Summary of J.P. Morgan's Metals Weekly Report on U.S. Copper Tariffs Industry Overview - The report focuses on the U.S. copper market and the implications of a proposed 50% tariff on copper imports, set to begin on August 1st, 2025 [1][3][5]. Key Points and Arguments Tariff Impact on Demand - A full pricing of the 50% tariff could lead to a 4% reduction in refined copper demand growth in the U.S. for the next year [1][13]. - U.S. copper demand constitutes only 6% of global demand, meaning a 4% decline in U.S. demand translates to approximately 0.2% of global demand [1][24]. - Current U.S. all-in copper prices are up by around 30% compared to the 3Q24 average, indicating a potential drag on demand growth of about 2.5% in the following year [19]. Supply Chain Dynamics - The U.S. exports 540-580 thousand metric tons (kmt) of copper contained in scrap annually, which could help reduce the 600-700 kmt import dependence on copper cathode [1][32]. - A scrap export ban could significantly harm the domestic scrap supply chain, shrinking the industry before it has a chance to grow [1][32][48]. - The U.S. has substantial copper project potential (~3 million metric tons per annum), but significant supply responses from new mines are not expected until the next decade due to long lead times [1][49]. Price and Market Reactions - The COMEX/LME arbitrage has remained static, with the premium of the September COMEX contract hovering between 25% and 28% [3]. - The anticipated tariff is expected to create a bearish pressure on LME prices in the second half of 2025, despite supportive medium-term fundamentals for copper prices, which are expected to remain above $9,000/mt [5]. Future Supply Considerations - The easiest way to increase U.S. primary copper supply is through solvent extraction/electrowinning (SX/EW) operations, which do not require additional smelting and refining infrastructure [1][51]. - The average lead time for mining projects in the U.S. is around 19 years, longer than the global average of 15.5 years, complicating the timeline for new supply [58]. Substitution and Demand Destruction - The report notes that both copper and aluminum are facing 50% tariffs, which diminishes substitution pressure between the two metals [25]. - Higher prices for both metals could lead to broader demand destruction rather than significant substitution trends [26]. Conclusion - The report suggests that while the proposed tariff will create challenges for U.S. copper demand and supply, it may also present buying opportunities for long-term investors as prices are expected to stabilize above $9,000/mt [5]. Additional Important Insights - The potential for exemptions from the tariff for countries like Indonesia could significantly impact U.S. copper import dynamics [4]. - The health of the U.S. manufacturing and construction sectors will continue to be the primary drivers of copper demand, alongside structural trends in utilities and data center builds [20]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the J.P. Morgan report regarding the implications of the U.S. copper tariffs on demand, supply, and market dynamics.

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley is optimistic about Freeport-McMoRan (FCX.US) following a surge in COMEX copper prices due to Trump's proposed 50% tariff on imported copper [1] - The analysis highlights three advantages for Freeport-McMoRan: excellent operational performance, cost advantages from by-product gold at the Grasberg mine, and a higher proportion of U.S. business compared to global peers [1] - A $0.1 per pound premium of COMEX copper over LME copper could lead to an annual EBITDA and operating cash flow increase of $135 million for the company, benefiting from tax and royalty exemptions on U.S. assets [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley raised the target price for Freeport-McMoRan from $42 to $56, reflecting stronger commodity prices and reduced recession risks [1] - Other companies of interest include Teck Resources (TECK.US) and Ivanhoe Electric (IE.US), with a focus on their U.S. copper operations [2] - Bank of America identified Freeport-McMoRan and Southern Copper (SCCO.US) as the most sensitive to COMEX copper prices, with Freeport expected to derive 36% of its revenue from U.S. copper by 2025 [2]

