Morning. Want to talk about the Fed rates and so much more with Muhammad Ali. He of course a professor at the University of Pennsylvania's Warden School of Business, chief economic adviser at Aliance and so much more.Friend of Squack. Um we haven't had a chance to talk Muhammad since we heard from Jay Powell last week. I think as openly as we've ever heard him really talk about dissension on the board of the Fed in terms of what comes next.And I'm curious what you know what your perspective was coming out o ...

This is a story about preparing for the worst. Maybe the worst thing any of us can imagine. A year ago, we talked with computer scientist Jeffrey Hinton just days after he won the Nobel Prize for his work in machine learning.The so-called godfather of AI has been busy since then. Not developing artificial intelligence, but warning people about it. He says we've all become more aware of the risks, but knowing about them isn't enough.We need to act. Mhm. >> Suppose that some telescope had seen an alien invasi ...

Federal jobs have long been a lifeline for the black middle class, but as the government shutdown drags on, that lifeline may be unraveling. >> When I was terminated, I was devastated. >> Denise Joseph was terminated after nearly a decade at the Department of Education.She thought her job was secure, but just one day after the inauguration. >> I got the email stating that I was put on admin leave. I thought it was a joke.She along with these two other former federal government employees are now turning to o ...

Economic Impact of Deleveraging - Lower incomes and increased unemployment reduce government tax revenue while simultaneously increasing the need for government spending on unemployment benefits [1] - Governments often implement stimulus plans and increase spending, leading to budget deficits as they spend more than they earn in taxes [2] - Governments may raise taxes on the wealthy to redistribute wealth, potentially causing resentment between different socioeconomic groups [3] - Continued economic depression can lead to social disorder and political instability, both within and between countries [4] Monetary Policy Response - Central banks, having lowered interest rates to near zero, may resort to printing money to stimulate the economy [5] - Central banks print money to buy financial assets and government bonds, as the Federal Reserve printed over $2 trillion during the 2008 crisis [6] - This action increases asset prices, benefiting those who own financial assets, but the central bank can only buy financial assets [7] - Central banks cooperate with the central government, which can buy goods and services, by buying government bonds, effectively lending money to fund stimulus programs [8] Risks and Policy Considerations - Policymakers must balance deflationary and inflationary measures to manage debt burdens and maintain stability during deleveraging [9]

South Africa will on Friday start offering loans from a $135 million Youth Fund aimed at supporting small businesses, part of a push by the government to tackle one of the world’s highest unemployment rates https://t.co/aNSXUd70T6 ...

Joe, if this wasn't the kind of day where you like jump out of bed ready to get up here and talk about this incredible market day that we have, I don't know what's going to get you to do that. I mean, you got the Fed decision, you got the 5 trillion Nvidia, you got some incredible earnings coming up and the market's hitting record highs again into all of it. >> Sure is a remarkable day.And I will say this, I think I speak for the majority of portfolio managers out there, it's somewhat perplexing. It's perpl ...

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy is showing signs of weakness, with real GDP growth at 1.6% in the first half of 2025, down from 2.8% in 2024, indicating potential underlying issues despite positive top-line numbers [3] - Unemployment rose to 4.3% in August, the highest since 2021, with nearly 1 million layoffs reported through September, a 55% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [2] Inflation and Consumer Behavior - Inflation has increased by 3% year over year as of September, up from 2.3% in April, largely influenced by tariffs affecting corporate supply chains [1] - Companies are reporting a decline in visits from lower-income customers, with McDonald's and O'Reilly Auto Parts noting reduced spending on dining and auto repairs, respectively [6] Gold Market Dynamics - Gold prices have recently experienced volatility, dropping 3.5% after a significant 6% decline on October 21, with prices falling below $4,000 per ounce, raising concerns among investors [5] - Bank of America has revised its gold forecast, predicting a bearish target of $3,800 per ounce for Q4 2025, but sees potential for prices to rise to $5,000 per ounce in 2026 due to structural drivers remaining in place [11][16] Investment Strategies - Analysts suggest that long-term holders of gold will need to continue supporting demand through exchange-traded funds, while central banks are expected to diversify away from the U.S. Dollar [4] - Historical analysis indicates that adding a 5% gold allocation to traditional investment portfolios could yield higher returns, suggesting a shift towards a 60:20:20 portfolio structure [17]

ToplineThe Federal Reserve on Wednesday voted to lower interest rates again, the second straight month the central bank eased monetary policy after months of pressure and criticism from President Donald Trump, who has called for steeper cuts. Some policymakers have expressed caution about lowering rates further, while President Donald Trump and his recent appointee have pushed for steep cuts.Copyright 2025 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.Key FactsThe Federal Open Market Committee voted 10-2 in fav ...

[Music] With headline inflation ticking up to 3% year-over-year in September, its highest level since January, and the unemployment rate sitting at 4.3%, the Federal Reserve faces a classic dual mandate dilemma. Persistent price pressures clash with a slightly softer labor market where job gains have slowed and revised data reveal 911,000 fewer positions created from April 2024 through March 2025 than previously thought. Yet the Fed will likely prioritize jobs.Despite stubborn inflation, officials have sign ...

As upside inflation pressures fade and job growth weakens, the Federal Reserve appears poised to cut short-term interest rates again on Oct. 29 at the end of its two-day meeting complicated by missing economic data due to the ongoing government shutdown. Although inflation ticked up in September and remains above the Fed’s 2% target, analysts expect the central bank to proceed with another quarter-point rate cut, viewing cooling labor market risks as more pressing than lingering price pressures, according ...