Contrarian Investment

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Newmont's Midas Touch: Turning Dirt Into 106% YTD Gold While S&P 500 Settles For Bronze
Benzinga· 2025-09-15 18:45
Core Viewpoint - Newmont Corp. has significantly outperformed the market in 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 106% as of September 15, driven by rising gold prices amid inflation and geopolitical tensions [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Newmont's stock has reached a 52-week high of $80.07, compared to a low of $36.86, showcasing substantial growth [6]. - The NEM/SPY ratio has nearly doubled from 0.0636 in late 2024 to 0.1205 by mid-September 2025, indicating Newmont's strong performance relative to the S&P 500 [5]. - Over the past six months, Newmont's stock has increased by 66.77%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 15.91% and the SPDR Gold Trust's 21.21% [7]. Group 2: Market Context - The surge in Newmont's stock is attributed to soaring gold prices, which are currently around $3,600 per ounce, driven by persistent inflation concerns and geopolitical instability [2][8]. - The SPDR Gold Trust has seen a year-to-date increase of 36.67%, but Newmont's operational leverage has enhanced its equity returns [6]. Group 3: Investment Insights - Newmont offers a dividend yield of 1.26%, appealing to investors seeking returns in a volatile market [7]. - A breakout above the NEM/SPY ratio of 0.12 could target 0.15 if gold prices continue to rise, indicating potential for further gains [8].
Oracle: I Wouldn't Rush In To Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-15 04:49
Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]
Amazon: Tariff Relief For Now, But Snapback Risk Later
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-13 08:34
Investment Strategy - The company employs a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares [1] - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, with a typical investment timeframe of 3-24 months [1] - The company targets stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Screening and Analysis - Fundamental analysis is utilized to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchased shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - Technical analysis is employed to optimize entry and exit points, using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]
Conagra: The 7%+ Dividend Yield Is Safe… For Now (NYSE:CAG)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-12 17:53
Group 1 - Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE: CAG) has experienced a significant decline in stock price over the last several years, leading to an increase in dividend yield to well over the industry average [1] - The company is viewed as an undervalued asset with potential income opportunities and underpriced growth prospects, attracting fundamental investors [1] - The investment philosophy surrounding Conagra emphasizes value prioritization and contrarian investment strategies, avoiding small-cap or speculative investments [1] Group 2 - The analyst holds a beneficial long position in Conagra Brands shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2] - The article reflects the author's personal opinions and is not influenced by any business relationships with the company [2]
AppLovin (APP) Stock: Far From The Top Of Its Growth Cycle
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-12 16:04
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
AppLovin: Far From The Top Of Its Growth Cycle
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-12 16:04
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
Q3 Miss Highlights Ongoing Struggles For Limoneira's Strategy (NASDAQ:LMNR)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-10 16:28
Group 1 - Limoneira has diversified its agricultural portfolio by planting avocados in addition to lemons, indicating a strategic shift in response to market conditions [1] - The company has re-engaged with Sunkist, suggesting a renewed partnership that may enhance its market position and operational efficiency [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the author's extensive experience in investment analysis, particularly in identifying undervalued companies, which may provide context for the analysis of Limoneira [1]
Palantir: Bullish, With RPO Caveats
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-10 09:16
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, especially when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
Tesla: From Bear To Believer - A Deep Dive Into The $1T Compensation Plan
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-09 18:10
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Broadcom: Multiple Expansion Still On The Table After Today's Pop
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-06 12:49
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...