格隆汇1月6日｜印度信实工业周二表示，预计1月份将不会有俄罗斯原油到货。此举可能导致印度当月 的俄罗斯石油进口量大幅下降，触及数年来的最低水平。信实工业运营着全球最大的炼油综合体，也是 去年印度最大的俄罗斯原油买家。在此表态前，特朗普周日曾发出警告，称美国可能会因印度购买俄罗 斯石油而进一步提高对其进口关税。信实工业称："信实工业的贾姆纳格尔炼油厂在过去约三周内未收 到任何俄罗斯石油，且预计1月份也不会有俄罗斯原油交付。"该声明否认了上周的一篇媒体报道，该报 道称有三艘装载俄罗斯石油的油轮正驶向信实工业的贾姆纳格尔炼油厂。据路透社上周报道，知情人士 透露，印度当局已要求炼油商每周披露俄罗斯和美国的石油采购情况。知情人士表示，随着新德里寻求 与华盛顿达成贸易协议，印度对俄罗斯原油的进口量可能会降至每日100万桶以下。 ...

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday the United States would maybe keep and maybe sell the oil it had seized off the coast of Venezuela in recent weeks, adding the United States would also keep ... ...

Core Insights - Despite pressure from the United States, India continues to purchase Russian oil, with Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) making payments for five batches of oil to be delivered in December [1] - IOC has procured approximately 3.5 million barrels of Russian ESPO crude oil at prices close to Dubai quotes, scheduled for delivery at eastern Indian ports [1] - IOC's procurement strategy includes a mix of Russian ESPO and Sokol crude for early next year, while also considering low-sulfur crude from West Africa and the United States [1] Group 1 - The U.S. government has been pressuring India to halt Russian oil purchases, even imposing high tariffs on Indian imports [1] - Indian Oil Corporation's CFO, Anuj Jain, stated that the company intends to maintain its cooperation with Moscow as long as transactions comply with sanctions [1] - IOC's procurement documents specify that sellers must ensure the oil is not sourced from entities sanctioned by the U.S., U.K., EU, UN, or India [1]

Core Insights - India has reduced its planned oil purchases from Russia for December, indicating significant impacts from Western sanctions and trade negotiations with the U.S. [1] Group 1: Oil Procurement Changes - Five major Indian refiners have not placed any orders for Russian oil for the upcoming month [1] - The cautious approach of Indian refiners may be influenced by ongoing trade negotiations between New Delhi and Washington [1] Group 2: Trade Negotiations and Commitments - As part of the trade negotiations, India has committed to purchasing more U.S. crude oil [1] - Currently, 36% of India's crude oil imports come from Russia, but the impending global oil supply surplus will make it easier for India to seek alternative sources [1]

Group 1 - India's oil imports from Russia have increased in the first half of October, averaging about 1.8 million barrels per day, which is an increase of approximately 250,000 barrels per day compared to September [1] - The increase in imports is attributed to rising domestic market demand in India [1] Group 2 - U.S. President Trump claimed that Indian Prime Minister Modi indicated India is prepared to stop purchasing Russian oil [3] - However, the Indian Ministry of External Affairs spokesperson stated they are unaware of any such communication between Modi and Trump and do not know if there was a commitment to stop purchasing Russian oil [3]

Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury has urged G7 and EU allies to implement "meaningful tariffs" on goods from China and India to curb their purchases of Russian oil [1] - The call for tariffs is part of a broader strategy to address the ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic implications of Russian oil purchases [1] - The G7 finance ministers are expected to convene to discuss these measures and their potential impact on global markets [1]

Core Viewpoint - India is not only continuing to purchase Russian oil but plans to increase imports by 10% to 20% in September compared to August, despite U.S. sanctions [1][3]. Group 1: India's Oil Import Strategy - The increase in oil imports translates to an additional 150,000 to 300,000 barrels per day [3]. - India's largest buyers of Russian oil have remained silent on the decision to increase purchases, but recent attitudes suggest a strong likelihood of continued imports [5]. - The decision to increase imports is driven by economic benefits, as Russian oil offers significant price advantages during Western sanctions [8]. Group 2: U.S. Sanctions and Political Dynamics - The U.S. recently imposed an additional 25% tariff on India, bringing the total tariff on Indian imports of Russian oil to 50% [3][10]. - Trump's strategy aimed to pressure India into compliance regarding Russian oil imports, but India has chosen to defy this pressure [6][10]. - The U.S. intervention is viewed as a form of domestic interference, highlighting a display of hegemonic behavior [12]. Group 3: Market Implications - The EU plans to lower the price cap on Russian oil to $47.60 per barrel starting September 2, which is 15% below market price, further complicating the dynamics of oil imports [8]. - India's actions may undermine U.S. influence and demonstrate a rejection of external pressures, potentially impacting future geopolitical relations [10][12].

Core Viewpoint - India's oil imports from Russia are not for "profiteering" but rather to stabilize the market and prevent oil prices from soaring to $200 per barrel [2][2][2] Group 1: India's Position on Russian Oil Imports - Indian Oil Minister Hardeep Singh Puri stated that India's purchases of Russian oil have helped stabilize the market amid global sanctions against Russia [2] - Puri refuted claims that India is acting as a "laundromat" for Russian oil, emphasizing that these accusations are far from the truth [2] - India has become the largest buyer of Russian seaborne oil, taking advantage of discounted prices following the sanctions imposed by European countries and the U.S. after the Ukraine conflict [2] Group 2: U.S. Response and Criticism - The U.S. has targeted India for its Russian oil purchases, with President Trump imposing tariffs on Indian exports to the U.S. to curb these imports [2] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen accused India of profiting by buying Russian oil at lower prices and reselling refined products at higher prices [2] - White House trade advisor Peter Navarro claimed that India's actions are financially supporting Moscow [2] Group 3: Legality and Compliance of Transactions - Puri emphasized that every oil transaction by India is conducted through "legitimate shipping and insurance, compliant traders, and audited channels" [2] - He asserted that India has not violated any rules and that its actions have prevented a spiral increase in global oil prices [2] - Puri highlighted that the second-largest oil producer in the world supplies nearly 10% of global oil, which is irreplaceable [2]

Core Points - Indian state-owned oil companies have resumed purchasing Russian oil after a brief pause, despite facing higher tariffs and criticism from U.S. officials [1] - Companies like Indian Oil Corporation and Bharat Petroleum have bought Russian Urals crude, with shipments scheduled for September and October [1] - The pause in purchases was due to U.S. pressure, and New Delhi had previously instructed refiners to prepare for potential disruptions in Russian oil supply [1] - U.S. officials have criticized the surge in Russian oil purchases, attributing it to profit-driven motives of Indian oil lobbying groups rather than domestic demand [1] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bansen reiterated plans to increase tariffs on New Delhi due to the benefits gained by wealthy Indian families from purchasing Russian oil [1]

Core Viewpoint - India has not indicated to its refiners to stop purchasing Russian oil [1] Group 1 - The Indian government continues to support its refiners in sourcing oil from Russia despite international pressures [1]