金融期货
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金融期货早评-20260109
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2026-01-09 03:47
金融期货早评 宏观:关注非农 【市场资讯】1)美国总统特朗普已同意推动一项旨在加强对俄制裁的法案,该法案为特朗 普提供了阻止中国、印度、巴西等国购买廉价俄罗斯石油的砝码。外交部发言人毛宁对此 表示,中俄之间的正常经贸能源合作不针对第三方,也不应当受到干扰和影响。2)美国 10 月贸易帐录得-294 亿美元,为 2009 年 6 月以来最小逆差。3)美国至 1 月 3 日当周初请 失业金人数四周均值 21.175 万人,前值由 21.875 万人修正为 21.9 万人。4)美联储——① 米兰:预计在 2026 年将进行约 150 个基点的降息。②特朗普称已决定下一任美联储主席 人选。③贝森特敦促美联储进一步降息,并称预计特朗普将在本月宣布美联储主席人选。 【核心研判与传导逻辑】从宏观环境看,国内"适度宽松"的货币政策基调与"集成效应"调 控思路,提供偏暖流动性预期;"保持人民币汇率基本稳定"导向,在美元偏弱背景下有助 于稳定进口成本。国际层面形势紧张,美国财长贝森特再度喊话敦促美联储降息,这一高 频表态本身就是危险信号,暗示形势紧迫,市场正提前为潜在风险定价。其背后,12 月美 国就业报告虽号称"恢复正常",却 ...
厚植金融报国情怀 提升服务实体经济质效
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-04 22:14
2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年。中金所将坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导,全面贯 彻党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神,深入落实中央经济工作会议、中央金融工作会议精神及资本市场 改革发展各项决策部署,锚定"十五五"规划建设目标,胸怀"国之大者",厚植金融报国情怀,深入践行 金融工作的政治性、人民性,以提升服务实体经济质效为核心,统筹发展和安全,服务提高资本市场制 度的包容性适应性,高标准推进防控风险、加强监管、产品研发、机构入市、扩大开放等各方面工作, 不断增强金融期货市场内在稳定性和韧性,充分发挥市场功能。 证券时报作为由人民日报社主管主办的全国性财经证券类日报,不仅是资本市场的重要见证者与记录 者,更在传递政策声音、凝聚市场共识、服务参与主体等方面发挥了积极作用,彰显了主流媒体的公信 力、传播力和影响力。未来,中金所将一如既往地与证券时报等各类主流新闻媒体紧密携手,巩固深化 合作,合力讲好资本市场服务实体经济的故事,为加快建设安全、规范、透明、开放、有活力、有韧性 的资本市场,为全面建设社会主义现代化国家贡献积极力量。 骏马争春显精神,千帆竞处大潮奔。值此2026年到来之际,中国金融期货交易所 ...
中国金融期货交易所:厚植金融报国情怀 提升服务实体经济质效
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-04 17:55
证券时报作为由人民日报社主管主办的全国性财经证券类日报,不仅是资本市场的重要见证者与记录 者,更在传递政策声音、凝聚市场共识、服务参与主体等方面发挥了积极作用,彰显了主流媒体的公信 力、传播力和影响力。未来,中金所将一如既往地与证券时报等各类主流新闻媒体紧密携手,巩固深化 合作,合力讲好资本市场服务实体经济的故事,为加快建设安全、规范、透明、开放、有活力、有韧性 的资本市场,为全面建设社会主义现代化国家贡献积极力量。 (文章来源:证券时报) 2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年。中金所将坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导,全面贯 彻党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神,深入落实中央经济工作会议、中央金融工作会议精神及资本市场 改革发展各项决策部署,锚定"十五五"规划建设目标,胸怀"国之大者",厚植金融报国情怀,深入践行 金融工作的政治性、人民性,以提升服务实体经济质效为核心,统筹发展和安全,服务提高资本市场制 度的包容性适应性,高标准推进防控风险、加强监管、产品研发、机构入市、扩大开放等各方面工作, 不断增强金融期货市场内在稳定性和韧性,充分发挥市场功能。 骏马争春显精神,千帆竞处大潮奔。值此2026年到来 ...
