Earnings ESP
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Will Packaging Corp. (PKG) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 17:11
Core Insights - Packaging Corp. (PKG) is positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, particularly in the upcoming earnings report [1] - The company has a history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 3.08% over the last two quarters [1] Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, Packaging Corp. achieved earnings of $2.48 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.44 per share, resulting in a surprise of 1.64% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company reported earnings of $2.31 per share against an expectation of $2.21 per share, delivering a surprise of 4.52% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Packaging Corp. have been trending higher, influenced by its earnings surprise history [5] - The company currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.28%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) suggests a strong possibility of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] Statistical Insights - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]
Boyd Gaming Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 16:56
Key Takeaways Boyd Gaming is set to report Q3 EPS of $1.55, up 2% year over year, on $865.8M in revenues.Midwest and South strength and disciplined operations likely supported quarterly results.Renovation-related impacts, weaker Las Vegas travel and inflationary costs may weigh on Q3.Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD) is scheduled to report third-quarter 2025 results on Oct. 23, after the closing bell.BYD’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, with an average surprise ...
Factors You Need to Know Ahead of NOV's Q3 Earnings Release
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 16:36
Core Insights - NOV Inc. is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 27, with earnings estimated at 24 cents per share and revenues at $2.1 billion [1][9] Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, NOV missed the consensus earnings estimate, reporting adjusted EPS of 29 cents against an expected 30 cents, while revenues were $2.2 billion, up 1.9% from the consensus [2] - Over the past four quarters, NOV has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate once and missed three times, resulting in an average negative surprise of 3.9% [3] Revenue and Expense Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a 2.4% decline in third-quarter revenues compared to the previous year, with the Energy Products and Services segment expected to generate $983 million, down from $1,003 million [5][9] - Selling, general, and administrative expenses are projected to rise by approximately 12.4% year-over-year, reaching $309 million [5][9] - The cost of goods sold is anticipated to decrease to $1,679.7 million from $1,722 million in the prior year [6] Market Conditions - The company expects a slowdown in global drilling activity in the second half of 2025, with North American shale activity also projected to decline modestly [5] - NOV believes that conventional drilling in Saudi Arabia will not see a resurgence before 2026 [5] Earnings Prediction - The Zacks model does not predict an earnings beat for NOV this quarter, with an Earnings ESP of -7.29% [7][8]
Rise in NII & Originations to Aid ENVA's Q3 Earnings, Expenses to Hurt
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 15:40
Core Insights - Enova International, Inc. (ENVA) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in both earnings and revenues for Q3 2025 on October 23, after market close [1] - The company has a strong earnings surprise history, having exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 8.72% [2] Revenue Expectations - The lending environment has improved due to clarity on macroeconomic issues, including tariff plans and Federal Reserve monetary policy, leading to decent demand for consumer loans [3] - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points to a range of 4.00-4.25% is not expected to negatively impact Enova's net interest income (NII), as rates remained stable for most of the quarter [4] - Higher loan originations and stable rates are anticipated to positively influence Enova's NII [10] Expense Considerations - Enova has experienced a consistent rise in expenses, primarily due to increased marketing costs and investments in technology upgrades, which are expected to continue affecting operating expenses in Q3 [5] Asset Quality - The company has maintained solid credit quality, although it may face higher net charge-offs and potential delinquent loans due to the impact of tariffs on inflation and rising loan balances [6] Earnings Whispers - The likelihood of Enova beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings this quarter is low, as it currently has a negative Earnings ESP of -1.21% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ENVA's Q3 earnings is $3.05, reflecting a 24.5% increase from the same quarter last year, while the sales estimate stands at $809.4 million, indicating a 17.3% rise [8]
PHINIA Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 15:30
Core Insights - PHINIA Inc. is expected to release its third-quarter 2025 results on October 28, with consensus estimates for earnings per share (EPS) at $1.17 and revenues at $868.8 million [1][7] - The earnings estimate has increased by 12 cents over the past 90 days, indicating no change from the previous year's reported numbers [1][2] - The projected revenue growth of 3.55% year-over-year reflects a positive trend for the company [2] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, PHINIA reported an adjusted EPS of $1.27, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 99 cents, and an increase from 88 cents in the same quarter last year [2] - The company achieved net sales of $890 million in Q2, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $844 million, with a year-over-year increase of 2.5% [2] Market Trends - The average age of U.S. light vehicles has risen to approximately 12.8 years, which is expected to positively impact PHINIA's aftermarket parts segment [3] - The anticipated increase in aftermarket parts sales is likely to contribute to the company's revenue growth in Q3 [3] Margin Considerations - Tariff-related revenues, which have zero margin, are expected to slightly reduce overall margin percentages [4] - For the full year 2025, PHINIA projects adjusted EBITDA between $455 million and $485 million, indicating a decrease in margin guidance from the previous range [4] Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for PHINIA, as it lacks the necessary combination of positive Earnings ESP and a favorable Zacks Rank [5][6] - PHINIA has an Earnings ESP of +4.70%, with the Most Accurate Estimate being higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate [6]
