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淡季收入略低于预期,成本下行带来利润超预期
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company's Q1 2024 revenue was slightly below expectations at 540 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.58%. However, net profit exceeded expectations, reaching 74 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 87.73% [5] - The decline in raw material costs has positively impacted profitability, with government subsidies of 16.93 million yuan contributing to the better-than-expected performance [5] - The company is focusing on three new products aimed at creating new growth points, while also benefiting from the ongoing reduction in raw material costs and scale effects [7][9] Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 30.02% in Q1 2024, an increase of 4.04 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 13.80%, up 4.90 percentage points year-on-year [7] - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 2.718 billion yuan, 3.374 billion yuan, and 4.038 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.61%, 24.15%, and 19.66% [9] - The forecasted net profit for the same period is 297 million yuan, 365 million yuan, and 421 million yuan, with growth rates of 41.73%, 22.86%, and 15.36% [9] Product and Market Analysis - The core product categories show strong performance, with fish products generating 340 million yuan (63% of revenue) and poultry products contributing 118 million yuan (22% of revenue) [6] - The company has successfully expanded its offline channels, with offline revenue growth exceeding 30%, while online sales have stabilized due to adjustments in pricing and cost management [6] - The company has completed coverage of 100 clients and 20,000 stores in the snack specialty channel, with Q1 revenue from this channel growing over 100% year-on-year [6]
高基数下业绩稳健增长,盈利水平相对稳定
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 12:00
证券研究报告 公司点评 益丰药房(603939.SH) 医药生物| 医药商业 高基数下业绩稳健增长 ,盈利水平相对稳定 2024年 05月 06日 预测指标 2022A 202 3A 2024E 2025E 2026E 评级 买入 主营收入(亿元) 198.86 225.88 275.02 337.82 408.70 归母净利润(亿元) 12.66 14. 12 17.49 21.18 25.31 评级变动 维持 每股收益(元) 1.25 1.40 1.73 2.10 2.50 交易数据 每股净资产(元) 8.47 9.70 11.11 12.81 14.85 当前价格(元) 45.40 P/E 36.25 32.49 26.23 21.66 18.13 52周价格区间(元) 31.10-52.29 P/B 5.36 4.68 4.09 3.54 3.06 总市值(百万) 45880.40 资料来源:Wind,财信证券 流通市值(百万) 45768.50 总股本(万股) 101058.00 投资要点: 流通股(万股) 100811.70 事件:公司发布2023年年度报告及 2024年一季度报告。 涨跌幅比 ...
自营业务拖累业绩,与民生证券整合迈入实质性阶段
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 12:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][7] Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in Q1 2024 revenue, down 74.44% year-on-year, with a net loss of 2.19 billion yuan, primarily due to losses in proprietary trading [5][6] - The integration with Minsheng Securities has entered a substantial phase, which is expected to enhance the company's competitive position in the market [6][7] - The company is projected to improve its profitability over the next three years, with expected net profits of 8.39 billion yuan, 9.87 billion yuan, and 10.42 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 25.01%, 17.64%, and 5.63% [7][8] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.73 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year decline [5] - The company's total assets increased by 7% to 932.32 billion yuan by the end of Q1 2024, attributed to a leverage increase to 4.70x [6] - The financial investment scale reached 539.65 billion yuan, an increase of 8.56% compared to the end of 2023 [6] Business Segments - The net income from brokerage, investment banking, and asset management for Q1 2024 was 1.08 billion yuan, 0.78 billion yuan, and 1.43 billion yuan respectively, with asset management showing a significant increase of 346.88% due to the acquisition of Guolian Fund [6] - Proprietary trading and interest income both turned negative, with losses of 1.50 billion yuan and 0.27 billion yuan respectively [6] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the integration with Minsheng Securities will enhance the company's scale and competitive metrics, potentially improving its ranking in the industry by over 10 positions [6][7] - The company is expected to maintain a price-to-book ratio of 1.9-2.1, with a target price range of 12.48 yuan to 13.80 yuan [7]
2023年年报及2024年一季报点评:业绩稳健增长,全线产品拥抱AI
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 08:00
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [9][10]. Core Views - The company achieved steady growth in its annual performance, with a revenue of 1.481 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 86 million yuan, up 108.96% year-on-year [19]. - The gross margin for the year was 94.77%, slightly down by 0.70 percentage points, attributed to a significant increase in AI server costs. The net profit margin improved by 1.86 percentage points to 7.31% [19]. - The company has increased its R&D investment, with the expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D being 48.81%, 11.16%, and 27.18%, respectively, showing a decrease in all three categories year-on-year [19]. Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.806 billion yuan, 2.197 billion yuan, and 2.665 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.94%, 21.67%, and 21.31% [10][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 119 million yuan, 150 million yuan, and 187 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 38.34%, 25.39%, and 25.01% [10][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.87 yuan, 1.09 yuan, and 1.36 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [10][11]. Recent Performance - In the first quarter of 2023, the company reported a revenue of 358 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.90% year-on-year, and a net profit of approximately 25.65 million yuan, up 22.99% year-on-year [5]. - The company has launched the "Wondershare Tianmu" multimedia model, integrating nearly a hundred audio and video capabilities, with plans to continuously incorporate AIGC capabilities into its product line [20].
