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Pass through of tariff costs to consumer has been slow, says Mastercard's Meyer
CNBC Television· 2025-12-16 20:30
What is going on with the US consumer right now. We just learned the unemployment rate climbed to 4.6% in November. That's the highest level in more than four years as that long delayed government report shows the economy added just to 64,000 jobs.Added to fresh data talking about retail sales being kind of flattish to decelerating and questions are mounting about how resilient consumer spending really is. Michelle Meyer can answer all of this for us. She joins us from Mastercard to break down these trends. ...
AI talent war continues in tech without generating many jobs, says KPMG's Swonk
CNBC Television· 2025-12-16 18:46
Diane, how would you describe uh this. Is it abnormal. Is it funky.Are we just in a waiting period of transition. What What do you say is going on here. >> Well, it certainly is an early chill for the holiday season, but I think you know consumers are still spending, which is ironic.The core retail sales, which goes into the GDP calculation for the retail sales data, actually was up 0.9%. So much better than that headline figure suggested. and data for September and August were revised up.So, we came into t ...
X @The Wall Street Journal
U.S. retail sales decelerated this fall, the Census Bureau said Tuesday https://t.co/C1pqcvBoF6 ...
Retail Sales Stall in October
WSJ· 2025-12-16 13:55
Core Insights - Retail store sales were flat in October, following a growth of 0.1% in September, which was below the expectations of economists who anticipated a growth of 0.1% for October [1] Summary by Category - **Sales Performance** - October retail sales showed no growth, remaining flat compared to the previous month [1] - September sales had a slight increase of 0.1% [1] - **Economic Expectations** - Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had forecasted a growth of 0.1% for October, indicating a discrepancy between expectations and actual performance [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-16 13:44
US retail sales were little changed in October, restrained by a decline at auto dealers and weaker gasoline receipts https://t.co/4KF7WbVZkB ...
中国 - 11 月经济活动数据普遍不及市场预期-China_ November activity data broadly missed market expectations
2025-12-16 03:30
15 December 2025 | 1:14PM HKT Economics Research China: November activity data broadly missed market expectations November activity data broadly missed market expectations, especially for retail sales. Industrial production (IP) growth edged down in year-on-year terms despite the notable improvement in export growth, with slower output growth in automobile and utilities industries more than offsetting faster output growth in the special equipment and pharmaceuticals industries. Fixed asset investment (FAI) ...
November holiday shopping off to a lackluster start, CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor finds
CNBC Television· 2025-12-12 17:00
November holiday shopping getting off to a lackluster start according to the CNBC NRF retail monitor monitor. But the results it battled some calendar issues that hold out hope that a season saving spending rush could come in December. Let's take a look at the data.Retail sales powered by real credit card spending data that we get from Affinity Solutions rising just.12. And that's Xauto and gas and what we call the core that takes out restaurants was flat. Both come off decent gains in October.year-over-yea ...
November holiday shopping off to a lackluster start, CNBC/NRF Retail Monitor finds
CNBC Television· 2025-12-12 13:20
The CNBC NRF retail monitor is out for the very important shopping month of November. Our senior economics reporter Steve Leeman joins us right now with the exclusive results. Steve, what's the verdict.Are they shopping. >> Uh, good morning uh Becky. November holiday shopping getting off to a lackluster start according to the CNBC NRF retail monitor monitor.But the results it battled some calendar issues that hold out hope that a season saving spending rush could come in December. Let's take a look at the d ...
中国-11 月经济活动数据前瞻:零售疲软、投资低迷、工业生产略有改善-China_ November activity data preview_ Weaker retail sales, still-depressed investment, and slightly better industrial production
2025-12-11 02:24
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the Chinese economy, specifically the activity data for November, including industrial production (IP), fixed asset investment (FAI), and retail sales [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Industrial Production (IP) Growth**: - Expected to increase to 5.1% year-on-year (yoy) in November from 4.9% yoy in October, driven by improved export growth, which is projected to rise to +5.9% yoy in November from -1.1% yoy in October [4][5]. - Notable decline in auto output growth, dropping to 3.0% yoy in November from 11.3% yoy in October [4]. - Steel production continues to contract, with estimates showing a year-on-year decline of -1.8% in November [4]. 2. **Fixed Asset Investment (FAI)**: - Anticipated to remain depressed at -9.5% yoy in November, an improvement from -11.4% yoy in October [5]. - Approximately 60% of the FAI contraction in October was attributed to statistical corrections rather than a genuine slowdown [5]. - Ongoing "anti-involution" policies and a prolonged property downturn are expected to continue affecting manufacturing and property investments [5]. 3. **Retail Sales Growth**: - Forecasted to slow to 2.3% yoy in November from 2.9% yoy in October, primarily due to declining auto sales and the earlier start of the "Singles' Day" Online Shopping Festival, which shifted some demand from November to October [5]. - Auto retail sales volume growth is expected to drop significantly to -8.1% yoy in November from -0.5% yoy in October [5]. 4. **Comparison with Market Consensus**: - The forecasts for retail sales and FAI are below market consensus, while the IP forecast aligns closely with consensus estimates [5]. Additional Important Insights - The report indicates that the recent slump in FAI is unlikely to significantly impact the official Q4 GDP figures due to the statistical corrections by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) [5]. - The services industry output index growth is expected to remain stable and above retail sales growth in November, indicating a potential divergence in sector performance [5]. This summary encapsulates the key points regarding the Chinese economic activity data for November, highlighting the trends in industrial production, fixed asset investment, and retail sales, along with their implications for the broader economic outlook.
Gold (XAUUSD) and Silver Analysis: Weak Retail Sales and Dovish Fed Fuel Bullish Momentum
FX Empire· 2025-11-28 03:51
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party content intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as recommendations or advice for any financial actions [1]. - The content is not tailored to individual financial situations or needs, highlighting the necessity for users to apply their own discretion [1]. Group 2 - The website includes information about complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1]. - Users are encouraged to perform their own research before making investment decisions, particularly regarding instruments they do not fully understand [1]. - The website disclaims any responsibility for trading losses incurred as a result of using the information provided [1].