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Chevron: Robust Fundamentals, Growth Drivers, And Valuation Justify Recent Bullish Breakout
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-03 13:37
Core Insights - The logistics sector has seen significant engagement from investors, particularly in the ASEAN and US markets, highlighting its growth potential and diversification opportunities [1] Investment Focus - The company has diversified its investments across various sectors including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels, indicating a strategic approach to portfolio management [1] - The entry into the US market in 2020 reflects a growing interest in international investment opportunities, particularly in sectors like banks, hotels, and shipping [1] Market Trends - The popularity of insurance companies in the Philippines since 2014 suggests a shift in investment preferences among local investors, moving towards more diversified financial products [1] - The trend of using platforms like Seeking Alpha for analysis indicates a growing reliance on data-driven investment strategies among investors in both the ASEAN and US markets [1]
Jim Cramer Says Eli Lilly “Could Announce Some New Data, and That Could Get the Stock Rolling”
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-03 12:24
Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) is one of the stocks on Jim Cramer’s recent game plan. Cramer highlighted what “drives the stock,” as he remarked: Wednesday morning, Eli Lilly reports. Its earnings haven’t been the propellant here. What drives the stock are new reports on GLP-1 clinical trials. But Lilly could announce some new data, and that could get the stock rolling. Stock market data. Photo by Alesia Kozik on Pexels Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) develops and markets medicines for diabetes, ob ...
能源与电力_看空的一个理由,看多原油的十个理由-Bernstein Energy & Power_ One reason to be a bear, but ten reasons to be an oil bull
2026-02-03 02:06
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **oil industry**, highlighting current market conditions and future expectations for oil prices and demand. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Current Oil Price Trends**: Oil prices are expected to decline by another 10% in 2026, reaching around **US$61/bbl Brent**. This bearish outlook is driven by weak demand growth in China and increased supply from non-OPEC sources, leading to an oversupply of **1-2 million barrels per day (MMbls/d)** [2][4]. 2. **Return on Capital**: The oil industry is currently experiencing returns on capital below the cost of capital, with a need for prices above **US$70/bbl** to generate sustainable returns. At **US$60/bbl**, returns are projected to be in the low to mid-single digits, which is not sustainable [4][6]. 3. **Long-term Price Expectations**: The five-year forward price for Brent is currently **US$66/bbl**, which is considered too low compared to the estimated marginal cost of **US$71/bbl**. This suggests a favorable risk-reward scenario for investors at current price levels [8][9]. 4. **Global Oil Demand Dynamics**: While oil demand in China may be peaking, demand from emerging markets in Southeast Asia, India, the Middle East, and Africa is expected to grow, potentially offsetting declines in developed markets [11][14]. 5. **Spare Capacity and Supply Risks**: The effective spare capacity in the oil market is around **3.4%**, which is back to historical averages. This low spare capacity increases the risk premium on oil prices due to reduced buffers against supply disruptions [15][16]. 6. **Geopolitical Risks**: Rising geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could lead to unexpected supply disruptions, warranting a higher risk premium for oil [19][20]. 7. **Dollar Weakness Impact**: A weaker dollar is expected to support higher oil prices, as it makes oil cheaper in non-dollar currencies, stimulating demand from emerging markets [22][24]. 8. **Re-investment Rates and Reserves**: The re-investment ratio in the oil sector has fallen significantly, leading to a decline in proven oil reserves. This trend could result in slower production growth in the future [29][30]. 9. **Energy Sector Performance**: The energy sector has underperformed the S&P 500 over the past three years, with its share in the index dropping from **12% in 2011 to 3%** currently. This decline reflects reduced investor interest in the sector [34]. 10. **Shale Production Trends**: The growth of U.S. shale production is plateauing, with expectations of flat production levels moving forward. This shift has significant implications for future non-OPEC supply growth [36]. Additional Important Insights - **Strategic Stockpiling by China**: China is expected to continue adding to its strategic petroleum reserves, potentially purchasing **150MMbls** this year, which could support demand despite overall sluggishness [37]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Despite the bearish sentiment, there are opportunities for contrarian investors, particularly in companies with high free cash flow yields and dividends [38][40]. This comprehensive analysis indicates that while the oil market faces significant challenges, there are underlying factors that could lead to a recovery in prices and investment opportunities in the sector.
