据悉，以色列各层级正在进行密集磋商。原定于19日召开的以色列安全内阁会议已紧急推迟至本周日（22日），此举被视为应对突发局势的战术调整。（总 台记者 梁慧） 以色列高级官员证实，如果美国发动袭击，以色列会加入对伊军事行动。虽然行动未必完全同步，但两国间的军事协同程度目前处于极高水平。 目前以色列国防军及安全部门已全面提升警戒级别。以色列后方司令部和其他应急机构已明确接到指示："做好战争准备"。以方评估认为，一旦美以发动大 规模攻击，伊朗极大概率将使用远程导弹对以色列本土实施报复。 当地时间18日，以色列高级官员称，美国对伊朗发动军事打击的"时间表正在缩短"。由于美伊新一轮谈判未取得实质性进展，以方研判美国总统特朗普极可 能在近期"通过"攻击计划。 ...

目前尚不清楚哪些国家可能同意美方使用其领空为以军战机加油。约旦、沙特阿拉伯、阿拉伯联合酋长 国已公开表示不会允许其领空被用于对伊朗的任何袭击，也不会允许其领空被用于伊朗对别国发动袭 击。 （文章来源：央视新闻） 当地时间15日获悉，消息人士称，美国总统特朗普曾告诉以色列总理内塔尼亚胡，如果美国与伊朗无法 达成协议，他将支持以色列空袭伊朗弹道导弹设施。两名知情人士表示，特朗普去年12月在佛罗里达州 海湖庄园会晤内塔尼亚胡时作出这一许诺。 另外两名美方知情官员说，美国军方和情报部门高层已开始讨论支持以色列发动空袭的可能性，重点不 在于以方是否会行动，而在于美方如何协助以军空袭，包括为以军战机空中加油，确保相关国家同意美 以军机飞越其领空等。 ...

伊朗事态再度生变！ 据法新社报道，当地时间周六，约有20万人参加了慕尼黑反对伊朗政府的示威。抗议发生之际，世界领导人正 聚集在这座德国南部城市，召开全球安全会议。 与此同时，路透社一则报道也刷屏。报道称，美国军方正为如果特朗普下令发动攻击，可能对伊朗发动持续数 周的行动做准备，这场冲突可能比两国此前见过的更为严重。 另据Axios当地时间周六报道，美国总统特朗普和以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡同意加大对伊朗的经济压力。 伊朗的双向压力 伊朗政府面对的压力正在加大。 一方面，当地时间周六，约有20万人参加了慕尼黑反对伊朗政府的示威。抗议者举着标语牌，挥舞旗帜，敲鼓 并高喊政权更迭口号，巴列维将其描述为"全球行动号召"，支持来自海外的伊朗人，以应对持续的反政府抗 议。 "变革，变革，政权更迭！"庞大的人群高喊，挥舞着带有狮子和太阳徽章的绿白红旗帜，这正是伊朗在1979年 推翻巴列维王朝的伊斯兰革命前使用的旗帜。巴列维在周六慕尼黑会议上警告说，如果"民主国家袖手旁观"， 在伊朗上月对抗议者的致命镇压后，伊朗将有更多死亡。 另一方面，据Axios报道，特朗普和内塔尼亚胡同意加大对伊朗的经济压力。报道援引两位知情美国官员 ...

《以色列时报》分析说，由于以军不再受以色列被扣押人员问题制约，如果冲突再度爆发，"战斗可能 会比以往更加激烈和广泛"。 来源：新华网 新华社耶路撒冷2月10日电（记者庞昕熠 冯国芮）《以色列时报》10日报道说，以色列国防军正在制订 计划，准备在加沙地带"发动新攻势，以武力解除巴勒斯坦伊斯兰抵抗运动（哈马斯）的武装"。 报道说，以军南方司令部正在制订一系列在加沙地带的行动计划，以备政府下令以军武力解除哈马斯的 武装，但目前计划实施前景仍不明朗。以方认为，如果以色列国防军不采取行动，哈马斯将"不可能"解 除武装。 哈马斯高级领导人哈立德·迈沙阿勒8日在卡塔尔首都多哈表示，哈马斯不应交出武器，不接受外部势力 管理加沙。哈马斯7日发表声明说，以色列持续升级在加沙地带的军事行动，严重破坏停火协议，无视 调解方及美国政府为推动停火所作的努力。 ...

Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 97.363, while spot gold opened at $4944.54 per ounce and is currently trading at approximately $5048.82 per ounce [1] - The previous trading day saw the US dollar index rise by 0.06% to 97.445, and spot gold increased by 6.15% to $4945.74 per ounce [1] - Other precious metals also experienced price increases, with spot silver rising by 7.48% to $85.07 per ounce, platinum up by 4.18% to $2214.00 per ounce, and palladium increasing by 0.78% to $1741.50 per ounce [1] Group 2 - As of February 3, COMEX gold inventory increased by 4.05 tons to 1112.12 tons, while COMEX silver inventory rose by 57.24 tons to 12561.37 tons [2] - SPDR gold ETF holdings decreased by 3.72 tons to 1083.38 tons, and SLV silver ETF holdings fell by 108.89 tons to 16437.70 tons [2] - The payment direction for deferred compensation fees indicates that for gold (Au t+d), longs are paying shorts, while for silver (Ag t+d), shorts are paying longs [2]

