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Why this analyst is bearish on Tesla, despite the stock hitting an all-time high
Youtube· 2025-12-15 22:51
Group 1: Ford's Financial Adjustments - Ford is taking a $19.5 billion charge to write down its electric vehicle (EV) investments, which is larger than expected [1] - Of this charge, $8 billion is specifically related to EVs, and this move was anticipated by most investors [2] - The decision follows the expiration of the federal EV tax credit at the end of September, making such write-downs inevitable [2] Group 2: Market Position and Strategy - Ford's current vehicle lineup is primarily trucks and SUVs, with the exception of the Ford Mustang, positioning the company favorably in the market [3] - The company benefits from lower oil and gas prices and declining interest rates, which enhances its competitive edge [4] - Ford has adopted a balanced approach between EVs, hybrids, and internal combustion engine vehicles, unlike General Motors, which took a more aggressive stance on EVs [4] Group 3: Investment Outlook - Despite recent stock rallies, the risk-reward balance for Ford is considered neutral, with a 12-month price target set at $15, indicating potential upside [5] - Ford's dividend yield is attractive, but there are other companies, such as General Motors, that are viewed more favorably in terms of risk-reward [6] Group 4: Tesla's Market Developments - Tesla shares reached a record high following the announcement of a robo taxi test in Austin without a safety monitor, which is seen as a significant step towards fully autonomous vehicles [7][15] - Analysts expect a major year for Tesla in 2026 as the company accelerates its robo taxi launch and begins volume production of the Cyber Cab [17] - The stock's recent performance is attributed to sentiment rather than fundamentals, with a notable disconnect between Tesla's stock price and its earnings, which were down 31% year-over-year [12][14] Group 5: Future Prospects and Challenges - Tesla's full self-driving technology still faces significant liability concerns, and there are doubts about the speed of its market expansion [8] - The upcoming fourth-quarter sales report is expected to reveal a drop in domestic sales due to the absence of EV tax credits, which could impact investor sentiment [11] - Despite the stock's volatility, investors are focusing on Tesla's long-term potential in AI, robotics, and energy storage, which may justify current valuations [13]
X @Herbert Ong
Herbert Ong· 2025-12-15 21:24
Technical Feasibility & Applications - The industry confirms gas/hybrid vehicles can achieve high levels of autonomous driving (SAE Level 4 or 5), though less common than EVs [1] - Autonomy primarily relies on sensors, computing hardware, and software, making the powertrain (gas, hybrid, or electric) secondary [2] - Waymo's initial robotaxi fleet used hybrid Chrysler Pacifica minivans for years [2] - Retrofit kits exist to add autonomy to existing gas/hybrid vehicles for Level 4 operation in defined areas [3] EV Dominance & Advantages - Autonomous systems consume significant power (up to 2-3 kW continuously), which EVs handle efficiently [4] - Electric motors provide instant, precise torque control, ideal for autonomous maneuvers, while gas engines have inherent delays [5] - EVs offer lower "fuel" (electricity) and maintenance costs, plus easier centralized charging for robotaxi fleets [5] - EVs have fewer moving parts, meaning less downtime for high-utilization robotaxis [5] - Companies target zero-emission goals, making gas/hybrids less desirable due to tailpipe pollution [6] Market Outlook & Trends - In the short term, gas/hybrids will continue supporting autonomy in personal cars (Level 2-3) [7] - Long-term, EVs will dominate full driverless robotaxis due to economic advantages [8] - Niche paths for gas/hybrids exist in trucking/logistics or retrofits for specific uses [8] - Ford expects a massive $195 billion write-down related to its EV investments and has lost $13 billion on its EV business since 2023 [9]
The Big 3: BA, NOW, UBER
Youtube· 2025-12-15 18:00
分组1 - The market is currently experiencing caution due to negative economic data and Federal Reserve rate adjustments, leading to a bearish sentiment overall [2][3] - Boeing is highlighted as a short-term investment opportunity, with current resistance levels around $195 and a potential bearish crossover of the 50-day and 200-day moving averages [4][6] - ServiceNow is under pressure due to a potential $7 billion acquisition, resulting in a nearly 11% drop in stock price, but is viewed as a long-term hold despite short-term volatility [13][14][25] 分组2 - Uber is considered moderately bullish, with the stock recently dropping below its 200-day moving average, but there is potential for recovery as it stabilizes around the $82 level [25][26][30] - Technical indicators for Uber show a downward trend, but there may be a bullish divergence forming, suggesting potential for upward movement [32][33] - The overall market is looking for catalysts, including upcoming job numbers and earnings reports, which could influence trading sentiment in the near term [34][36]
Tesla starts testing robotaxis in Austin with no safety driver
TechCrunch· 2025-12-15 15:16
