Core Insights - Brazil Potash Corp. has made significant progress on the Autazes Potash Project, including obtaining federal water extraction rights, initiating partnerships with indigenous communities, and advancing construction financing initiatives [1][2]. Water Extraction Rights - Brazil Potash has received approval from Brazil's National Water and Sanitation Agency (ANA) to extract up to 2,400 cubic meters of water per hour from the Rio Madeira for potash processing, amounting to approximately 10.5 million cubic meters annually for a 10-year term [3]. - This approval allows the company to optimize its design by eliminating the need for sixteen deep groundwater wells, thereby reducing construction costs [4]. Indigenous Community Partnership - WSP Global has begun technical support activities with the Mura Indigenous communities to refine their development priorities and enhance community wellbeing [6][7]. - The initiative aims to respect the autonomy and cultural values of the Mura communities while ensuring they benefit from the project [8]. Infrastructure Financing - Brazil Potash has received proposals for third-party funding to Build, Own, Operate and Transfer (BOOT) key infrastructure components, which could lower the company's capital requirements [9]. - Discussions with Global Development Finance Institutes (DFIs), Export Credit Agencies (ECAs), and major equipment suppliers for construction financing are progressing well [10]. Project Significance - The Autazes Project is positioned to supply sustainable fertilizers to Brazil, which currently imports over 95% of its potash fertilizer, despite having significant undeveloped potash resources [11]. - The project aims for an initial annual production capacity of up to 2.4 million tons, potentially meeting approximately 20% of Brazil's current potash demand and reducing greenhouse gas emissions by about 1.4 million tons per year [11].

Core Viewpoint - Brazil Potash Corp. has received official registration from SUFRAMA, enabling access to federal tax incentives, which could lead to estimated tax savings of up to approximately US$94 million during the construction phase of the Autazes Project, demonstrating strong support from Brazilian federal authorities [1][5][4]. Group 1: SUFRAMA Registration - The registration allows Brazil Potash's subsidiary, Potássio do Brasil Ltda., to operate under SUFRAMA-administered tax incentive procedures, subject to applicable rules and approvals [1][4]. - The Superintendent of SUFRAMA recognized this milestone by inviting Brazil Potash representatives to a formal ceremony, highlighting the collaborative relationship between the federal government and the Autazes Project [3][5]. Group 2: Financial Implications - The estimated tax savings of up to US$94 million validate key financial assumptions in the project's economic model and enhance visibility and predictability in financial planning [1][4]. - The tax incentives include potential exemptions or reductions on import duties and industrialized product taxes for qualifying goods under the Manaus Free Trade Zone framework [6][7]. Group 3: Project Overview - Brazil Potash is developing the Autazes Project to supply sustainable fertilizers, aiming to reduce Brazil's reliance on potash imports, which exceeded 95% in 2024 [8]. - The project plans an initial annual potash production of up to 2.4 million tons, potentially supplying around 20% of Brazil's current potash demand while mitigating approximately 1.4 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions per year [8].

Core Insights - Brazil Potash Corp. has appointed BTIG, LLC as its lead financial advisor to secure equity investment for the construction of the Autazes Project, aiming to raise capital at the project level while preserving the corporate capital structure [1][2][3] Group 1: Project Financing Strategy - The engagement with BTIG is intended to identify and engage new strategic partners for direct investment at the project entity level, which will help secure substantial construction funding with less dilution for existing shareholders [2][3] - The financing approach is designed to maintain the commitment to existing shareholders while bringing in new partners to fund a significant portion of construction requirements [3] Group 2: Project Overview and Market Context - Brazil Potash is developing the Autazes Project to supply sustainable fertilizers, addressing Brazil's reliance on potash imports, which exceeded 95% in 2021 despite having one of the largest undeveloped potash basins [4] - The project aims for an initial annual production capacity of up to 2.4 million tons of potash, potentially supplying around 20% of Brazil's current potash demand, with all production expected to be sold domestically [4] Group 3: Environmental and Logistical Considerations - The project is expected to mitigate approximately 1.4 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions per year by reducing reliance on imported potash [4] - Potash will be transported primarily using low-cost river barges in partnership with Amaggi, a major player in Brazil's agricultural logistics [4]

