Report Overview - Report Date: November 24, 2025 [3] - Data Sources: Wind, Guantong Research and Consulting Department [5] Market Summary - As of the close on November 24, domestic futures main contracts showed mixed performance. Methanol rose over 3%, glass nearly 3%, and ethylene glycol (EG), corn, cotton yarn, and polysilicon rose over 1%. On the downside, lithium carbonate dropped nearly 3%, low-sulfur fuel oil (LU), liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and pure benzene fell over 2%, and styrene (EB), coking coal, palm oil, and urea dropped over 1% [5][6]. - Among stock index futures, the CSI 300 index futures (IF) main contract fell 0.13%, the SSE 50 index futures (IH) main contract fell 0.20%, the CSI 500 index futures (IC) main contract rose 0.55%, and the CSI 1000 index futures (IM) main contract rose 0.84%. For treasury bond futures, the 2-year (TS) main contract rose 0.01%, the 5-year (TF) main contract rose 0.03%, the 10-year (T) main contract rose 0.06%, and the 30-year (TL) main contract rose 0.15% [6]. - As of 15:18 on November 24, in terms of capital flow, Shanghai Gold 2602 had an inflow of 1.456 billion yuan, Shanghai Silver 2602 had an inflow of 260 million yuan, and Shanghai Copper 2601 had an inflow of 240 million yuan. In terms of outflows, CSI 1000 2512 had an outflow of 7.289 billion yuan, CSI 500 2512 had an outflow of 4.312 billion yuan, and CSI 300 2512 had an outflow of 2.562 billion yuan [6]. Individual Commodity Analysis Copper - Copper opened low and trended higher, showing a strong oscillation. Data led to increased expectations of interest rate cuts, but with a data vacuum before the next Fed meeting, the uncertainty of rate cut expectations is high, and the market generally believes the probability of no rate cut in December is relatively large, causing the US dollar index to continue to rebound [8]. - Nvidia's strong earnings boosted optimistic expectations for copper downstream demand. Copper concentrate inventories have been accumulating for a week, and the Grasberg mine in Indonesia is expected to resume production in Q2 next year. Refined copper imports decreased month-on-month, but domestic supply is relatively abundant, and SHFE copper inventories have also been accumulating [8]. - The 770th document has not been implemented, causing cautious operations in recycled copper rod enterprises. After the copper price dropped last week, downstream purchases increased. In October 2025, China's copper product output was 2.004 million tons, a month-on-month decline of over 10% and a year-on-year decrease of 3.3% [8]. - Overall, the Fed's hawkish and dovish camps are in a stalemate, and the market believes the probability of a rate cut in December is small, suppressing copper prices. Fundamentally, although there is strong support from the expected tight balance of copper mines, the off-season demand and increasing SHFE inventories have weakened market confidence. Short-term copper prices are expected to be under pressure, and attention should be paid to Fed rate cut expectations [10]. Lithium Carbonate - Lithium carbonate opened and trended lower, dropping nearly 3% during the day. As of October 2025, lithium carbonate production was 89,300 tons, with a month-on-month increase of 5,790 tons. As of November 21, the weekly operating rate was 75.34%, 16.04% higher than the same period last year [11]. - In October, China's energy storage battery production was 54.3 GWh, a month-on-month increase of 3.04%. The expected production of lithium iron phosphate in November is 405,600 tons, a month-on-month increase of 2.5%. In October 2025, new energy vehicle production and sales were 1.772 million and 1.715 million respectively, year-on-year increases of 21.1% and 20% [11]. - The market is currently in a situation of strong supply and demand. Although there is news of the resumption of production at the Jiuxiaowo mine, the authenticity is uncertain. Until the actual negative impact is realized, there is support at the bottom of the market [11]. Crude Oil - On November 2, OPEC+ decided to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in December, the same as the October and November plans, and suspend production increases in Q1 next year. The end of the peak demand season, combined with increased production and exports, has led to a supply surplus in the crude oil market [12][13]. - EIA data shows that refined oil inventories increased more than expected, but due to increased net exports, US crude oil inventories decreased more than expected. US crude oil production is near a record high. Geopolitical tensions in Venezuela and Libya have raised concerns about supply disruptions [12][13]. - The market is worried about crude oil demand due to the end of the consumption peak season, the decline in the US manufacturing index, and the unclear prospects of US interest rate cuts. The supply surplus in the crude oil market has become a consensus, and the risk premium of Russian crude oil has declined. Crude oil prices are expected to oscillate weakly [13]. Asphalt - The asphalt operating rate decreased by 4.2 percentage points to 24.8% last week, lower than the same period last year. The expected production in November is 2.228 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 454,000 tons (16.9%) and a year-on-year decrease of 274,000 tons (11.0%) [14]. - The operating rates of downstream asphalt industries showed mixed performance. The national asphalt