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Goldman Sachs tops Q2 earnings estimates on trading revenue growth
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-07-16 14:31
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Goldman (GS) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 14:31
Core Insights - Goldman Sachs reported revenue of $14.58 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.6% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.5 billion by 8.06% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $10.91, compared to $8.62 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of 15.69% against the consensus estimate of $9.43 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Book Value Per Share was reported at $349.74, slightly above the average estimate of $347.76 [4] - Total Assets Under Supervision (AUS) reached $3,293 billion, exceeding the estimated $3,228.04 billion [4] - The Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 14.5%, below the average estimate of 15.1% [4] - The leverage ratio stood at 5.3%, matching the average estimate [4] Revenue Breakdown - Net Revenues from Global Banking & Markets - FICC were $3.47 billion, up 9% year over year, and above the average estimate of $3.39 billion [4] - Net Revenues from Asset & Wealth Management - Debt investments were $83 million, significantly lower than the average estimate of $151 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 72.1% [4] - Net Revenues from Platform Solutions - Consumer platforms were $623 million, slightly above the estimate of $619.93 million, marking a 4% increase year over year [4] - Net Revenues from Global Banking & Markets - Equities reached $4.3 billion, a substantial increase of 35.7% compared to the average estimate of $3.74 billion [4] - Net Revenues from Asset & Wealth Management - Private banking and lending were $789 million, exceeding the average estimate of $744.53 million, with an 11.6% year-over-year increase [4] - Net Revenues from Platform Solutions - Transaction banking and other were $62 million, below the estimate of $65.86 million, reflecting an 11.4% decline year over year [4] - Net Revenues from Global Banking & Markets - Advisory were $1.17 billion, significantly higher than the average estimate of $891.69 million, with a year-over-year increase of 70.6% [4] - Total Net Revenues from Asset & Wealth Management were $3.78 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $3.82 billion, representing a 2.6% year-over-year decline [4] Stock Performance - Goldman Sachs shares have returned +12.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +4.5% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Goldman Sachs(GS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-16 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net revenues of $14.6 billion for the second quarter, with earnings per share of $10.91 and a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8%, resulting in an ROE of 14.8% for the first half of the year [3][16] - The advisory backlog increased significantly compared to year-end 2024 levels, indicating strong future revenue potential [5][6] - The company returned $4 billion to shareholders, including a 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to $4 per share, reflecting confidence in the firm's durability [12][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Investment Banking revenues reached $1.2 billion, up 71% year-over-year, driven by strength in The Americas and EMEA [18] - Equity underwriting revenues were flat year-over-year at $428 million, while debt underwriting revenues fell 5% to $589 million due to lower leverage finance activity [18] - Asset and Wealth Management revenues totaled $3.8 billion, with management and other fees up 11% year-over-year to $2.8 billion [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - M&A volumes for the year to date are 30% higher year-over-year and 15% greater than the comparable five-year average, indicating a resilient deal-making environment [4][61] - The company priced 11 IPOs during the quarter, which performed well in the secondary market [5] - Total assets under supervision reached a record $3.3 trillion, with long-term net inflows of $17 billion in alternatives and equity [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving growth in financing and maximizing wallet share, ranking in the top three with 125 of the top 150 clients globally, up from 77 in 2019 [7][11] - The formation of the Capital Solutions Group positions the company to meet increasing demand related to AI infrastructure and financing needs [9][10] - The company emphasizes a disciplined approach to risk management while exploring opportunities for capital deployment and shareholder returns [30][31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the investment banking outlook despite ongoing uncertainties, particularly in trade-sensitive industries [5][13] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong capital position while advocating for regulatory clarity to support growth [12][92] - Management highlighted the importance of AI in driving operational efficiency and revenue growth, viewing it as a significant opportunity [54] Other Important