RT Luigi D'Onorio DeMeo🔺 (@luigidemeo)VISA On @avax ...

Core Insights - Visa is positioned as a "hyperscaler" in the payments industry, facilitating partners to leverage its network, with stablecoin settlements surpassing a $2.5 billion annualized run rate [1][4]. Financial Performance - Visa's fiscal fourth quarter results indicated an 8% increase in U.S. payments volume, with both credit and debit spending also rising by 8% [2][8]. - Value-added services revenue grew by 25% in constant dollars, reaching $3 billion, driven by issuing solutions [4]. - Full year fiscal 2025 commercial payments volume increased by 7% in constant currency to $1.8 billion, with cross-border volumes up 11% and eCommerce up 13% [8]. Market Trends - There is broad-based strength in spending categories, including retail services, travel, and fuel, with both discretionary and nondiscretionary spending increasing from Q3 [3][10]. - The number of Visa tokens issued has risen to over 16 billion, up from 10 billion in May 2024, with a goal of 100% of e-Commerce transactions being tokenized [6]. Technological Advancements - Visa is deploying a next-generation VisaNet with a cloud-ready microservices architecture, over half of which was developed using generative AI [5]. - The company is enhancing its support for four stablecoins, allowing conversions to over two dozen fiat currencies [4]. Consumer Behavior - Contactless payments have gained traction, with 79% of face-to-face transactions being tap-to-pay, an increase of 8% year-over-year; in the U.S., this figure stands at 66% [7]. - Higher spending cardholders are driving growth, indicating consumer resilience in the current economic climate [10]. Future Outlook - Visa anticipates adjusted net revenue growth in the low double digits for the current fiscal year, reflecting positive market conditions [9]. - The company is focusing on "agentic commerce," which could lead to increased transactions as consumers engage with a broader range of merchants [12].

Core Insights - Visa reported $10.72 billion in revenue for the quarter ended September 2025, marking an 11.5% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of $2.98 compared to $2.71 a year ago [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.62 billion, resulting in a surprise of +0.97%, while the EPS also surpassed expectations by +0.34% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total transactions reached 67.65 billion, slightly below the estimated 67.68 billion [4] - Total payments volume was $3,732 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $3,706.36 billion [4] - Payments volume by region included: - USA: $1,775 billion, close to the estimate of $1,775.98 billion - Asia Pacific: $529 billion, above the estimate of $516.23 billion - Canada: $110 billion, slightly above the estimate of $109.76 billion [4] - Total volume was $4,375 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $4,286.02 billion [4] Revenue Breakdown - Service revenue was reported at $4.6 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $4.63 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +9.6% [4] - Data processing revenue reached $5.39 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $5.24 billion, with a year-over-year change of +17% [4] - Client incentive revenue was reported at -$4.25 billion, better than the estimate of -$4.32 billion, showing a year-over-year change of +17.1% [4] - Other revenue was $1.18 billion, matching the average estimate, with a year-over-year increase of +21.4% [4] - International transaction revenue was $3.8 billion, slightly below the estimate of $3.87 billion, with a year-over-year change of +9.6% [4] Stock Performance - Visa shares returned +2.3% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.6% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

🚨 TODAY: Visa to enable payments in four stablecoins across four blockchains with fiat conversion support, its CEO announced. https://t.co/A2okMLKWxa ...

Core Insights - Visa reported fiscal 4Q results with earnings per share (EPS) and revenue exceeding Wall Street estimates by approximately 1% each [2] - The company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue growth in the low double digits, surpassing expectations for high single-digit growth [2] - Consumer spending trends remain strong, with year-over-year growth in US spending steady at around 7% [2] Company Performance - Visa's diverse business model contributed to solid growth across key metrics over the past year [3] - The CEO highlighted healthy consumer spending as a key driver of the company's performance [3] Future Outlook - Visa is focusing on future investments, particularly in providing payment services to the AI industry and technology giants [3]

Core Insights - Visa reported quarterly earnings of $2.98 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.97 per share, and up from $2.71 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +0.34% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $10.72 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.97%, and up from $9.62 billion year-over-year [2] - Visa has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters [2] Financial Performance - The earnings surprise for the previous quarter was +4.2%, with actual earnings of $2.98 compared to an expected $2.86 [1] - Visa shares have increased by approximately 10.1% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 16.9% [3] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $3.07 on revenues of $10.59 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $12.84 on revenues of $44.18 billion [7] - The estimate revisions trend for Visa was mixed ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) for the stock, indicating expected performance in line with the market [6] Industry Context - The Financial Transaction Services industry, to which Visa belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 42% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Visa's stock performance [5]

