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6月3日股指期货套利监测日报
news flash· 2025-06-03 07:08
6月3日股指期货套利监测日报 金十期货6月3日讯, 2.月差:沪深300IF2506-2507价差为37.2,上证50IH2506-2507价差为30.6,中证500IC2506-2507价差为 70.6,中证1000IM2506-2507价差为88.2。 1.基差:沪深300 IF2506合约贴水27.21,上证50 IH2506合约贴水18.7,中证500 IC2506合约贴水56.44, 中证1000 IM2506合约贴水72.04; ...
5月16日股指期货套利监测日报
news flash· 2025-05-16 07:07
Group 1 - The basis for the CSI 300 IF2505 contract is at a discount of 2.49, while the SSE 50 IH2505 contract is at a discount of 2.86. The CSI 500 IC2505 contract is at a premium of 7.75, and the CSI 1000 IM2505 contract is at a premium of 13.28 [1] - The month difference for the CSI 300 IF2505-2506 is 40.6, for the SSE 50 IH2505-2506 is 18.6, for the CSI 500 IC2505-2506 is 121.8, and for the CSI 1000 IM2505-2506 is 147.6 [1]
5月14日股指期货套利监测日报
news flash· 2025-05-14 07:10
Group 1 - The basis for the CSI 300 IF2505 contract is at a discount of 0.21, while the SSE 50 IH2505 contract is at a premium of 2.22, the CSI 500 IC2505 contract is at a premium of 0.88, and the CSI 1000 IM2505 contract is at a discount of 3.77 [1] - The month difference for the CSI 300 IF2505-2506 is 35.6, for the SSE 50 IH2505-2506 is 18.4, for the CSI 500 IC2505-2506 is 102.2, and for the CSI 1000 IM2505-2506 is 113.6 [1]
5月13日股指期货套利监测日报
news flash· 2025-05-13 07:09
1.基差:沪深300 IF2505合约贴水4.26,上证50 IH2505合约升水0.54,中证500 IC2505合约贴水14.47, 中证1000 IM2505合约贴水23.21; 5月13日股指期货套利监测日报 金十期货5月13日讯, 2.月差:沪深300IF2505-2506价差为41.0,上证50IH2505-2506价差为20.4,中证500IC2505-2506价差为 113.0,中证1000IM2505-2506价差为130.8。 ...
“数”看期货:近一周卖方策略一致观点-20250512
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-05-12 14:30
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Market Overview - The four major index futures contracts all increased last week, with the CSI 300 index futures rising the most by 2.27%, while the CSI 500 index futures saw the largest decline of 1.68% [3][11] - The average trading volume of the four major index futures contracts increased compared to the previous week, with the IF contract seeing the largest increase of 35.46% [3][11] - The annualized basis rates for the current contracts of IF, IC, IM, and IH were -7.15%, -12.46%, -14.21%, and -5.19% respectively, indicating a narrowing of the basis for IF and IH while deepening for IC and IM [3][11] Group 2: Cross-Period Price Differences - As of last Friday, the cross-period price difference rates for the current contracts of IF, IC, IM, and IH were at the 94.10%, 98.80%, 99.20%, and 88.20% percentiles since 2019 [4][12] - There are arbitrage opportunities for the IF current contract, with a required basis rate of 0.33% for a positive arbitrage and -0.48% for a negative arbitrage over the next 5 trading days [4][12] - The estimated dividend points for the CSI 300, CSI 500, SSE 50, and CSI 1000 indices are 22.15, 44.10, 16.55, and 36.81 respectively [4][12] Group 3: Market Expectations - The basis changes are influenced by dividends and investor trading sentiment, with expectations of significant fluctuations in basis due to large-scale buying and selling by major funds [4][13] - Recent financial policies, including a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, are expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market [4][13] - Current basis levels are at historical lows, and the positive cross-period price difference indicates a high cost-performance ratio for using near-month contracts for hedging [4][13] Group 4: Recent Sell-Side Strategy Insights - Eight brokerages believe that ongoing policies will support the capital market, boosting market confidence and reducing risk premiums [5][49] - Five brokerages expect that the technology growth trend is likely to continue in the short term, with small-cap growth stocks performing prominently [5][49] - There is a consensus among brokerages regarding the positive outlook for sectors such as technology, new consumption, military industry, and banking [5][49]