shipments increased by 15.28% to 246,000 tons, at a slightly low level. Asphalt refinery inventory ratios remained flat, near the lowest level in recent years [14]. - With the decline in crude oil prices and the end of road construction in the north, demand is expected to weaken further. With the stable production of some refineries, the asphalt operating rate will increase. Asphalt futures prices are expected to oscillate weakly [14]. PP (Polypropylene) - The downstream operating rate of PP increased by 0.29 percentage points to 53.57%, at a relatively low level in the same period over the years. The operating rate of the plastic weaving industry, the main downstream of PP, remained flat, and orders decreased slightly compared to last year [16]. - On November 24, new maintenance devices were added, and the PP enterprise operating rate dropped to around 81%. The production ratio of standard-grade PP increased to around 29%. Petrochemical inventory reduction slowed down, and the current inventory is at a moderately high level in the same period over the years [16]. - New production capacity has been put into operation, and maintenance devices have increased recently. Downstream demand is in the late peak season, and orders are limited. The lack of large-scale purchases and the absence of anti-competition policies have led to limited market support. PP prices are expected to oscillate weakly [16]. Plastic - On November 24, new maintenance devices were added, and the plastic operating rate dropped to around 89%, at a neutral level. As of the week of November 21, the downstream operating rate of PE increased by 0.20 percentage points to 44.69%. The agricultural film industry is in the peak season, with stable orders, but the overall downstream operating rate is still at a relatively low level in the same period over the years [17]. - Petrochemical inventory reduction slowed down, and the current inventory is at a moderately high level in the same period over the years. New production capacity has been put into operation recently, and the plastic operating rate has slightly decreased. The agricultural film peak season is ending, and demand in the north is starting to decline [17]. - Downstream purchasing willingness is low, and traders are cautious about the future market. Without anti-competition policies, and with the supply-demand pattern unchanged, plastic prices are expected to oscillate weakly in the near term [17][19]. PVC (Polyvinyl Chloride) - The price of calcium carbide in the northwest region increased by 25 yuan/ton. The PVC operating rate increased slightly to 78.83%, still at a relatively high level in the same period over the years. The downstream operating rate continued to decline slightly, remaining at a relatively low level [20]. - India's termination of the BIS policy on PVC and the likely cancellation of anti-dumping duties have alleviated concerns about exports to India, and export orders increased last week. Social inventories increased slightly last week and remain high, indicating significant inventory pressure [20]. - In 2025, the real estate market is still in adjustment, and the improvement of the real estate market requires time. With positive chlor-alkali comprehensive profits and new production capacity coming online, the PVC operating rate is higher than in previous years. PVC prices are expected to oscillate weakly recently [20]. Coking Coal - Coking coal opened low and trended higher, with a decline during the day. The spot price in the Shanxi market decreased, and the self-pickup price of Mongolian No. 5 coking coal also decreased [21]. - In October, China's coal imports decreased year-on-year. The utilization rate of coking coal mine production capacity increased slightly. As of November 16, the cumulative import volume of coal at the Ganqimaodu Port was large, and the daily customs clearance vehicles may increase next week [21][22]. - Under the winter coal supply and price stabilization policy, the tight supply expectation is partially offset. Mine inventories have increased significantly, while coke enterprise inventories have decreased. Steel mill operating rates and molten iron production increased this week, but profits are weakening. There is potential bullishness in mine production cuts at the end of the year, so be cautious about potential price rebounds [22]. Urea - The futures price opened low and trended lower, showing a downward oscillation. The spot price of urea increased due to the continuous rebound of futures prices and improved downstream demand, but since the weekend, downstream resistance to high prices has led to weak order receipts and stable prices [23]. - Before the seasonal shutdown of gas-based devices, the daily output of upstream factories is expected to fluctuate above 190,000 tons. The upward trend of coal costs has slowed, and downstream demand needs verification. Last week, demand was strong, and orders were good. Northeast fertilizer preparation has begun, and compound fertilizer factory operating rates have rebounded [23]. - After the price rebound, downstream feedback has been poor, and order receipts have been weak since the weekend. Domestic demand cannot support high prices, and the Indian tender price has not boosted the market. However, exports continue, and there is still demand support from off-season storage and compound fertilizer winter storage. The futures price is expected to oscillate within a narrow range [23].

