as the PPI shows inflation under control for now. Let's get straight to CNBC senior economics reporter Steve Leeman with the latest on the economic front, Steve, and some new comments from the president on Fed Chair Powell. In the past hour, yeah, Kelly, Walt, welcoming the lower inflation reports the past two days.Forecasters are still puzzling over the mystery of where and when the tariffs are going to increase and will they show up, if they do at all. Producer prices well under control up just 01 in the ...

Market Trends & Concerns - The discussion revolves around whether U S Treasuries are losing their safe-haven appeal, focusing on a recent selloff in long-term Treasuries and its potential impact on global markets [1] - The report highlights bond market volatility and concerns surrounding Treasuries [1] - It addresses the potential effects of tariffs, taxes, and increasing government debt on the market [1] Fiscal Policy & Investment Considerations - The analysis includes a closer look at current fiscal policy and the implications of more government debt in a volatile market [1] - It explores the role of foreign investors in the U S Treasury market [1] - The report considers the relationship between interest rates and inflation [1] Future Outlook & Opportunities - Fidelity encourages viewers to register for a 6/17/25 episode on bond opportunities and to bookmark the Fidelity Viewpoints 2025 Midyear Investing Outlook webpage for market insights [1]

Lower inflation than expected in May could encourage officials at the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates sooner than financial markets previously expected. https://t.co/KNo4gcRa8H ...

U.S. Fiscal Outlook and Treasury Market - The U.S. faces an unsustainable fiscal path, with the interest expense becoming untenable due to high budget deficits and sticky interest rates [1][4] - The average coupon on Treasuries has risen from below 2% to pushing 4%, creating a building problem as trillions of bonds mature and are re-issued at higher rates, a difference of 400 basis points [4][5][6] - The long-term Treasury bond is no longer behaving as a legitimate flight to quality asset, and is not responding to lower interest rates or an inflation rate around 25%, with potential for it to go higher [6][7] - The U.S national debt is approaching $37 trillion, requiring creative solutions, and markets are starting to acknowledge this [7][8] Investment Strategy and Market Dynamics - A paradigm shift is occurring where money is no longer flowing into the United States, and the long bond is not acting as a flight to quality asset, with gold emerging as an alternative [16] - The dollar is falling, and some of the $25 trillion net investment position that flowed into the U.S over the past two decades could potentially flow out, suggesting increased allocations to non-dollar investments [9][10] - The market environment feels similar to 1999 (dot-com bubble) and 2006/2007 (pre-credit crisis), with AI enthusiasm mirroring the dot-com boom [21][22] - A great buying opportunity is anticipated, but the timing is uncertain [21] Private Credit and Alternative Investments - There is overinvestment in private credit, and the excess reward is not as attractive as it once was, potentially leading to forced selling [32] - Gold has proven to be a source of growth, outperforming Bitcoin year-to-date, and is recommended as an asset class, with central banks accumulating gold [16][17][50] - Dollar-based investors should consider investing in foreign currencies and selective emerging market equities, as the S&P 500 is underperforming MSCI Europe year-to-date [51][52] Restructuring and Long-Term Themes - There is a need to restructure various aspects of the system, including institutions, political parties, and finances, due to wealth inequality and calcified property relations [42][46] - India is highlighted as a long-term investment theme, with a similar profile to China 35 years ago, benefiting from demographic outlook, supply chain shifts, and technology [48][49]

Joining us now to extend the conversation, I'm pleased to say, is David Kelly of Jp morgan Asset Management. David, I just want your initial reaction to the data we got about 10 minutes ago. Was that a surprise to you, sir.I'm not too much of a surprise. As we were going into this into this print, we were looking at a lot of the different industries. And there's a soggy miss in the economy, which is really preventing prices from going up.I mean, one of the things that I was struck by was that both airline f ...

Well, the May inflation report is out and it shows consumer prices rose less than expected last month despite the ongoing fears over President Trump's tariffs. We want to bring in NBC senior business correspondent Christine Romans and here with us in the studio, Courtney Brown, senior economics reporter for Axios. Christine, I want to start with you.Can you break down the numbers for us and what this is going to mean for most Americans bottom line. So, basically, we saw inflation, the inflation rate 2.4%. T ...

