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黄酒行业深度:供需共振,高端化与年轻化突围
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-07 06:21
证券研究报告·行业深度报告·食品饮料 食品饮料行业深度报告 黄酒行业深度:供需共振,高端化与年轻化 突围 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 证券分析师 苏铖 执业证书:S0600524120010 such@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郭晓东 执业证书:S0600525040001 guoxd@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 21% 25% 2024/7/8 2024/11/5 2025/3/5 2025/7/3 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究 《啤酒行业深度:攻守兼备,优质龙 头已进入击球区》 2025-05-22 《大众品 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报 总结:需求筑底,细分突围》 2025-05-07 ◼ 风险提示:宏观经济不及预期;食品安全问题;市场竞争加剧。 2025 年 07 月 07 日 东吴证券研究所 1 / 26 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 黄酒行业经历深度调整,当下发生积极变化。1)黄酒行业利润率迎来 边际拐点,龙头量价齐升。2023 年规模以上企业收入 85 ...
年轻化迫在眉睫!古越龙山用破亿金额“杀入”威士忌领域
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-07-03 14:07
继年初酱香威士忌之后,国产威士忌又迎来一个酒业跨界的"玩家"。 7月3日,南都湾财社-酒水新消费指数课题组记者注意到,黄酒龙头古越龙山在其微信公众号宣布,该 公司在7月2日已与浙江穿岩十九威士忌酒业有限公司签订协议,古越龙山将提前锁定穿岩十九生产的超 4000桶糯米威士忌入桶熟成订单,订单金额破亿元。 据了解,古越龙山此次"斥巨资"杀入威士忌这一酒业新赛道,主要与其品牌年轻化相关,在业绩增长乏 力,同时被对手会稽山时刻赶超的压力下,拓展年轻人市场成为古越龙山迫在眉睫的任务。 布局业务6年,古越龙山要靠威士忌打开年轻化? 古越龙山对威士忌已经布局了近6年时间。 公开资料显示,穿岩十九威士忌源于2019年古越龙山与江南大学研究团队合作研发黄酒蒸馏酒,随后该 公司与香港凤凰集团(远东)投资有限公司进行合作,并在2023年11月宣布产品正式对外发布。而据天 眼查数据显示,浙江穿岩十九威士忌酒业有限公司成立于2024年1月,控股人为马梓健,该公司与香港 凤凰集团(远东)投资有限公司存在关联关系。 对于上述糯米威士忌产品,古越龙山方面在产品对外发布之时是"寄予厚望",除了布局产品研发和生产 酿造外,该公司还在2023年带 ...
会稽山总经理:黄酒行业仍存在较大潜在空间
news flash· 2025-06-20 12:58
"从市场角度看,黄酒行业似乎确实在萎缩,但仍存在较大潜在空间。"6月20日,在沪市主板乐享生活 专题集体业绩说明会上,黄酒公司会稽山董事、总经理杨刚在现场回应投资者时表示,饮酒结构中,欧 美和日本国家高度酒与低度酒的比例大致为5:5,而中国为7:3,该数据也在快速调整。过去六年间,高 度酒产量下降约50%,去年低度酒年均增长达到25%至30%,增速非常惊人。黄酒作为中国特有的低度 酒,具备广阔的发展潜力和市场空间。" ...
会稽山:提价营销股价冲高,端午后热度回落市值缩水
He Xun Wang· 2025-06-20 08:48
(责任编辑:王治强HF013) 【6月18日杭州会稽山黄酒文化发展有限公司成立,会稽山黄酒市场表现跌宕起伏】6月18日,杭州会稽 山黄酒文化发展有限公司成立,法定代表人为王栓,经营范围涵盖文化场馆管理服务、组织文化艺术交 流活动、旅游开发项目策划咨询等。长期以来,黄酒面临走不出江浙沪的困境,多数产品售价不足10元 一瓶,导致毛利率不高,也难登高端餐桌。4月初,会稽山、古越龙山先后提价,均称旨在推动黄酒品 类价值回归,提升市场对黄酒产品价值的认同。端午前,会稽山邀请明星吴彦祖与网红白冰联合带 货"气泡黄酒",并在抖音多账号直播。这款酒12小时销售额突破1000万元,直播间观众超万人。会稽山 股价随之攀升,节前8个内6天涨停。5月股价涨幅超70%,年内涨幅超126%,市值从4月初约50亿元飙 升至最高120亿元,首次超过古越龙山。业绩方面,会稽山正挑战古越龙山"黄酒一哥"地位。古越龙山 2024年年报显示,营收19.36亿元,同比增8.55%,但归母净利润2.06亿元,同比下滑48.17%。会稽山 2024年营收16.31亿元,略低于古越龙山,但同比增速15.6%,势头更猛,净利润1.96亿元,同比增长 17.7 ...