| | 11/25 21:30 美国9月PPI、核心PPI、零售销售 | | --- | --- | | | 11/26 21:30 美国11月22日当周首次申请失业救济人数 | | | 11/26 23:00 美国10月PCE、核心PCE | | | 11/27 9:30 中国10月规模以上工业企业利润 | | 重点关注 | 11/30 9:30 中国11月制造业、非制造业、综合PMI | 数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考。市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ 备注：IF:沪深300 IH:上证50 IC:中证500 IM：中证1000 IO:沪深300期权 研究员: 廖宏斌 期货从业资格号F30825507 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0020723 微信号：yanjiufuwu 电话：0595-86778969 免责声明：本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保 证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本报告版权仅为我公 司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如 ...

2025 年 11 月 24 日 股指期货将偏强震荡 黄金、白银期货将偏强震荡 碳酸锂期 货将震荡偏弱 纯碱、原油、豆粕期货将偏弱震荡 陶金峰 期货投资咨询从业资格号：Z0000372 邮箱：taojinfeng@gtht.com 【正文】 【声明】 本报告的观点和信息仅供风险承受能力合适的投资者参考。本报告难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不 便，敬请谅解。若您并非风险承受能力合适的投资者，请勿阅读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本报告不构 成具体业务或产品的推介，亦不应被视为相应金融衍生品的投资建议。请您根据自身的风险承受能力自行 作出投资决定并自主承担投资风险，不应凭借本内容进行具体操作。 【期货行情前瞻要点】 通过宏观基本面分析和黄金分割线、水平线、日均线等技术面分析，预期今日期货主力合约行情走势大概率如 下： 股指期货大概率将偏强震荡：IF2512 阻力位 4457 和 4511 点，支撑位 4400 和 4369 点；IH2512 阻力位 2968 和 2994 点，支撑位 2979 和 2963 点；IC2512 阻力位 6872 和 6970 点，支撑位 6700 和 6622 点；IM2512 阻 力位 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 11 月 24 日） 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | | 动力煤 | （元/吨） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | | | 5月-1月 | | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | | 2025/11/21 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/20 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/19 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/18 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | | 2025/11/17 | 32 . | 6 | 0 | 0 . | 0 | 0 . | 0 . | 0 | 期货研究报告 二、能源化工 www.bcqhgs.com ...

