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Trump likely to reverse course on tariff threats, says VantageRock's Avery Sheffield
CNBC Television· 2025-07-11 20:14
Market Sentiment & Valuation - The market is assessing whether the recent pause is a temporary consolidation or a midsummer stall, similar to the previous year [1] - Some stocks have already priced in positive scenarios like tariff resolutions, interest rate cuts, and AI-driven economic growth, making them vulnerable during earnings season if results are not perfect [3] - Many relatively valued or inexpensive stocks, particularly in cyclical sectors, are pricing in a more bearish outlook and could potentially rally [4] - Overcrowding in momentum stocks requires continuous positive data to sustain their upward trajectory; otherwise, they are susceptible to a self-reinforcing downward cycle due to market leverage [10] - A shift from growth to value and from large-cap to small-cap stocks indicates the market is rebalancing to avoid excessive imbalances [8] Interest Rates & Economic Outlook - Speculation surrounds the Federal Reserve's actions and the necessity of rate cuts, influenced by global announcements such as Canada's interest rate adjustments [5] - Concerns exist that if interest rate relief does not materialize, a correction could occur across all cyclical stocks, regardless of their valuation [6] - The market anticipates Canada's interest rate to be 15%-25% higher [5][6] - The most probable cyclical outlook is one of steady performance, leading to a divergence in performance between expensive and reasonably priced cyclical stocks [7] Cyclical Stocks & Sector Performance - Certain industrial areas, especially within transports, exhibit trough multiples on earnings that have remained relatively stable, but are not at peak levels, anticipating a significant recovery [6] - A major cyclical rebound is unlikely due to the potential for the 10-year Treasury yield to rise, creating a counteracting force that prevents the cycle from becoming too strong [7]
Momentum Focus: RGTI, SOUN, CVNA
ZACKS· 2025-05-14 18:40
Group 1: Momentum Stocks Overview - Momentum stocks are characterized by rapid upward trends compared to the market, driven by innovation, psychology, and market momentum [1] - Retail traders can capitalize on these stocks through chart reading and risk management, particularly in short-to-intermediate time frames [1] Group 2: Rigetti Computing - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) aims to build powerful quantum computers and has a current revenue of just over $1 million, projected to grow to $37.65 million next year [2] - Zacks Consensus Estimates indicate year-over-year growth of 159.30% for the next year, with current quarter estimates at $3.16 million [3] - RGTI has secured several government contracts, including one with DARPA, and is breaking out of a long base structure [3] Group 3: SoundHoundAI - SoundHoundAI (SOUN) is a leader in AI voice solutions and has a partnership with Nvidia, distinguishing it from slower-moving mega-cap tech stocks [7] Group 4: Carvana - Carvana (CVNA) was near bankruptcy in late 2022 but has since secured financing and transformed its fundamentals, with shares rising from single digits to over $300 [9][10] - The stock is currently breaking out and holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) rating [10] Group 5: Market Opportunities - The current market environment presents significant opportunities in quantum computing and AI stocks for nimble traders seeking super performance [11]