Seasonality
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Delcath(DCTH) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-26 14:30
Delcath Systems (NasdaqCM:DCTH) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 26, 2026 08:30 AM ET Speaker6Greetings, welcome to Delcath Systems' fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone key, keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to turn the c ...
Seasonality Indicates an Important Peak in March for the NASDAQ 100
FX Empire· 2026-02-11 20:23
Core Viewpoint - The content emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence and consulting with competent advisors before making any financial decisions, particularly in relation to investments in cryptocurrencies and CFDs [1]. Group 1 - The website provides general news, personal analysis, and third-party materials intended for educational and research purposes [1]. - It explicitly states that the information should not be interpreted as a recommendation or advice for investment actions [1]. - The accuracy and reliability of the information are not guaranteed, and users are cautioned against relying solely on the content provided [1]. Group 2 - The website discusses the complexities and high risks associated with cryptocurrencies and CFDs, highlighting the potential for significant financial loss [1]. - It encourages users to conduct their own research and fully understand the instruments and risks involved before making investment decisions [1].
Why bitcoin could move higher, plus US and India reach a trade deal, government shutdown latest
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-02 21:51
Hello and welcome to Market Domination. I'm Josh Lipton live from our New York headquarters. There's just an hour to go now till the closing bell and stocks are rallying to the close, kicking off February with a bang.Our very own Jared Blicker is standing by with all the headlines. Jared, thank you to Josh. New month, nice rally underway.Let's take a look at the Dow Jones transports here because we don't have a lot of records. I thought we'd start here because a number the index itself is at a record and we ...
February stock trading: What the charts show about historical patterns
Youtube· 2026-02-02 20:20
Core Insights - The article discusses the concept of seasonality in stock market returns, emphasizing that it reflects recurring patterns rather than definitive predictions [2][3] - Historical data from the S&P 500 since 1990 shows that January typically has a median return of 1.7%, while February has a lower median return of 0.8% [5][6] - The article highlights that March, April, and May generally see returns over 1%, with April and May having win percentages above 70% [6][7] Historical Performance - The analysis includes historical performance data from 1928, focusing on years where specific trading days match those of 2026 [8] - The trend indicates an upward movement into late April, followed by a dip in May, and a rally into early August, with another dip in late September [9] - The year typically ends with a sideways to upward trend, particularly strong in October through December [7][9] Volatility Insights - The VIX, or volatility index, shows that volatility starts the year at a median of about 19, decreasing to 15 currently, indicating lower volatility than historical averages [10][11] - Volatility tends to rise into mid-March, dip during summer, and peak in October and November, coinciding with significant market movements [11][12] - A reduction in volatility is observed towards year-end, aligning with a typical year-end rally in stock prices [13]
February stock trading: What the charts show about historical patterns
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-02 20:20
[music] It's already February and stocks just notched a positive January, which greatly increases the odds that 2026 will close in the green come December 31st. But not to get too ahead of ourselves, we're going to dig into what typically happens in February and beyond. I'm Jared Blickery, host of Stocks and Translation.First, we need to break down the concept of seasonality. What it is and what it isn't. Quite simply, it is the recurring calendar patterns that we see in market returns year after year or on ...