Group 1 - Business Development Companies (BDCs) are highly sensitive to interest rate movements, which can significantly impact their performance [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the dynamics of interest rates for investors in the BDC sector [1] Group 2 - The author expresses a commitment to helping lower and middle-class workers build investment portfolios focused on high-quality, dividend-paying companies [2] - The investment strategy highlighted is a buy-and-hold approach, prioritizing quality over quantity in stock selection [2]

Titan International (TWI) Conference Summary Company Overview - Titan International is a leading manufacturer of wheels, tires, and steel tracks for off-road equipment in agriculture, construction, and consumer industries [2][3] - The company has a global presence with manufacturing facilities in North America, South America, and Europe [3] Core Differentiators - Titan focuses exclusively on off-road products, allowing for specialized design and better customer connection compared to competitors who may be part of larger conglomerates [5][6] - The company emphasizes the importance of its products, which are custom-designed and not easily replaceable due to significant investment in tooling and engineering [6][7] Impact of Tariffs - Long-term, tariffs are viewed positively for Titan as they create a level playing field against foreign competition [9][10] - Titan has manufacturing facilities in the U.S. and China, allowing flexibility in production locations to optimize costs [11][12] Q2 Performance Expectations - Q2 is expected to meet internal expectations for key metrics such as top line, gross margins, and EBITDA despite market uncertainties [14] - Adjusted EPS is anticipated to align with high rates seen in Q1 due to tax implications from profit distribution [15] Agricultural Cycle Insights - The agricultural cycle is nearing a bottom, with dealers expressing concerns over high interest rates impacting inventory management [16][17] - Some customers are beginning to express a need to rebuild inventory, indicating a potential shift in the cycle [19] Earthmoving and Consumer Segments - Titan has diversified into earthmoving and consumer segments, with a focus on aftermarket sales, particularly in mining and construction [22][27] - The company owns a foundry in Spain, allowing for customized aftermarket parts for mining equipment [26] Goodyear Brand License Renewal - Titan renewed its brand license with Goodyear, expanding into new segments such as light construction and industrial applications [31][33] - The Goodyear brand provides a strong market entry point due to its global recognition [33] Karlstar Acquisition - The acquisition of Karlstar has broadened Titan's product portfolio and enhanced market share opportunities [34][36] - The integration has met expectations, with synergies in cost and commercial operations being realized [37] Aftermarket Business Growth - The aftermarket segment has grown to represent 45% of sales, providing better margins and a direct connection to end users [54][55] - Continuous investment in aftermarket capabilities is seen as crucial for driving innovation and customer support [55][56] Capital Allocation Strategy - Current capital allocation priorities include paying down debt incurred from the Karlstar acquisition and preparing for future opportunities [60][61] South American Market Insights - The South American market, particularly Brazil, is viewed as significant but often misunderstood due to currency fluctuations [62][63] - The Brazilian agriculture economy is crucial to the global landscape, and Titan has seen business growth in this region since 2011 [63][64] Final Thoughts - Titan believes it is well-positioned for recovery following current market challenges, with significant upside potential once conditions improve [69]

Market Overview - Summer is characterized by lower trading volumes and slower growth, with institutional and retail investors stepping back to plan future moves [1] - Ongoing tariff issues and concerns over the Trump administration's omnibus budget bill are expected to impact market movements negatively [1] Investment Strategy - High-quality dividend stocks are recommended as they provide consistent returns and help investors compound their investments over time [2] - The unpredictability of political developments in Washington, D.C. makes reliable dividend stocks a safer investment choice [2] Company Analysis: JPMorgan Chase & Co. - JPMorgan offers a dividend yield of 2.11% with an annual dividend of $5.60 and a 15-year track record of dividend increases [4] - The bank has achieved mid-to-high single-digit revenue and earnings growth over the past five years, resulting in a total return of over 170% [5] - The bank is positioned to benefit from either elevated interest rates through higher net interest income or from loan growth if rates decrease [6] Company Analysis: Chevron Corp. - Chevron has a dividend yield of 4.88% with an annual dividend of $6.84 and a 38-year history of dividend increases [8] - The stock is currently seen as a good investment despite being range-bound, as Chevron can profitably extract oil even if prices dip into the low $50s [9] - Factors such as potential clarity on tariffs, lower interest rates, and geopolitical tensions could lead to higher oil prices by the end of 2025 [10][11] - Chevron's stock has produced a negative total return of over 12.6% in the past three years, but it remains a dividend aristocrat [12] Company Analysis: The Coca-Cola Company - Coca-Cola has a dividend yield of 2.86% with an annual dividend of $2.04 and a 64-year track record of dividend increases [13] - The stock has increased by about 13% in 2025, outperforming the S&P 500, despite challenges in the consumer discretionary sector [14] - Coca-Cola's diversified beverage portfolio allows it to adapt to changing consumer preferences and maintain pricing power [15] - The company's consistency and dividend reliability are highlighted by notable investors like Warren Buffett [16]

(gentle music) - [Narrator] After the big tariff announcement, something happened that shocked economists, and it wasn't the stock market dropping, it was the value of the dollar dropping. Usually in times of market turmoil, it increases because investors are flocking to the US for safety. - We saw exactly the opposite.Money fled from the US for safety instead of to the US for safety for the first time in my memory. - That was a sign that something was getting different and that people weren't just shifting ...