Information - The company achieved a record in fixed financing revenues of $1 billion, driven by strong performance in mortgages and structured lending [19] - The effective tax rate for the first half of 2025 was 20.2%, with an expected full-year rate of approximately 22% [25] - The company reduced its historical principal investments by about 10% in the quarter, now standing at approximately $8 billion [34][36] Q&A Session Summary Question: What will the company do with excess capital? - Management indicated that the first priority for excess capital is to deploy it toward client franchise activities that produce accretive returns, with a focus on M&A and financing opportunities [30][31] Question: How does the company view the current M&A environment? - Management noted an increase in dialogue and activity in M&A, with a backlog indicating higher future activity levels, despite ongoing uncertainties [58][61] Question: What is the target CET1 ratio moving forward? - The company aims to maintain a CET1 ratio with a buffer of approximately 50 to 100 basis points above the regulatory minimum, allowing flexibility for client support and capital deployment [40][41] Question: How does the company plan to grow its dividend? - Management emphasized a commitment to consistently raise the dividend, with the recent increase reflecting confidence in the firm's revenue durability and growth potential [50][51] Question: What are the implications of AI for the company's efficiency? - Management highlighted AI as a significant opportunity for automating processes and enhancing productivity, which could lead to both cost savings and revenue growth [52][54]
Goldman Sachs(GS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-16 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported net revenues of $14.6 billion and earnings per share of $10.91 for the second quarter, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.8% [4][17] - The ROE for the first half of the year was 14.8%, reflecting strong performance amid shifting market dynamics [4] - The advisory backlog increased significantly compared to year-end 2024 levels, indicating robust future activity [6][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Investment Banking revenues reached $1.2 billion, a 71% increase year-over-year, driven by strength in The Americas and EMEA [18] - Equity underwriting revenues were flat year-over-year at $428 million, while debt underwriting revenues fell 5% to $589 million due to lower leverage finance activity [18] - FICC net revenues were $3.5 billion, up 9% year-over-year, with strong performance in currencies, credit, and interest rate products [19] - Equities net revenues reached a record $4.3 billion, with intermediation revenues rising 45% year-over-year [20] - Asset and wealth management revenues totaled $3.8 billion, with management and other fees up 11% year-over-year [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Announced M&A volumes for the year to date are 30% higher year-over-year and 15% greater than the five-year average, indicating a resilient deal-making environment [5][59] - The company priced 11 IPOs during the quarter, which performed well in the secondary market [6] - Total assets under supervision reached a record $3.3 trillion, with $115 billion of market appreciation and $17 billion of long-term net inflows [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving growth in financing and maximizing wallet share, ranking in the top three with 125 of the top 150 clients globally, up from 77 in 2019 [8][30] - The formation of the Capital Solutions Group positions the company to meet increasing demand related to AI infrastructure and financing needs [9] - The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders, including a 33% increase in the quarterly dividend to $4 per share [12][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the investment banking outlook despite ongoing uncertainties, particularly in industries sensitive to trade policy [6][13] - The company remains focused on risk discipline while navigating a complex operating backdrop [15] - Management highlighted the importance of transparency in regulatory processes to better plan capital allocation [71][90] Other Important Information - The company has made significant investments in AI to enhance operational efficiency and client service [10][51] - The effective tax rate for the first half of 2025 was 20.2%, with an expected full-year rate of approximately 22% [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: What will the company do with excess capital? - Management indicated that the primary focus will be on deploying capital to support client activity and producing accretive returns, with a commitment to returning capital to shareholders [29][31] Question: What is the current strategy regarding historical principal investments? - Management confirmed a commitment to reducing historical principal investments, which have been reduced by about 10% in the quarter, while remaining focused on co-investing with clients [34][36] Question: What is the target CET1 ratio moving forward? - Management expects to maintain a CET1 ratio with a buffer of approximately 50 to 100 basis points above the new regulatory minimum [41][88] Question: How does the company view potential inorganic acquisitions? - Management stated that while they are always looking for opportunities to accelerate growth, the bar for significant acquisitions remains very high [42][60] Question: How does the company plan to capitalize on alternative fundraising opportunities? - Management is actively building third-party wealth distribution partnerships to capitalize on the growing interest in alternative assets [96]
Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 13:35
Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reported quarterly earnings of $10.91 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.43 per share, and showing an increase from $8.62 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +15.69% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $14.58 billion for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.06%, compared to $12.73 billion in revenues a year ago [2] - Over the last four quarters, Goldman Sachs has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates [2] Stock Performance - Goldman shares have increased approximately 22.7% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 6.2% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for determining the sustainability of its stock price movement, with current consensus EPS estimates at $10.04 for the coming quarter and $44.16 for the current fiscal year [4][7] - The Zacks Rank for Goldman Sachs is currently 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Financial - Investment Bank industry is currently ranked in the top 21% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]
Goldman Sachs(GS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-16 13:30
Financial Performance - The company's net revenues for 2Q25 reached $14.58 billion[3], while year-to-date (YTD) net revenues amounted to $29.65 billion[3] - Net earnings for 2Q25 were $3.72 billion[3], and YTD net earnings totaled $8.46 billion[3] - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2Q25 stood at $10.91[3], with a YTD EPS of $25.07[3] - The annualized return on equity (ROE) for 2Q25 was 12.8%[3], and the YTD ROE was 14.8%[3] - The annualized return on tangible equity (ROTE) for 2Q25 was 13.6%[3], with a YTD ROTE of 15.8%[3] Segment Performance - Global Banking & Markets reported net revenues of $10.12 billion for 2Q25, a 24% increase compared to 2Q24[6] - Asset & Wealth Management's net revenues for 2Q25 were $3.778 billion, a 3% decrease compared to 2Q24[6] - Platform Solutions generated net revenues of $685 million for 2Q25, a 2% increase compared to 2Q24[6] Asset & Wealth Management - Assets Under Supervision (AUS) - Total assets under supervision (AUS) reached a record $3.29 trillion[3] - Long-term AUS net inflows were $17 billion[28] - Liquidity products experienced net outflows of $12 billion[28]
Goldman Sachs posts $3.72B profit as bank's traders cash in
New York Post· 2025-07-16 12:12
"At this time, the economy and markets are generally responding positively to the evolving policy environment. But as developments rarely unfold in a straight line, we remain very focused on risk management," he added. Solomon, who raked in $39 million in compensation last year, and his second-in-command, chief operating officer John Waldron have faced heat from some Wall Street observers after both received a five-year $80 million golden handcuffs bonus. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, seen here last mont ...
Trading Business In Focus As Goldman Reports Q2
Forbes· 2025-07-16 12:05
Group 1 - Goldman Sachs is expected to announce Q2 2025 earnings on July 16, 2025, with revenue forecasted to rise by approximately 6% to $13.5 billion and earnings anticipated at $9.68 per share, reflecting an 11% increase year-over-year [2] - The bank's trading division is projected to perform robustly, while the asset and wealth management sector is likely to benefit from a strong market, with managed assets expected to increase from a record $3.17 trillion in Q1 [2] - Investment banking revenues are anticipated to remain under pressure due to geopolitical tensions and tariff-related uncertainties affecting mergers, acquisitions, and IPO activities [2] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs currently has a market capitalization of $223 billion, with revenue over the past twelve months reaching $54 billion and net income recorded at $15 billion [3] - The Trefis High Quality portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500, generating returns over 91% since its inception, offering an alternative for potential gains with lower volatility [3][7] Group 3 - Historical data indicates that Goldman Sachs has had 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with positive one-day returns observed approximately 60% of the time, increasing to 67% over the last three years [5] - The median of the 12 positive returns is 2.3%, while the median of the 8 negative returns is -1.6% [5]
Goldman Sachs Crushes Q2 Estimates as Equities Trading Hits Record High
FX Empire· 2025-07-16 11:54
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Goldman Sachs(GS) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-07-16 11:35