Core Viewpoint - Brazil Potash Corp. has successfully executed its third and final definitive commercial offtake agreement with Kimia Solutions, securing a long-term commitment for potash sales, which enhances the company's revenue visibility and supports project financing efforts [1][2][3]. Agreement Details - The agreement is a 10-year take-or-pay commitment for Kimia to purchase up to 704,000 tons of potash annually from the Autazes Potash Project at market prices [2][8]. - This agreement represents approximately 23% to 32% of Brazil Potash's annual production capacity, contributing to a total of over 2 million tons of pre-sold potash for up to 17 years [3][8]. Commercial Strategy Progress - The Kimia Agreement provides strong revenue visibility essential for project financing and demonstrates robust market demand for domestically produced Brazilian potash [5]. - The remaining production will be reserved for spot sales to capture potential market premiums and accommodate maintenance outages [5]. Strategic Partnerships - The agreement follows a recently signed MOU with Fictor Energia for approximately $200 million in power line construction funding and a $20 million equity investment, significantly de-risking both commercial and infrastructure components of the Autazes Project [6]. Industry Context - Brazil Potash aims to reduce Brazil's reliance on potash imports, which was over 95% in 2021, by supplying domestically produced potash, potentially meeting approximately 20% of the current demand [10]. - The company plans to transport potash primarily using low-cost river barges, enhancing logistical efficiency [10].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - **Corn**: In the domestic market, the new corn season is approaching in the Northeast production area. Reserve rotation corn is continuously released to supplement market supply. Traders' confidence in price support has weakened, accelerating the sale of remaining grains. Feed - using enterprises have relatively sufficient inventories and low procurement enthusiasm, preferring to wait for new grains. Some price - setting enterprises have continuously lowered their quotes. Recently, due to short - covering by bears, the corn futures price has rebounded slightly from the low level [2]. - **Corn Starch**: With the resumption of work of previously overhauled enterprises, the operating rate of the corn starch industry has rebounded recently, increasing supply - side pressure. Meanwhile, downstream demand is still in the off - season, with poor order signing and shipment. The supply of corn starch far exceeds demand, and inventory pressure remains high. Affected by the corn rebound, the starch price has oscillated higher [3]. 3. Summary by Directory Futures Market - **Domestic Futures**: The closing price of the active corn starch futures contract is 2193 yuan/ton (up 2 yuan), and that of the active corn futures contract is 2500 yuan/ton (down 1 yuan). The 1 - 5 corn monthly spread is - 69 yuan/ton, and the 11 - 1 corn starch monthly spread is - 35 yuan/ton (down 2 yuan). The active - contract positions of yellow corn and corn starch are 974389 hands and 205537 hands respectively, with the latter down 3350 hands. The net long positions of the top 20 futures holders for corn starch and corn are - 83289 hands and - 35460 hands respectively, with the latter down 427 hands. The registered warehouse receipts of yellow corn and corn starch are 67737 hands and 7450 hands respectively, with the former down 1689 hands. The CS - C spread of the main contract is 226 yuan/ton (down 20 yuan) [2]. - **CBOT Futures**: The closing price of the active CBOT corn futures contract is 9.25 cents/bushel. The total CBOT corn positions are 1456701 contracts (down 109666 contracts), and