Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Central Bank of Russia may lower the key interest rate from 18% this year if inflation decreases rapidly, but maintaining the current level is also a possibility to ensure sustainable inflation reduction [1] - The baseline forecast indicates that the inflation rate is expected to be between 6%-7% in 2025, and subsequently drop to 4% in the following years [1] - The average key interest rate is projected to be between 16.3%-18% from August to December this year, with expectations of 12%-13% next year, although the specific year-end figure may exceed this range [1] Group 2 - The Central Bank's predictions consider the possibility of further rate cuts if inflation improves significantly, but emphasizes that a rate decrease this year is not guaranteed [1] - The statement highlights that the current interest rate of 18% may be maintained if necessary, indicating a cautious approach to monetary policy [1]

俄罗斯央行行长纳比乌琳娜：我们在决定关键利率时必须谨慎。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Russia indicates that future decisions regarding key interest rates will depend on the persistence of inflation slowdown and the dynamics of inflation expectations [1] Group 1 - The Central Bank emphasizes the importance of monitoring inflation trends to inform monetary policy decisions [1] - The focus on inflation expectations suggests a proactive approach to managing economic stability [1]

7月22日，尼日利亚央行宣布将关键利率维持在27.5%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The National Bank of Kazakhstan has maintained its key interest rate at 16.5%, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 1 - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged reflects the central bank's strategy to manage inflation and stabilize the economy [1] - The current rate of 16.5% indicates a cautious approach in response to economic conditions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The current key interest rate set by the Bank of England is described as "quite restrictive" indicating a tight monetary policy environment aimed at controlling inflation [1] Group 1 - The Bank of England's stance on interest rates reflects ongoing concerns about inflation and economic stability [1] - The characterization of the interest rate as "restrictive" suggests potential implications for borrowing costs and consumer spending [1] - The statement may influence market expectations regarding future monetary policy adjustments [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Polish central bank's monetary policy committee member Dabrowski anticipates that the key interest rate will decrease to 3.5% by 2026 [1] Group 1 - The current monetary policy stance is expected to shift towards a more accommodative approach in the coming years [1] - The forecasted reduction in the key interest rate indicates a potential easing of monetary policy to support economic growth [1] - This projection reflects the central bank's response to economic conditions and inflation trends in Poland [1]

Core Viewpoint - The International Monetary Fund's European Department Head, Kammer, suggests that the European Central Bank should maintain the key interest rate at 2% unless new shocks significantly alter the inflation outlook [1] Group 1 - The recommendation to keep the interest rate at 2% indicates a cautious approach to monetary policy in Europe [1] - The emphasis on waiting for substantial changes in the inflation outlook suggests a focus on stability and careful monitoring of economic indicators [1]

巴基斯坦央行将关键 利率维持在11%，符合预期。 ...

乌克兰央行6月5日宣布，将关键利率维持在15.5%。 ...