[Financial Highlights](index=2&type=section&id=Financial%20Highlights) Goldman Sachs reported strong Q2 2025 financial results, marked by significant revenue growth and increased shareholder returns [Second Quarter 2025 Performance Summary](index=2&type=section&id=Second%20Quarter%202025%20Performance%20Summary) Goldman Sachs reported strong Q2 2025 results, achieving significant revenue and earnings growth, alongside a substantial increase in its quarterly dividend Q2 2025 Financial Summary ($ in billions, except EPS and ROE) | Metric | Q2 2025 | YTD 2025 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Revenues | $14.58 | $29.65 | | Net Earnings | $3.72 | $8.46 | | Diluted EPS | $10.91 | $25.07 | | Annualized ROE | 12.8% | 14.8% | | Book Value Per Share | $349.74 | 3.9% Growth YTD | - Diluted EPS of **$10.91** for Q2 2025 compares to **$8.62** for Q2 2024 and **$14.12** for Q1 2025. For the first half of 2025, EPS was **$25.07**, up from **$20.21** in the first half of 2024[3](index=3&type=chunk) - The Board of Directors increased the quarterly dividend to **$4.00** per common share, a **33%** increase from the previous **$3.00**[2](index=2&type=chunk)[29](index=29&type=chunk) - Book value per common share increased by **1.6%** during Q2 2025 and **3.9%** during the first half of 2025 to **$349.74**[4](index=4&type=chunk) [Business Segment Performance](index=3&type=section&id=Business%20Segment%20Performance) This section provides an overview of the performance across Goldman Sachs' core business segments, highlighting key revenue drivers and trends [Global Banking & Markets](index=3&type=section&id=Global%20Banking%20%26%20Markets) Global Banking & Markets reported robust revenue growth, driven by strong performance in Investment Banking, FICC, and Equities Global Banking & Markets Net Revenues (Q2 2025) | Category | Revenue (billions) | | :--- | :--- | | **Investment banking fees** | **$2.19** | | Advisory | $1.17 | | Equity underwriting | $0.43 | | Debt underwriting | $0.59 | | **FICC** | **$3.47** | | FICC intermediation | $2.42 | | FICC financing | $1.04 | | **Equities** | **$4.30** | | Equities intermediation | $2.60 | | Equities financing | $1.71 | | **Other** | **$0.16** | | **Total** | **$10.12** | - Investment banking fees were **$2.19 billion**, up **26%** YoY, driven by significantly higher Advisory revenues. The firm's Investment banking fees backlog increased compared to Q1 2025 and year-end 2024[9](index=9&type=chunk) - FICC net revenues rose **9%** YoY to **$3.47 billion**, primarily due to significantly higher revenues in FICC financing[10](index=10&type=chunk) - Equities net revenues surged **36%** YoY to **$4.30 billion**, reflecting significantly higher revenues in both Equities intermediation and financing[11](index=11&type=chunk) [Asset & Wealth Management](index=4&type=section&id=Asset%20%26%20Wealth%20Management) Asset & Wealth Management experienced a slight revenue decline, primarily due to lower investment gains, partially offset by growth in fees and lending Asset & Wealth Management Net Revenues (Q2 2025) | Category | Revenue (billions) | | :--- | :--- | | Management and other fees | $2.81 | | Incentive fees | $0.10 | | Private banking and lending | $0.79 | | Equity investments | $(0.001) | | Debt investments | $0.08 | | **Total** | **$3.78** | - The **3%** YoY revenue decline was driven by significantly lower net gains from private equities and lower net interest income in Debt investments[14](index=14&type=chunk)[15](index=15&type=chunk) - Growth drivers included higher Management fees (from higher average AUS), increased net interest income in Private banking and lending, and higher Incentive fees from harvesting[14](index=14&type=chunk)[15](index=15&type=chunk) [Platform Solutions](index=4&type=section&id=Platform%20Solutions) Platform Solutions reported modest revenue growth, primarily driven by increased contributions from Consumer platforms Platform Solutions Net Revenues (Q2 2025) | Category | Revenue (millions) | | :--- | :--- | | Consumer platforms | $623 | | Transaction banking and other | $62 | | **Total** | **$685** | - The **2%** YoY revenue increase was driven by slightly higher net revenues from Consumer platforms, while Transaction banking and other revenues were lower[17](index=17&type=chunk) [Financial Condition and Operating Results](index=4&type=section&id=Financial%20Condition%20and%20Operating%20Results) This section examines Goldman Sachs' financial health, covering credit provisions, operating efficiency, capital management, and balance sheet strength [Provision for Credit Losses](index=4&type=section&id=Provision%20for%20Credit%20Losses) The provision for credit losses increased in Q2 2025, primarily reflecting higher net charge-offs and portfolio growth Provision for Credit Losses Comparison | Period | Provision (millions) | | :--- | :--- | | Q2 2025 | $384 | | Q1 2025 | $287 | | Q2 2024 | $282 | - Provisions for Q2 2025 were primarily driven by net charge-offs related to the credit card portfolio and growth in both credit card and wholesale portfolios[19](index=19&type=chunk) [Operating Expenses and Profitability](index=5&type=section&id=Operating%20Expenses%20and%20Profitability) Operating expenses increased due to higher compensation, while the