached 8.051 billion yuan, breaking historical records, with a total of 163 million attendees and an average ticket price of 49.1 yuan. Two films surpassed 2 billion yuan in box office revenue, with the top three films being "Hot and Spicy" at 2.724 billion yuan, "Racing Life 2" at 2.404 billion yuan, and "Boonie Bears: Time Reversal" at 1.392 billion yuan [4] - The increase in box office revenue is driven by high-quality content supply, with the Spring Festival period being longer than in previous years and a higher proportion of comedy films that fit well with family viewing during the holiday. The number of screenings reached 3.954 million, a year-on-year increase of 48.3%, setting a new historical high. However, compared to 2021, the box office is slightly lower due to fewer attendees and a decrease in average ticket prices [4] - Box office revenue is increasingly concentrated among top films, with the top four films accounting for 98.1% of the total box office, the highest since 2017. Some films underperformed and were withdrawn from release. The audience ratings for the top films are promising, indicating potential for long-term box office growth [4] - The supply of quality content is abundant, and the industry is expected to remain prosperous in 2024 due to recovering film approvals, scheduled releases, and extended promotional periods. Key companies to watch include Light Media, Wanda Film, and others, which are expected to benefit from industry growth [4] Summary by Sections - **Market Performance**: The 2024 Spring Festival box office broke records with 8.051 billion yuan, 163 million attendees, and an average ticket price of 49.1 yuan [4] - **Quality Supply**: The increase in box office is attributed to a longer festival period and a higher proportion of family-friendly comedies, with screenings up 48.3% year-on-year [4] - **Concentration of Revenue**: The top four films accounted for 98.1% of the box office, indicating a trend towards revenue concentration among leading films [4] - **Future Outlook**: The industry is expected to thrive in 2024 with abundant quality content and key companies poised to benefit from this growth [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue and profit growth in 2023, driven by product structure upgrades and demand recovery. Projected revenue is between 1.43 billion to 1.45 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 32.42% to 34.27%. The net profit is expected to be between 240 million to 260 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 70.34% to 84.53% [10]. - The company has seen an increase in the sales proportion of its Xunlong series, with key breakthroughs in brand clients. Major brands like Xiaomi and realme are utilizing the company's chips in their headphone products, and the company is expanding its second-tier brand client base [10]. - The company is expanding its product lines around Bluetooth and Wi-Fi connectivity, with eight main product lines including Bluetooth headset chips, smart wearable chips, and AIoT chips. Continuous technological iterations and product upgrades are being pursued to expand new application scenarios [10]. - The company's products are sold domestically while targeting global customers. With approximately 60%-70% of its shipments going overseas, the recovery in overseas demand is expected to drive continued revenue growth [10]. - Profit forecasts for the company are 250 million, 343 million, and 478 million yuan for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 33, 24, and 17 times based on the stock price as of February 19 [10]. Financial Summary - Revenue (in billion yuan): 10.80 in 2024E, 14.45 in 2025E, 19.11 in 2026E, 24.46 in 2027E, with growth rates of 33.82%, 32.25%, and 28.00% respectively [10]. - Net profit (in billion yuan): 1.41 in 2024E, 2.50 in 2025E, 3.43 in 2026E, 4.78 in 2027E, with growth rates of 77.12%, 37.37%, and 39.34% respectively [10]. - EPS (in yuan): 2.08 in 2024E, 2.86 in 2025E, 3.98 in 2026E [10].