the non - commercial net long positions are - 70940 contracts (up 34270 contracts) [2]. Spot Market - **Corn Spot**: The average spot price of corn is 2364.12 yuan/ton (down 0.59 yuan), the FOB price at Jinzhou Port is 2280 yuan/ton (up 10 yuan), and the CIF price of imported corn is 1926.14 yuan/ton (down 15.15 yuan). The international freight of imported corn is 0 dollars/ton. The basis of the corn main contract is - 2.59 yuan [2]. - **Corn Starch Spot**: The ex - factory quotes of corn starch in Changchun, Weifang, and Shijiazhuang are 2660 yuan/ton, 2900 yuan/ton, and 2830 yuan/ton respectively, all unchanged. The basis of the corn starch main contract is 160 yuan (up 1 yuan), and the weekly spread between Shandong starch and corn is 370 yuan/ton (up 34 yuan) [2]. - **Substitute Spot**: The average spot price of wheat is 2428.06 yuan/ton (down 0.83 yuan), the weekly spread between tapioca starch and corn starch is 184 yuan/ton (up 27 yuan), and the daily spread between corn starch and 30 - powder is - 67 yuan/ton (unchanged) [2]. Upstream Situation - The predicted sown areas of corn in the US, Brazil, Argentina, China, and Ukraine are 398.93 million hectares, etc. The predicted corn yields in these countries are 35.12 million tons, 22.6 million tons, 7.5 million tons, 44.3 million tons, and 30.5 million tons respectively (only the US yield is down 0.25 million tons) [2]. Industry Situation - **Inventory**: The corn inventories at southern ports, northern ports, and deep - processing enterprises are 9.9 million tons, 175 million tons, and 294.2 million tons respectively, with the latter down 20.5 million tons. The weekly inventory of starch enterprises is 131.8 million tons (down 2.1 million tons, a 1.57% weekly decrease, 0.53% monthly increase, and 31.41% year - on - year increase) [2][3]. - **Trade Volume**: The monthly import volume of corn is 6 million tons (down 10 million tons), and the monthly export volume of corn starch is 15940 tons (up 1440 tons) [2]. - **Output**: The monthly output of feed is 2827.3 million tons (down 110.4 million tons) [2]. Downstream Situation - The average inventory days of sample feed corn is 28.13 days (down 0.72 days). The deep - processing corn consumption is 114.02 million tons (up 0.4 million tons). The operating rates of alcohol and starch enterprises are 42.87% and 51.01% respectively, with the latter down 1.29% [2]. - The processing profits of corn starch in Shandong, Hebei, and Jilin are - 117 yuan/ton (down 11 yuan), - 51 yuan/ton (up 11 yuan), and - 79 yuan/ton (down 14 yuan) respectively [2]. Option Market - The 20 - day and 60 - day historical volatilities of corn are 7.91% (up 0.02%) and 6.37% (down 0.17%) respectively. The implied volatilities of at - the - money call and put options on corn are 10.01% (up 0.18%) and 10.02% (up 0.19%) respectively [2]. Industry News - Brazilian ethanol producer Inpasa and grain processing and export giant Amaggi will establish a joint venture to build at least three new corn ethanol plants in Mato Grosso [2]. - The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange (BAGE) reported that the corn harvest in Argentina is nearing completion. As of August 27, the harvest progress of the 2024/25 Argentine corn crop was 97.2%, 1.3% higher than a week ago [2]. - Pro Farmer's final yield forecast report shows that the total US corn production in 2025 is expected to reach 1.6204 billion bushels, with an average yield of 182.7 bushels per acre, which is a record high but lower than the USDA's August forecast of 1.6742 billion bushels and 188.8 bushels per acre [2]. Key Points of Concern - Monitor the weekly corn consumption and the operating rate and inventory of starch enterprises on Thursday and Friday as reported by Mysteel [3].

