RT Anthony Pompliano 🌪 (@APompliano)Jordi Visser (@jvisserlabs) joins this week to discuss bitcoin outlook for rest of the year, interest rate cuts, how to evaluate AI acceleration, Nvidia’s $100 billion deal with OpenAI, and what metrics investors should keep an eye on.@JohnPompliano did a great job filling in for me while I was gone. Hopefully he doesn't replace me and rename the show!Enjoy the conversation.YouTube: https://t.co/qBuaS8klWUSpotify: https://t.co/KbdDxdWpiDApple: https://t.co/hirb4gZ28YTIMES ...

Jordi Visser (@jvisserlabs) joins this week to discuss bitcoin outlook for rest of the year, interest rate cuts, how to evaluate AI acceleration, Nvidia’s $100 billion deal with OpenAI, and what metrics investors should keep an eye on.@JohnPompliano did a great job filling in for me while I was gone. Hopefully he doesn't replace me and rename the show!Enjoy the conversation.YouTube: https://t.co/qBuaS8klWUSpotify: https://t.co/KbdDxdWpiDApple: https://t.co/hirb4gZ28YTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - Intro0:37 - Interest ra ...

Certificates of deposit (CD) are definitely having a moment right now. With the Federal Reserve finally starting to trim away at borrowing rates, savers have been left out in the cold. Traditional savings yields inevitably move in-step with the federal funds rate. That’s because most accounts are variable-rate products. As a result, it’s going to get really hard over the coming months to find products that pay out decent interest rates. More News from Barchart But CDs are offering savers a real lifeli ...

Core Viewpoint - Interest rate cuts enhance the attractiveness of high-yield dividend stocks by reducing competition from fixed-income investments and lowering borrowing costs for companies, which supports dividend sustainability and stock price appreciation [1] Group 1 - High-yield dividend stocks become more appealing due to reduced competition from fixed-income investments as interest rates decline [1] - Lower borrowing costs for companies can lead to improved dividend sustainability [1] - The potential for stock price appreciation increases as companies benefit from lower interest rates [1]

Economic Overview - Market participants are weighing signs of a stronger economy against expectations for more interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which recently cut rates for the first time since December [1][10] - Investors are positioning for quarter-end, anticipating volatility due to upcoming earnings reports [3][11] Earnings Season - The S&P 500's third-quarter earnings season is set to begin around mid-October, which is expected to influence market dynamics [4][11] Stock Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 299.97 points (0.65%) to 46,247.29, the S&P 500 gained 38.98 points (0.59%) to 6,643.70, and the Nasdaq Composite increased by 99.37 points (0.44%) to 22,484.07 [6][11] - For the week, the Dow was down 0.2%, the S&P 500 down 0.3%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.7% [6][11] Company-Specific Developments - Shares of truck maker Paccar rose by 5.2% following the announcement of new import tariffs on heavy-duty trucks [11] - Drugmaker Eli Lilly's shares increased by 1.4% amid the same tariff announcements [5][11] - Electronic Arts shares surged by 14.9% after reports of advanced talks to go private [11] Market Sentiment and Fed Commentary - Richmond Fed Bank President Thomas Barkin expressed low confidence in inflation forecasts due to ongoing tariff impacts [7][11] - Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman highlighted the need for decisive action to address decreasing labor market dynamism [7][11] Market Activity - Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 2.25-to-1 ratio on the NYSE, with 205 new highs and 53 new lows [8][11] - On the Nasdaq, 2,920 stocks rose while 1,729 fell, resulting in a 1.69-to-1 ratio of advancing to declining issues [8][11] - Trading volume on U.S. exchanges was 16.98 billion shares, below the 18.11 billion average over the last 20 trading days [9][11]

