Were the fight purely about tariffs, China might well have lost. But the country has found other ways to fight https://t.co/L6umNwaZi1 ...

Coffee futures rose to a fresh record in New York as crop concerns and US tariffs revive worries over supplies, risking further price hikes at cafes and supermarkets https://t.co/RnEDGra601 ...

So far, the measurable economic damage of tariffs hasn’t been huge. Perhaps the administration is less of a zealot than it pretends to be, @clive_crook says (via @opinion) https://t.co/ti1m2nLEbQ ...

Group 1 - Indian exporters are facing significant challenges due to U.S. tariffs of 50%, particularly affecting labor-intensive sectors like textiles and gems and jewelry [2][3] - The U.S. is India's largest export destination, accounting for over $45.8 billion, or more than 20% of total exports from April to September [3] - Industries that rely on the U.S. for over 30% of their export business are experiencing severe revenue losses and employment risks, with the textile industry employing 45 million people and gems and jewelry employing over 5 million [4] Group 2 - The imposition of steep tariffs has led to a nearly 10% year-on-year decline in textile exports in September, contrasting with a 5% growth in July before the tariffs were enacted [6] - India's total textile exports reached $36.5 billion, with $10.9 billion coming from shipments to the U.S. in the fiscal year ending March 2025 [7] - Companies like Parnika India are witnessing a significant drop in U.S. orders, prompting plans to reduce production due to unsold inventory and weak domestic demand [8]

We're doing tariffs. 💯We're not doing tariffs. ❌I'm gonna be a millionaire! 💰 https://t.co/vi80N9YRLr ...

Global Order Transition - The world is in a great transition to a multipolar world, a post-American order [1] - The transition will be messy and unpredictable as America steps back from its role as global insurer [2] - The old rules do not apply anymore, but the new ones have not been written, requiring actions to tackle global problems and build new trade connections [3][4] - Singapore is keen to work with like-minded countries to lay the foundations of the new multilateral architecture [4][6] - Multipolarity itself does not provide a stable framework, and the world should avoid ending up in exclusionary blocks and spheres of influence [11][12] ASEAN and Regional Dynamics - ASEAN has maintained relative peace and avoided major conflicts in Southeast Asia and is indispensable [14][15] - There are plans to accelerate ASEAN integration to become a more attractive and competitive single market [16] - The actions of tariffs have impacted America's standing in Southeast Asia, though America remains the largest investor in the region [17] - All Southeast Asian countries want to maintain good links with America [18] US-China Relations - The US and China relationship is the most consequential and dangerous fault line in international relations [30] - Both countries are looking at potential choke points to use as leverage, leading to a dynamic of mutually assured destruction [30][31] - The world must realize that China will not converge with Western norms and has become a risen power [38][39] - Singapore needs to work with like-minded countries to preserve and reinforce multilateral frameworks [42] Trade and Investment - Singapore is determined to maintain the integrity of its business environment and will not tolerate businesses violating its laws [23][24] - Trade flows are being reconfigured into new patterns, and Singapore is determined to remain at the center of these global patterns [22] - Singapore remains invested in American companies due to leading-edge technologies and dynamism, but continues to look for opportunities around the world [49] - Singapore sees strategic opportunities with Europe and is keen to forge closer links [50][53]

Market Trends - Grocery prices are increasing [1] - Early evidence suggests that tariffs imposed by President Trump are not helping to alleviate rising grocery prices [1] Company Impact - WSJ visited Stew Leonard's to investigate the impact of tariffs on specific items [1] - Stew Leonard's CEO was interviewed regarding the effects of tariffs [1]

Market Overview - Market indexes experienced a downward trend, with the Dow dropping -334 points (-0.71%) after reaching an all-time high, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell -35 points (-0.53%) and -213 points (-0.93%) respectively [1] - The small-cap Russell 2000 index decreased by -1.41% [1] Trade Relations - Ongoing trade talks between the U.S. and China have contributed to a "risk-off" sentiment in the market, with the potential for an additional +100% tariff on Chinese imports looming [2] - Recent market surges were largely based on expectations of a trade agreement between the two nations, but uncertainty is now causing concerns about market stability [2] Q3 Earnings Reports - **Tesla** reported mixed Q3 results, with earnings of $0.50 per share, missing expectations by $0.03, and down from $0.72 a year ago. However, revenues of $28.1 billion exceeded expectations of $26.5 billion, with EV credits contributing +40% to profits [3] - **IBM** shares fell -4.8% despite beating earnings expectations with $2.65 per share (expected $2.44) and revenues of $16.3 billion (expected $16.1 billion). Infrastructure growth was +17%, but revenue guidance of +5% for the year was seen as disappointing [4] - **Southwest Airlines** reported a Q3 earnings beat of $0.10 per share but missed revenue expectations with $6.95 billion (expected $6.97 billion). The stock rose +2.5% in late trading, with expectations for record-high operating revenues in Q4 [5] Upcoming Economic Indicators - No Weekly Jobless Claims data will be released this week, but Existing Home Sales data is expected to show a slight increase to 4.06 million units from 4.0 million the previous month [6] - Additional earnings reports from companies such as Intel, Ford, American Airlines, and Newmont Mining are anticipated, with a focus on how tariff impacts may affect their performance [7]

Alcoa's Financial Performance - Alcoa reported a slightly smaller than expected adjusted loss and a miss on revenue [1] - Adjusted EBITDA was down 14% versus last quarter [1] Factors Impacting Alcoa's Performance - Increased tariff costs and unfavorable currency impacts are playing a factor [1] - Tariff costs on higher US imports of aluminum from Canada are expected to increase by approximately $50 million sequentially [2] - Trade policy is also impacting guidance [2] Alcoa's Future Prospects - Alcoa has a critical minerals play with gallium that could be in production as early as 2026 [7] - The critical minerals play could be a higher margin business with some pricing power [7] IBM's Performance and AI - IBM met expectations, but people were hoping for more than a meet [4] - Gen AI has been accelerating, but that's still a small part of IBM's business [5] - AI is an important part of the story for many tech names, and if it is not strong or accelerating, it's a problem for the stock [6]

Trade Policy Impact - Tariffs imposed on cattle entering the United States, including a 50% tariff on Brazil, are credited with the improved performance of cattle ranchers [1] Industry Performance - Cattle ranchers are experiencing their best performance in decades [1]