行 业 锂电池产业链 超配（维持） 锂电池产业链双周报(2025/06/27-2025/07/10) 6 月锂电池产销同比快速增长 2025 年 7 月 11 日 投资要点： 分析师：黄秀瑜 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340512090001 行情回顾：截至2025年7月10日，锂电池指数近两周上涨5.27%，跑赢沪 深300指数3.65个百分点；锂电池指数本月至今累计上涨5.25%，跑赢沪 深300指数3.37个百分点；锂电池指数年初至今上涨6.69%，跑赢沪深300 指数4.78个百分点。 周 报 电话：0769-22119455 邮箱：hxy3@dgzq.com.cn 锂电池产业链近两周价格变动： | 一、行情回顾 3 | | --- | | 二、板块估值 4 | | 三、锂电池产业链价格变动 5 | | 四、产业新闻 9 | | 五、公司公告 10 | | 六、本周观点 11 | | 七、风险提示 12 | 锂电池指数走势 资料来源：iFinD，东莞证券研究所 锂盐：截至2025年7月10日，电池级碳酸锂均价6.34万元/吨，近两周上 涨2.92%；氢氧化锂(LiOH 56.5%)报价6.31万元/ ...

据盟固利（301487）官微消息，盟固利新材料闫东伟博士7月9日表示，近期固态电池市场热度持续攀 升，全固态电池技术路线逐渐明晰化正在带来产业链价值的重构。随着固态电池产业化进入"0-1"关键 期，富锂锰基材料加速从实验室迈向量产。盟固利正在与电池头部客户联合开发一种新型的类单晶富锂 锰正极材料，其中第一代产品已在电芯中试验证阶段，第二代产品通过降低富锂相含量提升材料首次放 电效率，进一步提升材料的电化学性能。目前公司的富锂锰基材料因其高容量、高压实密度、优异高温 存储性能等特点，未来将有望应用于高端大动力电池领域；此外，该类富锂锰基材料产品还有望在固态 电池中得到应用，通过增加钴含量提升材料的导电性能，从而使类单晶材料更适用于高电压下的固态电 池。 ...

Group 1: Photovoltaic Silicon Material Industry - The photovoltaic silicon material industry is expected to accelerate capacity consolidation, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasizing the need for high-quality development in the solar industry [1] - By 2027, the industry is projected to enter a stable development phase, with significant advantages in the silicon material segment due to differences in capacity costs and financial strength among companies [1] - Key companies to watch include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, Tongwei Co., and TBEA [1] Group 2: Solid-State Battery Industry - The solid-state battery industry is witnessing continuous advancements, with equipment from Winbond Technology successfully delivered to major domestic clients [2] - Material production is ramping up, with significant capacity in oxide electrolytes and expectations for sulfide electrolytes to achieve ton-level shipments by 2025 [2] - Companies of interest in this sector include Xiamen Tungsten, Tianqi Lithium, and others involved in the solid-state battery supply chain [2] Group 3: Offshore Wind Power Development - The central government is promoting the orderly development of offshore wind power, with a focus on enhancing the marine economy and encouraging private investment [3] - Goldwind Technology has secured over 7.7GW of international orders for 2024, with significant revenue growth reported for its international subsidiary [3] - Key players in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, and Dajin Heavy Industry [3] Group 4: Data Center Investment - Global data center investments are accelerating, with Amazon planning to invest AUD 20 billion (approximately USD 13.1 billion) in Australia and SK Telecom collaborating with Amazon Web Services for a significant data center project in South Korea [4] - The deployment of NVIDIA's GB300 AI systems is underway, indicating a growing demand for AI computing resources [4] - Companies to monitor in the AIDC power equipment sector include Jinpan Technology, Xinte Electric, and others [4] Group 5: Key Company Earnings Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, with Goldwind Technology rated "Outperform" and projected to have an EPS of 1.28 in 2025 [5] - Jinpan Technology and other companies also received "Outperform" ratings, indicating positive market sentiment [5] Group 6: Industry Performance Overview - The electric power equipment sector outperformed the market in June, with a 6.68% increase compared to a 2.5% rise in the CSI 300 index [13] - The sector's PE ratio at the end of June was 30.3, reflecting a slight recovery in valuations [13] - The report highlights that the electric power equipment industry has shown strong performance across various sub-sectors, including lithium battery materials and wind power [23]

