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Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-23 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford reported a record revenue of $50.5 billion and adjusted EBIT of $2.6 billion for Q3 2025, with a year-over-year revenue growth of over 9% [5][17] - Adjusted free cash flow was strong at $4.3 billion for Q3, totaling $5.7 billion year-to-date, with nearly $33 billion in cash and $54 billion in liquidity [18][22] - The company expects adjusted EBIT guidance for 2025 to be between $6 billion and $6.5 billion, reflecting a net tariff headwind of $1 billion [23][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford Pro delivered revenue of $17.4 billion and EBIT of $2 billion, with revenue and volume growth of 11% and 9% respectively [18][19] - Ford Model e experienced increased revenue and volume driven by new product introductions in Europe, but EBIT losses increased due to lower net pricing and higher spending on next-generation vehicles [19] - Ford Blue achieved EBIT of $1.5 billion, with revenue growth exceeding wholesale unit growth [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ford's total U.S. market share grew to 12.8%, with significant contributions from key products like F-150, Bronco, and Expedition [15] - The industry conditions in the U.S. were strong, with a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAR) of 17 million and positive pricing [14] - The company anticipates a U.S. industry SAR of about 16.8 million units for 2025 [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Ford Plus plan aims to enhance market competitiveness by focusing on regional strategies, tailored services, and digital solutions [7] - The company is prioritizing hybrids and developing an affordable EV platform expected to launch in 2027 [8][24] - Ford is adapting to evolving market conditions, including the anticipated reduction in compliance costs due to changes in emissions regulations [24][94] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to recover from the Novelis fire impact, with plans to add up to 1,000 new jobs to increase F-series production [5][27] - The management highlighted the importance of innovation and cost efficiency in a capital-intensive environment, emphasizing the need for smart partnerships [8] - The company remains committed to maintaining its investment-grade rating and returning capital to shareholders [18] Other Important Information - Ford's industrial system has shown consistent cost improvements, with a net $1 billion improvement expected this year, excluding tariff impacts [11] - The company is actively working to mitigate the impact of tariffs and production disruptions on working capital [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Novelis recovery - Management confirmed that Novelis' Hot Mill is expected to be operational by late November, with plans to recover lost production in 2026 [27][29] Question: Warranty cost improvements - Management indicated that warranty costs were down year-over-year by $450 million, with expectations for further reductions in the coming year [40][41] Question: Industry pricing discipline - Management expressed confidence in maintaining industry pricing discipline, citing strong underlying segment drivers and a fresh product lineup [42][44] Question: Emissions rules impact - Management discussed the potential multibillion-dollar opportunity from new emissions rules, emphasizing the ability to optimize vehicle mix and reduce compliance costs [47][51] Question: 2026 guidance and cost expectations - Management provided insights on expected tailwinds and headwinds for 2026, including cost improvements and the impact of Novelis [103]
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-23 21:00
Q3 2025 Financial Highlights - Ford reported Q3 2025 revenue of $505 billion, a 9% increase year-over-year[19, 22] - The company's adjusted EBIT was $26 billion, with an adjusted EBIT margin of 51%[19, 22] - Adjusted free cash flow reached $43 billion, up $11 billion from the previous year[19, 22] - Adjusted EPS was $045, a decrease of $004 year-over-year[22] Segment Performance - Ford Blue's EBIT was $15 billion, with an EBIT margin of 55%[22] - Ford Model e experienced an EBIT loss of $14 billion, with an EBIT margin of -791%[22] - Ford Pro achieved an EBIT of $20 billion, with an EBIT margin of 114%[22] Year-to-Date Financial Results - Year-to-date revenue reached $1414 billion, a 3% increase year-over-year[24] - Year-to-date adjusted EBIT was $57 billion, a 29% decrease year-over-year[24] - Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow was $57 billion, a decrease of $03 billion year-over-year[24] - Ford Blue's year-to-date EBIT was $23 billion, with an EBIT margin of 31%[24] - Ford Model e's year-to-date EBIT loss was $36 billion, with an EBIT margin of -667%[24] - Ford Pro's year-to-date EBIT was $56 billion, with an EBIT margin of 109%[24] Additional Key Points - Ford Pro paid software subscriptions grew 8% sequentially to 818K[19] - The company announced a Q4 regular dividend of $015 per share[16] - The company estimates a net tariff impact of approximately $1 billion for the full year[67]
