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Apple: Likely Fully Valued
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-01 11:46
Core Insights - Apple (AAPL) exceeded expectations for its first fiscal quarter, achieving strong performance in both revenue and profit due to robust iPhone sales [1] Financial Performance - The company reported significant growth in its services segment, contributing positively to overall financial results [1]
苹果(AAPL):iPhone、服务业务增长强劲
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2026-02-01 10:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of $143.76 billion for FY26Q1, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.6%, with a gross margin of 48.1% and a net profit of $42.10 billion, also up by 15.9% year-on-year [2]. - For FY26Q2, the company anticipates revenue growth of 13% to 16% year-on-year, with gross margins expected to be between 48% and 49% [2]. - The strong demand for the iPhone 17 series has driven a record revenue of $85.3 billion from iPhone sales in FY26Q1, marking a 23% increase year-on-year [3]. - The Greater China region saw a remarkable revenue growth of 38%, primarily due to a surge in iPhone upgrade users [3]. - The company's service business generated $30 billion in revenue for FY26Q1, a 14% increase year-on-year, contributing to its robust profitability [3]. - The collaboration with Google on AI technology is expected to enhance the company's foundational models, particularly for personalized Siri [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of $118.8 billion, $127.1 billion, and $135.8 billion for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively [4]. - Revenue forecasts for FY26, FY27, and FY28 are $454.85 billion, $487.42 billion, and $521.54 billion, with growth rates of 9.3%, 7.2%, and 7.0% respectively [9]. - The EBITDA for FY26 is estimated at $151.81 billion, with a gradual increase in subsequent years [9]. - The diluted earnings per share for FY26 is projected to be $8.21, increasing to $9.77 by FY28 [9].
India hands Apple a win by letting foreign firms fund equipment for manufacturers
Reuters· 2026-02-01 09:54
Core Viewpoint - The Indian government has granted Apple a significant advantage by allowing foreign companies to supply machinery to their contract manufacturers in designated areas for five years without restrictions [1] Group 1: Government Policy Impact - The new policy enables foreign companies to provide equipment to contract manufacturers, which is expected to enhance Apple's manufacturing capabilities in India [1] - This move is part of India's broader strategy to attract foreign investment and boost local manufacturing [1] Group 2: Implications for Apple - The policy is likely to strengthen Apple's supply chain in India, potentially leading to increased production and sales in the region [1] - By facilitating easier access to machinery, Apple may be able to scale its operations more efficiently in the Indian market [1]
The AI Boom Is Coming for Apple's Profit Margins
WSJ· 2026-02-01 02:00
Core Viewpoint - The cost of parts for iPhones is expected to rise due to increased demand from AI companies [1] Group 1: Industry Impact - The surge in demand from AI companies is driving up the prices of components used in iPhones [1] - This trend may lead to higher production costs for smartphone manufacturers, potentially affecting pricing strategies [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The increased demand from the AI sector is creating a competitive environment for sourcing electronic components [1] - Companies may need to adapt their supply chain strategies to accommodate the rising costs and ensure availability of parts [1]
Should This Trillion-Dollar "Magnificent Seven" Stock Spend $3 Billion and Buy Peloton?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-01 01:05
Core Viewpoint - Peloton's stock price has plummeted 97% from its peak during the COVID-19 pandemic due to significantly weaker demand for its products [1] Company Overview - Peloton's current market cap is approximately $2.3 billion, with shares trading at $5.58 [8] - The company has 2.7 million connected fitness subscribers and over 500,000 digital app memberships, both of which are declining [9] Potential Acquisition - Peloton could be considered a buyout target, with a hypothetical acquisition cost of about $3 billion assuming a 25% premium [2] - Apple, with a market cap of $3.8 trillion, could find financial sense in acquiring Peloton, as the purchase price is negligible compared to its net income of $42 billion in Q1 2026 [4] Strategic Fit - The integration of Peloton's digital app into Apple's Fitness+ and the potential for Peloton equipment to be sold in Apple stores could enhance Apple's product portfolio [5] - The acquisition aligns with Apple's vision of health being a significant contribution to mankind, as stated by CEO Tim Cook [6] Market Considerations - Despite the strategic advantages, the limited total addressable market for high-priced exercise equipment and workout content may not significantly impact Apple's broader business [9] - Apple's existing offerings, such as the Apple Watch and Fitness+, indicate a focus on a wide target market, which may overshadow Peloton's niche [8]
I Predicted That Broadcom Would Continue to Soar in the Second Half of 2025. Here's Why the "Ten Titans" Growth Stock Has Room to Run in 2026.