Institutional Adoption & Partnerships - Western Union 在 Solana 上独家推出 USDPT 稳定币 [1] - PayPal 提供稳定币支付和链上入口服务 [1] - Shopify 使用 Solana Pay 进行加密货币商家支付 [1] - Stripe 支持 Solana 的 USDC 付款 [1] - Gemini 推出 Solana 信用卡 [1] Network Performance & Upgrades - Solana 网络已超过一年没有中断 [1] - Alpenglow 升级实现了 100-150 毫秒的交易最终确认时间 [1] - SIMD-0266 (P-token) 令牌程序将 DeFi 效率的网络负载降低了 98% [1] - Helius 将历史数据访问速度提高了 10 倍，以方便开发者 [1] Asset Tokenization & Investment Products - Solana 上有 7 亿美元的代币化资产 [1] - Bitwise 在纽约证券交易所推出首个 SEC 批准的 Solana 质押 ETF ($BSOL) [1] - Grayscale 的 Solana Trust 转换为现货 ETF，已开始交易 [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fiscal fourth quarter net revenue grew 12% year over year to $10.7 billion, with full-year net revenue growth of 11% to $40 billion [5][34] - EPS increased by 10% year over year, resulting in a full-year EPS growth of 14% to $11.47 [5][34] - Total full-year payments volume reached $14 trillion, up 8% year over year in constant dollars, with processed transactions totaling $258 billion, up 10% year over year [5][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer payments revenue was driven by strong payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transaction growth [31] - Commercial and money movement solutions revenue grew 14% year over year in constant dollars, with commercial payments volume growing 10% [31] - Value-added services revenue grew 25% in constant dollars to $3 billion, driven by issuing solutions and advisory services [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. payments volume was up 8%, with e-commerce growing faster than face-to-face spend [28] - Total international payments volume was up 10% year over year in constant dollars, with acceleration in Asia-Pacific [28] - Cross-border volume, excluding intra-Europe, was up 11%, with e-commerce up 13% and travel improving to 10% [28][29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation and building the future of payments through the Visa-as-a-Service stack [5][25] - Investments in the next generation of VisaNet are aimed at enhancing product development speed and adaptability to market changes [7][73] - The company aims to expand its stablecoin capabilities and enhance cross-border money movement solutions [11][38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of consumer spending and the strength of the macroeconomic environment [48] - The company anticipates continued strong performance in 2026, driven by major events like the Olympic and Paralympic Games and the FIFA World Cup [37][42] - Management expects adjusted net revenue growth in the low double digits for 2026, with a focus on maintaining strong client relationships and expanding service offerings [36][41] Other Important Information - The company bought back approximately $4.9 billion in stock and distributed $1.1 billion in dividends in Q4 [33] - The tax rate for the quarter was 18.8%, in line with expectations, and the company expects to remain below its long-term tax rate in 2026 [32][40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about economic choppiness and consumer spending habits - Management noted strong momentum exiting FY25 and emphasized the diversification of Visa's business, which supports resilience in consumer spending [46][48] Question: Role of Visa in agentic commerce - Management highlighted Visa's leadership in setting standards for agentic commerce and the introduction of the Visa Trusted Agent Protocol to ensure secure transactions [52][55] Question: Sustainability of data processing yield growth - Management confirmed that data processing revenue growth was driven by pricing and mix, with expectations for continued benefits from new pricing implemented in FY2025 [66] Question: Differences between Visa's and competitors' agentic commerce protocols - Management emphasized the open and easy integration of the Visa Trusted Agent Protocol, positioning it as a foundational layer for the agentic commerce ecosystem [82][84]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fiscal fourth quarter net revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $10.7 billion, with full-year net revenue growth of 11% to $40 billion [5][34] - EPS increased by 10% year-over-year, resulting in a full-year EPS growth of 14% to $11.47 [5][34] - Total full-year payments volume reached $14 trillion, up 8% year-over-year in constant dollars, with processed transactions totaling 258 billion, up 10% year-over-year [5][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer payments revenue was driven by strong payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transaction growth [31] - Commercial and money movement solutions revenue grew 14% year-over-year in constant dollars, with commercial payments volume growing 10% [31] - Value-added services revenue grew 25% in constant dollars to $3 billion, driven by issuing solutions and advisory services [32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total international payments volume was up 10% year-over-year in constant dollars, with U.S. payments volume up 8% [28][29] - Cross-border volume, excluding intra-Europe, was up 11%, with e-commerce up 13% and travel improving to 10% [28][29] - In Latin America, there was a slight deceleration in volume growth due to moderating inflation in Argentina, but the region remains high-growth [77] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation and building the future of payments through the Visa-as-a-Service stack [5][25] - Investments in the next generation of VisaNet are aimed at enhancing product development speed and adaptability to market changes [72][73] - The company is expanding its stablecoin capabilities and enhancing