更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木Alpha Xiaomi (1810) Neutral 2025 Investor Day Takeaways Price: HK$53.20 Xiaomi held its Investor Day yesterday (3 June). Key highlights were: (1) Largely in-line financial targets with 40+% adjusted net profit and 30+% revenue growth in 2025, (2) EV delivery targets at 350K with likely breakeven in EV business in 2H25, (3) No pricing details on YU7, but YU7 pre-orders and customer expressions of interests are running at 3x of SU7, (4) Continued push for premiumization across all pr ...

更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木Alpha 4 June 2025 | 10:12PM HKT Chongqing Brewery (600132.SS): Consumer & Leisure Corporate Day: Steady premiumization in off-trade channels amid flattish trends We hosted Chongqing Brewery at our Consumer & Leisure Corporate Day on Jun 4. Key takeaways: 1) Recent updates: The company noted a still soft recovery in on-trade channels following the Jan-Feb uptick driven by CNY. Channel mix in 1Q remained roughly unchanged vs. last year at 45:55 for on-trade/off-trade. By brand, YTD p ...

VALLOUREC COMPLETES THE ACQUISITION OF THERMOTITE DO BRASIL Meudon (France), June 5, 2025 – Vallourec, a world leader in premium seamless tubular solutions, today announces the completion of the acquisition of Thermotite do Brasil from Mattr (MATR.TO), in accordance with the terms of the agreement announced on September 16, 2024. This operation supports Vallourec's premiumization strategy, with the integration of differentiated technological expertise in thermal insulation coatings for pipelines. With this ...

Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) 2025 Conference Summary Industry Overview - The consumer environment in early 2025 is characterized by competing pressures affecting both consumers and retail partners, particularly in the US [5][12] - Inflationary pricing in 2023 and 2024 has led to a cautious consumer mindset, resulting in a slowdown in purchasing patterns [7][12] - Global performance varies, with some regions showing improvement while others remain volatile [8][11] Key Insights on Consumer Behavior - The US market has seen a decline in 12 categories in February, with some recovery in March and April, but overall consumer caution persists [8][12] - Europe is experiencing share growth despite muted category volume, while Latin America remains consistent with slight improvements in Mexico and softness in Brazil [9][10] - In Asia, India shows a slowdown in urban markets but growth in rural areas, while China remains unpredictable [11][66][68] - Africa is performing well, showing better results than in the first quarter [11] Retail Dynamics - Retail inventory levels in the US have not seen major changes, with retailers managing working capital cautiously [14][15] - Internationally, retail environments are improving, with a focus on growth and innovation [16][17] Market Share and Competitive Position - Colgate-Palmolive is satisfied with its market share trends, particularly in Western Europe, where oral care market share is at record levels [18][19][64] - The company has seen strong volume shares and penetration across global markets, despite some mix effects [20] Tariff and Supply Chain Management - The company is actively managing tariff impacts and optimizing its global supply chain for efficiency [22][23] - Investments in productivity and growth initiatives are ongoing, with a focus on maintaining dollar-based earnings growth despite external pressures [24][30] Strategic Growth Initiatives - The 2025 strategic plan emphasizes consistent top-line and bottom-line growth, focusing on selective growth opportunities and innovation [25][26] - The company is leveraging multiple brands and equities in different markets to drive growth, particularly in oral care and pet nutrition [27][28] Digital Transformation and AI Integration - Colgate-Palmolive has integrated its IT organization into its growth strategy, enhancing decision-making capabilities through technology [49][50] - Investments in AI and data analytics are aimed at improving operational efficiency and marketing effectiveness [51][52] Future Outlook and Innovations - The company anticipates modest category improvements in the second half of 2025, driven by strong market share and innovation [58][59] - Key advertising campaigns and product innovations, such as the relaunch of Colgate Total and new equity campaigns for Hill's, are expected to drive growth [60][61] Regional Performance Insights - The success in Europe is attributed to consistent strategy execution, innovation, and effective pricing mechanisms [62][64] - India is viewed as a long-term growth opportunity due to its expanding middle class, despite recent urban market slowdowns [66][68] Hill's Business Performance - Hill's is performing well, growing market share across all segments despite category slowdowns [72][74] - The transition away from private label capacity is nearing completion, expected to enhance margins significantly [77][78] M&A Strategy - The company is not reliant on M&A for growth but remains open to strategic acquisitions that complement its existing portfolio [86][87] Leadership Changes - Recent leadership changes aim to enhance operational efficiency and drive growth, with a focus on leveraging talent from both inside and outside the organization [88][90] Investment Opportunity Summary - Colgate-Palmolive emphasizes durability and predictability in its growth strategy, focusing on organic growth and innovation to drive shareholder value [103][104]

Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) is successfully implementing a premiumization strategy, leading to accelerated growth in its Power Brands, particularly in the beer segment [1] Group 1: Divestiture and Portfolio Restructuring - The company has completed the divestiture of its mainstream wine brands to The Wine Group, which includes brands like Woodbridge, Meiomi, and Robert Mondavi Private Selection [2][9] - The wine portfolio now focuses on exclusive wines priced at $15 and above, featuring renowned brands from top regions globally [3] - The craft spirits portfolio includes High West whiskey, Mi CAMPO tequila, and Casa Noble tequila, aligning with consumer-led premiumization trends [4] Group 2: Financial Outlook - For fiscal 2026, Constellation Brands anticipates net sales growth of 0-3% in the beer segment and a significant increase in enterprise operating income by 765-783% [5] - The medium-term outlook for fiscal 2027 and 2028 includes enterprise net sales growth of 2-4%, with operating income margins projected at 35-36% overall [6] - Earnings per share (EPS) growth is expected to be mid-single-digit to low-double-digit for fiscal 2027 and low-single-digit to mid-single-digit for fiscal 2028 [7] Group 3: Capacity Expansion and Market Position - The company is investing in capacity expansion in Mexico to meet demand for its high-end Mexican beer portfolio, aiming for a capacity of approximately 55 million hectoliters by fiscal 2028 [8] - Constellation Brands is focused on enhancing distribution and innovation to support its leading position in the beer market [8] Group 4: Challenges - The company faces challenges from rising selling, general, and administrative costs, as well as inflationary pressures affecting packaging and raw material costs [10]

Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands has successfully completed the divestiture of its mainstream wine brands to The Wine Group, allowing the company to focus on a premium wine portfolio that aligns with consumer trends towards premiumization [1][3]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The divestiture includes mainstream wine brands such as Woodbridge, Meiomi, Robert Mondavi Private Selection, Cook's, SIMI, and J. Rogét sparkling wine, along with associated inventory, facilities, and vineyards [1]. - The retained portfolio consists of high-end wines priced predominantly at $15 and above, featuring brands like Robert Mondavi Winery, Schrader, Double Diamond, and Kim Crawford, among others [2]. Group 2: Strategic Focus - The company aims to reposition its portfolio to focus exclusively on higher-end products, which is expected to enhance performance in this segment over time [3]. - Constellation Brands emphasizes its commitment to aligning with consumer-led premiumization trends, which is anticipated to drive improved business performance [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Constellation Brands is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits, with operations in the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy [4]. - The company is recognized for its dedication to building beloved brands and has become one of the fastest-growing large consumer packaged goods companies in the U.S. retail market [4].

28 May 2025 | 6:43AM HKT Xiaomi Corp. (1810.HK) Buy Earnings Review: 1Q25 results beat on AIoT/EV and strong China sales; An eventful month ahead; Raise TP and reiterate Buy | | | Xiaomi's 1Q25 results stayed robust and beat expectations. Revenue grew +47% yoy to Rmb111bn (2% above GSe/Visible Alpha Consensus Data, or +23% yoy for the core business) and adj. net profit grew +65% yoy to Rmb10.7bn (13-14% above GSe/consensus, or +24% yoy for the core business). Key segments that we focus on into results – AIo ...

Core Insights - The rivalry between Procter & Gamble (PG) and Unilever (UL) is significant in the global consumer goods sector, with both companies dominating the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) market [1][4]. Procter & Gamble (PG) - PG is recognized for its brand-heavy strategy, focusing on high-margin household and personal care products, which grants it strong pricing power and market dominance in North America [2][5]. - The company operates in over 180 countries with a portfolio of well-known brands, creating a competitive moat that allows for swift adaptation to market changes [5][6]. - PG emphasizes brand superiority and innovation, investing in differentiated products across various price tiers, which helps maintain consumer loyalty without heavy discounting [6][7]. - Despite facing potential tariff costs projected at $1-$1.5 billion annually, PG is managing these impacts through supply-chain localization and strategic pricing adjustments [8]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PG's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS indicates year-over-year growth of 0.2% and 3%, respectively, with projected increases of 2.6% and 3.2% in fiscal 2026 [17]. - PG's stock trades at a forward P/E multiple of 24.06, above its 5-year median, indicating a premium valuation that reflects its consistency and brand strength [22][26]. Unilever (UL) - UL adopts a diversified approach with operations in over 190 countries, focusing on both developed and emerging markets, which enhances its market coverage [9][10]. - The company's "Power Brands" account for over 75% of its turnover, demonstrating resilience and growth potential, particularly in developed markets [10][11]. - Under new leadership, UL is pursuing a consumer-focused strategy that emphasizes premiumization and digital marketing, aligning its products with evolving consumer preferences [12][16]. - Unilever's financial performance shows underlying sales growth of 3% in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, with strong contributions from personal care and wellbeing categories [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UL's fiscal 2025 sales and EPS suggests year-over-year growth of 4.4% and 2.5%, respectively, with projected increases of 3.2% and 6.1% in fiscal 2026 [17]. - UL's stock has outperformed PG, with a total return of 19.1% over the past year, compared to PG's 3.8% growth [20]. - UL trades at a forward P/E multiple of 18.85, indicating it may be undervalued relative to PG, presenting a potential long-term investment opportunity [22][25]. Comparative Analysis - Both companies have experienced downward estimate revisions recently, but UL shows stronger projected revenue growth compared to PG [19]. - Unilever's more attractive valuation and diversified global presence position it favorably for future growth, while PG's premium valuation reflects its defensive qualities [25][26]. - Investor sentiment is shifting towards UL, supported by positive revisions to its earnings estimates, indicating confidence in its financial performance [28].

Xiaomi (01810) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 27, 2025 07:30 AM ET Moderator Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Xiaomi's twenty twenty five First Quarter Results Announcement Investor Conference Call and Audio Webcast. Today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objection, you may disconnect at this time. Now I would like to hand the conference over to your host today, Mr. Xu Ran, General Manager of Group Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the investo ...

Xiaomi (01810) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 27, 2025 07:30 AM ET Moderator Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Xiaomi's twenty twenty five First Quarter Results Announcement Investor Conference Call and Audio Webcast. Today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objection, you may disconnect at this time. Now I would like to hand the conference over to your host today, Mr. Xu Ran, General Manager of Group Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the investo ...