Market Performance - U.S. stocks experienced a rise on Friday, with the S&P 500 increasing by 0.6%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 299 points (0.7%), and the Nasdaq composite adding 0.4%, helping to reduce weekly losses [1][2] - The S&P 500 closed at 6,643.70, the Dow at 46,247.29, and the Nasdaq at 22,484.07 [8] Inflation and Economic Indicators - Inflation in the U.S. accelerated to 2.7% in August from 2.6% in July, which, while above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, aligned with economists' forecasts [2][3] - Consumer sentiment showed weakness, with a University of Michigan survey indicating frustration with high prices, although inflation expectations for the next 12 months slightly decreased to 4.7% from 4.8% [10][11] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve's potential for continued interest rate cuts is critical for Wall Street, as expectations for these cuts have driven U.S. stocks to record highs since April [3][4] - The Fed recently implemented its first rate cut of the year, but further cuts are uncertain due to concerns about worsening inflation [4] Tariffs and Market Reactions - President Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports, including pharmaceutical drugs and heavy trucks, has created uncertainty among analysts regarding their ultimate effects on the market [5][6] - Companies like Paccar, Eli Lilly, and Pfizer saw stock increases following the tariff announcement, while home furnishing companies experienced volatility in their stock prices [6][7] International Market Trends - European stock indexes rose after declines in Asia, with France's CAC 40 climbing 1% and South Korea's Kospi dropping 2.5% [9] Upcoming Events - A potential U.S. government shutdown is on the horizon, with a deadline set for next week, but historical data suggests limited impact on the market from such political events [12]

Market Overview - Most U.S. stocks are rising, with the S&P 500 up 0.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing by 211 points or 0.5% [3][4] - The Nasdaq composite is down 0.1% due to declines in some major tech stocks, but all three indexes are near their all-time highs [3][4] Inflation and Economic Indicators - Inflation in the U.S. accelerated to 2.7% last month from 2.6% in July, which is above the Federal Reserve's 2% target but aligns with economists' forecasts [4][5] - The Federal Reserve recently cut interest rates for the first time this year, with more cuts anticipated through the end of next year, although there are concerns about the potential impact on inflation [5][6] Tariffs and Market Reactions - President Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports, including pharmaceuticals and furniture, is expected to influence inflation and market dynamics [7][8] - Companies like Paccar and major pharmaceutical firms saw stock increases, while home furnishing retailers experienced volatility in their stock prices due to potential higher import costs [8][9] Company Performance - Costco Wholesale's stock fell 1.9% despite reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly profits, attributed to slower membership renewal rates and disappointing revenue growth [10] - Consumer sentiment is reported to be weaker than expected, with inflation expectations slightly decreasing from 4.8% to 4.7% [11][12] Broader Market Sentiment - Investors are generally accustomed to political impasses, such as the potential U.S. government shutdown, which historically have limited impact on the market [12][13]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman emphasizes the need for decisive interest rate cuts to address the fragility in the labor market and to support job growth [1][2]. Labor Market Conditions - Recent data indicates a more fragile labor market, prompting Bowman to call for proactive measures from the Federal Open Market Committee to address decreasing labor market dynamism [2]. - Bowman expresses concern that the Federal Reserve may already be behind in responding to deteriorating labor market conditions, suggesting that policy adjustments may need to occur at a faster pace and larger scale if current trends continue [2]. Interest Rate Adjustments - The Federal Open Market Committee recently reduced the overnight interest rate target range by 25 basis points to between 4% and 4.25% to bolster the job market, despite ongoing inflation concerns [2][3]. - One Fed governor advocated for a larger rate cut, but Bowman supported the 25-basis point easing, having previously dissented in favor of a rate cut at the end of July [3]. Inflation and Tariffs - Bowman downplays concerns regarding the impact of President Trump's trade tariffs on persistent inflation, stating that when tariffs are excluded, price pressures remain close to the Fed's target [4]. - She argues that Fed policy should prioritize addressing the side of the mandate that shows signs of deterioration, specifically focusing on supporting the job market [4]. Balance Sheet Management - Bowman advocates for maintaining a smaller balance sheet for the Federal Reserve, suggesting that a reduced balance sheet provides flexibility to respond to future economic challenges [5]. - She expresses a preference for an all-Treasury balance sheet with a tilt toward shorter-dated holdings, while noting the possibility of adjusting to longer-dated bonds without increasing the overall size of the holdings [5].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the best growth stocks to buy and hold for the long term, highlighting a positive outlook for equity markets amid a resilient US economy and low-interest-rate environment [1][4]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Global equities are expected to continue rising despite valuation concerns, with a Bank of America survey indicating that most fund managers remain overweight in equities [1][2]. - The risk of a recessionary trade war is diminishing, contributing to a bullish sentiment in equity markets [2]. - The US Federal Reserve's hints at potential interest rate cuts further enhance the outlook for growth stocks, which typically trade at a premium [2][3]. Group 2: Methodology for Stock Selection - The selection of the best growth stocks involved using the Finviz screener to identify stocks with over 10% EPS growth in the past five years and an expected EPS growth rate of at least 20% over the next five years [6]. - The list was narrowed to stocks with a forward price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 20 and popularity among elite hedge funds in Q2 2025 [6][7]. Group 3: Featured Growth Stocks - **Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX)**: - EPS Growth Over the Past Five Years: 36.52% - EPS Growth Over the Next Five Years: 24.58% - Forward Price to Earnings Ratio: 30.31 - Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 53 - UBS raised its price target to $875, citing strong financial health and a robust project environment [8][9][10]. - **Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM)**: - EPS Growth Over the Past Five Years: 22.24% - EPS Growth Over the Next Five Years: 23.36% - Forward Price to Earnings Ratio: 44 - Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 57 - The company is experiencing healthy growth in its spares business and is investing in capacity expansion to meet demand [12][13][14][15]. - **DexCom, Inc. (NASDAQ:DXCM)**: - EPS Growth Over the Past Five Years: 39.06% - EPS Growth Over the Next Five Years: 24.59% - Forward Price to Earnings Ratio: 26.07 - Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 60 - UBS maintains a bullish stance on the company despite concerns over its G7 continuous glucose monitoring sensor, expecting strong demand for CGM technology [16][17][18][19].

