股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.07 [Table_Industry] 纺织服装业 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | 领跑，上调全年指引 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | 盛开(分析师) | 021-23154510 | shengkai@gtht.com | S0880525040044 | | 钟启辉(研究助理) | 021-23185686 | zhongqihui@gtht.com | S0880125042254 | 本报告导读： Coach 驱动高质量增长与利润率扩张。年轻化获客和爆款产品矩阵为核心驱动。大 幅上调 FY2026 全年业绩指引。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 纺织服装业《FY26Q3 HOKA 重回高双增速，上 调全年业绩指引》2026.01.31 纺织服装业《25Q4 纺服基金持仓环比基本持平， 12 月服装类零售额同比增长 1.2%》2026.01.25 纺织服装业《美棉价格历史深度复盘——美国、 巴西 2 ...

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. (TPR) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, surpassing revenue and earnings estimates, and raised its fiscal 2026 guidance [1][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings were $2.69 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.20, and reflecting a 34% year-over-year increase [4] - Net sales reached $2,502.4 million, beating the consensus estimate of $2,310 million, with a 14% year-over-year increase [4] - Excluding the impact of Stuart Weitzman, pro forma net sales increased by 18% on both nominal and constant-currency bases [5] Brand Performance - Coach brand net sales were $2.14 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.95 billion, marking a 25% year-over-year increase [7] - Kate Spade's sales were $360 million, below the consensus estimate of $368 million, representing a 14% decline year-over-year [7] Regional Sales Insights - North America sales increased 17% year-over-year to $1.72 billion, while Greater China improved 35% to $343.1 million [8] - European revenues rose 27% to $159.1 million, while Japan saw a 9% decline to $128.3 million [8] Margin and Cost Analysis - Adjusted gross profit was $1.89 billion, up 16% from the previous year, with an adjusted gross margin of 75.5%, an increase of 110 basis points [10] - Adjusted operating income rose 31% to $719.8 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 28.8%, up 390 basis points [11] Shareholder Returns - Tapestry returned approximately $400 million to shareholders through share repurchases and declared a quarterly cash dividend of 40 cents per share [15] - For fiscal 2026, the company expects to return $1.5 billion to shareholders, an increase from the previous estimate of $1.3 billion [16] Future Outlook - Management raised the fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to over $7.75 billion, reflecting about 11% growth year-over-year [20] - The company anticipates operating margin expansion of roughly 180 basis points and earnings per share of $6.40-$6.45, representing growth of over 25% year-over-year [22]

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ROMAINE: ALREADY ROUGH-AND-TUMBLE WEEK GETS A BIT ROUGHER. LIVE FROM STUDIO 2 AT HEADQUARTERS IN NEW YORK, I AM ROMAINE BOSTICK. KATIE: I AM KATIE GREIFELD.LET'S LOOK AT WHERE WE STAND. WE ARE OFF OUR WORST LEVELS OF THE SESSION, BUT THAT'S NOT REALLY GOOD NEWS BECAUSE WE ARE DOWN 1% WHEN IT COMES TO THE S&P 500, A LITTLE MORE WHEN IT COMES TO THE NASDAQ 100. ANOTHER IMPORTANT DAY FOR THE TECH SECTOR.WE HAVE AMAZON REPORTING AFTER THE BELL. A LOT OF RED ON THE SCREEN. THAT IS SENDING A HAVEN BID INTO THE BO ...

Market Overview - The S&P 500 is down 1% and the NASDAQ 100 is down more than 1% during a rough trading session, indicating a deteriorating market sentiment [1][2] - Bitcoin has experienced a significant decline, dropping about 10% to around $65,000, erasing gains from previous weeks [2][4] Tech Sector Insights - The percentage of NASDAQ 100 stocks below the 100-day moving average has surpassed 50% for the first time since late November, indicating negative momentum in the tech sector [3] - Alphabet reported a 20% surge in revenue last quarter, but this has not alleviated skepticism among tech investors, raising concerns about Amazon's upcoming earnings [6][9] Investment Trends - There is a strong bid into Treasuries, with 10-year Treasury yields decreasing by six to seven basis points, reflecting a flight to safety amid market volatility [2][4] - The current market environment is characterized by a rotation rather than a wholesale selloff, with investors taking profits and becoming more cautious [21][78] Company-Specific Developments - Amazon's earnings report is highly anticipated, with expectations that it will reflect broader trends in the tech sector [9][26] - XPO shares have reached a record high, driven by strong performance in the retail and industrial sectors, indicating a potential recovery in these areas [59][60] Capital Expenditure Outlook - Alphabet has earmarked $182 billion for capital expenditures by 2026, suggesting a focus on long-term growth despite current market challenges [7] - The overall sentiment in the market is shifting towards questioning the return on investments, particularly in the tech sector [8] Consumer Behavior and Market Dynamics - The furniture retail sector, represented by Bob's Discount Furniture, is seeing a successful IPO, raising $331 million, indicating strong consumer demand despite economic uncertainties [27][29] - Tapestry, the parent company of Coach, reported record sales and earnings, highlighting effective brand strategies targeting younger consumers [66][72]