Ford CEO Farley on Supplier Fire, Tariff Impact and EVs
Youtube· 2025-10-23 20:57
Core Insights - The company is facing challenges due to a fire at an aluminum plant, which is expected to impact production by around 100,000 units this year, but recovery is anticipated next year with potential gains of $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion [2][3][4] - Tariff headwinds have been significantly reduced, from an expected $2 billion to a more manageable level, benefiting the company as it produces a majority of its vehicles domestically [3][4][8] - The company is focusing on high-margin vehicles and off-road segments, which are currently in high demand, indicating a strong market position [14][17] Production and Financial Impact - The fire incident is described as a serious situation, but the company is optimistic about regaining lost production in the following year [2][3] - The reduction in tariffs is seen as a major advantage, particularly for the company's domestic production capabilities compared to competitors [4][7][8] - The company is expected to maintain a strong financial outlook with anticipated recovery in production and sales [2][14] Market Position and Strategy - The company produces 80% of its sales in the U.S., with a significant portion of exports, positioning it favorably against competitors [7][8] - There is a strong focus on high-end and off-road vehicles, which are profitable and popular among consumers, indicating a strategic shift towards these segments [14][17] - The company is also investing in the electric vehicle market, with plans for affordable EVs, reflecting a commitment to adapt to changing market dynamics [21][23] Supply Chain and Raw Materials - The company is actively working to diversify its supply chain for critical materials, including rare earth elements and semiconductors, which are essential for production [23][24][25] - There is recognition of the challenges posed by reliance on foreign sources for raw materials, particularly from China, and efforts are being made to address these issues [23][25][26]
Ford A Stronger and More Agile Company As Shares Pop Higher
247Wallst· 2025-10-23 20:52
Core Insights - Ford's Q3 revenue reached $50.53 billion, exceeding estimates, while earnings per share (EPS) were $0.45, also above expectations, leading to a 4% increase in stock price post-earnings announcement [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue: $50.53 billion, surpassing analyst estimates [1] - EPS: $0.45, exceeding forecasts [1] - Post-earnings stock rally: 4% increase, reflecting positive investor sentiment [1] Electric Vehicle (EV) Segment - Despite losses in the EV sector, Ford's overall execution was solid, contributing to investor confidence [1]
Ford beats Q3 estimates, EV losses weigh as full-year outlook slashed
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-10-23 20:34
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team covers medium and small-cap markets, as well as blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's content includes insights across various sectors such as biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Ford Motor Reports Better-Than-Expected Q3 Earnings: What To Know
Benzinga· 2025-10-23 20:34
Core Insights - Ford Motor Co. reported third-quarter earnings of 45 cents per share, surpassing analyst estimates of 36 cents [2] - Quarterly revenue reached $47.18 billion, exceeding the Street estimate of $43.07 billion and up from $43.06 billion in the same period last year [2] Business Segment Highlights - Ford Pro generated $2 billion in EBIT on $17.4 billion in revenue, with paid software subscriptions increasing by 8% sequentially to 818,000 subscribers [6] - Ford Model e reported a third-quarter EBIT loss of $1.4 billion, driven by new products in Europe that contributed to revenue and volume growth [6] - Ford Blue achieved $1.5 billion in EBIT, with revenue growth outpacing wholesale unit growth [6] - Ford Credit reported third-quarter earnings before taxes of $631 million, marking a 16% increase compared to the previous year [6] Management Commentary - CEO Jim Farley emphasized the strong performance with over $50 billion in revenue, attributing it to the quality of products and services, as well as a disciplined focus on cost [4] - Farley stated that the company is becoming stronger and more agile as it approaches 2026, with a commitment to strategic execution in propulsion, partnerships, and technology [4]