会议在 鑫椤资讯总经理连萍女士 的致辞中拉开帷幕。她指出 固态电池，凭借固态电解质替代液态电解液的核心突破，以高能量 密度、高安全性、高低温适应性、长循环寿命的优势，成为全球能源科技竞争的 "战略必争之地"。 随着 2028年的临近，固态 电池已从"技术选项"变为"生存刚需"。 关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 据鑫椤资讯统计， 2024年中国固态/半固态电池产量已达5. 1 GWh， 预计 2028年将达到29.2 GWh 。 这一数字背后，是产业 界对技术变革的押注，更是人类对可持续能源未来的共同向往。 在这种对固态电池的呼声之中， 2025年7月9日， 由鑫椤资讯主办的 2025（ 第三届 ） 中国固态电池技术发展与市场展望高峰 论坛在上海隆重举行。 本次论坛汇聚了国内外固态电池领域的顶尖专家、学者及企业代表，共同探讨固态电池技术的最新进展、 市场应用前景及面临的挑战。 固态电池技术最新进展 I C C S I N O 1. 全固态电池工程技术难点攻克 国联汽车动力电池研究院创新事业部的杨容 副总经理 详细阐述了全固态电池在关键材料、电池设计及工 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese lithium battery industry chain experienced an unexpected growth in the first half of 2025, with an overall growth rate exceeding 40% and a significant increase in battery shipments and storage segments [1][7]. Industry Growth - In the first half of 2025, the total shipment of lithium batteries reached 750-760 GWh, with a year-on-year growth rate of 60%-65%. The storage segment saw a remarkable quarter-on-quarter increase of over 80% and a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 110% [1][7]. - The demand for upstream materials has diversified, with shipments of lithium iron phosphate materials increasing by nearly 70% year-on-year, and key components such as anodes, separators, and electrolytes also showing strong growth [2][7]. Material Trends - The industry is shifting from traditional high-cost performance competition to a high-performance differentiation path, leading to a new ecosystem where various materials flourish [3][7]. - In the materials sector, the shipment of cathode materials reached 205-215 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 50%-55%. Lithium iron phosphate materials led the growth with a year-on-year increase of 65%-70% [7]. - The gross profit margins in the materials industry are showing signs of recovery, although some segments are experiencing differentiation in profitability [7]. Market Dynamics - The market concentration is on the rise, with top-tier companies gradually restoring their market power and profitability. A new round of capacity expansion for lithium iron phosphate and anode materials is expected [8]. - The price of lithium salts is projected to remain in the range of 60,000-80,000 yuan, with limited potential for further decline or increase [9]. Technological Innovations - New materials such as CVD silicon-carbon are being commercialized, with significant applications in digital lithium batteries and high-performance requirements [9][30]. - The industry is witnessing a trend towards larger and more energy-efficient equipment, with advancements in various manufacturing processes [9][31]. Global Competition - The passage of the Inflation Reduction Act and the delay of the new battery law in the U.S. have complex implications for the global competitiveness of Chinese companies [10]. - China has established a leading position in green low-carbon technologies, including photovoltaic, wind power, electric vehicles, and fuel cells, showcasing strong market share [26][27].

Core Viewpoint - The ACMI2025 forum highlighted the advancements in solid-state battery technology, emphasizing its high energy density and safety, which cater to specific needs in various sectors such as automotive, low-altitude, and humanoid robots [1] Group 1: Solid-State Battery Development - Solid-state batteries are expected to gradually find applications across multiple fields as their overall performance improves and industrialization accelerates [1] - Half-solid-state batteries have already been implemented in vehicles, indicating a faster industrialization process compared to full solid-state batteries [1] - Full solid-state batteries are projected to begin small-scale deployment in 2027, with mass application in energy storage expected post-2030 [1] Group 2: Market and Policy Dynamics - Domestic policies are actively promoting the industrialization of solid-state batteries, with many companies aiming for small-scale production or vehicle deployment by 2027-2028 [1] - Overseas automakers and battery manufacturers are accelerating their efforts in solid-state battery development to gain a competitive edge [1] Group 3: Application Areas - The application of solid-state batteries is anticipated to expand in cost-sensitive areas such as humanoid robots and low-altitude sectors before automotive applications [1] - The unique advantages of full solid-state batteries, such as high energy density and safety, differentiate them from liquid batteries [1]

