Core Insights - Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are preparing for potential volatility due to the delayed US inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report set to be released this week [1][2] - The recent stronger-than-expected jobs report has shifted expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, reinforcing a "higher-for-longer" interest-rate outlook [2] - The nomination of Kevin Warsh, a pro-Bitcoin advocate, as the new Federal Reserve Chair could lead to long-term changes in monetary policy affecting Bitcoin's market trajectory [3] Market Reactions - If the upcoming CPI data exceeds 2.5%, Bitcoin may break below the critical psychological support level of $60,000, where institutional buy orders are concentrated [4] - Conversely, a lower-than-expected inflation reading could push Bitcoin back towards the resistance level of $74,400 [4] - Current data indicates a nearly 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at 3.50%-3.75% in the near term [5] Economic Context - The ongoing "crypto winter" that began in January 2025 shows signs of recovery, but immediate price movements are closely tied to the forthcoming inflation data [6]

is joining us now is Julia Coronado, founder and president of Macro Policy Perspectives. And Julia, it's great to uh to see you. Um now, I think David Einhorn was basically making a call that says Kevin Walsh is kind of going to do the president's bidding and therefore he's in the job to cut rates.Uh but it would seem as if the data are kind of I I guess in the middle. Uh they're subject to interpretation in terms of whether the Fed needs to respond anytime soon or where even the neutral rate is. So, how di ...

So, next up with President Trump is waste, fraud, and abuse, including Jay Powell. Check it out. Tim Scott, Senator Scott, is chairman of the Senate Banking Committee. Um, he wants to get Kevin Walsh up and going for his hearings and he wants to get him passed, but it's being blocked uh by Senator Tillis in North Carolina. But Tim Scott said, "Okay, J. pal inept. No question about that.I I think he's done more to under undermine Fed independence in addition to his poor monetary decision. >> He's been terrib ...

Hello everyone. Inflation is crashing. The Fed nominee wants to strike a deal with the Treasury.Record tax refunds are starting to hit consumer pockets. And Jensen Hong says that we are going through a generational buildout of infrastructure. We are live today from the desk of Anthony Pompiano.Before we get into today's episode, I need your help. My goal is to get to 1 million subscribers on YouTube. Right now, we have 43,516 of you there.Hit the subscribe button and let's get into today's episode. All righ ...

Market Overview - US stock futures declined slightly as investors prepared for a week filled with economic data and corporate earnings, following a record close for the Dow above 50,000 [1] - The Dow surged over 1,200 points, or 2.5%, marking its first close above 50,000, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both rose around 2% [2] Economic Data - The delayed January employment report is set to be released on Wednesday, with expectations tempered after ADP reported only 22,000 private-sector job additions last month, a significant drop from 140,000 year-over-year [4] - January's consumer price index will also be released on Friday, following a delay due to a government shutdown [5] Corporate Earnings - Key earnings reports this week include Coca-Cola, McDonald's, Cisco, and ON Semiconductor, which will influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [5] Currency and Commodities - The dollar index has decreased by 10% since President Trump took office, despite the nomination of Kevin Warsh, viewed as a policy hawk [6] - Gold prices rose above $5,000 an ounce as dip-buyers returned after a volatile week for precious metals [3][7] Company News - QuantumScape's stock increased by 14% following the launch of its "Eagle Line," a pilot factory aimed at mass-producing battery parts [8] - The Nikkei 225 surged 4.7% after the governing party of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi secured a supermajority in elections, indicating a potential for market-friendly policies [9] - Markets across Asia also saw gains, with South Korea's Kospi rising 4.3% as technology stocks in the US rebounded [10]

We're speaking with the Atlanta Fed president Raphael Bostic, who is retiring at the end of this month. So this is sort of your HR exit interview. Mike, it's always good to see you.I want to ask you, as you travel around your district for the past year, what's the mood like among companies and consumers. We've seen the surveys show that people are getting very, very pessimistic. - Well, I'd say it runs in two ways.So, first of all, what has been true throughout the last year is a tremendous amount of resili ...

From New York City for viewers worldwide, I'm Scarlet Fu. The new one hour edition of Bloomberg Real Yield starts right now. Coming up, traders adding to rate cut bets on the heels of weaker than expected jobs data.We'll be getting insight from Oksana ARONOFF of JPMorgan Asset Management and Jeff Sherman of DoubleLine Capital. And a sell off in software debt pushes billions of dollars of loans into distressed territory. We begin with the big issue, the health of the US economy.We haven't yet really seen a t ...

Group 1 - The dollar index (DXY00) fell by -0.19% due to reduced liquidity demand from a rally in equity markets and negative carryover from weaker US labor market news, which increased the chance of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting to 19% from 8% [1] - The dollar reached a 4-year low when President Trump expressed comfort with its weakness, compounded by foreign investors withdrawing capital amid a growing budget deficit and political polarization [2] - The University of Michigan US Feb consumer sentiment index rose unexpectedly by +0.9 to a 6-month high of 57.3, while 1-year inflation expectations fell to a 13-month low of 3.5% [3] Group 2 - US Dec consumer credit increased by $24.045 billion, significantly surpassing expectations of $8.000 billion, marking the largest increase in a year [4] - Hawkish comments from Fed officials, including Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic emphasizing the need for restrictive monetary policy to achieve a 2% inflation target, supported the dollar [5] - Swaps markets are pricing in a 19% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut at the next policy meeting, with expectations of a -50 basis point cut by 2026 [6] Group 3 - The EUR/USD pair recovered from a 2-week low, finishing up by +0.37% after initial declines due to weaker German industrial production, but rebounded following better-than-expected German trade news [7]

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have experienced significant volatility, with a sharp decline following a record rally, raising concerns about market stability and investor sentiment [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Spot silver fell as much as 17% to approximately $73 an ounce during Asian trading, later recovering to about 11% down mid-morning in Europe [2]. - Silver has retreated over a third from its all-time high reached last week, indicating a substantial market correction [2]. - Precious metals, including gold, have seen their largest daily drops recently, with gold experiencing its most significant decline since 2013 [3][4]. Group 2: Investor Behavior - Investors had accumulated large positions in precious metals, leading to a cascade of selling when prices began to fall, resulting in continued volatility [5]. - The recent price swings in silver are attributed to heavy speculative inflows and thinner trading conditions in the over-the-counter market [6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The decline in precious metals has negatively impacted sentiment in base metals markets, with copper prices also falling [4]. - Higher prices have strained credit availability for precious metals trading desks, contributing to further market volatility [7]. Group 4: Monetary Policy Implications - Markets are currently assessing the implications of Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve chair, with expectations that the Fed may lower interest rates, which could support precious metals [8]. - Analysts predict that gold prices will remain volatile until there is more certainty regarding monetary policy, although structural drivers for precious metals remain intact [9].

Group 1 - European stocks are expected to open flat to lower, with the U.K.'s FTSE and Germany's DAX projected to decline by 0.25% [1] - A busy day of earnings reports in Europe includes major companies such as Shell, BBVA, BNP Paribas, and BMW among others [2] - The European Central Bank and Bank of England are set to publish their monetary policy decisions, with no changes expected to current interest rates [2] Group 2 - Global markets have faced turbulence, with Wall Street experiencing a second consecutive day of losses, particularly in software stocks [3] - S&P 500 futures rose following corporate earnings reports, including results from Alphabet, with Amazon's quarterly results expected soon [3] - In Asia-Pacific markets, South Korean stocks led declines, reflecting the tech sell-off trends from Wall Street [3] Group 3 - Data releases in Europe include German factory orders, French industrial production, and EU retail sales [4]