Report Overview - This is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for November 20, 2025, covering multiple commodity sectors [1] 1. Power Coal - **Base Price**: The base price of power coal from November 13 to 19, 2025, remained at 32.60 yuan/ton, and the spreads between different contract months (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) were all 0 [2] 2. Energy and Chemicals (1) Energy Commodities - **Base Price**: The base prices and ratios of energy commodities such as fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from November 13 to 19, 2025, showed different trends, with the base price of INE crude oil ranging from -21.45 to -0.36 yuan/ton, and the ratio from 0.1498 to 0.1520 [7] (2) Chemical Commodities - **Inter - period Spreads**: For rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol, the inter - period spreads (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) varied. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rubber was 80 yuan/ton, and that of PVC was 309 yuan/ton [9] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol also changed from November 13 to 19, 2025. For instance, on November 19, 2025, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2305 yuan/ton [9] - **Base Price**: The base prices of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP from November 13 to 19, 2025, showed different values. For example, the base price of rubber on November 19 was - 490 yuan/ton [10] 3. Black Metals - **Inter - period Spreads**: For rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal, the inter - period spreads (5 - 1, 9(10) - 1, 9(10) - 5) were different. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rebar was 47 yuan/ton, and that of iron ore was - 35.5 yuan/ton [20] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil changed from November 13 to 19, 2025. For example, on November 19, 2025, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.90 [20] - **Base Price**: The base prices of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 13 to 19, 2025, showed different values. For example, the base price of rebar on November 19 was 140.0 yuan/ton [21] 4. Non - ferrous Metals (1) Domestic Market - **Base Price**: The domestic base prices of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 13 to 19, 2025, showed significant fluctuations. For example, the base price of copper on November 19 was 30 yuan/ton, and that of lead was - 240 yuan/ton [30] (2) London Market - **LME Premiums and Discounts**: On November 19, 2025, the LME premiums and discounts of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin were - 33.13, - 32.88, 152.14, - 27.39, - 197.66, and 100.00 respectively, and the import profit and loss also varied [33] 5. Agricultural Products - **Base Price**: The base prices of soybeans No. 1, soybeans No. 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 13 to 19, 2025, showed different trends. For example, the base price of soybeans No. 1 on November 19 was - 125 yuan/ton [38] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads of various agricultural products (5 - 1, 9 - 1, 9 - 5) were different. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of soybeans No. 1 was 28 yuan/ton, and that of rapeseed oil was - 403 yuan/ton [38] - **Inter - variety Spreads**: The inter - variety spreads of soybeans No. 1/corn, soybeans No. 2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, etc., changed from November 18 to 19, 2025. For example, on November 19, 2025, the soybean oil/soybean meal ratio was 2.76 [38] 6. Stock Index Futures - **Base Price**: The base prices of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 13 to 19, 2025, showed different values. For example, the base price of CSI 300 on November 19 was 23.09 [49] - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (next month - current month, next quarter - current quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 were different. For example, the next month - current month spread of CSI 300 was - 160 [49]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report No clear core view is presented in the report. It mainly provides a series of futures arbitrage data for different commodities on various dates. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Power Coal - The basis of power coal from November 12 to November 18, 2025, remained at 32.60 yuan/ton, and the spreads of 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month were all 0.0 [1][2] 2. Energy and Chemicals (1) Energy Commodities - For fuel oil, the basis on November 12, 2025, was -22.60 yuan/ton, and the ratio data on different dates are also provided [7] - For INE crude oil, the basis and ratio data on different dates are presented [7] - For the ratio of crude oil to asphalt, the data on different dates are given [7] (2) Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of rubber on November 18 was -445 yuan/ton [9] - **Inter - period spreads**: The inter - period spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol for 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of rubber was 75 yuan/ton [10] - **Inter - commodity spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on November 18 was 2266 yuan/ton [10] 3. Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of螺纹钢,铁矿石,焦炭, and焦煤 from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of螺纹钢 on November 18 was 160.0 yuan/ton [20] - **Inter - period spreads**: The inter - period spreads of螺纹钢,铁矿石,焦炭, and焦煤 for 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of螺纹钢 was 49 yuan/ton [19] - **Inter - commodity spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of螺/矿,螺/焦炭,焦炭/焦煤, and螺 - 热卷 from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the螺/矿 ratio on November 18 was 3.93 [19] 4. Non - ferrous Metals (1) Domestic Market - The basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of copper on November 18 was 190 yuan/ton [29] (2) London Market - On November 18, 2025, for LME non - ferrous metals, the LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin are presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was (35.33) [34] 5. Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of豆一,豆二,豆粕,豆油, and玉米 from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of豆一 on November 18 was -129 yuan/ton [41] - **Inter - period spreads**: The inter - period spreads of various agricultural products for 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month are presented. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of豆一 was 27 yuan/ton [41] - **Inter - commodity spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of豆一/玉米,豆二/玉米,豆油/豆粕,豆粕 - 菜粕,豆油 - 棕榈油,菜油 - 豆油, and玉米 - 玉米淀粉 from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the豆一/玉米 ratio on November 18 was 1.92 [40][41] 6. Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of沪深300,上证50,中证500, and中证1000 from November 12 to November 18, 2025, are provided. For example, the basis of沪深300 on November 18 was 13.19 [52] - **Inter - period spreads**: The inter - period spreads of沪深300,上证50,中证500, and中证1000 for次月 - 当月 and次季 - 当季 are presented. For example, the次月 - 当月 spread of沪深300 was -170 [52]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - This report is the Baocheng Futures variety arbitrage data daily report for November 18, 2025, presenting the basis, inter - period, and inter - variety data of various commodities including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Thermal Coal - The basis of thermal coal on November 17, 2025, was 32.6 yuan/ton, consistent with November 14 - 13, 2025, and up from 29.6 yuan/ton on November 11, 2025. The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads were all 0 [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - The basis data of fuel oil, crude oil/asphalt, INE crude oil from November 11 - 17, 2025, were presented, such as the basis of fuel oil being - 21.45 on November 17, 2025 [7]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from November 11 - 17, 2025, was provided. For example, the basis of rubber was - 515 yuan/ton on November 17, 2025 [9]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol were given. For instance, the 5 - 1 month spread of rubber was 75 yuan/ton [10]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from November 11 - 17, 2025, were presented. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2263 yuan/ton on November 17, 2025 [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 11 - 17, 2025, was shown. For example, the basis of rebar was 143.0 yuan/ton on November 17, 2025 [20]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal were provided. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of rebar was 52 yuan/ton [19]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from November 11 - 17, 2025, were presented. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.94 on November 17, 2025 [19]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 11 - 17, 2025, was given. For example, the basis of copper was 50 yuan/ton on November 17, 2025 [29]. 3.4.2 London Market - The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss of LME non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, tin) on November 17, 2025, were presented. For example, the LME spread of copper was (32.62) [34]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 11 - 17, 2025, was provided. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 was - 158 yuan/ton on November 17, 2025 [41]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton were given. For example, the 5 - 1 month spread of soybeans No.1 was 30 yuan/ton [41]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from November 11 - 17, 2025, were presented. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.92 on November 17, 2025 [40]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 on November 11 - 17, 2025, was shown. For example, the basis of CSI 300 was 16.65 on November 17, 2025 [52]. - **Inter - period**: The next - month - current - month and next - quarter - current - quarter spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 were provided. For example, the next - month - current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 158 [52].

Report Overview - This is the Baocheng Futures Variety Arbitrage Data Daily Report for November 17, 2025, providing data on various futures products including basis, spreads, and cross - product ratios [1] 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Report's Core View - No clear - stated core view in the report. It mainly presents daily variety arbitrage data for different futures products including power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures 3. Summary by Category Power Coal - The report shows the basis and spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month, 9 - 1 month) of power coal from November 10 to November 14, 2025 [1][2] Energy Chemicals Energy Commodities - Data on the basis of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and the ratio of crude oil to asphalt from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided, including values such as basis in yuan per ton and ratios [7] Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are given [9] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are presented [10] - **Cross - Product Spreads**: Cross - product spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are shown [10] Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [20] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, 9(10) - 5 month) of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are presented [19] - **Cross - Product Spreads**: Cross - product spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are shown [19] Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [29] London Market - Data