#数据 1-10月城镇固定资产投资同比降幅为2020年6月以来最大。 https://t.co/Kd7iBPGYK6外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#数据 中国10月规模以上工业增加值同比增4.9%，预期5.5%；10月社会消费品零售总额同比增2.9%，预期2.7%；10月城镇调查失业率5.1%，预期5.2%；1-10月城镇固定资产投资同比-1.7%，预期-0.8%。 https://t.co/GWEjKDuZ6E ...

Despite some growing consumer concerns, some signs of strength in CNBC's latest retail monitor report. For that, we'll turn to Steve Leeman this morning. Hi, Steve.Hey, Car. Yeah, consumer spending bounced back in October after a pretty sharp fall in September with gains in the CNBC NRF retail monitor across most sectors, adding up to a strong start for retail in the fourth quarter. That could be good for the holiday season.The retail monitor, we get actual credit card spending data from Affinity Solutions. ...

Holiday Spending Expected To Top $1 Trillion For First Time, NRF Sayshttps://t.co/gNTNByPaLJ https://t.co/n2iXimfM11 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the Chinese economy, particularly the industrial production, fixed asset investment, and retail sales sectors, as well as GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **GDP Growth**: China's Q3 GDP growth moderated to 4.8% year-on-year (yoy) from 5.2% in Q2, slightly above market consensus of 4.7% but in line with forecasts. Sequentially, GDP growth showed a slight acceleration to 1.1% quarter-over-quarter (qoq) non-annualized in Q3 from 1.0% in Q2 [1][10][20]. 2. **Industrial Production**: Industrial production (IP) growth rose significantly to 6.5% yoy in September, exceeding expectations, driven by stronger exports and increased auto output. Sequentially, IP gained 1.4% month-over-month (mom) non-annualized in September [3][13][20]. 3. **Fixed Asset Investment (FAI)**: FAI growth remained depressed at -0.5% year-to-date (ytd) yoy in September, with a notable single-month decline of -6.7% yoy. This was attributed to ongoing "anti-involution" policies and a prolonged downturn in the property sector [8][14][20]. 4. **Retail Sales**: Retail sales growth slowed to 3.0% yoy in September from 3.4% in August, impacted by weaker offline sales and the fading effectiveness of the consumer goods trade-in program. Online sales showed slight improvement [9][15][20]. 5. **Services Sector**: The Services Industry Output Index remained stable at 5.6% yoy in September, indicating resilience in the services sector despite challenges in retail sales [16][20]. 6. **Property Market**: The property market continued to show weakness, with significant year-on-year declines in new home starts (-14.4%) and property sales (-10.5% in volume) [11][18][20]. 7. **Unemployment Rates**: The nationwide unemployment rate decreased slightly to 5.2% in September from 5.3% in August, although youth unemployment remains a concern at 18.9% for the 16-24 age group [19][20]. Adjustments to Economic Forecasts - Full-year real GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 4.9% and 4.3%, respectively, reflecting adjustments based on Q3 GDP outcomes and historical data revisions. The growth target of "around 5%" for the year remains on track despite US-China tensions [1][20][37]. Additional Important Insights - The effectiveness of existing easing measures is diminishing, necessitating targeted easing to ensure stable growth and employment in the coming quarters [20]. - The majority of recent easing measures' growth impulses are expected to materialize in late 2025 or early 2026 [20]. This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state of the Chinese economy and its outlook.

#数据 中国第三季度GDP同比增速为四个季度以来最低，社会消费品零售销售同比增幅为去年11月以来最低。1-9月固定资产投资累计同比增速为超过5年来首次转负。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#数据 中国第三季度GDP年率4.8%，前值5.2%。9月规模以上工业增加值同比增6.5%，预期5.0%；9月社会消费品零售总额同比增3.0%，预期3.0%；9月城镇调查失业率5.2%，预期5.3%；1-9月城镇固定资产投资同比增-0.5%，预期0.1%。 https://t.co/RdrokL5NmU ...

UK retail sales grew at a slower pace in September as warm weather delayed purchases of expensive coats and boots and as shoppers braced for the government’s November budget https://t.co/ApalV0xxsN ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on global economic indicators, particularly in the context of the services and manufacturing sectors, as well as retail sales trends. Core Insights and Arguments - **Global Services PMI**: The global services PMI in August was above its solid average from the past few years, indicating resilience in the services sector [1][4] - **Global Manufacturing PMI**: The global manufacturing PMI reached its highest level in over a year, suggesting a positive trend in manufacturing activities [1][4] - **Retail Sales**: Retail sales in the US have shown surprising strength, performing well globally despite challenges [1][4] - **Global Exports**: Although global exports have declined from recent peaks, they remain elevated compared to last year's figures, despite high US tariffs [1][4] - **Forward-Looking Trade Indicators**: New export orders are in contraction for most major economies, indicating potential future challenges due to "payback" from US frontloading of purchases and tariff-related issues [1][4] Additional Important Content - **Economic Resilience**: The overall resilience observed in Q3 is highlighted, with various indicators suggesting a mixed but generally positive outlook for the global economy [1][4] - **Potential Risks**: The report warns of potential strains in global trade, emphasizing the need for monitoring forward-looking indicators closely [1][4] - **Data Sources**: The insights are derived from Citi Research, S&P Global, and Haver Analytics, ensuring a robust analytical foundation [1][4]

Canadian retail sales made up for the worst start to a third quarter since 2022 with a relatively healthy gain last month https://t.co/tQkYylJFmK ...

Market Trends - Retail sales and manufacturing show positive growth, suggesting economic strength [1] - GDP has been revised upwards, indicating a stronger economic outlook [1] - Jobless claims are lower, suggesting the labor market is not weakening as much as feared, and recession predictions may be inaccurate [1] - AI spending is a primary driver of market performance over the past year [1] Fiscal & Monetary Policy - Fiscal policy remains expansionary with continued government spending [1] - Monetary policy is becoming less restrictive, with potential rate cuts [1] - The Federal Reserve's uncertainty about future actions suggests a tendency to follow existing trends [1]

US retail sales rose in August for a third month: Here's your Evening Briefing https://t.co/wYM6Heg1bl ...