Core Viewpoint - Analysts have mixed opinions on the iPhone 17 pre-order numbers, with some expressing optimism while others remain cautious about demand trends [2][3][10]. Pre-order Analysis - UBS reports mixed demand for the iPhone 17 lineup, indicating that wait times for the Pro and Pro Max models are less favorable compared to the iPhone 16, with a neutral rating and a $220 price target [3]. - Bank of America notes that shipping dates for the iPhone 17 Pro and Pro Max are longer than those for the iPhone 16, suggesting strong demand [6]. - Morgan Stanley observes that lead times for the new devices are tracking higher year-over-year, indicating increased early demand, and has an overweight rating with a $240 price target [7]. Market Performance - Apple’s sales in China fell by 6% year-over-year leading up to the iPhone 17 launch, amidst a broader market decline of 2% [5]. - Apple holds a 12% market share in China, ranking sixth in the country [6]. International Demand - Morgan Stanley highlights stronger international demand for the iPhone 17, with longer lead times reported in markets such as China, Japan, the UK, France, and Germany [8]. - JP Morgan corroborates the trend of higher lead times compared to the iPhone 16, maintaining an overweight rating [9]. Product Popularity - The orange color variant of the iPhone 17 has gained significant popularity, selling out within an hour of release and remaining on back order [10].

Core Insights - Boston Scientific (BSX) is scheduled to announce its earnings on July 23, 2025, with historical data indicating a 60% chance of positive returns the day after earnings announcements [2][7] - The current consensus estimates for BSX's upcoming earnings are $0.72 per share on revenue of $4.89 billion, showing improvement from the previous year's earnings of $0.62 per share on revenues of $4.12 billion [3] - BSX has a market capitalization of $153 billion, with revenues of $18 billion, operating profits of $3.2 billion, and net income of $2.0 billion over the past twelve months [4] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, BSX has recorded 20 earnings data points, resulting in 12 positive and 8 negative one-day returns, with a median positive return of 3.2% and a median negative return of -1.2% [7] - The likelihood of positive one-day returns increases to 67% when considering the last three years instead of five [7] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider positioning before the earnings announcement based on historical probabilities, while also assessing the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns post-announcement [6] - Analyzing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can provide a less risky trading strategy, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns show high correlation [8]

Core Insights - United Airlines is scheduled to release its earnings report on July 17, 2025, with traders focusing on historical stock performance related to earnings announcements [2] - The current consensus forecasts predict earnings of $3.88 per share on revenue of $15.33 billion, compared to $4.14 per share on revenue of $14.99 billion in the same quarter last year [3] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, United Airlines stock has experienced negative one-day returns following earnings releases in 60% of cases, with a median negative return of -4.0% and a maximum decline of -10.2% [3][7] - There have been 20 earnings data points recorded in the past five years, with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 40% of the time [7] Financial Metrics - United Airlines currently has a market capitalization of $29 billion, with $58 billion in revenue, $5.6 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $3.7 billion over the last twelve months [4] Trading Strategies - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities and assess the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns following the earnings announcement [6] - A relatively lower-risk strategy involves assessing the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings to inform trading decisions [8]

Core Insights - Senator John Hickenlooper has engaged in unusual stock trading activities involving Liberty Media Formula One (FWONK) and Liberty Broadband (LBRDK), which deviate from typical congressional trading patterns [1][4][11] Group 1: Trading Activities - On May 9, 2025, Hickenlooper executed three trades in FWONK, purchasing shares valued between $100,001 and $250,000, followed by two sales: one between $15,001 and $50,000 and another between $250,001 and $500,000 [3][4] - Hickenlooper's trades in LBRDK on the same day included purchases in the ranges of $100,001 to $250,000 and $250,001 to $500,000, along with sales of identical amounts, totaling four trades [9][10] Group 2: Market Context and Implications - The rapid buy-and-sell strategy observed in Hickenlooper's trading activities suggests a reaction to short-term market movements rather than a long-term investment approach [4][10] - The nature of FWONK, linked to the motorsport industry, is unconventional for a U.S. senator, especially as the stock has gained 11% over the past month [5][10] - The coordinated trading in both FWONK and LBRDK, despite their different sectors, raises questions about the senator's investment strategy and intent [10][11]

Core Insights - Workday is set to announce its earnings on May 22, 2025, with historical data indicating a 60% chance of a positive one-day return post-announcement, averaging 8.1% [1][6] - Consensus estimates for the upcoming quarter project earnings per share of $2.01 and revenues of $2.22 billion, compared to $1.74 EPS and $1.99 billion in the same quarter last year [2] - Workday's current market capitalization stands at $73 billion, with $8.4 billion in revenue, $499 million in operating profit, and $526 million in net income over the last twelve months [3] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for Workday, with 12 positive and 8 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 60% positive return rate [6] - The positive return rate increases to 67% when considering the last three years, with an average positive return of 8.1% and an average negative return of -4.9% [6] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical patterns to inform pre-earnings positioning and post-earnings adjustments based on immediate market reactions and medium-term performance [5] - Analyzing correlations between short-term and medium-term returns can provide insights for trading strategies, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns exhibit strong correlation [4] Peer Performance - The performance of peers can influence Workday's post-earnings stock reaction, with historical data showing the relationship between Workday's stock performance and that of its peers [7]