Bitcoin’s newest investors have been underwater since November 2024, with on-chain data revealing a sustained period of unrealized losses that has now stretched into its eighth consecutive week. Short-term holders (defined as those who purchased BTC within the past 155 days) require a recovery above $98,000 to return to profitability, according to analysis from blockchain analytics firm Glassnode. Source: Glassnode The metric tracking this cohort’s financial position, known as STH-NUPL (Short-Term Hold ...

Upside Targets Frame Next Resistance ZoneGoing forward, a bullish continuation of the trend will be triggered on a new high and confirmed with a closing price above $4,643. That would put gold in a position to challenge potential resistance at the next upside targets at $4,664, $4,687, and $4,713. The middle target is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of October bearish correction. Therefore, the target is derived from a short-term measurement. On the other hand, the two other price targets are from a long-ter ...

Pullback Completion Reinforces Bull TrendContinued signs of strength in the price of gold are anticipated given the long-term breakout that triggered in December. Monday’s high further confirmed the completion of the first pullback that ended near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 20-day average. Of significance, the pullback was not too far below the prior $4,381 peak as well.That relationship and bullish reversal signs following the 38.2% retracement are indications of underlying strength of the trend a ...

Core Insights - Pi Coin has experienced renewed selling pressure, with its price dropping below the $0.200 level, indicating weak market confidence among investors [1] - Recent indicators suggest a potential shift in sentiment, with momentum indicators showing a bullish crossover, signaling strengthening upside momentum after a prolonged bearish phase [2][3] Market Activity - Holders of Pi Coin are actively attempting to stabilize the price, indicating a potential recovery as buyers regain control [3] - The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has shifted from outflows to inflows, confirming net buying activity and highlighting growing conviction among Pi Coin holders [5] Price Levels - Pi Coin is currently trading near $0.207, just below the $0.213 resistance level, which is significant as it aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement [6] - Reclaiming the $0.213 level as support could strengthen the recovery structure, with potential advances toward $0.224 if buying pressure continues [7] Risks and Support Levels - If sentiment shifts negatively again, Pi Coin could face renewed selling pressure, potentially dropping below $0.207, with initial support at $0.199 and further support at $0.188 [8]

Bitcoin gold silver. Photo by BeInCrypto Bitcoin, gold, and silver experienced a sudden surge in strength on Tuesday, the eve of what appears to be another Fed rate cut. The pioneer crypto, as well as the two commodity safe havens, Gold and Silver, may face volatility around the Fed’s interest rate decision, even as XAG price breaks above $60/oz for the first time in history, now up +108% in 2025. Top BTC, XAU, and XAG Price Targets Ahead of the Fed Cut All eyes are on the Fed’s interest rate decision t ...

Core Insights - Bitcoin's recent surge above $92,000 has generated optimism among market participants, with expectations that the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting could trigger a significant rally [1][4][9] Federal Reserve's Role - Analysts from the London Crypto Club suggest that a liquidity boost from the Federal Reserve may serve as a strong catalyst for Bitcoin's price increase, predicting a "dovish surprise" from the Fed [3][9] - The Fed is anticipated to implement a 25 basis points rate cut, with an 86% probability according to the CME FedWatch tool, and even higher at 94% according to Polymarket [5][9] - Historically, lower interest rates have favored risk assets like Bitcoin by making bonds less attractive and encouraging capital flow into higher-yielding markets [6] Market Conditions - Bitcoin is currently at a critical level, with analysts indicating that it must maintain its position above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone to avoid a decline back to April lows near $76,000 [7][8] - The market is eager for a clear macro signal to reset its direction after a turbulent two months that nearly erased all gains for the year [4][9]

Group 1 - The recent price action indicates a rejection at resistance levels, with a swing low of $3,886 and a high of $4,006, forming a small bear flag pattern [1] - Gold has confirmed underlying selling pressure as it fell below the 20-day average, indicating a potential continuation of the bearish trend [2] - A breakdown below $3,915 will further confirm selling pressure and put the support level at $3,886 at risk [2] Group 2 - Initial downside targets are identified around $3,846 to $3,844, supported by a 50% retracement and the 50-day average [3] - If the support zone fails, the next target is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $3,720 [3] - The bull trend that began in late August has not approached the 50-day average as support, which is expected to be tested soon [4] Group 3 - A bearish signal is confirmed with a daily close below the lower boundary line of the bear flag, indicating a preference for sellers [5] - The 50-day convergence zone is critical; holding this level maintains the trend, while a break risks the 61.8% retracement [5] - Today's bearish action persists until the price clears the high of $4,006 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis indicates potential upside targets for crude oil based on the ABCD pattern and key resistance levels, suggesting a bullish outlook if certain price levels are maintained or exceeded [1][2][5]. Upside Targets - The ABCD pattern suggests an initial potential upside target of $65.17, supported by key dynamic resistance indicators including two trendlines and the 50-day moving average [1]. - The 200-day moving average at $65.42 is identified as an initial topside target, with resistance likely on the next approach [2]. Breakout Path - A sustained rally above $63.03 would indicate that buyers have regained control, allowing crude oil to potentially rise above the 50-day average currently at $62.16 [2]. - Holding above the $59.96 swing low for six days, confirmed by two moving averages, adds significance to this level [2]. Trigger Levels - Advancing above today's high of $60.20 would signal strength, with confirmation needed above Monday's high and the top of the five-day range at $61.78 [3]. - A rally above $63.03 would exceed the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, positioning crude oil for a potential breakout of two falling trendlines [3]. Downside Risks - The bullish scenario could weaken if prices drop below $59.96, unless a quick recovery occurs [4]. - The 50% retracement at $59.72 serves as potential support, with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement becoming a downside target if this level fails [4]. Outlook - A rally above $61.78 is crucial for exiting near-term consolidation, with a further rally above $63.03 needed to confirm strength and higher price potential [5]. - Today's market action supports the ongoing rally, provided that key support levels are maintained [5].

Core Insights - Gold's recent decline is attributed to profit-taking after strong gains, with the price falling from a record high [1][8] - The spot price of gold has dropped below $3,900/oz, influenced by positive developments in U.S.-China trade talks, which reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] - Despite the recent drop of 11% from its peak, gold remains approximately 50% higher year-to-date due to economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions [3] Technical Analysis - Gold's price retracement began after reaching an all-time high on October 20, with the relative strength index indicating a decrease in bullish momentum [4][8] - The price fell below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting potential for a deeper short-term pullback [4] Support Levels - Key support level to monitor is around $3,850, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-day moving average [6] - Another significant support level is at $3,720, which corresponds with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level [7] - A further decline could see gold approaching $3,450, while a key overhead resistance level to watch is near $4,380 [8]

Core Insights - Cardano (ADA) has experienced a flat trading pattern following the "Black Friday" market crash, with its price structure remaining bullish on higher time frames despite short-term weakness [1] - Whale accumulation has increased since October 12, with mega whales raising their balances from 1.50 billion to 1.59 billion ADA, indicating growing investor confidence [2][3] - The Spent Coins Age Band (SCAB) has shown a significant decline in on-chain selling activity, dropping from 179.06 million ADA to 87.33 million ADA, a 51% decrease [5][6] Price Analysis - Cardano's price is currently within a broad ascending channel, having found support near $0.61 and rebounding towards $0.73, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level [7] - A breakout above $0.73 could lead to the next major resistance zone at $0.86, a critical level where previous rallies faced rejection [8] - Sustaining above $0.61 is essential for maintaining the bullish setup, with potential targets of $1.01 and $1.12 if the price breaks above $0.86 [9]