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is advancing its Robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, by allowing cars to operate without human safety monitors, moving closer to a commercial launch of the service [1][2]. Group 1: Robotaxi Service Development - The removal of human safety monitors is a significant step towards Tesla's goal of launching a commercial Robotaxi service, which has been in development for years [1]. - CEO Elon Musk has claimed that Tesla's Robotaxi service will compete with Waymo, asserting that Waymo "never really had a chance against Tesla" [2]. - Tesla's small test fleet has been involved in at least seven crashes since June, with limited details available due to the company's redaction of reports to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration [2]. Group 2: Testing and Expansion - Tesla began offering rides in Austin to selected influencers and customers in June, initially with a safety monitor present, which was later moved to the driver's seat in September [3]. - The company has expanded its service area to cover a large portion of the greater Austin metropolitan area, although the fleet size has remained around 25 to 30 cars [3]. - Musk has previously claimed that Tesla would operate a fleet of Robotaxis covering "half of the population of the U.S." by the end of the year, but this target has been revised to approximately 60 vehicles in Austin [4]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - Tesla has been testing a ride-hail service in San Francisco, but California's regulations require multiple permits for fully driverless rides, unlike Texas, which has fewer restrictions [6]. Group 4: Hardware and Legal Challenges - Musk has discussed allowing Tesla owners to add their personal cars to the Robotaxi fleet, claiming that all Tesla vehicles have the necessary hardware for autonomy, a statement that has faced scrutiny and legal challenges [7]. - Tesla has undergone multiple hardware revisions for its driver assistance software, meaning many existing vehicles will require upgrades to meet the new standards [7].
Elon Musk's $50K Tiny House, Rivian's AI Turn And More: The Week In Mobility - General Motors (NYSE:GM), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG)
Benzinga· 2025-12-14 15:01
Group 1: Tesla Inc. Developments - Tesla is considering collaborating with Boxabl for upgrades to its Supercharger locations, potentially enhancing user experience with improved amenities [3] - Elon Musk's recent housing investment in Boxabl highlights his ongoing support for innovative housing solutions [3] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Ross Gerber, an investor, suggests that Uber Technologies Inc. is facing challenges due to the rapid growth of Waymo, which has reached 450,000 weekly rides and boasts an annual revenue of $200 million [2][5] - General Motors Co. has seen its stock surge approximately 45% year-to-date, driven by a renewed focus on autonomy under the leadership of Sterling Anderson, a former Tesla executive [5][6] - Rivian Automotive and Lucid Group are emerging competitors in the robotaxi market, each pursuing different strategies that could reshape the autonomous vehicle industry [7]
Rivian's Stock Pops Friday. The EV Maker Is Leaning Into Autonomy and AI
Investopedia· 2025-12-12 23:50
Core Insights - Rivian's stock surged 12% following its "Autonomy & AI Day" event, where it announced a custom AI chip and plans for enhanced self-driving software, despite broader market concerns about an AI bubble [1][9] Group 1: Autonomous Vehicle Developments - Rivian plans to update its second-generation R1 vehicles to enable hands-off driving on over 3.5 million miles of roads in the U.S. and Canada, a significant increase from under 150,000 miles previously [2] - The company's strategy shift towards autonomous and AI features aims to differentiate its offerings in a challenging EV market and create new high-margin revenue streams through subscriptions and licensing [3] Group 2: Subscription Services - Rivian intends to launch a subscription platform called Autonomy+ early next year, offering advanced driving assistance features for $49.99 per month or a one-time fee of $2,500, similar to Tesla's pricing model [4] Group 3: AI Chip and Technology Integration - Rivian introduced its own AI chip to replace Nvidia chips for its self-driving software, with plans to integrate this chip and a LiDAR sensor system into its new R2 vehicles by late next year [5] - The company is also looking to add an AI voice assistant to its first and second-generation R1 vehicles early next year [5] Group 4: Market Position and Future Prospects - Analysts noted that Rivian's strategy reflects strong efforts in vertical integration and positions the company to lead in software-defined vehicles in the West, despite technical hurdles [7] - CEO RJ Scaringe hinted at potential future rideshare opportunities, indicating a competitive stance against Tesla's robotaxi service [8]
Rivian stock soars on ambitious self-driving ambitions
Invezz· 2025-12-12 20:56
Rivian Automotive Inc (NASDAQ: RIVN) rallied more than 15% today after the electric vehicles (EV) specialist showcased bold plans to accelerate its push into autonomous driving. At its inaugural "Auto... ...