中国金融期货交易所 厚植金融报国情怀 提升服务实体经济质效
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-04 17:32
骏马争春显精神,千帆竞处大潮奔。值此2026年到来之际,中国金融期货交易所谨向长期关心支持我国 金融期货市场发展的广大市场参与者、社会各界及新闻媒体,致以诚挚的感谢和美好的祝福! 证券时报作为由人民日报社主管主办的全国性财经证券类日报,不仅是资本市场的重要见证者与记录 者,更在传递政策声音、凝聚市场共识、服务参与主体等方面发挥了积极作用,彰显了主流媒体的公信 力、传播力和影响力。未来,中金所将一如既往地与证券时报等各类主流新闻媒体紧密携手,巩固深化 合作,合力讲好资本市场服务实体经济的故事,为加快建设安全、规范、透明、开放、有活力、有韧性 的资本市场,为全面建设社会主义现代化国家贡献积极力量。 2026年是"十五五"规划开局之年。中金所将坚持以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导,全面贯 彻党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神,深入落实中央经济工作会议、中央金融工作会议精神及资本市场 改革发展各项决策部署,锚定"十五五"规划建设目标,胸怀"国之大者",厚植金融报国情怀,深入践行 金融工作的政治性、人民性,以提升服务实体经济质效为核心,统筹发展和安全,服务提高资本市场制 度的包容性适应性,高标准推进防控风险、加强监 ...
多元金融板块12月31日跌0.43%,瑞达期货领跌,主力资金净流入6431.25万元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-12-31 09:07
证券之星消息,12月31日多元金融板块较上一交易日下跌0.43%,瑞达期货领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3968.84,上涨0.09%。深证成指报收于13525.02,下跌0.58%。多元金融板块个股涨跌见下表: | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300773 | 拉卡拉 | 28.48 | 7.07% | 148.85万 | 41.68亿 | | 002647 | *ST仁东 | 8.02 | 2.95% | 20.04万 | 1.58亿 | | 600927 | 永安期货 | 16.07 | 1.01% | 11.33万 | 1.83亿 | | 600643 | 爱建集团 | 5.53 | 0.91% | 12.41万 | 6843.43万 | | 002316 | 亚联发展 | 4.73 | 0.42% | 11.75万 | 5519.75万 | | 600318 | 新力金融 | 8.98 | 0.34% | 10.33万 | 9277.67万 | | 000987 | 越秀资 ...
综合晨报-20251231
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 03:01
1. Report's Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The current fundamental pattern of crude oil is dominated by oversupply, leading to a downward shift in the oil - price center, despite geopolitical conflicts causing occasional price spikes [2]. - Precious metals are supported by the Fed's easing prospects and geopolitical risks, but short - term adjustments are inevitable due to excessive gains driven by funds [3]. - For various metals, non - ferrous metals and precious metals generally show certain trends, with each metal having its own supply - demand and price characteristics. For example, copper prices are affected by the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations, and aluminum shows an oscillatingly strong trend [4][5]. - For energy and chemical products, most products face supply - demand imbalances, with some affected by geopolitical factors and some by seasonal and policy factors. For example, fuel oil is affected by geopolitical tensions and high - inventory pressure [22]. - Agricultural products' prices are influenced by factors such as weather, supply - demand relationships, and policies. For example, soybean and bean - related products are affected by South American weather and export situations [36]. - In the financial market, the stock index shows an oscillatingly strong trend, and the bond market has different trends for different - term bonds [48][49]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Energy Crude Oil - Geopolitical tensions increase concerns about supply disruptions, but the market is still dominated by oversupply. EIA predicts a daily increase of over 2 million barrels in global inventories, and the oil - price center is expected to shift downward [2]. Fuel Oil & Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil - Geopolitical factors provide short - term support, but the supply - surplus situation remains unchanged. High - sulfur fuel oil demand may increase, but Singapore's high inventory is a significant pressure. Low - sulfur fuel oil supply is expected to recover, and demand remains weak [22]. Asphalt - Commercial inventory de - stocking is weak, and the supply of heavy raw materials is unstable due to the escalating situation between the US and Venezuela, providing bottom - end support for prices [23]. Metals Precious Metals - Overnight, precious metals turned upward. The Fed's easing prospects and geopolitical risks support their strength, but short - term adjustments are needed due to excessive gains. After volatility decreases, a long - position strategy can be considered [3]. Copper - Overnight, copper prices rebounded, with large short - term price fluctuations near the New Year. The market focuses on the Fed's interest - rate cut expectations in 2026. The previous options strategy should be continued, and attention should be paid to refinery production schedules and social inventory changes [4]. Aluminum - Overnight, Shanghai aluminum fluctuated within a narrow range. After a significant correction, the panic sentiment eased. The fundamental driving force of the aluminum market is insufficient, and the oscillatingly strong trend remains unchanged. Long positions can be held based on the 40 - day moving average [5]. Casting Aluminum Alloy - The spot price of Baotai ADC12 remained at 21,900 yuan. Scrap aluminum is still in short supply, and the cost in some areas may increase due to tax adjustments. The seasonal spread