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Is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Stock a Buy for 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-02 11:15
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) had a strong performance in 2025, with stock prices rising over 50%, and is expected to continue its growth trajectory into 2026 due to its strategic position in the semiconductor industry, particularly in the AI sector [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Taiwan Semiconductor's stock rose more than 50% in 2025, making it a top performer in its sector [1]. - The company is projected to achieve a revenue growth of approximately 21% in 2026, which translates to around 20% growth in U.S. dollars, reflecting strong performance for a company with a market cap of nearly $1.6 trillion [6][11]. - The stock trades at a valuation of 24 times next year's earnings, which is lower than many major tech companies, indicating it is reasonably valued [10][11]. Group 2: Industry Position - Taiwan Semiconductor is a key supplier in the growing AI industry, manufacturing chips for major companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, which positions it well to benefit from ongoing AI spending [3][4]. - The global computer market is projected to be worth around $1 trillion by 2030, with data center capital expenditures expected to reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion, indicating significant growth potential for Taiwan Semiconductor [4]. - The company is expected to outperform the market, as its growth rate is above the average S&P 500 growth rate of 10% [11][12]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Taiwan Semiconductor is considered a strong candidate for investment in 2026, especially for those not overly exposed to the AI sector [12]. - The company is anticipated to be one of the best-performing stocks in its cohort for 2026, with minimal risk of performance derailment from AI hyperscalers reducing spending [13].
Could This Be the Best Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock to Buy in January?
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-01 10:48
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is highlighted as a leading investment opportunity in the AI sector, with strong growth potential despite its already significant market position. Group 1: Company Overview - TSMC is the world's largest foundry, holding approximately 72% of the global foundry market share by revenue as of Q3 2025, with Samsung as the closest competitor at 7% [5] - The company has a market capitalization of $1.6 trillion, with a current stock price of $303.88 and a gross margin of 57.75% [6] Group 2: Market Position and Growth - TSMC has increased its market share from 65% in mid-2024 amid rising demand for AI chips, indicating its strong competitive position [6] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from Nvidia's substantial order backlog of $500 billion, which is likely to drive TSMC's revenue growth [9][12] Group 3: Financial Metrics - TSMC's price-to-earnings ratio is just under 30 times the full-2025 earnings estimates, with analysts projecting an average earnings growth of nearly 29% annually over the next three to five years [13] - The price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of approximately 1 suggests that TSMC is attractively valued at its current price, making it a compelling investment [14] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships - TSMC has a close partnership with Nvidia, which is crucial for the production of advanced graphics processing units (GPUs), including upcoming architectures like Rubin [8][11]
Why the Market Dipped But TSMC (TSM) Gained Today
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 23:45
Group 1: Stock Performance - TSMC's stock increased by 1.44% to $303.89, outperforming the S&P 500, which fell by 0.74% [1] - Prior to the latest trading session, TSMC shares had gained 2.56%, surpassing the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 0.14% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.79% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings - TSMC is expected to report an EPS of $2.72, reflecting a growth of 21.43% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is forecasted to be $32.6 billion, indicating a growth of 21.26% year-over-year [2] Group 3: Full Year Estimates - Analysts predict earnings of $10.17 per share and revenue of $121 billion for the full year, representing increases of 44.46% and 34.32% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for TSMC may indicate changing near-term business trends, with positive revisions seen as a favorable sign for the business outlook [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - TSMC has a Forward P/E ratio of 29.47, which is in line with the industry average [6] - The PEG ratio for TSMC is currently 1.03, matching the average PEG ratio for the Semiconductor - Circuit Foundry industry [6] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Semiconductor - Circuit Foundry industry is ranked 108 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the top 44% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that industries in the top 50% outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
US grants annual approval to TSMC for chipmaking tool exports to China
Reuters· 2025-12-31 20:27
Core Insights - The U.S. government has issued an annual license to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) to import chip manufacturing equipment to its facilities located in Nanjing, China [1] Company Summary - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has received approval from the U.S. government for an annual license [1] - The license allows TSMC to bring in essential chip manufacturing equipment to enhance its operations in Nanjing, China [1]
TSMC’s Moat Is Deepening (NYSE:TSM)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-31 19:59
Entering 2026, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited ( TSM ) continues to have a competitive advantage due to the growing demand for AI technologies. As technologies in the 7nm node or better account for aboutHi, I'm Yiannis. Spotting winners before they break out is what I do best.Experience: Previously worked at Deloitte and KPMG in external/internal auditing and consulting. Education: Chartered Certified Accountant, Fellow Member of ACCA Global, with BSc and MSc degrees from U.K. business sc ...