Core Viewpoint - Brazil Potash Corp. has announced a partnership with Fictor Energia, which includes a $200 million investment for power line construction and a $20 million equity investment to support the Autazes Project, aimed at enhancing Brazil's potash production capabilities [4][7]. Company Overview - Brazil Potash is focused on developing the Autazes Project to supply sustainable fertilizers, addressing Brazil's reliance on imported potash, which was over 95% in 2021 [5]. - The project is expected to produce up to 2.4 million tons of potash annually, potentially meeting approximately 20% of Brazil's current potash demand [5]. - The company plans to transport potash using low-cost river barges in partnership with Amaggi, a major agricultural operator in Brazil [5]. Partnership Details - The partnership with Fictor Energia involves a memorandum of understanding (MOU) for funding power transmission infrastructure and strategic equity investment [7]. - Key commercial terms include the construction, operation, and eventual ownership transfer of the power line after 25 years [8]. - The partnership is expected to provide strategic benefits and may lead to additional arrangements to manage construction costs for the Autazes Project [8]. Upcoming Events - A conference call is scheduled for July 21, 2025, to discuss the partnership structure, project financing implications, and the path to production [7].

Core Viewpoint - Brazil Potash Corp. announced the resignation of Adriano Espeschit as President of Potássio do Brasil Ltda., effective in 30 days, to pursue other opportunities, while the company continues to advance its Autazes Potash Project without interruption [1][2]. Company Overview - Brazil Potash is developing the Autazes Project to supply sustainable fertilizers to Brazil, a major agricultural exporter, which is currently reliant on potash imports [3]. - The country imported over 95% of its potash fertilizer in 2021, despite having one of the largest undeveloped potash basins [3]. - The project aims for an initial annual production of up to 2.4 million tons of potash, potentially supplying approximately 20% of Brazil's current potash demand [3]. - The production will be sold domestically to reduce reliance on imports and mitigate approximately 1.4 million tons per year of greenhouse gas emissions [3]. Project Achievements - The company has successfully obtained key licenses for the construction of the Autazes Project and achieved over 90% support from the Mura indigenous community for the project [2]. - Brazil Potash plans to transport the potash primarily using low-cost river barges in partnership with Amaggi, a major agricultural operator in Brazil [3].

Core Insights - Brazil Potash Corp. has completed site preparation work for the port terminal of the Autazes Project, marking a significant milestone in advancing domestic potash production for Brazil's agricultural market [3][4] - The strategic location of the Autazes potash deposits, only 5 miles from the Madeira River, facilitates efficient transportation of potash to Brazilian farmers, which is crucial for enhancing Brazil's agricultural exports and global food security [4][5] Company Overview - Brazil Potash is focused on developing the Autazes Project to supply sustainable fertilizers, aiming to reduce Brazil's reliance on imported potash, which was over 95% in 2024 [5] - The company plans to produce up to 2.4 million tons of potash annually, potentially meeting approximately 20% of Brazil's current potash demand [5] - Brazil Potash's production will primarily be sold domestically, contributing to a reduction of about 1.4 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions per year [5]

Core Viewpoint - Brazil Potash Corp has entered into a definitive agreement for an equity line of credit with Alumni Capital LP, which is expected to provide flexible funding for the Autazes Potash Project, crucial for global food security [1][3]. Funding Agreement - The equity line of credit allows Brazil Potash to sell up to $75 million worth of common shares over a 24-month period, with the company controlling the timing and amount of sales [3]. - The agreement is structured to provide Brazil Potash with a flexible financing tool as it progresses with early construction activities for the Autazes Project [2][3]. Project Overview - The Autazes Project aims to supply sustainable fertilizers to Brazil, which is heavily reliant on potash imports, having imported over 95% of its potash fertilizer in 2021 [6]. - Brazil Potash plans to produce up to 2.4 million tons of potash annually, potentially meeting approximately 20% of Brazil's current potash demand [6]. - The project is positioned to reduce Brazil's reliance on imports and mitigate around 1.4 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions per year [6].

Core Insights - Brazil Potash Corp. has appointed Marcelo Lessa to its advisory board, bringing over 30 years of experience in agricultural finance and investment strategies, particularly in Latin America and Africa [1][2] - Lessa's expertise includes leading over $400 million in investments in agribusiness and infrastructure during his tenure at the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and World Bank [2] - The Autazes Project aims to supply sustainable fertilizers to Brazil, which is critical for global food security, especially as the country imported over 95% of its potash fertilizer in 2021 [4] Company Overview - Brazil Potash is developing the Autazes Project, which is expected to produce up to 2.4 million tons of potash annually, potentially supplying around 20% of Brazil's current potash demand [4] - The project will utilize low-cost river barges for transportation in partnership with Amaggi, a major agricultural operator in Brazil [4] - The company aims to reduce Brazil's reliance on potash imports and mitigate approximately 1.4 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions per year [4] Advisory Board Composition - The advisory board is chaired by Stan Bharti and includes notable members such as Kátia Abreu, former Minister of Agriculture, and Luis Adams, former Attorney General of Brazil [6]