efficiency ratio improved and headcount decreased - Operating expenses increased **8%** YoY, primarily due to higher compensation and benefits expenses and higher transaction-based expenses[25](index=25&type=chunk) - The efficiency ratio for the first half of 2025 was **62.0%**, an improvement from **63.8%** for the first half of 2024[24](index=24&type=chunk) - Headcount decreased by **2%** compared to the end of the first quarter of 2025[26](index=26&type=chunk) - The effective income tax rate for the first half of 2025 was **20.2%**, up from **16.1%** for Q1 2025[28](index=28&type=chunk) [Capital Management and Shareholder Returns](index=5&type=section&id=Capital%20Management%20and%20Shareholder%20Returns) The firm demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns through increased dividends and significant share repurchases Q2 2025 Capital Return to Common Shareholders | Category | Amount (billions) | | :--- | :--- | | Share Repurchases | $3.00 | | Common Stock Dividends | $0.96 | | **Total** | **$3.96** | - The firm repurchased **5.3 million** common shares at an average cost of **$564.57** per share[29](index=29&type=chunk) - The quarterly dividend was increased to **$4.00** per common share, payable on September 29, 2025[29](index=29&type=chunk) [Balance Sheet, Liquidity, and Risk](index=5&type=section&id=Balance%20Sheet%2C%20Liquidity%2C%20and%20Risk) The firm maintained a strong financial position with robust total assets, solid capital ratios, and ample liquidity Key Balance Sheet Items (As of June 30, 2025) | Item | Amount (billions) | | :--- | :--- | | Total Assets | $1,785 | | Total Liabilities | $1,661 | | Total Shareholders' Equity | $124 | Capital and Leverage Ratios (As of June 30, 2025) | Ratio | Value | | :--- | :--- | | Common Equity Tier 1 (Standardized) | 14.5% | | Common Equity Tier 1 (Advanced) | 15.3% | | Supplementary Leverage Ratio | 5.3% | - Global core liquid assets averaged **$462 billion** for Q2 2025, up from **$441 billion** in Q1 2025[29](index=29&type=chunk) - Average daily Value-at-Risk (VaR) was **$98 million** in Q2 2025, compared to **$91 million** in Q1 2025[44](index=44&type=chunk) [Detailed Financial Statements (Unaudited)](index=7&type=section&id=Detailed%20Financial%20Statements%20(Unaudited)) This section provides unaudited detailed financial statements, including segment revenues, consolidated earnings, and assets under supervision [Segment and Geographic Net Revenues](index=7&type=section&id=Segment%20and%20Geographic%20Net%20Revenues) This section presents detailed net revenues by business segment and geographic region for both quarterly and year-to-date periods Segment Net Revenues - Three Months Ended June 30, 2025 ($ in millions) | Segment | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | % Change YoY | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Global Banking & Markets | $10,120 | $8,184 | 24% | | Asset & Wealth Management | $3,778 | $3,878 | (3)% | | Platform Solutions | $685 | $669 | 2% | | **Total Net Revenues** | **$14,583** | **$12,731** | **15%** | Segment Net Revenues - Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 ($ in millions) | Segment | YTD 2025 | YTD 2024 | % Change YoY | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Global Banking & Markets | $20,827 | $17,910 | 16% | | Asset & Wealth Management | $7,457 | $7,667 | (3)% | | Platform Solutions | $1,361 | $1,367 | – | | **Total Net Revenues** | **$29,645** | **$26,944** | **10%** | [Consolidated Statements of Earnings](index=9&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Earnings) This section provides consolidated statements of earnings, detailing total net revenues, operating expenses, and net earnings for both quarterly and year-to-date periods Consolidated Earnings - Three Months Ended June 30, 2025 ($ in millions) | Item | Q2 2025 | Q2 2024 | % Change YoY | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total net revenues | $14,583 | $12,731 | 15% | | Total operating expenses | $9,241 | $8,533 | 8% | | Pre-tax earnings | $4,958 | $3,916 | 27% | | Net earnings | $3,723 | $3,043 | 22% | | Diluted EPS | $10.91 | $8.62 | 27% | Consolidated Earnings - Six Months Ended June 30, 2025 ($ in millions) | Item | YTD 2025 | YTD 2024 | % Change YoY | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total net revenues | $29,645 | $26,944 | 10% | | Total operating expenses | $18,369 | $17,191 | 7% | | Pre-tax earnings | $10,605 | $9,153 | 16% | | Net earnings | $8,461 | $7,175 | 18% | | Diluted EPS | $25.07 | $20.21 | 24% | [Assets Under Supervision (AUS)](index=12&type=section&id=Assets%20Under%20Supervision%20(AUS)) Total Assets Under Supervision (AUS) grew significantly, driven by net inflows and market appreciation across various asset classes AUS by Asset Class (As of June 30, 2025) | Asset Class | Amount (billions) | | :--- | :--- | | Alternative investments | $355 | | Equity | $857 | | Fixed income | $1,253 | | Liquidity products | $828 | | **Total AUS** | **$3,293** | AUS Roll-Forward for Q2 2025 (billions) | Item | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Beginning Balance (Mar 31, 2025) | $3,173 | | Total AUS net inflows | $5 | | Net market appreciation | $115 | | **Ending Balance (Jun 30, 2025)** | **$3,293** |