The fifth volume of the Yahoo Finance Chart book is here. And essentially what this project is is I ask strategists across Wall Street and economists across Wall Street a simple question. What is the most important chart for investors right now.And we can sort of form a consensus of what people are thinking about, what the risks are out there, and what the top things are that for this chart book have been driving this stock market rally. If we go back to January, a lot of uh contributors had told us that th ...

Vibe Coding Tool Replit Doubles In Valuation To $3 Billion https://t.co/lxASxmLCHE https://t.co/9np0BM0qRI ...

🔥 LATEST: OpenAI raises $8.3B at a $300B valuation, per NYT. https://t.co/7lExJ40Lf0 ...

Core Viewpoint - Axon Enterprise, Inc. is expected to report strong second-quarter 2025 results, with earnings projected at $1.54 per share and revenues at $643 million, reflecting significant year-over-year growth [2][8]. Financial Performance - The earnings estimates for the second quarter have increased by 4.8% over the past 60 days, indicating a 28.3% increase from the previous year [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues suggests a year-over-year growth of 27.6% [2]. - Axon has a history of exceeding earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 19.8% over the last four quarters [3]. Segment Performance - The Connected Devices segment is anticipated to generate revenues of $364 million, a 23.4% increase from the previous year, driven by strong demand for TASER devices and the new Axon Body 4 camera [6][8]. - The Software & Services segment is expected to see revenues rise by 35.4% to $283 million, supported by user growth and enhanced cloud offerings [9][8]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on acquisitions and partnerships to enhance its product offerings, including the acquisition of Dedrone for airspace security and a partnership with Skydio for drone solutions [10]. - The increase in the number of users on the Axon network and benefits from recent acquisitions are likely to contribute positively to future performance [19]. Market Position - Axon shares have increased by 20.3% over the past three months, outperforming the S&P 500's 12.2% increase [12]. - The company's current valuation is high, with a forward P/E ratio of 103.48X, significantly above the industry average of 52.76X, which may pose risks if market sentiment changes [15][16]. Investment Outlook - The company is well-positioned for sustained growth due to its diversified product portfolio, strategic collaborations, and strong market demand [18][20]. - Positive analyst sentiment and robust growth prospects make Axon an attractive addition to investment portfolios [20].

OpenAI reportedly raises $8.3B at $300B valuation | TechCrunch https://t.co/Jz8qFcFfXJ ...

Token Launch Performance - A significant majority of 2025's most hyped token launches turned into instant bag holder situations despite blue chip optics [6] - Losers in the studied group shed between 25% and 74% of their total dollar value since their respective token generation event [11] - Only a roughly 1 in 3 rate for tokens outperformed BTC, indicating hyped token launches are far from a guaranteed success [13] Key Factors Influencing Token Success - Early relative strength (outperforming BTC in the first couple of weeks) is a strong indicator of continued success [13][14] - High premiums for public investors compared to private sale rounds often weigh down price, unless the project has strong product-market fit and a compelling narrative [26] - Initially low circulating supply can be bullish if there's a sensible unlock schedule [32] Market Timing and Volume - Launching a token right after a big BTC rally can be detrimental, as the market may be exhausted [35][36] - High day-one trading volume is important, but a sharp drop-off in volume (e g, by half in the first month) can signal fading interest and potential price decline [47][48] Risk Management - Investors should be skeptical of launches backed by big exchanges or prominent investors, and remember the overarching themes [11] - Ignoring Bitcoin's market movements can be risky when evaluating a new token launch [43]

OpenAI raised $8.3bn at a $300bn valuation.Anyone here get a ticket? https://t.co/D1ALUx0ot3 ...

Market Overview & Valuation Concerns - The market experienced a downturn, with the Dow sliding 330 points, S&P declining 037%, and Nasdaq edging down 003%, attributed to concerns over inflated valuations exemplified by Figma's IPO [3] - The speaker emphasizes that valuation matters, and euphoria in the market is detrimental to business [3][4] - The speaker introduces "Fig Newtons law," suggesting that what goes up (in terms of valuation) must come down, cautioning against a new phase of the bull market driven by ludicrous valuations [15][16] Company Performance (Microsoft & Meta) - Microsoft and Meta exceeded earnings estimates significantly, driven by investments in artificial intelligence [5][6] - Microsoft's stock trades at approximately 35 times earnings, while Meta trades at less than 29 times earnings [6][7] - Microsoft gained nearly 4%, and Meta jumped more than 11% following their earnings reports [7] - The speaker believes Microsoft and Meta are undervalued compared to the S&P 500, which sells at 24 times earnings [8] Figma IPO & Valuation - Figma's IPO priced at $33, opened at $85, and closed at $115 and change, highlighting concerns about excessive valuation [2] - Figma's valuation is considered wildly inflated because it doesn't make that much money, making a price-to-earnings multiple irrelevant [13][14] - Figma's valuation is judged on a price-to-sales basis, reaching 67 times sales assuming 40% growth, compared to Meta at ten times sales and Microsoft at 12 times sales [14] Amazon & Apple Performance - Amazon reported a good quarter with healthy top and bottom lines, with better-than-expected sales across divisions, but gave mixed guidance [18][19] - Apple's sales and earnings came in substantially better, driven by strong iPhone sales, with 10% revenue growth [20]

Market Valuation & Sentiment - Figma's IPO surge to $115 after pricing at $33 reflects market euphoria and unreasonable valuation [1] - The market's decline was attributed to Figma's overvaluation, highlighting the importance of reasonable valuations [2][3] - Euphoria is considered detrimental to business [3] Company Performance & Comparison - Microsoft briefly reached a $4 trillion valuation [4] - Meta's valuation is just under $2 trillion [4] - Microsoft sells at roughly 35 times earnings, while Meta sells for less than 29 times earnings [6] - Microsoft's stock gained nearly 4%, and Meta's jumped more than 11% following strong earnings reports [6] Strategic Investment & Future Outlook - Microsoft and Meta's success is attributed to significant investments in artificial intelligence [5] - Despite their size, Microsoft and Meta are considered undervalued compared to national economies [7]

Market Sentiment and Valuation - The market's sentiment suggests it could continue to rise, but valuation and earnings models indicate it may be overextended for 2025 [3] - Current GDP growth of 1-2% is not typically a strong foundation for the stock market [4] - Top 10 market cap names are approaching recent peak median PE forward numbers, nearing 25 times [10] - The rest of the market has a median PE of around 185 times, but earnings are not supporting a catch-up trade [11] Earnings and Corporate Performance - There are significant gaps up and down in stock movements, suggesting liquidity issues and visibility challenges in earnings [6] - Some companies are managing challenges better than others, creating a stock picker's market with winners and losers [7] - Corporate America is generally managing through challenges well, but not uniformly [7] AI and Growth Expectations - The AI story remains intact, supporting valuations of tech names [9] - Relative long-term earnings growth rates of the top 10 companies track their relative PE almost perfectly [14] - Meta is up 11% [5] Economic Outlook and Fed Policy - The speaker felt the Federal Reserve Chair Powell was hawkish and did not indicate a September rate cut [16] - The market has recovered faster from the April 8th lows than in previous growth scares [17] - There is softening in services, as seen in super core measures [19] - There is an incomplete discussion in earnings calls about demand, making it difficult to assess the setup for the next quarter [20][21]