BorgWarner to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 15:30
Core Insights - BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $1.15 and revenues at $3.60 billion, indicating a 5.5% growth in earnings year-over-year [1][2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues suggests a year-over-year growth of 4.4%, with the company having beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, averaging a surprise of 13.9% [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, BorgWarner reported an adjusted EPS of $1.21, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.06, and net sales of $3.64 billion, exceeding the estimate of $3.55 billion, reflecting a 1% year-over-year increase [2][4] - The company experienced a 31% year-over-year increase in light vehicle eProduct sales, contributing to sales growth in Q2 2025 and expected to continue in Q3 [3][4] Operational Efficiency - BorgWarner's focus on productivity, restructuring, supply chain efficiencies, and cost management helped mitigate tariff impacts on its combustion business, leading to an increased adjusted operating margin outlook for 2025 to 10.1-10.3% [4][5] - The updated margin forecast accounts for a 10-basis-point dilution from tariffs, indicating improved operational performance [4] Earnings Prediction - The company's Earnings ESP stands at +1.38%, suggesting a favorable outlook for an earnings beat in the upcoming quarter, supported by a Zacks Rank of 3 [5][6] - Other automotive companies, such as Aptiv PLC, also show potential for earnings beats, indicating a positive trend in the automotive sector [7][8]
Polaris Inc (PII) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 15:07
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Polaris Inc despite an increase in revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Polaris Inc is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.18 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 75.3%. Revenues are projected to be $1.79 billion, which is a 4% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analysts' assessments [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Polaris Inc is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +101.82%. This suggests a bullish outlook from analysts [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Polaris Inc exceeded expectations by posting earnings of $0.40 per share against an expected $0.05, achieving a surprise of +700.00%. Over the last four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Industry Context - In comparison, Ford Motor Company is expected to report earnings of $0.38 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 22.5%, with revenues projected at $42.26 billion, down 1.9% from the previous year [18].
CECO Environmental (CECO) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 15:07
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates CECO Environmental (CECO) will report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - CECO is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.27 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +92.9% [3]. - Revenues are projected to reach $189.52 million, representing a 39.9% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 20.62% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. - CECO currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, CECO exceeded the expected earnings of $0.20 per share, achieving $0.24, which was a +20.00% surprise [13]. - Over the past four quarters, CECO has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Conclusion - CECO does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but other factors should also be considered for investment decisions [17].
Enphase Energy (ENPH) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 15:07
Core Insights - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in Enphase Energy's earnings and revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with earnings expected at $0.62 per share, reflecting a -4.6% change, and revenues projected at $361.79 million, down 5% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for October 28, and the stock may rise if actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.56% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - Enphase Energy has a positive Earnings ESP of +11.90%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a neutral outlook, but the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and this rank suggests a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Enphase Energy exceeded the expected earnings of $0.62 per share by delivering $0.69, resulting in a surprise of +11.29% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Industry Comparison - Nextracker, another player in the solar industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.99 per share for the same quarter, reflecting a +2.1% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $827.35 million, up 30.2% [18]. - Nextracker's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.2% higher, but it currently has a negative Earnings ESP of -4.57% and a Zacks Rank of 4, indicating challenges in predicting an earnings beat [19].
Analysts Estimate RenaissanceRe (RNR) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 15:06
Core Insights - RenaissanceRe (RNR) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with earnings expected to be $9.49 per share, reflecting a decrease of 7.2% [1][3] - Revenues are projected to be $2.98 billion, down 0.8% from the same quarter last year [3] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.43% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for October 28, and stock movement may depend on whether the reported numbers exceed or fall short of expectations [2] - A positive Earnings ESP reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [10] - RenaissanceRe currently has an Earnings ESP of 0% and a Zacks Rank of 2, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, RenaissanceRe exceeded the expected earnings of $10.28 per share by delivering $12.29, resulting in a surprise of +19.55% [13] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14] Industry Context - Another company in the insurance sector, Universal Insurance Holdings (UVE), is expected to post earnings of $1.1 per share for the same quarter, indicating a significant year-over-year change of +250.7% [18] - Universal Insurance's revenues are expected to be $366.36 million, down 5.5% from the previous year, with an unchanged consensus EPS estimate and an Earnings ESP of 0% [19][20]