黄酒行业深度研究报告:中国黄酒,复兴在望
Huachuang Securities· 2025-06-19 15:31
行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 黄酒行业深度研究报告 推荐(首次) 中国黄酒,复兴在望 其他酒 2025 年 06 月 19 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师:欧阳予 邮箱:ouyangyu@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360520070001 证券分析师:田晨曦 邮箱:tianchenxi@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360522090005 证券分析师:刘旭德 邮箱:liuxude@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360523080010 证券分析师:董广阳 电话:021-20572598 邮箱:dongguangyang@hcyjs.com 执业编号:S0360518040001 联系人:王培培 邮箱:wangpeipei@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 10 | 0.00 | | 总市值(亿元) | 787.20 | 0.08 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 698.06 | 0.09 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ...
会稽山(601579):锐意进取,重塑成长曲线
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-18 08:09
证券研究报告·公司深度研究·非白酒 会稽山(601579) 增持(首次) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 1,411 | 1,631 | 1,900 | 2,233 | 2,555 | | 同比(%) | 15.01 | 15.60 | 16.48 | 17.52 | 14.40 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 166.63 | 196.19 | 231.61 | 280.26 | 327.66 | | 同比(%) | 15.11 | 17.74 | 18.05 | 21.00 | 16.91 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.58 | 0.68 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 61.12 | 51.91 | 43.97 | 36.34 | 31.08 | [投资要点 Table_Summary] 锐意进取,重塑成长曲线 2025 年 06 月 18 ...
直播间从万人到几十人,气泡黄酒能否成为会稽山流量密码?
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 10:40
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in popularity of Huijishan's sparkling yellow wine has drawn attention, especially as the company's market capitalization exceeds 10 billion, surpassing its competitor Guyue Longshan, which has long held the top revenue position in the yellow wine industry [1][6]. Industry Overview - The yellow wine industry has experienced slow growth and low market attention from 2017 to 2023, characterized by "volume decline and price stagnation" [1]. - Recent years have seen a shift towards "reform" and "change" within the industry, with leading companies like Huijishan and Guyue Longshan raising prices and promoting low-alcohol and sparkling wines to revitalize the market [1][6]. Company Performance - Huijishan's sparkling yellow wine, launched in 2023, aims to attract younger consumers, but initial sales data shows limited long-term engagement, with online viewership dropping significantly after initial promotional events [2][3]. - The company reported that its main revenue source remains traditional yellow wine, which accounted for 92.15% of its total revenue in 2024, with sparkling wine contributing minimally [4]. Sales and Marketing Strategy - During the "618" sales event, Huijishan's promotional efforts included collaborations with celebrities and influencers, resulting in a peak online viewership of over 10,000 and sales exceeding 10 million within 12 hours [2][5]. - Despite initial success, the company has struggled to maintain high engagement levels in subsequent live streams, indicating challenges in sustaining consumer interest [3][5]. Future Outlook - Industry experts suggest that while innovations like sparkling yellow wine are intended to attract younger demographics, the effectiveness of these strategies in converting interest into sustained sales remains uncertain [7]. - Huijishan's management has indicated a commitment to enhancing online sales and product innovation to better cater to younger consumers, although specific metrics on user retention and conversion rates have not been disclosed [5][6].