2 of the Safest Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-03 01:05
Group 1: Chevron - Chevron offers a reliable dividend yield of 4% and has increased its dividend for 37 consecutive years, making it a strong candidate for passive income [4][6] - The company has outlined a plan to grow free cash flow (FCF) and earnings per share by at least 10% when Brent crude oil prices are at $70, with a breakeven point at $50 per barrel [5] - Chevron's solid balance sheet provides a cushion during downturns, allowing it to maintain its dividend even if oil prices fall below $50 [5] Group 2: Kimberly Clark - Kimberly Clark, known for brands like Kleenex and Huggies, is currently priced below $100 a share, which is a 12-year low, presenting a potential buying opportunity [9] - The company announced the acquisition of Kenvue, aiming for billions in annual cost synergies and expecting to grow earnings in the second year post-acquisition [9][10] - Kimberly Clark has a 5.2% dividend yield and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 13.1, positioning it as a strong value stock for passive income [12]
2 No-Brainer High-Yield Energy Stocks to Buy for Reliable Income Right Now
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-02 20:56
Group 1: Energy Sector Performance - The energy sector has increased by 12.9% year to date, making it the best-performing stock market sector in 2026, ahead of materials [1] Group 2: ConocoPhillips Overview - ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. exploration and production company by market capitalization and the third-largest overall U.S. oil and gas company [3] - The company has shifted focus from a variable dividend to growing its ordinary quarterly dividend, aiming for top-quartile dividend growth relative to the S&P 500 [4] Group 3: ConocoPhillips Dividend and Financial Strategy - ConocoPhillips plans to lower its free cash flow breakeven level to the low $30 range per barrel of WTI crude oil by the end of the decade, with current WTI prices in the mid $60 range [5] - The company combines technological advancements and efficiency improvements to support its dividend growth, with a current dividend yield of 3.3% [6] Group 4: Kinder Morgan Overview - Kinder Morgan is experiencing growth, with its 2026 budgeted adjusted net income projected to be 5% higher than in 2025, and adjusted earnings per share expected to increase by 5% as well [7] Group 5: Kinder Morgan Financial Predictability - Kinder Morgan's earnings predictions are highly accurate, with 70% of its 2026 budgeted cash flows being take-or-pay or hedged, ensuring stable revenue from pipeline and storage capacity bookings [8]
This Is What Whales Are Betting On Chevron - Chevron (NYSE:CVX)
Benzinga· 2026-02-02 19:00
Deep-pocketed investors have adopted a bullish approach towards Chevron (NYSE:CVX), and it's something market players shouldn't ignore. Our tracking of public options records at Benzinga unveiled this significant move today. The identity of these investors remains unknown, but such a substantial move in CVX usually suggests something big is about to happen.We gleaned this information from our observations today when Benzinga's options scanner highlighted 79 extraordinary options activities for Chevron. This ...
Chevron CEO details strategy to shield consumers from soaring AI power costs
Fox Business· 2026-02-02 17:26
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth detailed the company’s strategy to harness U.S. natural resources to meet soaring artificial intelligence power demand — without passing the cost along to consumers. "As data centers need more and more electricity, and as we’re seeing pressure on the grid and electricity prices, we’re working to build an energy park that’s not connected to the grid, so the costs don’t flow to all consumers," Wirth told "Mornings with Maria," describing the approach as an advantage that allows the comp ...
'RECORD $27 BILLION': Chevron CEO spotlights MASSIVE shareholder payout
Youtube· 2026-02-02 16:15
Welcome back. A stellar performance from Chevron for 2025, including the fourth quarter, as the company saw record oil production and that offset uh the pinch of lower oil prices. Joining me now is the chairman and CEO of Chevron, Mike Worth.Mike, great to have you assess the year for us. Welcome. >> Well, it's good to be with you, Maria.2025 was a record year of growth, execution, and shareholder returns for us. As you said, uh, we saw higher free cash flow by 35% even though oil prices were down about 15% ...
瑞银将雪佛龙公司目标价从197美元上调至212美元。
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 15:04
来源:滚动播报 瑞银将雪佛龙公司目标价从197美元上调至212美元。 ...
US stock futures slide as commodity rout rattles markets
The Economic Times· 2026-02-02 11:49
Market Overview - Gold prices dropped as much as 6% and silver fell 10% due to increased margin requirements by CME Group following a significant decline on Friday, leading to a selloff across markets as leveraged investors unwound positions to meet margin calls [1][8] - U.S.-listed gold and silver mining companies experienced declines in premarket trading, with Newmont down 2.2%, Barrick Mining down 2.8%, and Kinross Gold down 3.2% [1][8] Economic and Policy Impact - The selloff in precious metals intensified after U.S. President Donald Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, a decision perceived as hawkish by investors [2][8] - Shares of energy companies fell as oil prices decreased by 5% after Trump indicated that Iran was engaging in discussions with Washington, which eased concerns over supply disruptions [4][8] Technology Sector Performance - The volatility VIX index rose to 19.11, nearing a two-week high, influenced by mixed earnings from major tech companies and increased policy uncertainty following Trump's nomination of Warsh [5][9] - Major tech stocks, including Nvidia and Tesla, saw declines of nearly 2% each, while Meta and Alphabet lost 1.4% and 0.9%, respectively [5][9] - Microsoft shares recorded their worst week since March 2020 due to disappointing cloud revenue, raising concerns about the returns on significant investments in artificial intelligence [6][9] - Oracle's shares dropped 3.7% after announcing plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion in debt and equity this year [6][9] Upcoming Economic Indicators - The U.S. is expected to experience a brief government shutdown after Congress failed to approve funding, with key economic data releases scheduled for the week, including January manufacturing PMI and labor market indicators such as JOLTS and nonfarm payrolls [7][9]