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Risk-off 2025 brings largecaps back on top after two-year hiatus; what does 2026 hold?
The Economic Times· 2025-12-16 04:28
Core Insights - The analysis indicates a rotation of leadership between large caps and broader markets over the past five years, with 2025 emerging as a year where large caps have regained their defensive edge [1][15] - The post-pandemic liquidity boom in 2021 favored broader markets, with the BSE Largecap index returning 25%, while midcaps and smallcaps outperformed with returns of 39% and 63% respectively [1][15] - In 2022, large caps showed resilience with a 4.73% increase, while midcaps and smallcaps struggled, highlighting their vulnerability during risk-off phases [1][2][15] - A strong risk appetite returned in 2023, leading to significant rebounds in midcaps and smallcaps, which rallied 46% and 48% respectively, compared to a 19% rise in the BSE Largecap index [5][15] - As of 2025, large caps are on track to outperform mid and small caps, with the BSE Largecap index rising nearly 9% while the BSE Smallcap index declined by 8% [1][15] Market Performance - The BSE Largecap index has shown a mixed performance in 2025, with notable volatility; it fell 1.7% in January and 6.6% in February, but rebounded sharply by 7% in March [6][7][15] - The first five months of 2025 saw the India VIX rise to a 52-week high of 23.19, indicating increased market volatility, before settling around 10, a decrease of over 55% [8][15] - Out of 121 stocks in the BSE Largecap index, 72 have delivered positive returns of up to 54% in 2025, with 55 stocks achieving double-digit returns [10][15] Future Outlook - Brokerage Motilal Oswal Financial Services anticipates that large caps will continue to outperform in the medium term, contingent on foreign institutional investors returning as net buyers in Indian equities [12][15] - Kranthi Bathini from WealthMills Securities suggests that 2026 could favor large-cap stocks, as they have undergone a time-wise correction and are poised for the next rally [12][15] - The wealth creation study by Motilal Oswal indicates that the period from 2020 to 2025 has seen the highest wealth creation in 30 years, with the top 100 companies adding ₹148 trillion [15]
Wall Street Eyes Record Week Amid Trade Optimism and Anticipated Fed Rate Cut
Stock Market News· 2025-10-27 10:07
U.S. equity markets are poised for another strong session on Monday, October 27, 2025, with premarket trading indicating a continuation of the bullish momentum that propelled major indexes to record highs last week. Investor optimism is largely fueled by expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve interest rate cut and significant progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations. This week promises to be pivotal, with crucial economic data, central bank policy decisions, and a wave of earnings reports from tech gi ...