TSMC's Moat Is Deepening
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-31 19:59
Core Insights - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) maintains a competitive advantage driven by increasing demand for AI technologies, particularly in the 7nm node or better technology [1] Group 1: Company Overview - TSM is positioned to benefit from the growing AI market, which is expected to enhance its market share and profitability [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The demand for advanced semiconductor technologies, especially those at the 7nm node or better, is rising significantly, indicating a robust growth trajectory for TSM [1]
AI Demand Lifts Semiconductor Stock; Bullish Bets Build
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-31 16:39
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) shares have increased by 2% to $305.55 following Nvidia's encouragement for TSMC to increase production of H200 AI chips to meet rising demand from China [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - TSMC shares have stabilized above the $300 level after pulling back from a record high of $313.98 on December 10, achieving six consecutive positive trading sessions [2] - The stock is up 127% from its year-to-date low of $134.25 on April 9 and is projected to close 2025 with a 54.6% gain [2] Group 2: Options Activity - Options traders are leaning bearish, indicated by TSMC's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 2.22, which ranks in the 98th percentile of its annual range [3] - Today's options activity shows 42,000 calls traded, which is double the typical volume, compared to 33,000 puts, with the most active being the weekly 1/2 307.50-strike call [3] Group 3: Volatility Expectations - TSMC's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 35%, which is higher than just 9% of all readings from the past year, indicating that near-term option traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations [4]
Nvidia scrambles to supply H200 chips as China demand soars
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-12-31 14:18
About this content About Angela Harmantas Angela Harmantas is an Editor at Proactive. She has over 15 years of experience covering the equity markets in North America, with a particular focus on junior resource stocks. Angela has reported from numerous countries around the world, including Canada, the US, Australia, Brazil, Ghana, and South Africa for leading trade publications. Previously, she worked in investor relations and led the foreign direct investment program in Canada for the Swedish government ...
Here's the tech stock that could set the pace for 2026, and it's not in the U.S.
MarketWatch· 2025-12-31 12:06
A hot Taiwan chip maker could be ready to flag signals on where tech is going in 2026, says Miller Tabak + Co.'s Matt Maley. ...
全球内存行业:内存价格上涨推动企业盈利增长-上调2025年第四季度及后续盈利预期,反映大宗商品内存价格前景向好
2025-12-29 01:04
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Companies Involved - **Samsung Electronics** (Ticker: 005930 KS) - **SK Hynix** (Ticker: 000660 KS) Core Insights and Arguments - **Samsung Electronics**: - Current market cap is KRW 658.9 trillion with a target price of KRW 160,000, indicating an upside potential of 44.0% from the current price of KRW 111,100 [1] - The company maintains a "Buy" rating, reflecting positive sentiment towards its future performance [1] - **SK Hynix**: - Current market cap is KRW 428.1 trillion with a target price of KRW 880,000, suggesting an upside potential of 49.7% from the current price of KRW 588,000 [1] - The company also holds a "Buy" rating, indicating strong confidence in its growth prospects [1] Industry Dynamics - **DRAM Market**: - Total shipment of DRAM is projected to grow from 24,352 million GB in 2022 to 69,290 million GB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 28% [5][5] - The total shipment value of DRAM is expected to increase significantly from USD 78.83 billion in 2022 to USD 481.06 billion by 2027, with notable fluctuations in year-on-year growth rates [5][5] - Average Selling Price (ASP) for DRAM is forecasted to rise from USD 3.2/GB in 2022 to USD 6.9/GB by 2027, indicating a recovery in pricing power [5][5] - **NAND Market**: - Total shipment of NAND is expected to grow from 635 billion GB in 2022 to 2,085 billion GB by 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 42% [5][5] - The total shipment value of NAND is projected to increase from USD 49.98 billion in 2022 to USD 241.30 billion by 2027 [5][5] - ASP for NAND is expected to stabilize around USD 0.9/8GB by 2027, reflecting a recovery in pricing trends [5][5] Additional Important Insights - **Market Performance**: - Samsung Electronics has shown a strong performance with a 12-month absolute return of 104.2% [44] - SK Hynix has also performed well, with a 12-month absolute return of 249.0% [96] - **Forecast Adjustments**: - Target prices for both Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix have been increased, reflecting improved market conditions and growth expectations [40][91] - **Investment Sentiment**: - Both companies are rated as "Buy," indicating a favorable outlook from analysts and potential for significant returns in the memory semiconductor sector [1][1] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, focusing on the companies involved, their market positions, and the broader industry dynamics.