Ford beats on earnings but lowers 2025 guidance after supplier fire
CNBC· 2025-10-23 20:14
Core Viewpoint - Ford Motor exceeded Wall Street's third-quarter earnings expectations but lowered its 2025 guidance due to a supplier fire impacting production of large trucks and SUVs [1][6]. Financial Performance - Ford's third-quarter revenue reached a record $50.5 billion, a 9% increase year-over-year, with net income of $2.4 billion, up from $900 million a year earlier [9]. - Adjusted earnings per share were 45 cents, surpassing the expected 36 cents, and automotive revenue was $47.19 billion, exceeding the anticipated $43.08 billion [12]. Impact of Supplier Fire - The fire at Novelis' New York plant is expected to cost Ford between $1.5 billion and $2 billion, but the company aims to mitigate much of this impact by increasing production of affected vehicles [2][3]. - Ford plans to add 1,000 workers early next year to boost U.S. pickup truck production, expecting to recover 50,000 units of truck production by 2026 [3]. Revised Guidance - Ford's new 2025 guidance includes adjusted EBIT of $6 billion to $6.5 billion, down from $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion, and adjusted free cash flow of $2 billion to $3 billion, reduced from $3.5 billion to $4.5 billion [6]. - Without the supplier fire, Ford was planning to raise its 2025 guidance to over $8 billion in adjusted EBIT [6]. Operational Developments - The impacted section of the Novelis plant is expected to restart by late November or early December, while other areas continue to operate [5]. - Ford is working with Novelis to source aluminum from operational sections of the plant to minimize production disruptions [4]. Strategic Initiatives - The Ford+ plan aims to improve operational efficiency and is on track to cut $1 billion in costs this year [11]. - The "Pro" commercial and fleet business reported EBIT results of nearly $2 billion, while the "Model e" electric vehicle business widened losses to $1.41 billion [13].
Why Ford is doubling down on the F-150 — and redeploying EV workers
MarketWatch· 2025-10-23 20:09
Core Insights - Ford is increasing its workforce and implementing additional measures to address strong customer demand for its F-Series pickup trucks while compensating for production losses due to a fire at an aluminum supplier [1] Group 1 - Ford is adding extra workers to meet customer demand for F-Series pickup trucks [1] - The company is taking measures to recover from production losses caused by a fire at an aluminum supplier [1]
Ford Motor(F) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-10-23 20:08
Financial Performance - Ford reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $50.5 billion, a 9% increase year-over-year, with net income of $2.4 billion[6]. - Adjusted EBIT for the third quarter was $2.6 billion, reflecting a $0.7 billion adverse net tariff-related impact[5]. - Cash flow from operations was $7.4 billion, and adjusted free cash flow was $4.3 billion for the third quarter[6]. - Ford anticipates full-year 2025 adjusted EBIT guidance of $6.0 billion to $6.5 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $2.0 billion to $3.0 billion[5]. - Total revenues for the third quarter of 2024 were $46,196 million, an increase from $50,534 million in 2025[27]. - Net income attributable to Ford Motor Company for the third quarter of 2024 was $892 million, compared to $2,447 million in 2025[27]. - Operating income for the first nine months of 2024 was $3,988 million, down from $2,388 million in 2025[27]. - Cash flows from operating activities for the first nine months of 2024 were $12,395 million, compared to $17,398 million in 2025[31]. - Revenues for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, were $47,185 million, with consolidated revenues totaling $50,534 million[32]. - Net income attributable to Ford Motor Company for the third quarter was $1,881 million, contributing to a consolidated net income of $2,448 million[32]. - Operating income for the first nine months was $2,388 million, with consolidated revenues of $141,377 million[32]. - Company reported a net income attributable to Ford of $892 million for Q3 2024, compared to $2,447 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a