Earnings ESP
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Brown & Brown (BRO) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Brown & Brown (BRO) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending September 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for October 27, and if the reported figures exceed expectations, the stock may experience an upward movement; conversely, missing expectations could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.90 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.1%, while revenues are projected to reach $1.51 billion, marking a 27% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.34%, indicating a reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Brown & Brown is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +1.30%, suggesting a bullish sentiment among analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Brown & Brown was expected to post earnings of $0.99 per share but exceeded this with actual earnings of $1.03, achieving a surprise of +4.04% [13]. - The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in three out of the last four quarters, indicating a strong track record of positive surprises [14]. Investment Considerations - While a potential earnings beat may influence stock movement, other factors can also affect investor sentiment, leading to stock price changes regardless of earnings performance [15]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 suggests that Brown & Brown is a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, although investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [10][12][17].
Avis Budget Group (CAR) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Avis Budget Group, driven by higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Avis Budget is expected to report quarterly earnings of $8.17 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +22.9% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $3.48 billion, indicating a slight increase of 0.1% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 68.95% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [4]. - Despite the positive revision trend, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.88%, suggesting a bearish outlook [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive reading is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank [10]. - Avis Budget currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions for an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Avis Budget was expected to post earnings of $2.02 per share but only achieved $0.10, resulting in a surprise of -95.05% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - Avis Budget does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [17].
Analysts Estimate H20 (HTO) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for H20 despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2] Earnings Expectations - H20 is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.15 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 2.5%, while revenues are projected to be $232.27 million, an increase of 3.2% from the previous year [3] Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook from covering analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for H20 is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.75%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [11] Historical Performance - H20 has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +5.63% in the last reported quarter [12][13] Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, other factors may influence stock movement, making it essential for investors to consider the Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank before the earnings release [14][15]
Earnings Preview: Coastal Financial Corporation (CCB) Q3 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Coastal Financial Corporation (CCB) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues for the quarter ended September 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating potential impacts on its near-term stock price [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Coastal Financial's quarterly earnings is $0.89 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 8.3%. Revenues are projected to be $129 million, down 15.3% from the same quarter last year [3]. - The earnings report could lead to a stock price increase if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could result in a decline [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly reassessed their initial estimates during this period [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Coastal Financial is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.83%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [13]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [10][11]. - Coastal Financial's combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 makes it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [13]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Coastal Financial was expected to post earnings of $0.87 per share but only achieved $0.71, resulting in a surprise of -18.39%. Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14][15]. Industry Comparison - In the Zacks Banks - West industry, First Hawaiian (FHB) is expected to report earnings of $0.52 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year increase of 8.3%. Its revenue is projected to be $218.28 million, up 4% from the previous year [19][20].
Nucor (NUE) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 15:00
Core Viewpoint - Nucor (NUE) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on October 27, with a consensus estimate of $2.16 per share, reflecting a 45% increase year-over-year. Revenues are projected to reach $8.16 billion, marking a 9.7% increase from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 4.07%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. The Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the potential deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. However, Nucor currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Nucor was expected to earn $2.62 per share but delivered $2.60, resulting in a surprise of -0.76%. Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Conclusion - While Nucor does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].
What's in the Cards for CME Group This Earnings Season?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 14:56
Core Insights - CME Group Inc. is anticipated to experience a decline in both revenue and earnings for the third quarter of 2025, with revenues expected to be $1.54 billion, reflecting a 2.9% decrease year-over-year [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is $2.63, indicating a year-over-year decrease of 1.8%, with a 3.3% downward revision in the past 30 days [2] Financial Performance Expectations - The third-quarter performance is likely to benefit from a diverse product portfolio, increased market volatility, and a strong market position [5][10] - Clearing and transaction fees are projected to be $1.2 billion, driven by higher trading volumes across asset classes [6] - Average daily volume for the quarter was reported at 25.3 million contracts, down 10% year-over-year, with specific increases in Agricultural and Metals ADV [7][10] Revenue Breakdown - Market data and information services revenues are expected to reach $179 million, a 0.5% increase from the previous year, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is $196 million, indicating a 10.1% increase [8] - Total expenses are anticipated to rise to $505.6 million, reflecting a 3.4% increase year-over-year due to higher compensation and technology expenses [9]
PulteGroup to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for This Homebuilder?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 14:35
Key Takeaways PHM's Q3 EPS is expected to be $2.86, down 14.6% year over year, with revenues projected to fall 4%.High mortgage rates and affordability issues likely drove lower closings and pressured revenue growth.PHM anticipates gross margin of 26-26.5%, down from 28.8% last year due to higher incentive costs.PulteGroup Inc. (PHM) is scheduled to report its third-quarter 2025 results on Oct. 21, before the opening bell.In the last reported quarter, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) and revenues beat ...