between casting aluminum alloy and Shanghai aluminum is weaker than in previous years, maintaining around 1,000 yuan [6]. Alumina - Alumina is in a state of significant oversupply, and the cost has room to decline as the bauxite price falls. The short - term decline in the spot price is slowing down, but medium - term stabilization requires large - scale production cuts [7]. Zinc - The supply - side pressure of zinc is weakening, and the overall upward trend remains unchanged. The consumption outlook in January is moderately optimistic, but the real - estate sector restricts the upside of zinc prices. Shanghai zinc is expected to oscillate in the range of 22,800 - 23,800 yuan/ton [8]. Lead - The maintenance of primary lead smelters continues, and the low social inventory supports the price, but battery enterprises' inventory checks at the end of the year suppress demand. Shanghai lead is expected to oscillate at the bottom, with a price range of 16,800 - 17,500 yuan/ton [9]. Nickel & Stainless Steel - Nickel prices rose again, but the spot trading was cold. The Indonesian Nickel Ore Association reduced the ore quota and will modify the mineral benchmark price formula in early 2026. Stainless - steel costs increased due to the rising nickel - iron price, and social inventory decreased. Short - term policy sentiment dominates, and it is advisable to wait and see [10]. Tin - Shanghai tin rebounded with a reduction in positions. Attention should be paid to the possible mining conference around the New Year. It is recommended to hold a 350,000 - yuan call - selling option and observe the adjustment range [11]. Iron Ore - The supply pressure of iron ore is still large, but with the sign of iron - water production bottoming out and the expectation of steel - mill winter - storage replenishment, the short - term price is supported. However, the positive factors have been reflected in the recent price increase, and the future trend is expected to be oscillatory [16]. Coke - The price oscillated upward during the day. The fourth round of price cuts for coke was fully implemented, and the coking profit was average. The inventory increased slightly, and the downstream demand was still resilient but with a strong willingness to suppress prices. The price faces fundamental pressure after correcting the premium, and market sentiment is affected by policy expectations [17]. Coking Coal - The price oscillated upward during the day. The Mongolian coal customs - clearance volume decreased seasonally, and some domestic coal mines reduced or stopped production. The total coking - coal inventory increased slightly. Similar to coke, it faces fundamental pressure after correcting the discount, and market sentiment is affected by policy expectations [18]. Manganese - The price oscillated strongly during the day. The manganese ore spot price increased. There are structural problems in the port inventory, and the demand for semi - carbonate ore may increase. The iron - water production decreased seasonally. It is recommended to try long positions when the price is low [19]. Silicon Iron - The price oscillated strongly during the day. There are expectations of coal - supply guarantee, which may reduce the power cost and lanthanum - carbon price. The iron - water production rebounded, and the overall demand is still resilient. The supply decreased significantly. It is recommended to try long positions when the price is low [20]. Chemicals Polycrystalline Silicon - The spot price of polycrystalline silicon increased slightly. The downstream silicon - wafer production in December was lower than expected, so the production schedule in January may be slightly increased. The battery - cell production is expected to continue to decline in January. The factory inventory is at a high level and continues to accumulate. The price is expected to oscillate at a high level [13]. Industrial Silicon - The weekly operating rate in the northwest main - production area fluctuated slightly. The demand side is still under pressure, and the demand for polycrystalline silicon may weaken again. The upward momentum of the future price depends on the implementation of production - reduction expectations, and the trend may change from strong oscillation to consolidation [14]. Urea - The urea price oscillated strongly. The supply tightened temporarily, and the production - enterprise inventory decreased significantly. The agricultural procurement slowed down, and the industrial demand was mainly for rigid needs. The supply may increase in the short term, and the price may decline slightly [24]. Methanol - The methanol main - contract price increased with an increase in positions. The import volume is expected to decrease gradually, and the coastal MTO device is approaching the restart time. The medium - term port inventory may