Core Viewpoint - The situation between Iran, the U.S., and Israel is escalating, with potential military conflict looming as U.S. naval forces are positioned in the region and Iran's leadership is taking precautions [1][9]. Group 1: Current Situation - Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei has moved to a fortified bunker in Tehran, indicating heightened security measures amid rising tensions [1]. - The U.S. Navy's Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group has arrived in the Middle East, suggesting that the U.S. may be on the verge of making a decision to attack Iran [1]. - The week of January 26 to February 1 is being referred to as a critical week, with military forces from the U.S. and Israel positioned against Iran, while Iran threatens retaliation [1]. Group 2: Historical Context - A previous military conflict, known as the Twelve-Day War, occurred between June 13 and June 24, 2025, where Israel conducted airstrikes in Iran, leading to Iranian missile attacks on Israel [2]. - During the 2025 conflict, Khamenei's location was unknown, but U.S. President Trump indicated that Khamenei was a vulnerable target, although he was deemed safe at that time [2]. Group 3: Internal and External Factors - The current situation differs from the 2025 conflict, as Iran is now facing internal unrest due to economic issues, which complicates its response to external threats [4]. - The U.S. and Israel may consider the potential for regime change in Iran if Khamenei is removed, which could influence their military strategy [4]. Group 4: Leadership and Strategy - Trump's approach to military action is characterized by caution, as seen in his handling of Venezuela, suggesting he may be more hesitant to engage in a full-scale conflict with Iran [5][6]. - Historical patterns indicate that both Iran and the U.S. have previously engaged in high-stakes rhetoric while avoiding full military escalation, focusing instead on limited military actions [7]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The likelihood of war is considered high, with uncertainty surrounding the specific targets of any potential U.S. missile strikes if conflict were to erupt [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) recently destroyed a 4-kilometer tunnel used by Hamas in southern Gaza, which was reported to contain weapons and living quarters [1][3]. Group 1: Tunnel Destruction - The tunnel destruction operation began a year ago and was completed recently [3]. - The IDF released video footage of the destroyed tunnel [1]. Group 2: Military Engagements - Following a firefight in Rafah, the IDF reported killing six gunmen and discovering military equipment, bomb-making manuals, and at least one explosive device [3]. - Additionally, five abandoned rocket launchers were found at another location in Rafah [3]. Group 3: Hamas Response - As of the report's publication, there has been no response from Hamas regarding the tunnel destruction [3].

Group 1 - The situation in Iran has escalated, with the U.S. deploying a significant naval presence in the Middle East, including at least one aircraft carrier and additional missile defense systems [1][4] - The USS Abraham Lincoln strike group, which includes multiple destroyers and a missile cruiser, is equipped with a large number of missile launch systems that could be used for offensive actions against Iran [4] - The U.S. military has also deployed F-15E fighter jets and C-17 transport aircraft to the region, with F-16s expected to follow [4] Group 2 - An Iranian official stated that any U.S. attack would be considered a "full-scale war" against Iran, emphasizing that the Iranian military is on high alert and prepared for the worst-case scenario [6][7] - Iran's military capabilities have reportedly improved since the "12th War" in June 2025, with enhancements in both the quantity and quality of missile defenses [8] - The Iranian military is ready to respond to any aggressive actions, asserting that they will use all available resources to counter threats to their sovereignty [7][8] Group 3 - There are indications that Israel is actively seeking opportunities to attack Iran, which could further destabilize the already volatile regional situation [9] - Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan warned that Israel's military intentions could have serious repercussions for regional security [9][10] - Discussions between Iranian President and Turkish President highlighted the importance of Iran's stability for Turkey and condemned any foreign interference in Iran [10]

Core Viewpoint - Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan indicated that Israel is still seeking opportunities to attack Iran, which could further destabilize the already volatile regional situation [1] Group 1: Turkey's Position - Fidan warned that Israel's intentions to conduct military operations against Iran disregard the potential consequences for regional security [1] - During a recent visit to Tehran, Fidan communicated these concerns to Iranian officials [1] Group 2: Iran's Response - Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi discussed regional security and bilateral relations with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, emphasizing the importance of Iran's stability for Turkey [1] - Raisi accused terrorist organizations, allegedly supported by the U.S. and Israel, of orchestrating attacks during recent unrest in Iran, which led to increased violence [1] Group 3: U.S. Military Presence - An Iranian senior official noted that Iran is aware of the U.S. increasing military presence in the Middle East, stating that any form of attack would be regarded as a "full-scale war" against Iran, prompting a strong response [1]

Core Viewpoint - Israel has raised its alert level due to concerns that U.S. President Trump may decide to attack Iran imminently, potentially leading to a regional conflict involving missile strikes against Israel [1] Group 1: Military Preparedness - The Israeli defense department is seriously assessing the likelihood of an imminent attack and is preparing for various scenarios, including missile strikes [1] - Israeli military officials indicate that if the U.S. launches an attack, Iran may retaliate by firing missiles at Israel, which could lead to Israeli airstrikes on targets within Iran [1] Group 2: Regional Conflict Dynamics - Israeli defense officials believe that if conflict escalates, the Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen are more likely to engage in attacks against Israel than Hezbollah in Lebanon [1] - The Trump administration has issued multiple threats of military action against Iran, prompting Iran to declare its highest state of military readiness [1] Group 3: U.S. Military Movements - The U.S. is reportedly increasing its military presence in the Middle East, including the deployment of the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group [1]