Industry Overview - The RF front-end market is expected to grow from $19.2 billion in 2022 to $26.9 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 5.78% [2] - 5G adoption is driving the modularization of RF front-end components, increasing the value per device from $18 to $25 [2] - The top 5 global RF front-end manufacturers (Skyworks, Qorvo, Broadcom, Qualcomm, Murata) hold 80% of the market share [2] - Domestic Chinese manufacturers have made significant breakthroughs in high-integration modules, particularly in 5G new frequency bands [2] Key Companies Maxscend Microelectronics - Leading domestic RF switch and LNA manufacturer, gradually expanding into module products [2] - Established its own filter production line to achieve high-end module autonomy [2] - MAX-SAW filters have achieved stable mass production, with over 160 million integrated filters shipped in H1 2023 [36] - Actively developing 5G PA modules, with L-PAMiF products increasing client penetration [36] Vanchip Technologies - Domestic leader in 4G RF PA, ranking first in domestic 4G RF power amplifier shipments [37] - Successfully mass-produced L-PAMiD modules in Q3 2023, with ongoing client project introductions [39] - Introduced low-voltage L-PAMiF products to reduce overall client solution costs [39] - Major shareholders include MediaTek, OPPO, Vivo, and Xiaomi, enhancing client relationships [37] Smarter Micro - Emerging domestic PA module manufacturer, ranking second in domestic 5G new frequency band L-PAMiF shipments [40] - Pioneered innovative reconfigurable RF front-end architecture, offering performance and cost advantages [43] - Achieved small-scale production of 5G low and mid-high frequency L-PAMiD modules, currently in client promotion phase [44] - Leading market share in 4G IoT RF front-end modules, with 17.4% market share in non-mobile 4G MMMB PAM [44] Market Trends - 5G smartphone penetration is expected to increase from 49.06% in 2022 to 82.06% by 2028 [15] - PA modules account for the largest market share at 45.31%, with a projected CAGR of 5.80% from 2022-2028 [19] - The modularization trend in RF front-end is driven by 5G's increased frequency bands and technical complexity [14] - Domestic manufacturers have narrowed the gap with international players, particularly in 5G Sub-3GHz frequency bands [25]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The expected number of travelers during the 2024 Spring Festival is projected to reach 9 billion, marking a historical high, with significant growth in self-driving trips reflecting a structural adjustment in travel methods [3][4] - The average economy class ticket price for civil aviation during the Spring Festival is expected to be 1,011 yuan, an increase of 16.0% compared to 2019 and 19.5% compared to 2023 [4][21] - The Spring Festival period (January 26 to March 5, 2024) is anticipated to see a total of 90 billion trips, with 18 billion being commercial passenger transport and 72 billion being self-driving trips, indicating a shift in travel structure [3][4] Summary by Sections 1. Historical High in Spring Festival Travel - The number of travelers during the 2024 Spring Festival is expected to reach 9 billion, a 90.15% increase from 2023 and a 202.01% increase from 2019 [4] - The railway passenger volume is projected to be 480 million, a 37.9% increase from 2023 and an 18% increase from 2019 [4] - Civil aviation passenger transport is expected to exceed 80 million, a 44.9% increase from 2023 and a 9.8% increase from 2019 [4] 2. Spring Festival "Second Trip" Boosts Consumption - The total number of cross-regional travelers during the Spring Festival holiday reached 2.311 billion, a historical high [12] - Domestic tourism during the 8-day holiday is expected to reach 474 million trips, a 34.3% increase year-on-year and a 19.0% increase compared to 2019 [12] - Total domestic tourism expenditure is projected to be 632.687 billion yuan, a 47.3% increase year-on-year and a 7.7% increase compared to 2019 [12] 3. Aviation Travel: Domestic and International Tourism Driving Ticket Volume and Price Increase - The total number of civil aviation flights during the Spring Festival is expected to reach 128,000, with an average of 16,000 flights per day, marking a historical high [17] - The average ticket price for economy class during the Spring Festival is projected to be 1,011 yuan, reflecting a significant increase due to high demand [21] - The growth in international flights and the increase in travel demand are expected to further boost ticket prices [21] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the rapid growth in travel numbers during the Spring Festival, driven by "visiting relatives + tourism," will enhance airline ticket prices [22] - Recommended stocks include Spring Airlines, Juneyao Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Air China, China Eastern Airlines, Shanghai Airport, Guangzhou Baiyun Airport, and Shenzhen Airport [22]

分析师声明 [Table_Title] 点评：费用计提拖累 Q4 财务表现，技术驱动的东南 亚电商潜力品种 [Table_Rank] 评级： 买入 [Table_Chart] 市场指数走势（最近 1 年） -0.5 0 0.5 1 6-Feb19-Apr 30-Jun 10-Sep 21-Nov 1-Feb 吉宏股份 沪深300 资料来源：聚源数据 | --- | --- | |---------------------------|-------------| | | | | 最新收盘价（元） | 12.40 | | 一年内最高 / 最低价（元） | 25.80/12.40 | | 市盈率（当前） | 40.96 | | 市净率（当前） | 2.08 | | 总股本（亿股） | 3.85 | | 总市值（亿元） | 47.74 | 核心观点 "买入"评级。 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------|-------|-------|----------------|-------| | [Table_Profit] | 2022A | 2 ...