斯通社11月18日卢布尔雅那报道，根据国际货币基金组织（IMF）最新预测，斯洛文尼亚2025年国内生 产总值（GDP）增长0.8%，比10月预测值低0.3个百分点；2026年增长预测下调0.1个百分点至2.2%， 2027年将增长2.3%。 国际货币基金组织（IMF）表示，斯洛文尼亚经济在今年第一季度出现萎缩后，于第二季度和第三季度 恢复增长，预计增长势头将持续，今年经济增速将达到0.8%。国际货币基金组织预测，随着投资者信 心增强和出口需求上升，2026年GDP增长率将为2.2%，2027年为2.3%。中期来看，预计GDP增速将稳 定在2.1%左右。如果食品和能源价格增长放缓，到2030年通货膨胀率将稳定在2%左右。 国际货币基金组织认为，从长远来看，结构性改革仍然面临挑战。斯洛文尼亚应提高公共部门和税收制 度的效率，并为养老金制度和长期护理制度寻找更多融资来源。斯洛文尼亚面临的挑战包括劳动力短 缺、行政障碍、加强创新环境以及为有发展前景的企业提供激励措施等，需要更多投资促进生产力增 长。 ...

新华财经基辅11月18日电（记者李东旭）欧盟委员会17日发布欧盟秋季经济预测报告（以下称报告） 称，由于关键能源基础设施持续遭袭击叠加乌农业产出下降，作为欧盟候选国的乌克兰今年国内生产总 值（GDP）增速预计将从春季预测的2%降至1.6%。 报告称，今年乌财政赤字将继续扩大。虽然乌自2024年12月开始将军税税率从1.5%增加至5%，大幅增 加了乌财政收入（2025年1至8月乌军税收入1033亿格里夫纳，同比增长4倍），但由于国防采购和军事 人员薪酬支出增长超过财政收入增长，今年乌财政赤字占GDP的比重预计将从2024年的18.1%上升至 23.8%。 报告称，2026年乌国防和安全支出将保持高位，考虑到乌采取了加强海关管理和提高银行所得税税率 等，明年乌财政赤字将收窄至GDP的21.2%。 （文章来源：新华财经） 报告称，俄乌冲突的延宕导致乌供应链的破坏和劳动力短缺，乌国内生产能力将继续受限制，预计乌 2026年GDP增速将继续下滑至1.5%。 报告称，2023年，乌通货膨胀率有所回落，但自2024年年中以来，再次反弹，至今年9月，乌通货膨胀 率同比增长11.9%。受食品、燃油和劳动力成本价格持续上涨影响， ...

Core Insights - Sweden's inflation rate remained stable at 0.9% in October 2025, unchanged from September, while the core inflation rate also held steady at 3.1% [1] Group 1: Inflation Data - The inflation rate in Sweden for October 2025 is reported at 0.9%, consistent with the previous month [1] - The core inflation rate is recorded at 3.1%, also unchanged from September [1] Group 2: Price Changes - Significant price increases were noted in food, particularly in candy and ice cream, which experienced the largest price hikes [1] - Transportation service prices rose, including ticket prices for international flights and railway travel [1] - Electricity prices saw an increase, while loan interest rates for owner-occupied homes and rental apartments decreased [1]

Core Insights - The final data from the German Federal Statistical Office indicates that the inflation rate in Germany for October 2025 is 2.3% [1] - Following increases in August and September, where inflation rates were 2.2% and 2.4% respectively, October saw a slight decrease in inflation [1] - Service prices continue to rise at a rate above the average, remaining a primary driver of inflation [1] Inflation Details - In October, service prices in Germany increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with significant price hikes in passenger transport services (11.4%) and social institution services (8.0%) [1] - Energy product prices saw a year-on-year decline of 0.9%, with household energy prices down by 1.7%, electricity prices down by 1.4%, and light fuel oil prices down by 6.0% [1] - Food prices increased by 1.3% year-on-year, showing a noticeable slowdown compared to previous months [1] Core Inflation Metrics - Excluding energy prices, the inflation rate for October stands at 2.5%, while the core inflation rate, excluding both food and energy prices, is at 2.8% [1] - Economists predict that the inflation rate in Germany will remain above 2% in the short term, but some analysts believe the peak of inflation following the Russia-Ukraine conflict has ended [1] - Multiple economic research institutions forecast a relatively moderate inflation rate for Germany this year, estimated at around 2.1% [1]

报告还显示，与9月份相比，埃及10月份蔬菜、肉蛋奶、服装、家电等价格略有上涨，鱼类、水果、酒 店服务价格略有下降。 报告显示，埃及10月份全国消费者价格指数（CPI）从9月份的260.9点攀升至264.3点，燃油价格上涨是 CPI上涨的主要原因。 新华财经开罗11月11日电（记者张健）根据埃及中央公众动员和统计局10日发布的报告，埃及10月份年 度总体通货膨胀率放缓至10.1%，而9月份为10.3%。 （文章来源：新华财经） ...