Core Insights - Tapestry, Inc. reported record fiscal second-quarter results, significantly exceeding analyst expectations, primarily driven by the strong performance of its Coach brand [1][2] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share reached $2.69, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.19 [2] - Revenue increased by 14% year over year to $2.5 billion, exceeding expectations of $2.29 billion; on a pro forma basis, revenue rose 18% when excluding the divested Stuart Weitzman business [2] Brand Performance - Coach sales surged by 25% to $2.14 billion, driven by strong handbag demand and mid-teens growth in both unit volumes and average selling prices [3] - Kate Spade experienced a 14% revenue decline, generating $360 million in sales [3] Profitability Metrics - Non-GAAP operating margin expanded by 390 basis points to 28.8% [3] - Gross margin increased by 110 basis points to 75.5%, supported by operating leverage and an improved product mix [3] Regional Performance - Revenue growth was notable across regions: 17% in North America, 35% in Greater China, and 27% in Europe on a pro forma basis [4] Outlook - Following the strong results, Tapestry raised its full-year revenue outlook to exceed $7.75 billion, up from the previous guidance of $7.3 billion [4] - The earnings forecast was also lifted to a range of $6.40 to $6.45 per share, significantly above the prior range of $5.45 to $5.60 [4]

Tapestry reported higher second-quarter revenue and raised its fiscal-year outlook as growth from its Coach brand offset declines in Kate Spade sales https://t.co/TpuVRW4A4B ...

Core Insights - Tapestry Inc's stock increased by 3.7% to $134.68, reaching a record high of $142.22 after reporting better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter results [1] - Coach's quarterly revenue rose by 25%, driven by the popularity of Tabby handbags among Gen-Z customers, prompting Tapestry to raise its full-year forecast [1] Stock Performance - Year-over-year, Tapestry's stock is up 84%, with a 36% increase in the last three months [2] - Prior to the recent surge, the stock found support at the $125 level and the 50-day moving average [2] Options Activity - There is significant bullish activity in Tapestry's options, with call options being traded at seven times the average intraday pace [3] - The most popular options include the June 60 call and the February 130 call [3] - Tapestry has historically exceeded options traders' volatility expectations, reflected in a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 94 out of 100 [3] Short Interest - Short interest in Tapestry has been increasing, now representing 6.5% of its available float, equating to nearly five days of potential buying power [4] - The recent stock bounce may be partially attributed to short covering, as many short positions are now underwater [4]

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ARM - ARM's shares are lower, but not as much as pre-market indications suggested, with adjusted EPS at 43 cents, beating the expected 41 cents [2] - Revenue was in line with expectations at approximately $1.24 billion, matching consensus [2] - Despite solid earnings, concerns arise from missed expectations in licensing revenue, which is crucial for future growth, particularly due to smartphone exposure [3][4] Estee Lauder - Estee Lauder's shares are under significant pressure, down 15%, despite better-than-expected adjusted EPS of 89 cents compared to the expected 83 cents [5][6] - Revenue was $4.229 billion, slightly above the expected $4.219 billion, but non-adjusted profit fell below expectations due to a major restructuring program [6][7] - Tariff pressures are expected to reduce profits by about $100 million, leading to anticipated contraction in operating margins [8] Tapestry - Tapestry, the parent company of Coach and Kate Spade, reported strong results with shares rallying 9% [10] - Adjusted earnings were $2.69 per share, with revenue at $2.5 billion, both better than expected [11] - Coach sales surged by 25%, driven by strong demand, while Kate Spade continues to struggle in recovery [12][13]