Contrarian Investment
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Broadcom: Strong Setup Going Into Q4 2025 Earnings (NASDAQ:AVGO)
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-11-03 21:05
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1]
Hyperscalers Adding Fuel To The Fire As The AI Narrative Remains Intact
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-11-03 21:01
Core Insights - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after a recent sell-off, indicating a thorough due diligence process [1] - The investor expresses a preference for stocks in the US but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1]
6 Stocks That Offer Undiluted Economic Participation In Resource Scarcity Value
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-31 03:00
Core Viewpoint - Horizon Kinetics LLC is an independently owned investment boutique that emphasizes a long-term, contrarian, fundamental value investment philosophy established over 26 years ago [1] Company Overview - Horizon Kinetics was formed in May 2011 and is the parent company of Horizon Asset Management LLC, Kinetics Asset Management LLC, and Kinetics Advisers, LLC, along with various affiliates [1] - The company has over 70 employees and operates primarily from New York City and White Plains, New York [1] Investment Philosophy - The firm believes that a short-term investment approach leads to sub-optimal long-term returns and advocates for extending investment time horizons to leverage the power of compounding [1] - Horizon Kinetics employs independent, fundamental research to drive its investment strategies, often taking contrarian views to capitalize on the marketplace's short-term focus [1] Research Approach - Publishing research has been fundamental to the investment process since Horizon's inception in 1994, with a focus on framing investment ideas in writing to mitigate behavioral finance errors [1] - The research team consists of fifteen analysts producing six different reports for the institutional investment community [1] Investment Strategies - Horizon Kinetics offers separately managed accounts, mutual funds, and alternative investment products for both individual and institutional investors, including Kinetics Mutual Funds, Inc. [1] - The company aims for absolute returns and constructs concentrated portfolios based on explicit research and broad investment guidelines, avoiding attempts to track any benchmark or index [1] - The independent investment process seeks to deliver superior risk-adjusted returns that are generally less correlated with peers, making its strategies potentially attractive for broader asset allocations [1]
Microsoft: Ultra-Bullish Heading Into Q1 2026 Earnings
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-27 18:22
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]
Amazon: Likely Back To All-Time Highs Before Year-End
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-27 14:09
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach between equity and derivatives [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - Preference is given to stocks that have undergone a recent sell-off, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and alignment with shareholder interests [1]
Navitas: Time To Take Profits As Two Downside Catalysts Loom
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-23 23:16
Core Insights - The investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a balanced portfolio of approximately 50% in each [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to determine optimal entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to gauge credibility and potential for future performance [1] - The approach includes screening through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, but also considering international opportunities [1]
Hecla Mining Is Reasonably Priced For Growth Despite Recent Price Surge (NYSE:HL)
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-23 11:30
Group 1 - Silver is often viewed as a less expensive alternative to gold, but its price movements do not always correlate directly with gold prices [1] - The demand for silver is influenced by various factors, including its industrial applications and investment appeal [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the distinct market dynamics that affect silver compared to gold [1]
Despite Recent Price Surge, Hecla Mining Is Reasonably Priced For Growth
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-23 11:30
Group 1 - Silver is often viewed as a less expensive alternative to gold, but its price movements do not always correlate directly with gold prices [1] - The demand for silver is influenced by various factors, including its industrial applications and investment appeal [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the distinct market dynamics that affect silver compared to gold [1]
Meta: Ultra Bullish Heading Into Q3 Earnings, With A Likely CapEx Upward Revision At The Midpoint (NASDAQ:META)
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-22 15:06
Core Insights - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Investment Strategy - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchases shares after a recent sell-off, indicating a focus on insider activity as a signal for investment [1] - The investor expresses a preference for stocks in the US but is open to owning shares in less stable markets, referred to as "banana republics" [1]
Meta: Ultra Bullish Heading Into Q3 Earnings, With A Likely CapEx Upward Revision At The Midpoint
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-10-22 15:06
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...