Electric Vehicle (EV)

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VWAGY's Porsche Delays EV Plans, Cuts Profit Outlook for 2025
ZACKS· 2025-09-22 15:40
Group 1 - Volkswagen AG's subsidiary, Porsche, has delayed its electric vehicle rollout due to weaker demand, challenges in China, and higher U.S. tariffs, leading to reduced profit forecasts for 2025 for both Porsche and Volkswagen [1][4] - The upcoming SUV above the Cayenne, initially planned as a fully electric model, will now launch with combustion engine and plug-in hybrid options, while the Panamera and Cayenne will continue to offer combustion and hybrid variants into the 2030s [2][3] - The delay in EV adoption means certain all-electric models will launch later than planned, and Porsche is rescheduling the development of its next-generation EV platform for the 2030s, reflecting slower-than-expected demand for high-end battery-electric vehicles [3][4] Group 2 - The rescheduling of the EV platform will incur depreciation and provisions that could impact 2025 operating profit by up to €1.8 billion, prompting Porsche to revise its outlook for a positive sales return of up to 2%, down from the previous estimate of 5-7% [4][8] - Porsche is now targeting a medium-term operating return on sales in the low double digits, with business growth expectations lowered to up to 15%, compared to the earlier guidance of 15-17%, and an automotive EBITDA margin of 10.5-12.5%, down from 14.5-16.5% [4][8] - Volkswagen has also lowered its profit margin forecast to 2-3%, compared to the previous guidance of 4-5% [4][8]
Ford Layoffs a Sign of Its Crippled EV Business
247Wallst· 2025-09-17 13:15
Group 1 - Ford Motor Co. has cut 1,000 workers in Germany due to slow electric vehicle (EV) sales [1]
中国电池材料:商用车乘势而上-China Battery Materials_ Commercial Vehicle Builds on the Momentum
2025-09-03 13:23
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Battery Materials, specifically focusing on Electric Vehicle (EV) batteries - **Date**: August 31, 2025 Core Insights - **Battery Installation Data**: In July 2025, China’s EV battery installation was 63.7 GWh, reflecting a decrease of 3% month-over-month (MoM) but an increase of 43% year-over-year (YoY) [1][2] - **Year-to-Date Performance**: Cumulative EV battery installations for the first seven months of 2025 reached 402.8 GWh, representing a 49% increase YoY [1][2] - **Commercial Vehicle Segment**: Commercial vehicles accounted for 16% of battery installations in the first seven months of 2025, up from 10% in 2024, indicating a shift from Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicles to Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) [1][7] - **Market Share of Top Manufacturers**: The top two battery manufacturers, CATL and BYD, held a combined market share of 66% in July 2025, with CATL at 43% and BYD at 22%, both down by 1 percentage point MoM [2][5] Market Dynamics - **Battery Chemistry**: Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) batteries continued to dominate the market with a 79% share in July 2025 [1] - **Commercial Vehicle Battery Size**: The average battery size for commercial vehicles increased to 160 kWh per unit in 2025, up from 110 kWh in 2024, driven by the growing demand for larger batteries in special vehicles [7] Company Insights - **Top Picks**: Recommended stocks in the battery space include CATL, EVE Energy, and Hunan Yuneng, all of which are under observation for potential upside catalysts [1] - **Valuation Metrics**: - CATL is valued at HK$425/share based on a target EV/EBITDA of 16.6x for 2025, implying a P/E of 28.2x for 2025 and 22.4x for 2026 [12] - EVE Energy is valued at Rmb59.20/share, with a focus on its core battery business and other contributions [15] - Hunan Yuneng is valued at Rmb51.9/share, reflecting a cautious outlook due to surplus supply in the LFP cathode industry [17] Risks Identified - **CATL Risks**: Potential risks include lower-than-expected EV demand, increased competition leading to reduced market share, and higher raw material costs [13][14] - **EVE Energy Risks**: Risks include impacts from COVID-19-like situations, slower EV penetration in a low oil price environment, and rising raw material costs [16] - **Hunan Yuneng Risks**: Key risks involve lower-than-expected LFP cathode shipments, worse-than-expected gross profit margins, and higher expenses [18] Additional Insights - **Commercial Vehicle Transition**: The transition of special vehicles such as refrigerated trucks and garbage trucks from ICE to BEV is a significant trend contributing to the growth in battery installations [7] - **Market Share Trends**: The decline in market share for leading manufacturers like CATL and BYD may indicate increasing competition in the EV battery market [2] This summary encapsulates the essential insights and data from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the China battery materials industry, particularly in the EV segment.