Economic Data - U.S. Q2 GDP growth was revised higher to +3.8% (q/q annualized), exceeding expectations of +3.3% [1] - U.S. durable goods orders rose unexpectedly by +2.9% m/m in August, against expectations of -0.3% m/m [1] - Core durable goods orders, excluding transportation, increased by +0.4% m/m, surpassing expectations of -0.1% m/m [1] - Existing home sales fell by -0.2% m/m to 4.00 million in August, slightly better than the expected 3.96 million [1] - Initial jobless claims decreased by -14K to a two-month low of 218K, compared to the expected 233K [1] Stock Market Performance - Wall Street's major indices closed lower, with CarMax (KMX) dropping over -20% after disappointing Q2 results [2] - Chip stocks, including Arm Holdings (ARM) and ON Semiconductor (ON), fell more than -2% [2] - Oracle (ORCL) declined over -5% following a Sell rating initiation by Rothschild & Co. Redburn [2] - Intel (INTC) surged over +8%, becoming the top gainer on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 due to potential investments or partnerships with Apple and TSMC [2] Tariff Announcements - President Trump announced new sectoral tariffs effective October 1st, including a 100% tariff on branded or patented pharmaceuticals unless manufactured in the U.S. [3] - Heavy trucks will face a 25% tariff, kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities a 50% duty, and upholstered furniture imports a 30% tax [3] Federal Reserve Insights - Fed officials expressed concerns about the economy, with some advocating for quick interest rate cuts due to inflation nearing the 2% target [5] - Rate futures indicate an 87.7% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the October FOMC meeting [6] European Market Reactions - Euro Stoxx 50 Index rose +0.62% as investors reacted to U.S. tariffs and awaited U.S. inflation data [10] - The European Commission secured a 15% ceiling on U.S. pharmaceutical tariffs [10] - German business daily reported potential tariffs of 25% to 50% on Chinese steel and related products [10] Japanese Market Developments - Japan's Nikkei 225 Index closed lower, influenced by U.S. tariffs and losses on Wall Street [13] - Pharmaceutical stocks in Japan declined following the announcement of a 100% tariff on U.S. imports [13] - Core inflation in Tokyo held steady but remained above the Bank of Japan's target, indicating potential for future interest rate hikes [13][14]