1、短期大涨后部分资金后续或有借事件利好获利了结倾向，可能将造成近期波动加大； 2、市场风险偏好不减、基本面改善（预期）较大、地缘政治刺激频频、资本运作力度提升，共同支撑 着国防军工板块重心继续上移； 3、热点板块如有回调依然应保持关注，同时滞涨标的机会也将逐步出现。 8月19日早盘，国防军工板块大面积回调，代码有"八一" 的国防军工ETF（512810）一度下探2%，场 内放量溢价，不到半日成交已超1亿元，显示买盘资金尤为强劲。 人气成份股走势分化。菲利华、航天科技重挫居前。年内4倍牛股长城军工再现逆转，盘初一度下挫 8%，而后快速拉起冲高，振幅超13%！中国船舶吸并中国重工后今日复牌，高开逾6%，现涨2%。 | | | 分时 多日 1分 5分 15分 30分 60分 · | | | | F9 盘前盘后 壁加 九转 图线 工具 3 (2) > | | | 国防军工ETF 1 | 512810 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 512810[国防军工ETF] 11:03 价 0.722 ...

Group 1 - The defense and military sector experienced a significant surge on August 18, with the "Bayi" defense ETF (512810) rising by 2%, reaching a three-and-a-half-year high, with trading volume exceeding 110 million yuan [1] - Several key stocks in the sector saw substantial rebounds, including Changcheng Military Industry, which surged over 8% with a volatility exceeding 14%, and China Haifang and Tianhai Defense, both rising over 7% [1] - A press conference is scheduled for August 20, 2025, to discuss preparations for a military parade, which is expected to catalyze interest in the defense sector [1] Group 2 - Multiple institutions have recently emphasized the importance of monitoring the military parade as a catalyst for market movements, noting that previous parades from 2015 to 2019 led to impulse-like increases in the defense sector [3] - Citic Securities reports that the market's profit-making effect is accumulating, and the trend of incremental liquidity is expected to continue, recommending a focus on the defense sector along with innovative pharmaceuticals, resources, communications, and gaming [3] - Citic Jin Investment suggests that attention should be paid to new sectors while rotating between them, highlighting defense and military, AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, humanoid robots, beauty care, electronics, non-bank financials, and metals as key areas [3] Group 3 - The "Bayi" defense ETF (512810) is designed to cover both traditional military forces and emerging sectors, including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core defense assets [3]

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector remains highly active ahead of the upcoming military parade, with the "August 1" defense and military ETF (512810) opening higher on August 18 [1] - Key stocks in the sector include China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation and Tianhai Defense, both of which saw gains exceeding 5%, while popular stock Great Wall Industry fell by 4% and Aerospace Science and Technology dropped by 2% [1] - The defense and military ETF (512810) recorded a weekly trading volume of 594 million yuan, marking the second-highest level this year, indicating strong market sentiment [1] Group 2 - Multiple institutions have recently emphasized the importance of monitoring the military parade as a catalyst for market movements, noting that previous parades from 2015 to 2019 led to significant price increases in the defense and military sector [3] - According to a report from CITIC Securities, the market's profit-making effect continues to accumulate, and the trend of increasing liquidity is expected to persist, suggesting a focus on the defense and military sector along with other strong industries [3] - The "August 1" defense and military ETF (512810) is highlighted as an efficient investment tool that covers various hot topics such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion [3]

| 分时 多日 = | F9 帝前魯后 晉加 九詩 國线 丁具 (2) > | 国际空间中心 | 0 7 5 +0.004 +0.56% | 512810[国防军工ETF] 10:46 价 0.715 涨跌 0.004(0.56 ... | LAND TO THE LEAST OF CHANGE OF THE CONTRACT AND THE CONTRACT CONTR | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0.716 | 0.70% | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 用融/ ● + | SSE CNY 10:46:00 交易中 | 0.714 | 华宝中证军工ETF | 净值走势 | 申旋清单 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 委北 | 3.78% 型 | 10357 | 最小申赎单位份额 ...

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector showed mixed performance, with Longcheng Military experiencing a drop of over 8% and Aerospace Science and Technology hitting the daily limit down, while commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy stocks rebounded, with Feiliwa rising over 12% to reach a historical high [1] - The National Defense and Military ETF (512810) managed to turn positive during trading, indicating strong buying interest, with over 44 million yuan of funds added on dips [1][3] - As the A-share market enters a period of intensive semi-annual report disclosures, the alignment between expectations and actual performance in the defense and military sector will be crucial for sustained growth [3] Group 2 - Three constituent stocks of the National Defense and Military ETF (512810) have released their mid-year reports for 2025, with Yingliu Co. and Xiangdian Co. achieving double-digit revenue growth year-on-year, while Haige Communication barely made a profit, with net profit down over 98% [3][4] - Recent institutional reports have highlighted the importance of the upcoming military parade as a potential catalyst for the sector, noting that previous parades from 2015 to 2019 saw a pulse-like increase in the defense and military stocks [4] - The National Defense and Military ETF (512810) covers various popular themes including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core assets of the defense and military sector [5]

Core Viewpoint - The defense and military sector is experiencing volatility, with significant fluctuations in stock prices, particularly in the context of the recent market movements and upcoming financial disclosures [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index broke through 3700 points before experiencing a pullback, with the technology growth sector showing rapid differentiation and the defense and military sector declining [1]. - The defense military ETF (512810) opened at a three-and-a-half-year high but later fell by 1.66%, despite strong buying interest and a trading volume of 1.39 billion yuan, indicating high market activity [1][3]. - Longcheng Military and other popular stocks saw significant declines after reaching historical highs, with Longcheng Military dropping 7.12% on a trading volume of 85.85 billion yuan, despite a recent surge of over 100% in the past month [3]. Group 2: Stock Analysis - The defense military ETF (512810) has been actively attracting capital, with continuous premium trading and high-frequency trading activity, suggesting ongoing investor interest in the sector [3][4]. - China Great Wall stock showed resilience, hitting a new high for the year with a 3.6% increase and a trading volume of 121 billion yuan, making it the third-largest stock in the A-share market [3]. - The market is expected to face a tug-of-war between bulls and bears following recent breakthroughs, with profit-taking potentially increasing volatility in the defense and military sector [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The upcoming military parade is anticipated to boost sentiment and expectations in the defense and military sector, potentially catalyzing further market activity [3]. - The upcoming half-year reports are crucial, as the alignment between expectations and actual results could significantly impact the sector's continued upward trajectory [3].