国泰海通证券指出，受市场需求驱动，固态电池产业化进程持续提速，头部企业纷纷布局中试线并推进 样品验证，部分企业已实现半固态量产，预计2025—2027年将进入全固态小批量投产阶段。固态电池在 材料体系与工艺路径上存在显著差异，对设备提出全新要求。当前设备环节有望作为产业化前置环节率 先受益，头部设备厂商已加快产品验证与客户导入节奏，产业化预期强化下，固态电池设备市场空间有 望率先打开。 科创新能源ETF紧密跟踪上证科创板新能源指数，上证科创板新能源指数从科创板市场中选取50只市值 较大的光伏、风电以及新能源车等领域的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映科创板市场代表性新能源 产业上市公司证券的整体表现。指数电池占比达38.5%。 数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，上证科创板新能源指数(000692)前十大权重股分别为晶科能源 (688223)、天合光能(688599)、大全能源(688303)、阿特斯(688472)、天奈科技(688116)、容百科技 (688005)、孚能科技(688567)、厦钨新能(688778)、派能科技(688063)、固德威(688390)，前十大权重股 合计占比47.96%。 科 ...

自今年大盘指数4月8日见底以来，固态电池指数累计涨幅超30%，二级市场情绪高涨背后，是固态电池 产业化进程从0到1的加速。 以下文章来源于财经图解 ，作者十字路口 财经图解 . 财经大事早知道，关注东方财富股票！ 亿纬锂能在回答投资者提问时称，公司已在固态电池领域进行技术布局，计划于2026年实现全固态电池 生产工艺的突破，推出一款高功率、高环境耐受性、高安全的全固态电池，主要用于混合动力领域；于 2028年推出400Wh/kg的高比能全固态电池。 整车企业方面，上汽集团透露，未来三年内将在全球发布超过10款车型，并计划在2027年实现固态电池 装车。 长安汽车则计划在2025年至2026年完成合资公司时代长安动力电池有限公司50GWh电芯产能投资建 设，预计2026年实现固态电池装车验证，2027年推进全固态电池逐步量产，能量密度目标达 400Wh/kg。 免责声明 综合机构观点看，随着近期固态电池量产计划密集发布，固态电池量产目前已经处于临界点。 比如近期宁德时代在投资者互动平台上透露，公司在全固态电池领域持续坚定投入，技术处于行业领先 水平，2027年有望实现小批量生产。 国轩高科也透露，首条全固态中试 ...

关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ -广告- 本文来源：鑫椤锂电 2025年以来，全球固态电池产业继续加速发展，硫化物固态电解质凭借其优异的机械加工性能与离子导电 率的优势，成为主要的发展方向。 在应用于固态电池的金属锂负极方面，由于目前隔膜技术暂时无法完全解决枝晶问题，现有技术尚未实现 99%的纯金属锂，基本都是以锂合金的形式展现。 比如，近期贝特瑞推出的锂碳合金、天津中能推出锂复合技术（上下两层负极层及夹在两层负极层之间的 集流体层）等。 预计未来金属锂负极对碳酸锂需求的实际带动量在100-150吨水平，叠加硫化物固态电 解质的增益，硫化物全固态电池对于碳酸锂的单耗较原先液态锂电池提高了70%-80%。 本文作者：钱先生/ 1 3 6 2 1 9 1 1 3 7 3 会议日程 根据 ICC鑫椤锂电测算， 2030年全球固态电池需求量将达到195.6Gwh，较2025年增长近16倍。 从对碳酸锂需求影响来看，在当前技术条件下， 1Gwh锂磷硫氯全固态电池约消耗 硫化物电解质 500- 550吨，以平均消耗400-450公斤硫化锂粉体折算，对应硫化锂需求 ...

| 2023年1月19日 | 四川简阳20GWh | 100 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 动力储能电池生产基地项目 | | | 2022年12月9日 | 23GWh圆柱磷酸铁锂 | 55.1 | | | 储能动力电池项目 | | | 2022年12月9日 | 21GWh大圆柱 | 52.03 | | | 乘用车动力电池项目 | | | 2022年10月20日 | 马来西亚投资 | 4.22 | | | 建设圆柱锂电池制造项目 | 亿美元 | | 2022年9月28日 | 沈阳亿纬锂能 | 100 | | | 40GWh储能与动力电池项目 | | | 2022年7月22日 | 湖南年产9万吨锂盐项目 亿纬锂能、紫金锂业、瑞福锂业 | 30 | | | 联合投资,亿纬持股26% | | | 2022年6月8日 | 武汉亿纬锂能储能总部 | 30 | | | 及储能技术研究院项目 | | | 2022年6月7日 | 荆门乘用车锂离子动力电池项目 | 43.75 | | 2022年6月7日 | 荆门HBF16GWh 乘用车锂离子动力电池项目 | 41.27 | | 2022年5月17日 | 玉 ...