Gold Has A January Secret — And Its Latest Breakout Is No Accident - SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (ARCA:GLDM)
Benzinga· 2026-01-14 18:18
Core Insights - Gold exhibits a "January effect," historically showing reliable performance at the start of the year, with average returns of 1.79% since the early 1970s, nearly three times its long-term monthly average [2] - Gold has posted positive returns in close to 60% of all Januaries since 1971, increasing to nearly 70% since 2000, contrasting with the weakening January effect observed in equities [2] Performance Analysis - Gold has already rallied 7% in January, following a significant 65% surge last year, indicating strong early-year performance [4] - The performance of gold can be negatively impacted by a strong US dollar, as seen in years like 2021 and 2022 when gold stumbled due to rising real rates and dollar strength [4] Seasonal Trends - After January, gold typically experiences a weaker period from late spring to early summer, known as the "summer doldrums," which historically represents the weakest trading window [5] - Activity tends to pick up again from August to October, which ranks among gold's strongest periods, second only to January, as Asian buying resumes and the Indian wedding season approaches [6] Market Dynamics - Industry veterans emphasize the importance of understanding the cyclicality and seasonality of gold, suggesting strategic buying during tax-selling periods or in the summer [7] - The calendar remains significant for gold, with January being a time when historical trends favor bullion [7] Current Market Status - The SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (NYSE:GLDM) is up 5.62% year-to-date, reflecting positive market sentiment towards gold [8]
Why the Mexican Peso Could Keep Crushing the U.S. Dollar in 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-05 19:09
Core Insights - The Mexican Peso has appreciated significantly against the U.S. Dollar, gaining 22% in 2025 due to higher interest rates in Mexico and nearshoring trends [4] - Economic confidence in Mexico is bolstered by strong wage growth, a booming tourism sector, and stable economic conditions under President Sheinbaum [3] - The seasonal analysis indicates that January is the second-best month for the peso, with historical patterns showing strong correlations in peso futures [6][7] Foreign Investment - Continued nearshoring with the U.S. and Canada, along with overall Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) into Mexico, is expected to drive strong demand for pesos [2] Economic Confidence - The tourism sector has set new records for international visitors and revenue, contributing to the peso's strength [3] - Stable economic conditions under the current administration have further supported the peso's performance [3] Seasonal Trends - The Mexican Peso futures have shown high correlation with previous years, particularly in March, indicating potential for new investments [6] - The 15-year seasonal pattern for the peso begins trending up in early January, suggesting favorable trading conditions [8] Trading Opportunities - The USD/MXN spot forex pair is the most popular and liquid way to gain exposure to the Mexican Peso, with futures available on the CME for hedging or speculation [10] - The technical outlook remains positive, with the peso respecting a rising 50-day moving average and seasonal patterns indicating strength in January and March [11]
Decision Time For The Santa Rally
Benzinga· 2025-12-26 14:44
Group 1 - The Santa Claus rally window begins on December 26 and historically, the market has not missed three consecutive Santa rallies, suggesting a positive finish for this year after previous disappointments [1] - As the year ends, attention is shifting from short-term seasonality to long-term positioning, with emerging themes for 2026 including AI infrastructure, power, software durability, and macro normalization [2] - Silver is approaching all-time highs, indicating rising industrial demand particularly from sectors like solar, electrification, and manufacturing [3] Group 2 - The movement in precious metals, including silver, can reflect both industrial demand and hedging behavior or concerns regarding fiat stability, presenting a mixed signal for equities as 2026 approaches [4]
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-12-23 20:30
🔥 INSIGHT: Analyst Timothy Peterson says Bitcoin’s current setup mirrors late 2022, with December weakness potentially giving way to a post-January 7 rally if seasonality repeats. https://t.co/f28YLIxVKh ...
S&P 500 Could Remain Range-Bound as 2025 Closes Out
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-22 14:15
Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is experiencing a mixed trading environment as it approaches the end of 2025, with historical seasonal trends favoring bullish movements, yet technical resistance and market sentiment may limit upside potential [1][11][15] Market Performance - The SPX closed at 6,834.50 as of last Wednesday, showing signs of weakness following a recent rate cut by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) [2] - The index has been fluctuating between 6,550 and 6,900 since mid-September, indicating a lack of decisive movement from either bulls or bears [4] - Recent trading has seen the SPX return above key moving averages and the 6,760 level, but it remains below the October closing high of 6,887 [3] Sector Analysis - The technology sector has been flat, contributing to the choppy market action, while gains in basic materials, financials, and consumer cyclicals have supported the SPX [7] - The market is characterized as a stock picker's environment, with specific sectors driving performance [7] Options Market Dynamics - Selling options premium on broad market indices or ETFs has been a successful strategy, with the CBOE Market Volatility Index (VIX) near its 2025 lows [8][9] - The upcoming quarterly expiration for SPX options at the 7,000 strike could present a significant resistance point if the index breaks above 6,900 [10] Sentiment and Cash Holdings - Global asset managers' cash holdings have dropped to a record low of 3.3% in December, down from 3.7% in November, which may limit the potential for further equity purchases [12] - The sentiment among short-term traders appears to be turning sour, indicating a potential lack of momentum to drive stocks higher [13][14]