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香港交易所:南下资金持续推动交易活跃-20250302
Guoxin Securities· 2025-03-02 07:29
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][12] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 was HKD 22.374 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 13.050 billion, up 10.0% year-on-year. The EBITDA margin improved to 74%, an increase of 1 percentage point from 2023 [7][3] - The fourth quarter saw significant growth, with revenue reaching HKD 6.017 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33.2%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 was HKD 3.780 billion, up 45.6% year-on-year and 20.2% quarter-on-quarter [7][3] - The report attributes the performance improvement to heightened activity in the spot and derivatives markets, with the average daily trading volume (ADT) for the exchange's spot market reaching HKD 171.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 113.3% [8][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total revenue of HKD 22.374 billion for 2024, with a net profit of HKD 13.050 billion. The EBITDA margin was 74%, and the dividend payout ratio remained at 90% [7][3] - For Q4, revenue was HKD 6.017 billion, with a net profit of HKD 3.780 billion, indicating strong performance driven by trading activity [7][3] Market Activity - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market increased significantly, with the Hang Seng Index averaging HKD 226.6 billion from January to February 27, 2025, up 79.9% from the full year of 2024 [11][2] - The company's revenue structure is closely tied to market activity, with trading fees and system usage fees accounting for nearly 60% of total revenue [11][2] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted upwards by 6.0% and 7.4%, respectively, with projected net profits of HKD 16.335 billion and HKD 18.152 billion for those years [3][12] - The estimated price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 is 28.0x, reflecting the company's strong earnings growth potential [3][12]
兴业证券王涵 | 燎原·重估——从硬实力领先到软实力崛起——经济每月谈第十期
王涵论宏观· 2025-02-18 07:19
要点 历史经验:制造业强国支撑世界秩序稳定。 从历史经验来看,自工业革命以来,工业第一大国从来都是世界 秩序的"定海神针"。19世纪的英国凭借其强大的工业实力,建立了日不落帝国,主导了全球贸易和金融体系, 确立了金本位制,成为世界秩序的塑造者。20世纪的美国,通过其庞大的工业产能和技术创新,在第二次世界 大战后建立起布雷顿森林体系,确立美元霸权,主导全球经济秩序长达半个多世纪。 中国硬实力全球领先,与南方国家经济互补。 中国已成为全球制造业第一大国,工业规模远超世界其他国 家。同时,中国的工业能力正在为全球经济发展提供新动能。而南方国家的工业化和城镇化进程与中国形成显 著互补。 文化影响力加速扩张,软实力崛起进入快车道。 春节期间中国电影市场的火爆表现,彻底打破了2024年市场 流传的"中国电影市场萎靡"的悲观论调。以《黑神话》、《哪吒》为代表的中国游戏、电影受到年轻一代的追 捧,同时也向全世界展现中国文化、讲述中国故事。中国电影产业的快速发展,正在重塑全球文化格局。而随 着文化产业的蓬勃发展,中国软实力提升进入快车道。 80、90后群体助力中国软硬实力提升。 80、90后作为改革开放后成长起来的第一代,已成 ...