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-01 00:05
Core Viewpoint - Broadcom is identified as one of the top artificial intelligence (AI) stocks for long-term investors, with significant growth potential due to its leadership in global connectivity and AI [1] Group 1: Performance and Market Position - Broadcom's stock increased by 25.6% in the second half of 2025, finishing the year up 75.5%, outperforming the "Magnificent Seven" stocks [1] - The company has compounded in value significantly, leading to its inclusion in a newly coined group called the "Ten Titans," which collectively represent 38.1% of the S&P 500 [2] - Despite a recent pullback of 22.5% from its 52-week high, Broadcom's stock is still up 447% over the last three years, indicating strong long-term performance [2][3] Group 2: Business Segments and Growth Drivers - Broadcom's non-AI semiconductor revenue grew by only 2% year over year, while its AI business is experiencing substantial growth [4] - The company has established a valuable niche in the AI value chain by designing custom XPU chips and networking devices, which are more cost-efficient than general-purpose GPUs for certain AI functions [4][5] - Broadcom's integrated systems address network issues in AI data centers, enhancing bandwidth despite not solving memory bottlenecks [5][7] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The recent sell-off in Broadcom's stock is attributed to its earnings growth being heavily reliant on AI spending from major hyperscalers and competition from Nvidia, which has reduced GPU operating costs [8] - The hyperscaler spending cycle and competition are critical factors to monitor, but the market is large enough for both Broadcom and Nvidia to grow as AI infrastructure expands [9] Group 4: Valuation and Future Outlook - Broadcom's forward price-to-earnings ratio of 31.1 is considered reasonable for a high-growth company, especially since it has multiple growth avenues beyond AI [11] - Investors are encouraged to pay attention to management commentary during earnings calls to assess the company's ability to secure business for custom chips and achieve cost savings in large-scale data centers [10]
Prediction: Apple's Dominant Competitive Position Won't Fade in the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Age
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-31 19:15
Core Viewpoint - Apple maintains a strong position in the consumer tech industry despite criticisms regarding its AI advancements, with a significant distribution advantage through its vast number of active devices [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Strategy and Financials - Apple is taking a cautious approach to AI investments, with capital expenditures of $12.7 billion in fiscal 2025 [1]. - The company has not introduced major AI features, leading to criticism, particularly regarding the delay of its AI-powered Siri [2]. Group 2: Distribution Advantage - As of a year ago, Apple had 2.35 billion active devices globally, with the installed base continuing to grow [3]. - The iPhone accounts for approximately half of Apple's product revenue, suggesting there are over 1 billion active iPhones [3][4]. - This extensive distribution network provides Apple with a significant competitive edge, as the iPhone remains a crucial device for consumers worldwide [4][8]. Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Despite the rapid growth of AI technologies, the smartphone, particularly the iPhone, is expected to remain the most important device for consumers [8]. - Apple's competitive moat is strengthened by its brand recognition and ecosystem, which is likely to endure even as AI influences the economy and society [9].
Here is what caused the wild swings in our 34-stock portfolio last week
CNBC· 2026-01-31 18:24
Market Overview - The S&P 500 closed lower on Friday but was slightly higher for the week, with a 0.34% gain for the week and a 1.37% gain for January, briefly topping 7,000 for the first time ever [1] - The Nasdaq was flat for the week and gained 0.95% for January [1] Tech Earnings - Meta Platforms reported earnings that exceeded estimates, leading to a nearly 9% increase in its stock, while Microsoft saw an 8% drop due to disappointing results from its cloud computing business [1] - Apple broke an eight-week losing streak with a strong quarter driven by a 23% increase in iPhone sales, but concerns over memory shortages impacted its stock [1] - GE Vernova and Corning reached all-time highs, with Corning's stock rising after a $6 billion deal with Meta [1] Non-Tech Companies - Starbucks shares fell over 6% despite a promising quarter and a bullish Investor Day, indicating potential for a buying opportunity if the decline continues [1] - Honeywell shares reached an all-time high following a strong earnings report and news of accelerated aerospace spinoff plans, gaining nearly 3% for the week [1] - Dover's stock fell over 2% due to profit-taking after a strong earnings report, while Danaher and Boeing closed lower for the week [1] Software Sector - The software sector faced significant sell-offs, with Salesforce dropping 7% and ServiceNow falling 10% despite better-than-expected results [1] - Concerns over AI-driven disruptions led to a revaluation of SaaS companies, compressing price-to-earnings ratios [1] - Cybersecurity stocks like Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike also declined, but were viewed as buying opportunities [1] Federal Reserve Developments - The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady after three consecutive rate cuts, with Chairman Jerome Powell noting solid economic activity and stabilization in the unemployment rate [1] - President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Powell, which is seen as a more hawkish move, impacting gold and silver prices negatively [1]
Apple: Comeback Starts Now As AI Bubble Fears Hit Peers (Rating Upgrade) (NASDAQ:AAPL)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-31 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The market had high expectations for Apple Inc. and the company met those expectations, resulting in a positive market reaction with AAPL finishing in the green for the week [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Apple Inc. delivered results that aligned with market expectations, which contributed to a favorable stock performance [1] Group 2: Analyst Insights - The analyst emphasizes a strategy focused on identifying attractive risk/reward opportunities, aiming for alpha generation above the S&P 500 through a combination of price action analysis and fundamentals [1] - The analyst has been recognized as a top analyst for technology and growth sectors, indicating a strong track record of market outperformance [1] - The investment group specializes in high-potential opportunities across various sectors, focusing on stocks with strong growth potential and appealing turnaround plays [1]
American Express challenges Apple for No. 1 slot in Berkshire's portfolio
CNBC· 2026-01-31 14:23
Core Viewpoint - Warren Buffett expresses optimism about stock market declines, viewing them as opportunities for long-term investment rather than reasons for panic [2][10]. Group 1: Market Reaction - The stock market was projected to drop by approximately 3% due to fears surrounding the coronavirus pandemic [1]. - Buffett indicates that he prefers to buy stocks when prices are lower, likening it to buying food at a discount [2][9]. - He notes that historical market declines have often presented good buying opportunities, suggesting that investors should not be deterred by short-term fluctuations [10][12]. Group 2: Long-term Investment Perspective - Buffett emphasizes that stocks should be viewed as businesses, and investors should focus on the long-term outlook rather than daily market movements [5][14]. - He asserts that the 10 to 30-year outlook for American businesses remains unchanged despite current market conditions [5][14]. - The company plans to continue buying stocks as long-term investments, reinforcing the idea that short-term market news should not dictate investment decisions [11][14].