Group 1 - The market reaction to CPI shelter indicates a significant consensus view, particularly influenced by home builder Lenar, highlighting a 40% inflation in housing prices since 2019 [1] - CarMax reported an 8% decline in car prices, suggesting a connection to the CPI trends and indicating a return to pre-inflation levels [2] - Heating costs for the average home are projected to reach approximately $1,000 this winter, reflecting a 9% increase, which may impact consumer spending [4] Group 2 - Memory prices are on the rise, indicating potential challenges for companies in the semiconductor industry, particularly Micron [3][4]

Let's begin with this market reaction to CPI shelter uh carrying an awful lot of water which is kind of a consensus view Jim going into 26. >> Yes, you got to go with what Lenar is saying too. Giant home builder uh dovetales with this.You go to you go to Gemini uh you put in Lenar uh you put in home prices LAR and you'll see uh way back all the way back to 2019 before there was inflation you know but this is the 40% inflation in housing David. Yeah. >> Done.Okay. See you then you look at CarMax you look at ...

📊 MARKETS: U.S. inflation data surprises, with CPI higher by just 2.7% in November@btcjvs reports:https://t.co/tuuBEEVK0n ...

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy is currently facing a unique situation characterized by rising inflation alongside slowing job growth over the past year [1] - This situation has created complexities that may resemble stagflation, although it has not been explicitly labeled as such in previous analyses [1]

Yeah. Uh here we go. We got Java is just coming straight across here falling to 224 in the week of December 13th from 237.Uh that was revised up from 236. So not a big deal. Uh let's see.4-week average rising to 217 because remember we had that big low number from Thanksgiving. So that was a seasonal problem I think. Continued claim rising to 1.897% in the week of December 6th.Um that's below consensus and it is up from 1.83% the prior week but still not at 1.9%. Now the number of the morning the CPI >> oh ...

Let's bring in our panel. Joining us now, Brookings Institution Economic Studies senior fellow Wendy Edelberg and American Institute for Economic Research Monetary Economics Managing Director Lydia Mashburn Newman. Welcome to you both.Uh Wendy, I mean, I know you haven't kind of been able to dig into the guts of this report, but it seems like a pretty benign reading. Uh how do you feel about it. Yeah, it's frustrating because they haven't even posted the information that I would need to to really um parse a ...

Inflation Trends and Tariff Effects - The year-over-year change in the prices of core goods is reported at 1.4%, indicating a modest inflationary effect, particularly influenced by tariffs [3] - The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) is at 2.7% year-over-year, which is seen as a positive sign, although it is compared to higher inflation numbers from the previous year [4] - Tariffs are expected to continue impacting inflation through 2026 and possibly into 2027, as firms are still working through inventory hoarded before the tariffs were implemented [7] Labor Market and Economic Outlook - The labor market appears slightly soft, with monthly payroll employment gains around 20,000, which is below the estimated break-even point influenced by immigration [8] - There are expectations of lower interest rates alongside higher inflation, which may not align with market predictions regarding the Federal Reserve's future actions [9]

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the inflation outlook continues to be more uncertain than usual. "Inflation could turn out to be lower if the rise in US tariffs reduces demand for euro-area exports," Lagarde explained during a news conference in Frankfurt after policymakers left interest rates unchanged for a fourth straight meeting. "By contrast, inflation could turn out to be higher if more fragmented global supply chains pushed up import prices, curtailed the supply of critical ra ...

Well, better late than never is a good way to put it, Lisa, because the news is pretty good on a two month basis. Remember, we didn't get October CPI and we're not going to get much out of that 2.7% for the year over year move in CPI. That is down from 3% in September.The last release we got the core CPI on a year over year basis falls from 3% to 2.6%. So good news on inflation. Meanwhile, good news on the job front with initial jobless claims falling to 224,000 from 237,000 revised the week prior.On a cont ...

Inflation came in way lower than expectations, which means the Fed should have cut interest rates by 50 basis points. ...