搜狐酒馆第24期|欧阳千里:黄酒仍有增长空间,全国化需突破场景限制
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 07:56
近年来,黄酒赛道异军突起,从资本市场的'黑马'到年轻消费群体的新宠,黄酒行业似乎正在经历一场前所未有的变革。 6月11日,搜狐酒业播主毕然连线搜狐酒业发展研究院专家欧阳千里,开启搜狐酒馆第24期节目,传统黄酒如何突破地域限制,走向全国甚至全球,直播热 度32万+。 本次对话中,欧阳千里阐述了黄酒股价暴涨是资本与消费联动的金融营销行为,或带动行业扩容。气泡黄酒、明星营销及高端化探索推动增长,电商通过网 红产品完成市场教育。全国化需突破场景限制,高端化、技术升级和文化输出是关键。 以下是直播全文,供行业人士参考。 黄酒行业现状:是真繁荣还是资本炒作 毕然:2025年黄酒板块股价大涨,如会稽山年内涨幅近140%,您认为这是行业基本面改善,还是短期资本推动的结果? 欧阳千里:需从资本与消费联动的逻辑分析。当股民被视为潜在消费群体时,资本对黄酒板块的短期炒作或长期看好,都会推动股价上涨。这一过程中,财 经媒体的关注会进一步提升板块热度,吸引散户入局,形成"投资关注—消费尝试"的正向循环。从数据看,当前黄酒上市公司股民数量在2.2亿投资者中占 比极小,股价暴涨更像是金融市场的营销行为,若能借此引发更多消费者关注黄酒赛道, ...
会稽山市值反超 “黄酒一哥”黄酒头部阵营生变
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-06-09 15:33
Core Viewpoint - Kuaijishan has surpassed Guyuelongshan to become the market leader in the yellow wine sector, driven by its successful youth-oriented strategy and innovative products like the "Yiyiyixun" sparkling yellow wine, which has resonated well with younger consumers [1][4][11] Company Performance - Kuaijishan's market capitalization reached 10.6 billion yuan, exceeding Guyuelongshan's 9.92 billion yuan [4] - In Q1, Kuaijishan reported revenue of 481 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.10%, and a net profit of 93.74 million yuan, up 1.70% [4] - In contrast, Guyuelongshan's Q1 revenue was 539 million yuan, down 4.90%, with a net profit of 59.02 million yuan, also down 4.82% [4] Revenue Growth Comparison - Kuaijishan's projected revenues for 2022-2024 are 1.227 billion yuan, 1.411 billion yuan, and 1.631 billion yuan, respectively [5] - Guyuelongshan's projected revenues for the same period are 1.620 billion yuan, 1.784 billion yuan, and 1.936 billion yuan [5] - Kuaijishan's net profits for 2022-2024 are expected to be 145 million yuan, 167 million yuan, and 196 million yuan, while Guyuelongshan's are projected at 202 million yuan, 397 million yuan, and 206 million yuan [5] Market Strategy - Kuaijishan focuses on the East China market without rushing into nationwide expansion, allowing for a more stable growth strategy [6] - The company has successfully engaged younger consumers through innovative marketing strategies, including social media and live-streaming sales [6][12] - The "Yiyiyixun" sparkling yellow wine has gained significant traction, achieving over 10 million yuan in sales within 12 hours on Douyin, with over 40% of buyers aged 18-35 [7][8] Industry Trends - The yellow wine market faces challenges such as regional strongholds and an aging consumer base, prompting companies to innovate and target younger demographics [7][11] - The rise of low-alcohol and flavored yellow wines is attracting younger consumers, aligning with their preferences for diverse and healthier drinking options [12] - The industry recognizes that appealing to younger consumers is essential for future growth, with a focus on brand storytelling and cultural engagement [10][12]
金融工程日报:沪指指盘中回归3400点,创新药概念活跃领涨-20250609
Guoxin Securities· 2025-06-09 13:23
证券研究报告 | 2025年06月09日 金融工程日报 沪指盘中回归 3400 点,创新药概念活跃领涨 市场表现:今日(20250609) 大部分指数处于上涨状态,规模指数中中证 2000 指数表现较好,板块指数中科创 100 指数表现较好,风格指数中中证 500 成 长指数表现较好。医药、综合、纺织服装、国防军工、农林牧渔行业表现较 好,食品饮料、家电、汽车、建筑、交通运输行业表现较差。多肽药、CRO、 减肥药、黄酒、新冠特效药等概念表现较好,黄金精选、高速公路精选、吉 利集团、中国铁总、供销社等概念表现较差。 市场情绪:今日市场情绪较为高涨,收盘时有 90 只股票涨停,有 4 只股票 跌停。昨日涨停股票今日收盘收益为 3.14%,昨日跌停股票今日收盘收益为 -1.86%。今日封板率 66%,较前日提升 5%,连板率 32%,较前日提升 12%。 市场资金流向:截至 20250606 两融余额为 18086 亿元,其中融资余额 17964 亿元,融券余额 122 亿元。两融余额占流通市值比重为 2.3%,两融交易占市 场成交额比重为 8.3%。 折溢价:20250606 当日 ETF 溢价较多的是信创 ET ...