on LME copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin including LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss on November 14, 2025 are presented [34] Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans 1, soybeans 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [40] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, 9 - 5 month) of soybeans 1, soybeans 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are presented [40] - **Cross - Product Ratios**: Cross - product ratios of soybeans 1/corn, soybeans 2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are shown [39] Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 10 to November 14, 2025 are provided [51] - **Cross - Period Spreads**: Cross - period spreads (next - month - current - month, next - quarter - current - quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented [51]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information provided in the given content about the report industry investment ratings. 2. Core Views of the Report - The overall market is influenced by various factors including macro - economic events, policy changes, and supply - demand dynamics in different sectors. Different commodities have different outlooks based on their specific fundamentals [13][16][24]. - In the macro - economic aspect, the US government "stop - work" has ended, and China's social financing scale and related monetary indicators show certain trends. The global trade situation, especially regarding US - China trade in soybeans and China's rare - earth export policy, is also under the spotlight [9][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro - Information - Trump signed a federal government temporary appropriation bill, ending a 43 - day government "stop - work". The US government's "stop - work" was estimated to have cost $1.5 trillion [9]. - Japan's Prime Minister made remarks about the Taiwan issue, and China warned that any Japanese military intervention in the Taiwan Strait would be regarded as an act of aggression [9]. - China agreed to buy about 12 million tons of US soybeans in November and December and at least 25 million tons per year for the next three years. China is designing a new rare - earth export licensing system [9]. - China's social financing scale increment in the first ten months was 30.9 trillion yuan, 3.83 trillion yuan more than the previous year. At the end of October, the year - on - year growth of social financing stock was 8.5%, and M2 was 8.2%, both down 0.2 percentage points month - on - month [10]. - The new energy vehicle purchase tax exemption policy is ending, and 17 mainstream car brands have launched purchase tax subsidy programs [10]. - The US failed to release the October CPI report, and the IMF predicted that the US Q4 GDP growth would be lower than the previous forecast of 1.9% [10]. - Fed officials had different views on interest - rate policies, with some opposing further rate cuts and others advocating maintaining the current rate [11]. 3.2 Macro - Finance 3.2.1 Stock Index Futures - Adopt a volatile mindset and stay on the sidelines for now. The A - share market opened lower and closed higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.73% to 4029.5 points. Some pension insurance companies are adjusting their investment portfolios, and the CSRC will deepen investment - financing reforms [13]. 3.2.2 Treasury Bond Futures - Monetary policy implementation is in the process of being fulfilled, and bonds still have upward momentum. Pay attention to the rhythm. The money market is loose, and the bond market is affected by the strong performance of the equity market and the release of social financing data [14]. 3.3 Black Commodities - The black commodity market is likely to return to fundamental trading in the short - to - medium - term. The overall demand for building materials is weak, while the demand for coils is relatively stable. Steel mills' profits are low, and iron - water production is expected to decline. The prices of black commodities are likely to fluctuate at the bottom [16]. - Iron ore supply is expected to increase, and the price is expected to face downward pressure [17]. - Coking coal and coke prices may continue to decline in the short - term, affected by production policies and downstream demand [18]. - For ferroalloys, in the long - term, it is advisable to take a short - position approach when prices are high, and in the short - term, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines [19]. - For soda ash and glass, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines for now. Soda ash production and inventory have declined slightly, and some enterprises have raised prices. Glass inventory has increased slightly, and the market is waiting for demand improvement [22]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals and New Materials - For zinc, it is recommended to hold short positions at high prices. The domestic zinc inventory has decreased, and the price has been fluctuating at a high level recently [24]. - For lithium carbonate, the short - term fundamentals are good, but the demand may weaken in Q1 next year. It is advisable to wait for price corrections to buy [25]. - For industrial silicon, the supply - demand contradiction is not prominent, and it is expected to fluctuate within a range [26]. - For polysilicon, the market is waiting for policy changes, and the price is expected to continue to fluctuate [27][28]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - Cotton is expected to fluctuate at a low level due to supply pressure and weak demand, but high costs provide some support [29]. - Sugar supply is expected to be in surplus globally, and domestic sugar prices are affected by import costs and production increases. It is advisable to stay on the sidelines before new sugar floods the market [31]. - For eggs, it is recommended to take a short - position approach for near - month contracts. The supply pressure is large, and the spot price is weak, but the long - term outlook is positive due to "capacity reduction" [33]. - Apples are expected to fluctuate strongly. The inventory is low, and the price is high. Future consumption trends will be the key factor [35]. - Corn prices may face pressure above. The spot price has rebounded, but the new - grain supply pressure is still accumulating [36]. - For jujubes, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines for now. The spot price in the sales area is weak, dragging down the futures price [37]. 