RH Posts Strong Q3 Sales, Joins Canopy Growth, Tilray Brands, Frequency Electronics And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Friday - CCC Intelligent Solutions (NASDAQ:CCC), Celcuity (NASDAQ:CELC)
Benzinga· 2025-12-12 17:08
Core Insights - U.S. stocks experienced a decline, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping over 400 points on Friday [1] - RH reported third-quarter earnings of $1.71 per share, missing analyst estimates by 20.87%, while quarterly revenue of $883.81 million exceeded expectations [1] Company Performance - RH shares increased by 5.8% to $162.14 following the earnings report [2] - Lululemon Athletica Inc. saw a 10.1% gain to $205.80 after beating third-quarter estimates and raising full-year guidance [3] - Frequency Electronics Inc. reported better-than-expected second-quarter sales, leading to a 27.2% increase in share price to $45.84 [3] - CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. announced a $500 million share repurchase authorization, resulting in a 6.3% increase in share price to $7.68 [3] Market Reactions - Canopy Growth Corp. shares rose 35.4% to $1.53 due to potential federal marijuana regulation changes [3] - Rivian Automotive Inc. gained 14.9% to $18.88 after announcing entry into the autonomous driving sector with a new AI chip [3] - Clear Secure Inc. experienced an 11.3% increase to $40.36 after an upgrade from JP Morgan [3]
Uber Targeting Robotaxis in Over 10 Markets in 2026
Bloomberg Television· 2025-12-12 01:23
It's been a very busy week for you. We've been Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong. What's been the sort of standout so far, the key takeaways.Well, the key takeaways for us is growth. The APAC market and in particular the North Asia markets as well. They are huge growth markets for us.And if you look, for example, in the rideshare business, over 30% of our global first trips coming into the category come from the APAC region. The area is growing very quickly, including Taxi as well, which is actually one of ou ...
Rivian Bets Big on Autonomy With New AI Chip and Lidar
Youtube· 2025-12-11 17:38
Core Insights - Rivian is developing its own artificial intelligence chip to enable fully autonomous driving, diverging from the trend of robo-taxis and emphasizing personal car ownership [1][2][10] - The company aims to enhance its vehicles' capabilities with a custom AI chip and next-generation lidar sensors, marking a significant shift in its approach to autonomy [3][5][8] Technology Development - Rivian's custom AI chip, known as the RAP1 chip, is a multi-chip module designed to improve performance and reduce costs, allowing for quicker market entry [4][5] - The next-generation Rivian R2 will feature advanced lidar sensors, enabling the vehicle to process 5 billion pixels per second and enhancing its ability to operate autonomously [6][7] Market Position and Challenges - Rivian's decision to move away from Nvidia chips to its own silicon represents a strategic cost-saving measure and aims to transition from driver assistance to true autonomy [8][10] - Despite its innovative technology, Rivian is currently facing production challenges, with projections indicating it may not reach 50,000 units by 2025, significantly below its plant's capacity of 250,000 units per year [10]