Prediction: Rivian Sales Will Soar 300%-Plus Over the Next 3 Years If This Happens
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-24 09:15
Core Viewpoint - Rivian is poised for significant sales growth in 2026, with the potential to increase sales by over 300% due to the introduction of new mass-market vehicles priced below $50,000 [2][10]. Sales Growth - Since going public in 2021, Rivian's sales have surged by over 515,000%, reaching more than $5 billion, although recent growth has slowed to just 2.1% since June 2025 [1][10]. - Rivian's sales trajectory mirrors that of Tesla, which saw explosive growth after launching its mass-market vehicles [5][7]. Product Launches - In 2026, Rivian plans to begin shipments of three new mass-market vehicles: the R2, R3, and R3X, all expected to be priced below $50,000 [8][10]. - The introduction of these models is anticipated to make Rivian vehicles accessible to a broader customer base, similar to Tesla's experience with the Model 3 and Model Y [6][10]. Market Positioning - Rivian's current stock valuation is significantly lower than Tesla's, trading at 2.7 times trailing sales compared to Tesla's 12.9 times, suggesting potential for growth as new models are launched [11]. - Despite Tesla's expected sales decline of 5% this year, Rivian is projected to grow sales by 6.5%, indicating a positive outlook for the company [12].
Where Will Ford Be in 3 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-17 11:00
Core Insights - Ford is undergoing significant changes to compete in the electric vehicle (EV) market, with plans to launch a new EV lineup starting with a $30,000 pickup truck by 2027 [1][5][9] Group 1: New EV Platform - Ford will introduce a new EV platform, the Ford Universal EV Platform, by 2027, which will reduce parts by 20%, have 40% fewer workstations, and allow for 15% faster assembly [4] - The company plans to invest $2 billion to convert a Kentucky factory for this new vehicle lineup and an additional $3 billion for a battery factory in Michigan [5] Group 2: Profitability Focus - Ford is focused on achieving profitability with its new EV ventures, recognizing the urgency of the situation as competition intensifies, particularly from Chinese automakers [6][8] - CEO Jim Farley emphasized the need for a sustainable and profitable business model from the outset, moving away from past failures in the industry [7] Group 3: Challenges Ahead - Ford faces challenges from tariffs, which have already cost the company approximately $800 million, with projected impacts on pre-tax adjusted profit increasing to $3 billion [10] - The company must navigate a changing EV environment as federal EV credits are set to expire, which may affect demand for its new affordable EV model [11] Group 4: Market Reception and Future Outlook - There are uncertainties regarding customer demand for Ford's new EVs, particularly the feasibility of delivering a $30,000 pickup truck [12] - The company's stock performance is likely to be influenced by its success in executing its EV strategy over the next few years [13]
Every Time Musk Ships A Tesla, These EV Sidekicks Quietly Profit
Benzinga· 2025-07-25 18:05
Core Insights - Tesla Inc is not only a headline maker due to Elon Musk but also relies on various suppliers that contribute to its electric vehicle (EV) success [1] - Companies like ON Semiconductor, Albemarle, and Panasonic play crucial roles in Tesla's supply chain, enhancing vehicle performance and battery production [2][3] Group 1: Key Suppliers - ON Semiconductor Corp is a leader in silicon carbide chips, essential for improving EV efficiency, and is a significant supplier for Tesla [2] - Albemarle Corp, a major lithium producer, remains integral to Tesla's battery strategy despite lithium price fluctuations, thanks to its scale and long-term contracts [2] - Panasonic Holdings Corp has been a consistent battery partner for Tesla, and its U.S.-based production may gain strategic importance due to tightening tariffs on Chinese imports [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - New tariffs imposed by the U.S. and EU on Chinese-sourced EV parts may lead Tesla to shift towards North American or friend-shored supply chains [4] - Companies like Quantumscape Corp, which is developing solid-state battery technology, and Aptiv PLC, which supplies advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), are positioned to benefit from Tesla's pivot [4] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investors seeking to capitalize on Tesla's growth without the associated volatility can explore infrastructure investments linked to these key suppliers [5] - The increasing pressure for localization and tariffs may enhance the value of these supporting companies in the EV ecosystem [5]
Why Is Wall Street So Bearish on Tesla? There's 1 Key Reason.