Core Insights - Turkey's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 32.87% year-on-year in October, a decrease from 33.29% in September, marking the lowest level since November 2021 [1] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 46.5 in October, indicating a continued contraction for the 19th consecutive month [1][2] Inflation and Price Changes - Food and non-alcoholic beverage prices increased by 34.87% - Housing prices rose by 50.96% - Clothing and footwear prices increased by 7.98% - Household equipment prices rose by 28.9% - Healthcare prices increased by 32.06% - Communication prices rose by 19.35% - Education prices surged by 65.69% - Prices in hotels, cafes, and restaurants increased by 33.78% - Miscellaneous goods and services prices rose by 30.13% - Transportation prices increased by 27.33% - Alcoholic beverages and tobacco prices rose by 27.56% - Cultural and entertainment prices increased by 25.32% [1] Economic Activity and Monetary Policy - Output is declining at a strong pace due to weak demand and slowing new orders, with both domestic and export markets showing low performance [2] - The Central Bank of Turkey lowered the benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 39.5% on October 23, marking the third rate cut since July [2] - The market anticipates that the policy rate will decrease to 37.5% by the end of 2025 [2]

Core Insights - The Mauritanian government has adopted a "budget-project" approach for fiscal management, enhancing transparency and accountability in budget execution [1] - The 2026 fiscal revenue is projected to reach 128.79 billion Ouguiya, a 10.11% increase from the revised 2025 budget of 116.96 billion Ouguiya [1] - Fiscal expenditure is expected to be 132.18 billion Ouguiya, reflecting a 10.96% increase from 119.12 billion Ouguiya in 2025 [1] - The national economic growth rate for 2026 is anticipated to be 5.1%, up from 4.1% in 2025, driven by increased natural gas production and investments in infrastructure and social projects [1] - Inflation is projected to be around 2% [1] - The government plans to allocate approximately 7 billion Ouguiya for social development projects, including urban development in Nouakchott, medical equipment procurement, employment support, and improving teacher housing [1] - The government is addressing rising prices by promoting local production, achieving self-sufficiency in rice, and significantly increasing vegetable cultivation [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Governor of the Central Bank of Russia, Nabiullina, stated that there are no signs of recession in the Russian economy and urged caution regarding such claims [1]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - Over the past 12 months, the inflation rate in Russia has decreased to 8% [1]. - The increase in the key interest rate has facilitated moderate growth in credit and has helped to slow down inflation [1]. - The Central Bank of Russia forecasts that the inflation rate will decline to the target level of 4% by 2026 [1].

当地时间10月29日，美联储公开市场委员会以10-2票，决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点，至3.75%-4%，这也是年内连续第二次降息。 一图速览>> ■ AI数据中心"对利率敏感度 不高" : | | Jan | Feb | 削一 Mar | Apr | May | -轮加息周期累计加息525个基点 Jun | Jul | Aug | Sept | Oct | Nov | Dec | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2022 | | | 25 | | 50 | 75 | 75 | | 75 | | 75 | (50) | | 2023 | | 25 | 25 | | 25 | | 25 | | | | | | | 2024 | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 25 | 25 | | 0000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 鲍威尔打压市场对于 12 月会议将再度降息的预期：12月降息"远非板上钉钉"，他还有哪些表态？ 美联储宣布结束QT ...

Core Insights - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projects Zambia's GDP growth rate to be 5.8% in 2025 and 6.4% in 2026 [1] - Zambia's inflation rate peaked at approximately 24% in 2021, with a significant decrease expected to 12.3% by October 2025, and is estimated to fall to single digits in 2026 [1] Economic Forecast - GDP growth rate for Zambia is forecasted at 5.8% in 2025 [1] - GDP growth rate is expected to increase to 6.4% in 2026 [1] - Inflation rate peaked at around 24% in 2021 [1] - Inflation rate projected to decline to 12.3% by October 2025 [1] - Inflation rate is estimated to drop to single digits in 2026 [1]