All right, so estimates 2.9% headline. I know Jay Pal said 2.9% was fine for PCE. Is 2.9% okay for CPI knowing that we have this Fed meeting coming up just uh less than a week, just about 6 days away.And if it comes in in line or lower, what do you think that means for the market. Well, tough questions, right. A lot of questions.Uh 2.9%'s above the Fed's target. I mean, the CPI runs about a half a point above the consumer expenditure deflator, which is what the Fed targets, and that's the 2% target. So if y ...

Group 1 - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a winning streak following a decline in the August wholesale inflation report, which was unexpected in both headline and core figures [2][4] - Mexico plans to impose a significant increase in tariffs on cars from China, raising the rate from 20% to as much as 50% to protect domestic industry and jobs [2] - Chipotle is expanding its brand into Asia, marking a strategic move for the company [4] Group 2 - Opendoor has appointed Shopify's COO as its new CEO, with co-founders rejoining the company [3] - The IPO of Klarna has seen a strong debut, while StubHub is set to go public next week [4] - Amazon is developing augmented reality glasses to compete with Meta [4]

Economic Outlook - The likelihood of a recession in 2026 is fluctuating, with the Conference Board predicting that higher tariffs will negatively impact GDP growth into the next year [1] - Fidelity and J.P. Morgan have noted a significant decrease in the likelihood of a recession in recent months, with Fidelity stating that current signals do not indicate an imminent recession [1] Financial Planning - Fidelity emphasizes the importance of having a financial plan that accommodates various scenarios for reassurance [1]

This is The Takeaway from today's Morning Brief, which you can sign up to receive in your inbox every morning along with: The Chart of the Day What we're watching What we're reading Economic data releases and earnings It's a tough market for job seekers right now. It's an even tougher one for young people. Looking around from the lowest rungs of the career ladder is an unpleasant scene: high unemployment, loss of purchasing power, and the onset of an AI era that is eradicating the idea of an entry-l ...

Group 1 - Investors are increasingly worried about a potential recession, with 43% feeling "bearish" and only 33% "bullish" in the latest survey [1] - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that a weakening labor market may lead to interest rate cuts, although a recession in 2025 is not guaranteed [2] - Historical data shows that while recessions can last for years, the market has always managed to recover, suggesting a long-term positive outlook for investors [10] Group 2 - During stock market downturns, portfolios typically lose value, but losses are only realized when investments are sold [4][6] - Holding onto investments during market declines can prevent locking in losses, as prices may recover over time [5] - The article emphasizes that even strong stocks can lose value during downturns, but selling them at a loss is the only way to secure those losses [6]

Citi CEO Jane Fraser says merger activity is rebounding as US companies gain confidence, with a recession in the world’s largest economy looking unlikely https://t.co/xymFmKFREi ...

Target of 90-94k comes faster than you think. Market risk is maxed. First comes the 90-94k crash, what follows is early to tell now: either more downside or an explosive run to 120–140k. What’s next again is CLEAR: Recession crash in early 2026 ...

Hello and welcome to Ask for a Trend. I'm Josh Lipton and for the next half hour, we are breaking down the trends of today that'll move stocks tomorrow. There's a lot to keep track of, so we're focusing on what you need to know to get ahead of the curve.Here are some of the trends we're going to be diving into. Stocks closing mixed Wednesday. Investors saw Oracle surge and investors are eyeing inflation data and any moves of course around the Federal Reserve.And CLA makes its official Wall Street debut IPOi ...

A stalling labor market points to slower growth ahead in the US. A drop in stock prices on this reality would be a buying opportunity, @edwarnh argues, as long as a recession isn't on the horizon https://t.co/5FNRZJgyk8 ...

Market Outlook & Economic Indicators - The yield curve, a leading economic indicator, inverted for 784 days, the longest in US history, signaling potential economic trouble ahead [2] - Historically, a market crash (recession) has occurred within 2-6 months after the yield curve normalization, but this cycle's inversion lasted much longer, suggesting a delayed but inevitable recession [2] - The analysis suggests a high-risk period for a recessionary crash extending through Q2 2026 [2][5] - Bond market conditions (10-year yield ~405%, 2-year yield ~347%) indicate high risk, mirroring pre-crash scenarios of 2001 and 2007 [2] Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis & Trading Strategy - Despite the recessionary outlook, the analysis maintains a 90,000-94,000 USD target for Bitcoin [1][3][4][5] - The firm has already executed 70% capital sits in USDT/shorts, and the remaining 30% spot is waiting for a retest of the short zone to unload and add even more shorts [3] - The strategy involves selling 10% of spot holdings daily into strength and loading shorts around the 115,000-125,000 USD distribution zone [3] - Post 90,000-94,000 USD target, the analysis anticipates either a move towards 140,000 USD before the recession crash or an immediate recession crash [4] - Any long positions taken after a potential 90,000 USD bounce will be treated as high-risk due to the high confidence in a crash occurring between now and Q2 2026 [5]