Buy, Hold or Sell Hologic Stock? Key Insights Ahead of Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 13:45
Core Insights - Hologic (HOLX) is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on November 3, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated to increase by 8.9% year over year to $1.10 and revenues projected to rise by 4.7% to $1.03 billion [1][5]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal fourth-quarter EPS has remained stable over the past 60 days, indicating no revisions [1][2]. - Hologic's earnings performance over the trailing four quarters has been mixed, with three beats and one miss, averaging a surprise of 0.96% [2][3]. Segment Analysis - The Diagnostics unit is expected to face macroeconomic pressures, limiting growth potential, while the Breast Health and GYN Surgical divisions are showing modest gains [5][20]. - The Molecular Diagnostics unit is anticipated to drive growth, particularly in the U.S. vaginitis market, and the oncology business may benefit from the Breast Cancer Index test [6][7]. - The Breast Health division is likely to return to growth, supported by new leadership and improved sales strategies, with a projected 0.1% year-over-year revenue increase [8]. - The GYN Surgical division is expected to deliver strong revenue performance, with an 11.9% year-over-year increase, driven by international markets and new product reimbursements [9]. - The Skeletal Health division is projected to see significant growth of 144.8% year-over-year, rebounding from previous operational challenges [10]. Market Position and Valuation - Year-to-date, Hologic shares have declined by 3.2%, underperforming compared to the industry average decline of 8.1% [11]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward Price/Sales (P/S) ratio of 3.64, above its median of 3.47 and the sector's 2.30 [15]. Strategic Considerations - Hologic is focusing on innovation and market access, with new product launches and a strong emphasis on operational efficiency [17][18]. - The company faces ongoing macroeconomic challenges, including tariffs that may impact gross margins and revenue expectations, particularly in China [19][20].
United Rentals to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 13:06
Core Insights - United Rentals, Inc. (URI) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, with adjusted earnings per share expected to rise 5.9% year-over-year to $12.50, while revenues are projected to grow 4.1% to $4.16 billion [1][3][10]. Revenue Performance - The company is anticipated to experience revenue growth in Q3 2025, driven by strong demand in construction and industrial markets, particularly from large infrastructure projects [4]. - Specialty rentals, which are crucial for United Rentals' expansion strategy, are expected to contribute to revenue growth through both organic means and new market entries [5]. - Revenue from General Rentals is predicted to increase by 4.7% to $2.87 billion, while Specialty Rentals are expected to rise by 2% to $1.27 billion year-over-year [6]. Segment Analysis - Equipment Rentals, which constituted 86.6% of total revenues in Q2 2025, is projected to see a 2.2% increase in revenues to $3.54 billion [7][8]. - New Equipment Sales are expected to rise by 8.4%, while sales of Rental Equipment and Contractor Supplies are forecasted to increase by 13.8% and 6.7%, respectively [8]. Earnings and Margins - The company is expected to report improved margins and earnings due to higher fleet productivity and effective rate management, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated to grow 4.1% to $1.98 billion [9][11]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to increase by 10 basis points to 47.8%, and the gross margin is projected to expand by 30 basis points to 41.6% [11]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for adjusted earnings has remained stable at $12.50 per share, reflecting a 5.9% increase from the previous year [3][10]. - Despite the positive outlook, the model does not predict an earnings beat for United Rentals this quarter, as the Earnings ESP stands at 0.00% [12].
Robust Global Loan Issuances to Support Moody's Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 13:06
Core Insights - Moody's is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, with strong revenue growth anticipated in its Corporate Finance line, the largest revenue contributor within the Moody's Investors Service division [1][2] Corporate Finance - Global bond issuance activity remained healthy in the third quarter, driven by strong corporate refinancing needs, leading to robust leveraged loan issuance [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Corporate Finance revenues is $548.7 million, indicating a 6.5% increase year-over-year [2][10] Financial Institutions and Other Business Lines - The consensus estimate for revenues from the Financial Institutions business line is $174.9 million, suggesting a year-over-year increase of 2.9% [3] - Public, Project, and Infrastructure Finance business revenues are estimated at $155.2 million, implying nearly 1% growth [3] Structured Finance - Quarterly issuance volumes for collateral debt obligations were robust, with marginal improvements in commercial mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities [4] - The consensus estimate for Structured Finance revenues stands at $145.7 million, suggesting a 7.9% increase [4][10] Overall MIS Division Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MIS division revenues is $1.12 billion, implying an 8.9% year-over-year rise [5] Moody's Analytics Division - Revenues from the Moody's Analytics division are expected to have increased, with a consensus estimate of $909.52 million, indicating 9.1% growth from the prior year [6][7] - Increased expenses are anticipated due to costs related to acquisitions and restructuring efforts [7] Strategic Developments - Moody's plans to secure majority equity ownership in MERIS, a domestic credit rating agency in Egypt, enhancing its presence in the Middle East and Africa [8][9] Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $3.65, reflecting a 13.7% rise from the previous year [12] - The consensus estimate for sales is $1.95 billion, suggesting a 7.6% increase [13]