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-24 08:30
Group 1: Tesla's Market Performance - Tesla's market cap has surpassed $1 trillion again, with shares approaching new all-time highs [1][5] - The average Wall Street price target for Tesla is $299.56 per share, indicating a 10% downside potential over the next 12 months [1] - Tesla stock is priced at 12.2 times sales, which is higher than competitors Rivian and Lucid, trading at 2.9 and 9.3 times sales respectively [7] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment and Sales Growth - Analysts are generally bearish on Tesla due to stagnating revenue projections and a decline in EV sales, with a 4.4% year-over-year drop in April [2][3] - Despite the bearish outlook, some analysts, like Dan Ives, believe Tesla's robotaxi division could significantly increase the company's value, potentially doubling the stock price by the end of 2026 [5][8] - Competitors such as Rivian and Lucid are expected to grow between 5% and 75%, contrasting with Tesla's projected stagnation [3]
Here's Why Lucid Stock Could Double and Jump to $5
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-19 22:50
Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry, particularly the electric vehicle (EV) sector, is showing potential for growth, with Lucid Motors emerging as a notable player despite challenges [1][10]. Group 1: Company Performance - Lucid Motors has achieved a record delivery of 3,309 vehicles in the second quarter, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year delivery gains [3][4]. - The company aims to produce and deliver approximately 20,000 vehicles by 2025, necessitating a significant increase in delivery output in the latter half of the year [4]. Group 2: Product Development - The production of Lucid's Gravity SUV is ramping up, targeting a larger market compared to its luxury Air sedans, with the addressable market for the Gravity projected to be six times larger [5]. Group 3: Financial Position - As of the end of the first quarter, Lucid had $5.76 billion in total liquidity, which is expected to sustain operations until the second half of 2026 [9]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - For Lucid to potentially double its stock price to around $5, it must successfully ramp up Gravity SUV production, improve cost efficiency, and demonstrate the ability to reach gross profitability [7][8]. - The current sentiment in the EV market is challenging, but there is optimism for a turnaround in 2026, coinciding with the full-scale shipping of the Gravity and the introduction of new midsize SUVs [10][11].