Group 1: Election of Directors - All six nominees listed in the Management Proxy Circular were elected as directors for the upcoming year, with Marc-Antoine Audet receiving 97.20% of votes in favor, and Quentin Markin and Terry Krepiakevich receiving 100% [2][3] - A total of 72,717,248 common shares, representing 33.04% of the Company's issued and outstanding shares, were represented at the AGM [1][3] Group 2: Appointment of Auditors - Pricewaterhouse Coopers LLP was approved as the External Auditors for the Company for the next year, with the Directors authorized to fix their remuneration [2] Group 3: Stock Option Plan - The shareholders approved the Corporation's Stock Option Plan, reserving the grant of options up to a maximum of 10% of the total number of issued and outstanding shares, with 97.63% voting in favor [3] Group 4: Company Overview - Sama Resources Inc. is a Canadian-based resource company focused on the Samapleu nickel-copper project in Côte d'Ivoire, with a 40% interest in the project, while Ivanhoe Electric holds the remaining 60% [6] - The Company is transitioning from the basic OTC Pink Sheets to the enhanced OTC ID designation effective July 1, 2025, which will improve transparency and market presence [7]

Industry Overview - The technology services industry is mature with strong demand for services, and revenues, income, and cash flows are expected to gradually return to pre-pandemic levels, supporting stable dividends for most players [1] - The industry thrived in 2024 and continued its momentum into the first quarter of 2025 [1] - The global shift towards digitization is creating opportunities in markets such as 5G, blockchain, and artificial intelligence (AI), with companies rapidly adopting generative AI, machine learning (ML), and data science to gain competitive advantages [4] Investment Outlook - The Zacks-defined Technology Services industry ranks within the top 26% of Zacks Ranked Industries, indicating an expectation to outperform the market over the next three to six months [2] - Five mid and small-sized technology services stocks with strong short-term upside potential are recommended: Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN), Climb Global Solutions Inc. (CLMB), Adeia Inc. (ADEA), Priority Technology Holdings Inc. (PRTH), and Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) [2][3] Company Highlights Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) - Engaged in developing and selling less-lethal personal security solutions across multiple regions [6] - Average short-term price target indicates a potential increase of 48.6% from the last closing price of $25.53, with a target range of $33-$38 [8] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 30.2% and 12.9%, respectively [9] Climb Global Solutions Inc. (CLMB) - Operates as a value-added IT distribution and solutions company [10] - Average short-term price target suggests a potential increase of 26.2% from the last closing price of $110.28, with a target range of $136 [13] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 5% and 2.7%, respectively [14] Adeia Inc. (ADEA) - Operates as a media and semiconductor intellectual property licensing company [16] - Average short-term price target indicates a potential increase of 25.2% from the last closing price of $13.75, with a target range of $17-$18 [18] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 9.2% and 7.1%, respectively [18] Priority Technology Holdings Inc. (PRTH) - Functions as a payment technology company with multiple segments [20] - Average short-term price target suggests a potential increase of 71.6% from the last closing price of $7.46, with a target range of $10-$16 [24] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 11.4% and over 100%, respectively [25] Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) - Focuses on minerals exploration and development, particularly for electrification [27] - Average short-term price target indicates a potential increase of 105.9% from the last closing price of $6.85, with a target range of $10-$20 [28] - Expected revenue and earnings growth rates for the current year are 2.6% and 51.4%, respectively [28]

Core Viewpoint - Vimeo, Inc. reported a quarterly loss of $0.02 per share, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.03, indicating an earnings surprise of 33.33% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $103.03 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.66%, although this represents a decline from year-ago revenues of $104.91 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Vimeo has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2] Stock Performance - Vimeo shares have declined approximately 20% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -3.3% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, with current consensus EPS estimates indicating breakeven on $105.19 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $0.02 on $424.87 million in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Vimeo is currently mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Technology Services industry, to which Vimeo belongs, is currently in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]