enter a de - stocking cycle. The short - term port inventory is accumulating. The medium - term price is expected to be strong [25]. Pure Benzene - The pure - benzene price oscillated at night. The port inventory continued to increase, higher than the same period in previous years. There are expectations of device maintenance and downstream production increase in the future, but the supply may also increase. The short - term price oscillates at the bottom, and the medium - term can consider long - short spreads [26]. Styrene - The cost side does not provide obvious positive driving force for styrene. The supply and demand are expected to increase simultaneously, but there is an expectation of inventory accumulation, which is difficult to boost the price [27]. Polypropylene, Plastic & Propylene - The cost pressure on downstream propylene has been slightly relieved, but the demand recovery is limited. The supply of polyethylene is expected to increase, and the downstream procurement enthusiasm is not high. The supply of polypropylene is expected to increase slightly, and the short - term demand is still weak [28]. PVC & Caustic Soda - PVC shows an oscillatingly strong trend. The supply may increase in the short term, and the demand is weak. The inventory pressure is large, and it is expected to oscillate within a range. Caustic soda runs strongly, but the supply pressure is large, and the downstream demand growth is limited, so the upward space is restricted [29]. PX & PTA - The PX price rose due to strong expectations but started to oscillate after a decline. The short - term supply may increase, and the downstream demand may decline. PTA is expected to reduce inventory at a low load, and the processing margin has slightly recovered. The main driving force is the raw material PX [30]. Ethylene Glycol - The weekly production of ethylene glycol decreased, and the port inventory increased. The downstream polyester is expected to reduce production around the Spring Festival, and the fundamental situation is weakening. However, the reduction in arrival volume and device load eases the inventory - accumulation pressure. The price oscillates at a low level. The long - term supply pressure is still large [31]. Short - Fiber & Bottle Chips - Short - fiber enterprises' inventory is at a low level, but it is the off - season for demand. The long - term supply - demand pattern is relatively good. Bottle - chip demand has weakened, and the inventory has decreased. The long - term problem of over - capacity exists, and the price is mainly driven by cost [32]. Building Materials Glass - Glass prices are running strongly due to environmental - protection pressure and production - capacity reduction. The industry inventory is increasing slightly, and the demand is insufficient. The industry will continue to reduce production capacity, and a new balance is expected to be achieved [33]. Rubber 20 - Number Rubber, Natural Rubber & Butadiene Rubber - Favorable policies have been introduced, and the international crude - oil price has risen slightly. The global natural - rubber supply is entering the production - reduction period. The demand is average, the natural - rubber inventory is increasing, and the synthetic - rubber inventory is decreasing. The cost support is strengthening. Before the New Year's Day holiday, RU&NR are strong, and BR should be observed [34]. Fertilizers Soda Ash - The soda - ash price is strong due to the call for anti - involution and significant inventory reduction. The production may increase in the future, and the supply pressure is large. The demand for heavy soda ash has slightly declined. The short - term inventory reduction should be observed for sustainability, and the long - term faces oversupply pressure [35]. Agricultural Products Soybean & Bean Meal - This week's soybean crushing volume is expected to decline, and the bean - meal output will decrease. The downstream demand is light, and the inventory may remain high. The South American weather has improved, and the trading logic focuses on US soybean exports and South American production expectations. The bean - meal price will follow the US soybean price and oscillate at the bottom [36]. Soybean Oil & Palm Oil - Near the holiday, the domestic soybean - oil and palm - oil prices rebounded. The South American new - season soybeans are expected to have a good harvest, and the domestic soybean inventory is high. The palm - oil high - inventory pressure in Malaysia needs to be digested. The short - term macro - atmosphere is optimistic [37]. Rapeseed & Rapeseed Oil - The domestic rapeseed inventory is at a low level, and the supply - side expectation supports the near - month contracts. The EU's rapeseed supply - demand balance has been slightly adjusted. The market focuses on Australian rapeseed crushing and