2024年一季报点评:自营、投行、经纪拖累一季度业绩,出售AssetMark有望增厚未来业绩

Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 08:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huatai Securities [2] Core Views - The first quarter performance of Huatai Securities was impacted by declines in proprietary trading, investment banking, and brokerage services, while asset management showed growth [5][7] - The sale of AssetMark is expected to enhance future performance, with an estimated gain of approximately $795.73 million if the transaction is completed by the end of 2024 [7][8] - The company aims to leverage technology and digital transformation to drive growth in wealth management and institutional services [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, Huatai Securities reported operating revenue of 6.105 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 32.11%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.291 billion yuan, down 29.39% [5] - The breakdown of Q1 revenue sources showed significant declines in proprietary trading (-58.90%) and investment banking (-26.06%), while asset management grew by 10.16% [5][6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) for Q1 was 1.37%, an increase of 0.49 percentage points year-on-year [5] Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for Huatai Securities are as follows: - 2024E: 37.959 billion yuan - 2025E: 39.657 billion yuan - 2026E: 42.267 billion yuan [9] - Net profit projections are: - 2024E: 13.277 billion yuan - 2025E: 14.977 billion yuan - 2026E: 16.166 billion yuan [9] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on a strategic transformation towards quantitative trading in fixed income, currencies, and commodities (FICC) and enhancing its digital capabilities [5][8] - The sale of AssetMark is part of a broader strategy to optimize asset allocation and maximize shareholder returns [7][8]
计算机行业点评:北美云厂商24年资本支出指引维持乐观,AI算力建设持续加速
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 06:00
证券研究报告 行业点评 计算机 北美云厂商 24 年资本支出指引维持乐观,AI 算力 建设持续加速 计算机行业点评 2024年 05月05日 2023A 2024E 2025E 重点股票 评级 EPS(元) PE(倍) EPS(元) PE(倍) EPS(元) PE(倍) 评级 同步大市 海光信息 0.54 145.83 0.72 109.77 1.04 76.55 增持 评级变动: 维持 浪潮信息 1.21 33.78 1.43 28.61 1.71 23.87 增持 资料来源:iFinD,财信证券 行业涨跌幅比较 投资要点: 计算机 沪深300 北美四大云厂商陆续发布24Q1的财报,合计资本支出同比大幅增加, 19% 对于 24 年全年的资本支出指引均维持乐观预期。Meta、Microsoft、 -1% Google和Amazon 24Q1的资本支出合计446亿元左右,同比增长36%, 环比增长3%。 -21% Meta:24Q1资本支出为 67亿美元,同比增长-2%,环比增长-15%。 -41% 2023/05 2023/08 2023/11 2024/02 公司对于24年全年的资本支出指引从 2 ...