Core Viewpoint - Ivanhoe Electric has received a Letter of Interest from the Export-Import Bank of the United States for potential financing of up to $825 million for the Santa Cruz Copper Project, highlighting the project's strategic importance in enhancing domestic copper supply [1][4]. Financing and Support - The financing from EXIM Bank is part of the Make More in America initiative, aimed at increasing the U.S. supply of critical minerals and strengthening supply chains [2][3]. - The financing is structured as debt with a 15-year repayment term, which will support the development of the Santa Cruz Copper Project [1]. Project Development - The Santa Cruz Copper Project is on track for a Preliminary Feasibility Study completion in June 2025, which will aid in project financing [8]. - Permitting and detailed engineering are advancing rapidly, with initial construction expected to begin in the first half of 2026 [8]. Strategic Importance - The project is positioned to meet the rising U.S. demand for domestically sourced copper, which is critical for infrastructure and national defense [4][8]. - Ivanhoe Electric is also exploring additional government support programs to further enhance U.S. access to critical mineral supply chains [6][7]. Company Overview - Ivanhoe Electric focuses on advanced mineral exploration technologies and aims to support U.S. supply chain independence by discovering new deposits of critical metals [9][10]. - The company operates various projects, including the Santa Cruz Copper Project and has partnerships for exploration in the U.S. and Saudi Arabia [10].

Core Viewpoint - The recent Executive Order signed by President Trump aims to accelerate domestic production of critical metals, particularly copper, which is expected to benefit Ivanhoe Electric's Santa Cruz Copper Project in Arizona [1][2][3] Group 1: Executive Order and Its Implications - The Executive Order utilizes the Defense Production Act to enhance domestic minerals production for national security reasons [2] - It aims to expedite project permitting by identifying priority projects for immediate approval and issuing relevant permits [2] - The Order also includes provisions for increasing access to capital for domestic projects, including a dedicated mineral production fund under the Development Finance Corporation [2] Group 2: Ivanhoe Electric's Santa Cruz Copper Project - Ivanhoe Electric is progressing towards completing the Preliminary Feasibility Study (PFS) for the Santa Cruz Copper Project, expected by June 2025 [4] - The PFS will build on the Initial Assessment from September 2023, which indicated the project could produce approximately 80 thousand tonnes of copper annually, including 57 thousand tonnes of pure copper cathode for the U.S. market [5] - The company aims to commence construction activities in the first half of 2026, pending the necessary permits [4] Group 3: Company Overview and Strategic Focus - Ivanhoe Electric combines advanced mineral exploration technologies with electric metals exploration projects primarily in the U.S. [6] - The company believes the U.S. is underexplored and has significant potential for new discoveries of critical metals, focusing on copper and other metals like nickel, vanadium, and gold [7] - Ivanhoe Electric operates a joint venture with Saudi Arabian Mining Company Ma'aden to explore minerals in the Arabian Shield [7]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. stock futures are experiencing a decline, with Hallador Energy Company facing a significant drop in share price following a quarterly sales miss despite beating earnings expectations [1][2]. Group 1: Hallador Energy Company - Hallador Energy reported quarterly earnings of 7 cents per share, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of a loss of 13 cents per share [1]. - The company’s quarterly sales were $94.200 million, which fell short of the analyst consensus estimate of $95.450 million [1]. - Hallador Energy shares decreased by 6.8% to $10.70 in pre-market trading [2]. Group 2: Other Stocks in Pre-Market Trading - Arlo Technologies, Inc. saw its shares tumble 9.3% to $10.01 after a previous gain of 4% [3]. - Ivanhoe Electric Inc. shares declined by 6.9% to $5.92 in pre-market trading [3]. - Verastem, Inc. shares fell 6% to $6.80 after a prior gain of 4% [3]. - Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. shares dropped 4.8% to $42.05 [3]. - Bausch Health Companies Inc. shares decreased by 4.1% to $6.75 [3]. - Kenon Holdings Ltd. shares fell 3.4% to $34.04 after a previous gain of 3% [3]. - Akebia Therapeutics, Inc. shares declined by 3.3% to $2.32 [3]. - Tesla, Inc. shares slipped 1.6% to $234.30, following a 4.8% drop on Monday after Mizuho reduced its price target from $515 to $430 [3].