cross-border money movement solutions [38] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in consumer resilience and stable macroeconomic conditions as assumptions for 2026 [47][48] - The company anticipates continued strong performance in 2026, driven by major events like the Olympic and Paralympic Games and the FIFA World Cup [37][41] - Management expects adjusted net revenue growth in the low double digits for 2026, with a focus on maintaining strong client relationships and expanding service offerings [36][39] Other Important Information - The company bought back approximately $4.9 billion in stock and distributed $1.1 billion in dividends in Q4 [33] - The tax rate for the quarter was 18.8%, in line with expectations, and the company expects to maintain a similar tax rate in 2026 [32][40] - The Visa Trusted Agent Protocol was introduced to enhance security in agentic commerce transactions [55][84] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about economic choppiness and consumer spending habits - Management noted strong momentum exiting FY25 and emphasized the diversification of Visa's business, which supports resilience in consumer spending [46][47][48] Question: Role of Visa in agentic commerce and expected milestones - Management highlighted Visa's leadership in setting standards for agentic commerce and the introduction of the Visa Trusted Agent Protocol to ensure secure transactions [52][53][55] Question: Sustainability of data processing yield growth - Management confirmed that data processing revenue growth was driven by pricing and mix, with expectations for continued benefits from new pricing implemented in FY2025 [65][66] Question: AI's role in Visa's services and VisaNet rollout - Management affirmed that Visa is building infrastructure to support agentic commerce and that the new VisaNet will enhance product development speed and adaptability [70][72][73] Question: Deceleration in Latin America volume growth - Management acknowledged a slight slowdown in Latin America, primarily due to moderating inflation in Argentina, but remains optimistic about the region's growth potential [76][77]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fiscal fourth quarter net revenue grew 12% year over year to $10.7 billion, with EPS up 10%, resulting in full-year net revenue and EPS growth of 11% and 14% respectively [4][26] - Total full-year payments volume reached $14 trillion, up 8% year over year in constant dollars, and processed transactions totaled $258 billion, up 10% year over year [4][26] - Full year 2025 net revenue grew 11% to $40 billion, and EPS grew 14% to $11.47 [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer payments revenue was driven by strong payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transaction growth [30] - Commercial and money movement solutions revenue grew 14% year over year in constant dollars, with commercial payments volume growing 10% [30] - Value-added services revenue grew 25% in constant dollars to $3 billion, driven by issuing solutions and advisory services [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total international payments volume was up 10% year over year in constant dollars in Q4, with U.S. payments volume up 8% [26][27] - Cross-border volume, excluding intra-Europe, was up 11%, with e-commerce up 13% and travel improving to 10% [26][28] - In Latin America, there was a slight deceleration in volume growth due to moderating inflation in Argentina, but the region remains high-growth overall [72] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation and building the future of payments through the Visa-as-a-Service stack, which includes foundation, services, solutions, and access layers [5][24] - Visa is enhancing its capabilities in agentic commerce, aiming to set standards and lead product development in this emerging area [50][66] - Significant investments are planned for FY26 across consumer payments, commercial solutions, and value-added services, with a focus on AI and product development [37][38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience of consumer spending and the strength of Visa's diversified business model as it enters FY26 [45][46] - The company anticipates continued strong performance in FY26, with adjusted net revenue growth expected in the low double digits [34][40] - Management highlighted the importance of collaboration within the ecosystem to drive the success of agentic commerce and other innovations [66][78] Other Important Information - The company bought back approximately $4.9 billion in stock and distributed $1.1 billion in dividends to shareholders in Q4 [32] - Visa's tokenization efforts have resulted in over 16 billion tokens, which are critical for secure transactions in the agentic commerce ecosystem [8][76] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about macroeconomic stability and consumer spending habits - Management noted strong momentum exiting FY25 and emphasized the diversification of Visa's business, which supports resilience in consumer spending [45][46] Question: Role of Visa in agentic commerce and expected milestones - Visa is taking a leadership role in agentic commerce, establishing standards and capabilities to facilitate transactions through agents [50][66] Question: Differences between Visa's Trusted Agent Protocol and competitors - Visa's Trusted Agent Protocol is designed to be open and easy to integrate, serving as a foundational layer for the agentic commerce ecosystem [78] Question: Holiday sales growth expectations - Management acknowledged expectations of weaker holiday sales growth but emphasized the overall strength of Visa's business model [81]