decrease of approximately 63.5%[36]. - Adjusted EBIT for Q3 2024 was $2,550 million, while for Q3 2025 it was $2,586 million, indicating a slight increase of 1.4%[36]. - Revenue for Q3 2024 was $46.2 billion, increasing to $50.5 billion in Q3 2025, representing a growth of 5.0%[36]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2024 was $0.49, compared to $0.45 in Q3 2025, showing a decline of 8.2%[36]. - The effective tax rate for Q3 2025 was reported at 3.0%, while the adjusted effective tax rate was 19.8%[37]. - Company adjusted free cash flow for the first nine months of 2025 was $5,657 million, compared to $5,945 million in the same period of 2024, a decrease of 4.8%[37]. - Adjusted net income for Q3 2024 was $1,958 million, while for Q3 2025 it was $1,820 million, reflecting a decrease of 7.1%[36]. Segment Performance - Ford Pro segment generated $2 billion in EBIT on $17.4 billion in revenue, with paid software subscriptions growing 8% sequentially[10]. - Ford Model e reported a third-quarter EBIT loss of $1.4 billion, driven by new product launches in Europe[10]. - Ford Blue segment achieved $1.5 billion in EBIT, with revenue growth outpacing wholesale unit growth[10]. Job Creation and Production - Ford plans to create up to 1,000 jobs to increase F-Series production volume in response to strong customer demand[12]. Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of September 30, 2025, were $300,990 million, up from $285,196 million as of December 31, 2024[29]. - Total liabilities increased to $253,573 million as of September 30, 2025, from $240,338 million as of December 31, 2024[29]. - Ford's total current liabilities increased to $116,648 million as of September 30, 2025, from $106,859 million[29]. - Total assets as of September 30, 2024, were $158.292 billion, expected to increase to $161.334 billion by September 30, 2025, a growth of 1.3%[43]. - The total liabilities for the company as of September 30, 2024, were $144.535 billion, projected to increase to $146.617 billion in 2025, reflecting a rise of 1.4%[43]. Cash and Capital Management - Ford's cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $26,788 million, compared to $22,935 million at the beginning of the year[29]. - Cash payments for dividends and dividend equivalents totaled $2,390 million during the first nine months[34]. - Capital spending for the first nine months was $6,031 million, reflecting ongoing investment in operations[34]. - The company had cash and cash equivalents of $26,788 million as of September 30, 2025[33]. - Interest expense on company debt excluding Ford Credit was $321 million for the third quarter[32]. Special Items and Adjustments - The company reported a total EBIT special items loss of $2.3 billion for the first nine months of 2024, expected to decrease to $1.9 billion in 2025[39]. - Special items pre-tax for Q3 2024 amounted to $(1,409) million, while for Q3 2025 it was $(447) million, indicating a reduction in special items[36]. Investment and Returns - The company's invested capital at the end of Q3 2024 was $70.8 billion, expected to rise to $73.2 billion by Q3 2025, reflecting a growth of 5.7%[38]. - The adjusted return on invested capital (ROIC) for Q3 2024 was 11.4%, projected to decrease to 10.1% by Q3 2025[38]. - Total financing revenue for the first nine months of 2024 was $9.522 billion, expected to increase to $10.270 billion in 2025, representing a growth of 7.8%[41]. - Net income for the first nine months of 2024 was $982 million, projected to rise to $1.533 billion in 2025, indicating an increase of 56.2%[45]. - Cash flows from operating activities for the first nine months of 2024 were $2.032 billion, projected to increase to $2.899 billion in 2025, indicating a growth of 42.7%[45].
Ford lowers annual guidance, citing fire at supplier's aluminum plant
Reuters· 2025-10-23 20:06
Core Viewpoint - Ford Motor has reduced its profit guidance due to the impact of a fire at a key aluminum supplier, which will affect the production of some of its most profitable vehicles until the end of the year [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - The company has adjusted its profit outlook, indicating a negative financial impact from the supply chain disruption caused by the fire [1] - The production of lucrative vehicle models will be constrained, leading to potential revenue loss [1] Group 2: Operational Challenges - The fire at the aluminum supplier is a critical event that will hinder Ford's production capabilities [1] - The company anticipates that the effects of this incident will persist through the end of the year, indicating a prolonged operational challenge [1]