盈利能力大幅提升,新项目持续导入
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 05:00
2024 年 05 月 06 日 评级 买入 | --- | --- | |-----------------------|-------------------| | 评级变动 交易数据 | 维持 | | 当前价格(元) | 19 . 77 | | 52 周价格区间(元) | 12 . 48 - 20 . 00 | | 总市值(百万) | 16259 . 50 | | 流通市值(百万) | 15294 . 20 | | 总股本(万股) | 82243 . 30 | | 流通股(万股) | 77360 . 70 | | | | 涨跌幅比较 -12% 8% 28% 48% 68% 银轮股份 汽车零部件 2023-05 2023-08 2023-11 2024-02 2024-05 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------|-------|-------|-------| | % | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 银轮股份 | 9.11 | 31.80 | 46.99 | | 汽车零部件 | 2.46 | 15.10 | 12.85 | 杨甫 分析师 执业证书编号:S0 ...
外部因素扰动+新开及并购店较多,短期业绩承压
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 05:00
| --- | --- | |-------------------------------|-----------------| | | | | 2024 年 05 月 03 日 | | | 评级 | 买入 | | 交易数据 | 评级变动 维持 | | 当前价格(元) | 47.74 | | 52 周价格区间(元) | 44.19-85.80 | | 总市值(百万) | 6151.25 | | 流通市值(百万) | 5587.49 | | 总股本(万股) | 12884.90 | | 流通股(万股) | 11704.10 | | | | 涨跌幅比较 -28% -18% -8% 2% 12% 健之佳 医药商业 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | 2023-04 | 2023-07 | 2023-10 | 2024-01 | 2024-04 | | % | | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 健之佳 | | 7.31 | -2.89 | -22.26 | | 医药商业 | ...
业绩暂时性承压,期待多品牌协同发力驱动增长
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 05:00
证券研究报告 公司点评 贝泰妮(300957.SZ) 美容护理| 化妆品 业绩暂时性承压,期待多品牌协同发力驱动增长 2024年 04月 30日 预测指标 2022A 2023A 2024E 2025E 2026E 评级 买入 主营收入(百万元) 5,013.87 5,522.17 6,703.38 7,838.81 9,016.98 评级变动 维持 归母净利润(百万元) 1,051.23 756.80 1,212.31 1,325.77 1,489.18 交易数据 每股收益(元) 2.48 1.79 2.86 3.13 3.52 当前价格(元) 57.16 每股净资产(元) 13.11 13.84 16.11 18.60 21.39 52周价格区间(元) 54.58-112.93 P/E 23.03 31.99 19.97 18.26 16.26 总市值(百万) 24213.00 P/B 4.36 4.13 3.55 3.07 2.67 流通市值(百万) 24213.00 资料来源:iFinD,财信证券 总股本(万股) 42360.00 流通股(万股) 42360.00 投资要点: 业绩概览:1)202 ...
宏观经济研究周报:国内工业利润数据放缓,美核心PCE略超预期
Caixin Securities· 2024-05-07 02:00
5 宏观定期策略 -21% -11% -1% 9% 2023-04 2023-07 2023-10 2024-01 上证指数 沪深300 1 经济金融高频数据周报(04.15-04.19)2024- 04-21 国内工业利润数据放缓,美核心 PCE 略超预期 本周观点:国内方面,3 月工业企业营收单月同比增速-1.2%,而 1-2 月同比增长 4.5%。从量、价和利润率三方面来看,量的方面有所放 缓,3月工业增加值同比增速为 4.5%,较 1-2 月回落 2.5 个百分点; 价的方面持续低迷,PPI 同比中枢为-2.8%,较 1-2 月回落 0.2 个百 分点;利润率方面也有所承压,2024 年 3 月工业企业营业收入利润 率低于去年同期,对工业利润增速的拉动较 1-2 月回落 10个百分点 以上。往后看,国内经济大概率持续弱修复趋势,量、价端将有所改 善但不宜高估,出口方面的强势或对工业企业利润形成支撑。积极关 注利润持续高增行业,总体来看,出口型制造业、TMT行业景气度较 高、持续性强,可挖掘相关板块机会。资源品价格经过一段时间上涨 后,短期有一定压力,但中长期趋势向上的基本面未改。下游消费环 节大概率持 ...