3.6 Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil prices are expected to decline in the long - term due to supply surplus, and in the short - term, they will fluctuate weakly [39]. - Fuel oil prices will follow the trend of oil prices, with a supply - abundant and demand - flat situation [41]. - Plastics are expected to fluctuate weakly due to supply pressure, but production losses may provide some support [42]. - Rubber is expected to fluctuate strongly in the short - term, with support at the bottom and pressure at the top [42]. - Synthetic rubber prices may stop falling and rebound in the short - term, but it is still necessary to be cautious when going long [44]. - Methanol prices are expected to fluctuate weakly in the near - term and may rise in the far - term after a rebound driver appears [45]. - Caustic soda prices are expected to be stable at a low level, and it is advisable to take a long - position approach at a low valuation [46]. - Asphalt prices are expected to have a larger fluctuation range, and the focus will be on the price bottom after the "winter storage" game [47]. - The polyester industry chain is expected to be strong in the short - term due to positive export policies [48]. - LPG is expected to be strong in the short - term due to the approaching civil - use peak season, but bearish in the long - term due to abundant supply [49]. - Pulp is expected to fluctuate widely, with limited upward space [50]. - Logs are expected to be weak in the short - term, with the price under pressure [50]. - For urea, it is advisable to stay on the sidelines due to strong export - policy uncertainties [51].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on November 14, 2025, including basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads of power coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 3. Summary by Category 3.1 Power Coal - **Basis and Inter - period Spreads**: The report shows the basis and inter - period spreads (5 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 5 - month) of power coal from November 7 to November 13, 2025. For example, on November 13, the basis was 32.6 yuan/ton [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: It provides the basis and price ratios of energy commodities such as fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from November 7 to November 13, 2025. For instance, on November 13, the basis of fuel oil was - 22.60 yuan/ton [7]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - **Basis**: The basis of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, V, and PP from November 7 to November 13, 2025 is given. On November 13, the basis of rubber was - 590 yuan/ton [9]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 5 - month) of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are presented. For example, the 5 - month - 1 - month spread of rubber was 100 yuan/ton [10]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from November 7 to November 13, 2025 are shown. On November 13, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 2216 yuan/ton [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis of螺纹钢, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from November 7 to November 13, 2025 is provided. On November 13, the basis of螺纹钢 was 174.0 yuan/ton [21]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month(10) - 1 - month, 9 - month(10) - 5 - month) of螺纹钢, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are given. For example, the 5 - month - 1 - month spread of螺纹钢 was 57 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of螺/矿, 螺/焦炭, 焦炭/焦煤, and 螺 - 热卷 from November 7 to November 13, 2025 are presented. On November 13, the 螺/矿 ratio was 3.95 [20]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: The domestic basis of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from November 7 to November 13, 2025 is shown. On November 13, the basis of copper was - 290 yuan/ton [30]. - **London Market**: Information on LME colored metals including LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss on November 13, 2025 is provided. For example, the LME spread of copper was (5.96) [35]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis of soybeans, soybeans No. 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from November 7 to November 13, 2025 is given. On November 13, the basis of soybeans was - 109 yuan/ton [42]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (5 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 5 - month) of soybeans, soybeans No. 2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton are presented [42]. - **Inter - commodity Spreads**: The inter - commodity spreads of 豆一/玉米, 豆二/玉米, 豆油/豆粕, 豆粕 - 菜粕, 豆油 - 棕榈油, 菜油 - 豆油, and 玉米 - 玉米淀粉 from November 7 to November 13, 2025 are shown. On November 13, the 豆一/玉米 ratio was 1.89 [41]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from November 7 to November 13, 2025 is provided. On November 13, the basis of CSI 300 was 25.07 [53]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads (next - month - current - month, next - quarter - current - quarter) of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are given. For example, the next - month - current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 158 [53].