policies. The short - term strategy is to wait and see [38]. Soybean No.1 - The domestic soybean main - contract price is strong. The auction price provides support, and the spot - purchase price has increased. The South American new - season soybeans are expected to have a good harvest. Short - term attention should be paid to domestic policies and the spot market [39]. Corn - The northeast and north - port corn prices are strong. The low - temperature weather makes farmers reluctant to sell, and the supply of ground - stored corn is tight. The resumption of low - price old - wheat auctions may suppress the corn price. The Brazilian first - crop corn planting rate is high. The short - term Dalian corn futures will oscillate [40]. Live Pigs - The live - pig 03 - contract price continued to rise, and the spot price increased rapidly due to reduced end - of - month sales and tight large - pig supply. There is still an expectation of second - fattening replenishment in the short term, but the long - term supply pressure is large, and it is recommended to short after the 03 - contract price rebounds [41]. Eggs - The egg - futures price is weakly adjusted. The spot price is in a low - level oscillation range. The 2 - month contract is expected to be weak, and the 4 - and 5 - month contracts in the first half of next year may be strong. The high - premium contracts in the second half of next year may have a complex trading rhythm [42]. Cotton - Zhengzhou cotton prices rose yesterday, and the spot trading was average. Although the new - cotton production has increased significantly this year, the commercial inventory is lower than the same period last year, and the sales progress is fast, providing support for the price. The demand is stable in the off - season. The industry can consider hedging opportunities [43]. Sugar - Overnight, US sugar oscillated. The rainfall in Brazil in December increased, and the previous drought was slightly alleviated. The international sugar supply is sufficient, and the upward pressure on US sugar remains. The domestic market focuses on the new - season production. The Guangxi production progress is slow, but there is a strong expectation of production increase in the 25/26 season, and the rebound of Zhengzhou sugar is expected to be limited [44]. Apples - The apple - futures price oscillates. The cold - storage trading is light, and the demand has entered the off - season. The market's bearish sentiment has increased, and a bearish strategy is recommended [45]. Wood - The wood - futures price is at a low level. The external - market quotation has decreased, and the domestic spot price is weak. The demand is in the off - season, and the port inventory is decreasing. The low inventory provides some support, and it is advisable to wait and see [46]. Pulp - Pulp prices rose yesterday. The short - term upward space is limited due to weak downstream demand. The port inventory has been decreasing for five consecutive weeks. The new - year contract, especially the 01 contract, may face less warehouse - receipt pressure. The paper - mill procurement is mainly for rigid needs, and the market game is intense. It is advisable to wait and see [47]. Financial Products Stock Index - Yesterday, the Shanghai Composite Index remained flat with ten consecutive positive days. Most stock - index futures contracts rose, and the basis of all contracts was at a discount. The external - market performance was divided. After precious metals shifted from a one - way upward trend to a high - level volatile pattern, the performance of the stock index and other risk assets needs to be observed. The A - share market is expected to be oscillatingly strong, and attention can be paid to the rotation of low - level sectors [48]. Treasury Bonds - On December 30, 2025, treasury - bond futures showed mixed results. The 30 - year bond rose, and the 10 - and 5 - year bonds fell slightly. The ultra - long - term bonds showed an oversold - recovery trend, and the short - term contracts were relatively weak. In the short term, the allocation of ultra - long - term bonds may increase, and it is advisable to participate in the butterfly - spread strategy to make the yield - curve convex [49].
美联储议息会议表态同意降息,内部分歧加剧,金价冲高回落
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-31 01:29
中信期货分析认为,最新公布的12月FOMC会议纪要显示,政策分歧仍存但方向未改:多数委员认为在 通胀回落与劳动力市场边际走弱背景下,进一步降息仍具合理性,仅在节奏上保持审慎。央行持续购金 构成长期底座,官方部门新增库存具备战略属性,回流概率低;ETF持仓维持高位,配置资金黏性较 强。叠加降息预期延续、美元中枢承压以及发达经济体债务与政策不确定性,黄金仍处于"慢变量"主导 的上行通道中。历史经验显示,阶段性快速回撤后往往经历"稳态—修复"路径,短期以区间震荡消化涨 幅,中期重回基本面定价。 12月30日,金价冲高回落,盘中一度上涨至4420美元,盘中受美联储议息会议谨慎降息表态,金价快速 回落,截至收盘,COMEX黄金期货收涨0.2%报4352.3美元/盎司,黄金ETF华夏(518850)跌2.03%,黄金 股ETF(159562)跌0.4%,有色金属ETF基金(516650)涨1.3%。 消息面上,今日凌晨,美联储公布的12月会议纪要显示,FOMC在12月会议上同意降息,但官员们分歧 严重。纪要显示,如果通胀如预期般逐步下降,大多数官员认为进一步降息是合适的。委员们一致认 为,准备金余额已经下降到充足的水平, ...