The Sneaky Way General Motors Is Catching Tesla
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-19 22:32
Core Insights - Tesla has established a strong presence in the U.S. electric vehicle (EV) market, transitioning from a niche player to a profitable automotive company, but faces increasing competition from General Motors' Chevrolet brand [1] - Chevrolet has become the second best-selling EV brand in the U.S., surpassing Ford and closing in on Tesla's long-held top position [2][5] - General Motors has experienced significant growth in EV sales, with a 94% year-over-year increase in the first quarter and a 134% increase in the first half of 2025, capturing 15.5% of the U.S. EV market share [5][6] Chevrolet's Performance - Chevrolet's sales in May marked the brand's second-best month ever for EV sales, indicating strong consumer demand [3] - The brand's rapid growth has positioned it as the fastest-growing domestic EV brand, contributing to GM's overall market expansion [5] Cadillac's Role - Cadillac has emerged as a key player in GM's EV strategy, claiming to be the luxury EV leader in 2025, with a focus on electric SUVs [9] - The brand has seen its best first-half sales since 2008, attracting new consumers, with nearly 80% of Cadillac EV buyers being new to the brand [10] - Cadillac's sales growth is partly driven by consumers transitioning from Tesla, with 25% of current Cadillac Lyriq buyers coming from Tesla [11] Strategic Positioning - GM's strategy includes launching a full lineup of EVs to cater to consumer preferences, especially in light of the potential loss of federal EV tax credits [12] - Cadillac's production is primarily based in the U.S., minimizing the impact of tariff policies, which benefits GM's overall EV ambitions [13] Industry Context - The EV market remains challenging for automakers, with many manufacturers losing money on EVs, yet GM is successfully building a diverse vehicle lineup and enhancing its luxury offerings [14][15] - GM's growing trust with consumers contrasts with Tesla's recent challenges, making the prospect of catching up to Tesla more feasible for GM [15]
台积电_ 业绩回顾_ 2025 年二季度强劲超预期;先进制程节点需求无放缓迹象;目标价上调至新台币 1,370 元,重申买入评级-TSMC_ Earnings review_ 2Q25 strong beat; Advanced node demand shows no signs of slowdown; TP up to NT$1,370, reiterate Buy (on CL)
2025-07-19 14:57
TSMC (2330.TW) Earnings Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) - **Ticker**: 2330.TW - **Market Cap**: NT$29.3 trillion / $997.4 billion - **Enterprise Value**: NT$27.4 trillion / $932.3 billion - **12-Month Price Target**: NT$1,370.00 - **Current Price**: NT$1,130.00 - **Upside Potential**: 21.2% Key Industry Insights - **Advanced Node Demand**: TSMC's outlook on advanced node demand is increasingly positive, particularly driven by AI customers showing no signs of demand slowdown [2][20] - **Revenue Contribution**: Expected revenue contribution from N2 is anticipated to be significantly higher than N3 during the initial ramp-up stage, especially in the first two years, driven by both smartphone and HPC applications [2][21] - **Capacity Management**: TSMC plans to improve productivity through node conversions (e.g., N7 to N5, N5 to N3) to meet the strong demand for N5/N3 nodes [3][20] Financial Performance Highlights - **2Q25 Results**: - Revenue: NT$933.8 billion, up 11.3% QoQ and 38.6% YoY [18][39] - Gross Profit: NT$547.4 billion, with a gross margin of 58.6% [18][39] - Net Income: NT$398.3 billion, EPS of NT$15.36, up 10.1% QoQ and 60.6% YoY [18][39] - **2025 Revenue Guidance**: Raised to 30% YoY growth from mid-20% previously, supported by strong demand from AI and HPC applications [19][40] Pricing and Profitability - **Pricing Strategy**: TSMC is negotiating pricing for 2026, with expectations of a higher magnitude of price hikes due to strong demand for advanced nodes [4][23] - **Gross Margin Target**: Management maintains a long-term gross margin target of 53% and higher, with expectations for gross margin to reach 57.9% by 2026 [4][17][23] Future Projections - **Revenue Forecasts**: - 2025 Revenue: NT$3,667.9 billion (up from NT$3,581.1 billion) [6][42] - 2026 Revenue: NT$4,211.2 billion (up from NT$4,073.7 billion) [6][42] - **EPS Growth**: EPS estimates for 2025 have been raised to NT$60.36 from NT$56.38, reflecting a 7.1% increase [40][42] Capacity and Demand Dynamics - **CoWoS Demand**: Continued strong demand for CoWoS (chip on wafer on substrate) amid AI growth, with management focused on narrowing the supply-demand gap [24] - **Tight Capacity Outlook**: Anticipated tightness in N5 and N3 capacity over the next several years, with ongoing conversions from N7 to N5 and N5 to N3 to alleviate this [20][24] Conclusion - TSMC's strong performance in 2Q25 and positive outlook for advanced nodes, particularly driven by AI demand, positions the company favorably for future growth. The raised revenue guidance and pricing strategies indicate robust demand and operational efficiency, reinforcing the investment thesis for TSMC.