Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The GS Financial Conditions Index (FCI) indicates a tightening of financial conditions globally, primarily driven by equity market selloffs due to tariff impacts, contributing 47 basis points to the tightening in the US FCI last week [2][4] - The global economic outlook shows a decrease in GDP growth forecasts for 2025, particularly in Asia and North America, with notable reductions in several countries [10][96] - The Current Activity Indicator (CAI) for March shows a global value of +2.1%, with emerging markets performing better than developed markets [51] Summary by Sections Financial Conditions Index (FCI) - The FCI is designed to assess the overall financial conditions across major economies, providing insights into GDP growth outlook and monetary policy transmission [4] - Recent data shows a tightening in the Global ex Russia FCI, primarily due to equity market performance [8] - The US FCI experienced a significant tightening, with contributions from long rates, short rates, credit spreads, and equities [32][33] GDP Forecast Changes - The report highlights a downward revision in GDP growth forecasts for 2025 across various regions, with North America and Asia Pacific seeing the most significant declines [10][96] - Specific countries like Argentina and Turkey have shown notable changes in their GDP forecasts, with Argentina's forecast increasing by 1.0 percentage points [96][97] Current Activity Indicator (CAI) - The CAI for March indicates a global increase, with emerging markets showing stronger performance compared to developed markets [51] - The CAI values for specific countries reveal varied economic activity, with Spain at +3.6% and Brazil at +0.5% [51] Wage and Price Inflation - The report includes wage trackers and inflation measures, indicating trends in wage growth across different regions [21][68] - The wage growth in the US and other developed markets is being closely monitored as it impacts inflation expectations [21][68] Fiscal Impulses - The report discusses the effects of fiscal policy on real GDP growth, indicating varying impacts across different regions, with the US and Euro Area showing significant fiscal impulses [82][83] Output Gaps - The report provides insights into short-run utilization scores across various countries, indicating how much of their potential output is being utilized [88][89]