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Expect high single-digits earnings growth in 2026, says Citi's Kate Moore
CNBC Television· 2025-09-04 11:18
Market Performance & Outlook - The market has experienced a significant rally of approximately 30% since the April lows [1][2] - The industry anticipates market consolidation in the coming month, influenced by seasonality and concerns regarding the Federal Reserve and the potential impact of AI on the labor force [5][6] - The industry expects to end the year higher, despite anticipating a period of consolidation [18] - The industry views that it's reasonable to expect the market to be up a couple of percentage points by the end of this year from current levels [19] Earnings & Growth - The industry expects high single-digit earnings growth for the full year 2025 and believes it's reasonable to expect similar numbers in 2026, even with a potential economic slowdown [7] - The industry's stock market return depends on multiple expansion, which is influenced by the Federal Reserve's actions [9] Interest Rates & Federal Reserve Policy - The industry anticipates a rate cut in September, with December being more likely than October [8] - The industry believes that the Federal Reserve is likely to pause and evaluate data, leading to macro volatility over the next 6 months [9] - The industry believes that expecting a rate cut at every meeting until mid-2026 may be unrealistic [9] Tariffs & Market Sentiment - The market is seeking certainty regarding tariffs, whether the original tariffs announced in April or a future version, to incorporate them into models [13] - The industry believes that the panic surrounding tariffs has subsided, and analysts are revising estimates upward, fading the worst-case scenarios [14]
Carlyle Secured Lending: Thesis Has Played Out, But Macro Uncertainty Is A Real Risk (Rating Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-04 10:40
Group 1 - The article discusses the current uncertainty surrounding interest rates and the potential impact of tariffs on consumers, indicating that certain sectors are at higher risk due to these factors [1] - The author emphasizes a focus on dividend investing in quality blue-chip stocks, Business Development Companies (BDCs), and Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) as a strategy for retirement income [1] - There is an aspiration to assist lower and middle-class workers in building investment portfolios that consist of high-quality, dividend-paying companies to achieve financial independence [1]
How Much Further Will Gold And Silver Run?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-04 10:00
Group 1 - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, are expected to rise due to increasing global tensions and geopolitical conflicts, particularly related to the Ukraine situation [4][8][19] - Countries are accumulating gold as a strategic asset for potential military conflicts, indicating a shift in geopolitical dynamics [6][9][12] - The demand for gold is driven by large-scale purchases from governments, which cannot be easily manipulated by market forces, leading to a sustained increase in prices [11][12][20] Group 2 - The production ratios of precious metals indicate potential price movements, with silver being produced at a significantly higher rate than gold, suggesting a possible future price adjustment [23][24][25] - The conversation around interest rates and central bank policies is crucial, as lower interest rates could lead to increased liquidity and inflation, further impacting precious metal prices [28][34][36] - The current economic environment is characterized by volatility and unpredictability, which could create both opportunities and risks for investors in precious metals [42][44][45]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-09-04 09:56
BREAKING🇺🇸 FED WILL CUT RATES IN SEPTEMBERODDS ARE NOW 97.6% 🔥 https://t.co/XaJuKT2zZb ...
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-04 08:36
REMINDER:🇺🇸 FED COULD SLASH RATES BY 50 BPS IN SEPTEMBER IF THIS WEEK’S JOBS REPORT COMES IN WEAKER THAN EXPECTED.GET READY FOR VOLATILITY! https://t.co/CwwnTmff04 ...
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-04 07:18
There’s a 97.6% chance the FED will cut rates this September! 🚨 https://t.co/nBfLwiGZUZ ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-04 05:30
Hong Kong’s short-term funding costs have come off their highs this week, with analysts saying local interest rates look to be peaking after they spiked higher last month. https://t.co/yvPMnCH7oP ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-04 02:06
Australia’s household spending accelerated in July on strong growth in services, reinforcing expectations the Reserve Bank will keep interest rates unchanged later this month https://t.co/AhkcyLuPj8 ...
X @🚨BSC Gems Alert🚨
🚨BSC Gems Alert🚨· 2025-09-03 22:09
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Markets see 97.6% chance of Fed rate cut. https://t.co/njUtGkQDkG ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-03 21:10
Malaysia’s central bank will likely keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday as policymakers assess the impact of US tariffs and a recent rate cut on the nation’s economy https://t.co/1nRmtw3Qsb ...