中原期货晨会纪要-20251230
Zhong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 03:08
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The precious metals market experienced a significant decline on Monday, with silver prices first surging and then plummeting, dragging down other precious metals. The domestic precious metals market also saw sharp drops [9]. - China will be the first economy to pay interest on central bank digital currency, and the new - generation digital RMB system will be launched on January 1, 2026 [9]. - The Chinese People's Liberation Army Eastern Theater Command organized military exercises, and the State Council Tariff Commission announced the 2026 tariff adjustment plan [10]. - The market regulatory总局 deployed key tasks for 2026 and introduced new regulations on food production supervision [11]. - In the futures market, different varieties showed various trends. Some agricultural products and energy - chemical products had price fluctuations, and the stock index futures and options market also had its own characteristics [6][13][18]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Chemical Industry - On December 30, 2025, among chemical products, the prices of coking coal, coke, asphalt, methanol, etc. rose, while the prices of natural rubber, 20 - number rubber, etc. fell. For example, coking coal rose 20.50 to 1,108.50, with a 1.884% increase; natural rubber fell 65.0 to 15,600.00, with a - 0.415% decrease [6]. 2. Agricultural Products - On December 29, 2025, the prices of some agricultural products showed different trends. Sugar prices were in a low - level range, with cost support but limited upside due to supply pressure. Corn prices rebounded, and peanuts were under pressure below 8000 yuan. The pig market showed signs of stabilization, and the egg market had a strong price - increase expectation. Cotton prices had a short - term correction after rising, but the fundamentals remained strong [13]. 3. Energy - Chemical Products - For caustic soda, the market is expected to continue its weak trend due to supply - demand contradictions. Coking coal and coke markets are in a weak and volatile state. Log prices are in a narrow - range shock, and pulp prices have a greater downward risk. Double - offset paper prices have broken through the previous resistance level, and copper and aluminum prices continue to run at a high level. Alumina is in an oversupply situation, and steel prices are in a range - bound state. Ferroalloys are currently treated with a bullish short - term view, and lithium carbonate prices have reversed their previous upward trend [14][15][16]. 4. Option Finance - On December 29, 2025, the three major A - share indexes showed different trends, with more stocks falling than rising. The trading volume exceeded 2 trillion for two consecutive days. The stock index futures and options market had different performance in terms of positions, spreads, and implied volatility. The short - term market may fluctuate, and investors are advised to pay attention to the trading rhythm and moderately increase positions on dips [18][19][20].
股指关注阻力位,债市或震荡运行
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-29 05:09
股指关注阻力位,债市或 震荡运行 2025-12-29 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格:鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 长江期货股份有限公司研究咨询部 研究员:张志恒 执业编号:F03102085 投资咨询号:Z0021210 金融期货策略建议 目 录 01 重点数据跟踪 02 01 金融期货策略建议 01 股指策略建议 01 国债策略建议 资料来源:iFinD、长江期货 p 国债走势回顾:30年期主力合约涨0.36%报112.960元,10年期主力合约涨0.10%报108.300元,5年期 主力合约涨0.05%报106.050元,2年期主力合约涨0.03%报102.548元。 p 核心观点:当前债市缺乏显著的利好或利空因素,走势主要由机构行为主导。考虑到前几个交易日多数交易 盘已陆续平仓,年末最后几个交易日若无突发情况,市场或将维持平淡态势。预计本周及元旦后,市场焦点 预计将集中于央行国债买卖规模会否进一步扩大,以及年初货币政策的具体实施节奏。短期来看,若长短端 收益率均陷入横盘整理,需警惕收益率再度向上试探11月以来区间上沿的可能。 p 技术分析:MACD指标显示T主力合约或震荡偏强运行。 p 策略展 ...
中国石油与国家电网战略合作再谱新篇章 中油资本拟以11.29亿元收购国网英大旗下英大期货
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-26 14:31
12月26日晚,中油资本(000617)披露多项重磅公告,能源央企间产融协同再谱新篇章。公告显示,中国 石油集团拟将所持中油资本3.00%A股股份划转至国家电网旗下国网英大集团,依托双方能源与金融资 源禀赋,实现优势互补、共赢发展。 据介绍,英大期货深耕能源电力产业链,在套期保值、绿色金融衍生品领域经验丰富。本次交易将助力 中油资本完善多牌照金融生态,强化风险管理服务能力,为能源化工及产业链提供更坚实的金融支撑, 契合能源转型背景下产融深度融合的趋势。(秦声) 同步推进的还有股权收购事宜,中油资本全资子公司中油资本有限公司拟以11.29亿元收购国网英大 (600517)旗下英大期货100%股权。 ...