8月14日午后，大盘新高后回落，国防军工板块加速走低，代码有"八一"的高人气国防军工ETF （512810）场内价格一度下探2%！场内放量溢价，成交快速突破1亿元。 回归板块逻辑，银河证券研报认为，内需+军贸+阅兵情绪共振，国防军工迎发展机遇。具体而言： 短期看，随着Q1订单放量，高库存背景下，Q2部分中上游企业业绩端或将改善，并逐步向中下游传 导。其次，"9·3"阅兵为行情重要催化剂。 中期看，"十五五"装备计划预期积极，订单端牵引有望于Q4落地。此外，2027年建军百年近在咫尺， 三年高景气有望延续。 长期看，印巴冲突擦亮中国军工名片，军贸迎来"Deepseek"时刻，内需+军贸共振，装备需求空间打 开；其次，北约各国大幅提升军费支出，全球军备竞赛升级，我国军费仍有较大提升空间。 【投军工，选"八一"】代码有"八一"的国防军工ETF（512810）兼顾传统主战力量与新域新质力量，覆 盖"商业航天 + 低空经济 + 大飞机 + 深海科技 + 军用AI + 可控核聚变"等诸多热门题材，同时是融资融 券标的+互联互通标的，是一键投资国防军工核心资产的高效工具。 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 热门成份股集体 ...

Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a significant surge on August 13, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving an 8-day winning streak and surpassing the previous high from the "9·24" market, reaching a peak of 3688.63 points, the highest in nearly four years [1] - The total trading volume of the two markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan, indicating strong market activity [1] Sector Highlights - The technology and defense sectors have shown rapid growth, with the defense and military industry being particularly active. The high-profile defense ETF (512810) reached a new high of 0.724 yuan, marking a 3.5-year peak with a trading volume of 1.36 billion yuan [1] - Five stocks within the sector hit the daily limit, including Feilihua, which surged by 20%, and Changcheng Military, which has seen its stock price double in the past month [3] Fund Flow and Stock Performance - The defense ETF (512810) saw significant inflows, with major stocks like China Great Wall receiving 1.124 billion yuan from institutional investors, indicating strong market confidence [3] - Other stocks such as Feilihua, Aerospace Science and Technology, and Changcheng Military also experienced substantial net inflows, highlighting the sector's attractiveness [3] Industry Outlook - The commercial aerospace sector is identified as a key growth area, with recent satellite launches indicating a burgeoning industry. As of August 9, a total of 73 low-orbit satellites have been launched [4] - Historical analysis suggests that defense and military stocks typically experience a surge in sentiment and performance around significant events such as military parades, with August being a critical period ahead of such events [4][5] Investment Logic - Short-term prospects are positive due to increased orders and improving performance in mid to upstream companies, with the "9·3" military parade acting as a catalyst for market activity [5] - Mid-term expectations are bolstered by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and anticipated orders, while long-term growth is supported by rising military expenditures globally and increased domestic demand for military equipment [5] ETF Characteristics - The defense ETF (512810) provides exposure to a range of sectors including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and military AI, making it an efficient tool for investing in core defense assets [5]

8月13日早盘，沪指开盘后快速突破去年"924行情"前高，上探3680.477点，创2021年12月14日以来新高！ 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：国防军工ETF被动跟踪中证军工指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于2013.12.26。以上个股均为标的指数成份股，仅作展示，个 股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的本基金的风险等级为R3-中风 险，适宜平衡型（C3）及以上投资者，适当性匹配意见请以销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图 表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成 对阅读者任何形式的投资建议，亦不对因使用本文内容所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险，基金的过往业绩并不代表其未 来表现，基金管理人管理的其他基金的业绩并不构成基金业绩表现的保证，基金投资需谨慎。 商业航天消息面，国网星座3组卫星互联网低轨卫星近日成功发射入轨。9天3发，高密度的发射节奏，显示出我国卫星互联网建设正在提速。 我国商 ...

8月13日早盘，沪指开盘后快速突破去年"924行情"前高，上探3680.477点，创2021年12月14日以来新 高！ 科技成长风靡全市场，国防军工板块强势反弹！代码有"八一"的高人气国防军工ETF（512810）开盘后 快速拉涨逾1%，成交超5400万元，近10日逾1．4亿元资金提前埋伏！ 数据来源于沪深交易所、公开资料等。 风险提示：国防军工ETF被动跟踪中证军工指数，该指数基日为2004.12.31，发布于2013.12.26。以上个 股均为标的指数成份股，仅作展示，个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何基 金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的本基金的风险等级为R3-中风险，适宜平衡型（C3）及以 上投资者，适当性匹配意见请以销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预 测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，投资人须对任何自主决定的投资行为负 责。另，本文中的任何观点、分析及预测不构成对阅读者任何形式的投资建议，亦不对因使用本文内容 所引发的直接或间接损失负任何责任。基金投资有风险，基金的过往业绩并不代表其未来表现，基金管 理人管理的其他基金的业绩 ...