Core Viewpoint - Semtech Corp (NASDAQ:SMTC) is anticipated to report first-quarter earnings soon, with bearish sentiment surrounding the stock, which has a history of significant post-earnings price movements [1]. Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Semtech is set to report earnings after the market closes on May 27, with the options market indicating a larger-than-usual post-earnings swing of 14.3% [2]. - The stock has previously experienced notable post-earnings moves, including a 21.5% increase after the March report and an 18.1% rise following the November earnings report [2]. Group 2: Stock Performance - The current trading price of Semtech is $38.05, having rebounded from a 12-month low of $24.05 recorded on April 21 [3]. - Year-to-date, the shares have declined by 38.4%, and the 80-day moving average is identified as a critical pivot point for future performance [3]. Group 3: Short Interest and Volatility - Short interest in Semtech has decreased by 10% in the last two reporting periods, yet 6.63 million shares sold short still represent 7.7% of the total available float [5]. - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for Semtech is at 89 out of 100, indicating that the stock has surpassed option traders' volatility expectations over the past year [5].

Hims and Hers, Inc. NYSE: HIMS shows strongly bullish signs that begin and end with the stock price action. It reflects volatility, but the bias is upward with rising support and the most recent swing, a bullish rebound, looks very strong within the pattern. Hims & Hers Health TodayHIMSHims & Hers Health$61.95 -0.39 (-0.63%) 52-Week Range$13.47▼$72.98P/E Ratio141.24Price Target$37.67Add to WatchlistIt consists of Three White Soldiers or Three Green Soldiers, technically, a bullish pattern formed by three c ...

Market Overview - The Russell 2000 index, a benchmark for small-cap stocks, has increased by approximately 3.8% this week and 15.7% over the past month, indicating strong momentum in the small-cap sector [1] Interest Rates and Tariffs - Small-cap stocks are sensitive to interest rates, as many rely on debt for operations, making it challenging to absorb higher tariff charges. Interest rates may not decrease as quickly as anticipated, and while progress in U.S.-China tariff negotiations is noted, a finalized agreement is still pending [2] Volatility and Investment Opportunities - Investors should prepare for increased volatility in the next 90 days, but several small-cap stocks mentioned have strong investment potential regardless of tariff and interest rate fluctuations [3] Advance Auto Parts (AAP) - AAP has a 12-month stock price forecast of $45.13, representing a potential upside of 31.10% from its current price of $34.42. Analysts suggest a consensus Hold rating based on 17 ratings [4][5] - The stock is trading near its 52-week low but has risen over 5% in the past week, with a high short interest of over 17%, indicating potential for a short squeeze [6] - AAP's turnaround plan, including closing underperforming stores, is showing positive results, particularly in improving its balance sheet [7] La-Z-Boy (LZB) - LZB has a 12-month stock price forecast of $44.50, indicating a modest upside of 1.00% from its current price of $44.06. The stock has seen a 20% increase this year, partly due to its "Made in America" positioning [9][11] - The company is relatively insulated from tariffs, with much of its production in the U.S., although one-third of its products are still exposed to China [10] - LZB's stock is trading at around 14.9x earnings, which is considered somewhat expensive, but it has recently received an upgrade from KeyCorp with a price target of $46 [11] National Vision Holdings (EYE) - EYE has a 12-month stock price forecast of $17.57, suggesting a downside of 5.53% from its current price of $18.60. The stock was recently upgraded to a Buy from Underperform by Bank of America, with a new price target of $22 [12][13] - The company is implementing a strategic plan that includes price increases of 10% to 15%, which consumers have not resisted so far. However, it anticipates increased costs of $10 to $15 million due to its exposure to China [14] - Following the upgrade, EYE's stock has risen over 50%, prompting a cautionary note for investors to consider waiting for a pullback before investing [15]

Group 1 - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is currently the most heavily shorted stock in the S&P 500, with 17.5% of its float sold short [1] - The stock has experienced a significant price increase of 44% this week, attributed to a $20 billion partnership with DataVolt [2] - The current short interest could lead to a short squeeze, potentially driving the stock price higher if short sellers are forced to cover their positions [3] Group 2 - SMCI stock has tested resistance levels around $37 and $42.47 in recent months, indicating that it must maintain above these levels for the rally to continue [6] - The NASDAQ-100 index has broken above a key moving average, suggesting a potential upward trend that could benefit SMCI [7] - The broader stock market is recovering, with $2 trillion flowing into equities, which may positively impact SMCI [8] Group 3 - SMCI received an 'Outperform' rating from Raymond James with a price target of $41, and a 'Buy' rating from Loop Capital with a price target of $70, indicating positive analyst sentiment [9]

Core Viewpoint - Lucid stock (NASDAQ: LCID) is experiencing increased short-selling activity, with a potential for a short squeeze due to high short interest and upcoming earnings call [1][6]. Short Selling Activity - As of April 30, 43.73% of LCID shares traded were sold short, up from 39.23% earlier in the week [1]. - The short interest is currently at 28.86% of the float, indicating significant bearish sentiment [4][6]. - The short interest ratio stands at 4.76 days, suggesting it would take a considerable amount of time to close out existing short positions [3][4]. Earnings Call Impact - The increase in short-selling activity may be linked to the upcoming earnings call scheduled for May 6 [4][6]. Stock Performance - As of May 1, Lucid stock was priced at $2.51, reflecting a 4.58% increase from a low of $2.40 the previous day [5]. - Despite promising year-over-year growth in Q1 production and delivery figures, the stock has not seen a significant upward movement [7]. Market Dynamics - Lucid's production processes are largely tariff-proof due to their location in the United States, although imported components may still affect profitability [7]. - Recent dips in Lucid stock were accompanied by strong volume and quick rebounds, indicating strong demand when shares are discounted [8]. - Given the current macroeconomic conditions, a significant upward movement and a short squeeze appear unlikely despite the concerning setup regarding days to cover and high short interest [8].

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 22, 2025.A key force at the center of the stock market's massive two-day rally is the frantic behavior of short sellers covering their losses.Hedge fund short sellers recently added more bearish wagers in both single stocks and securities tied to macro developments after the whipsaw early April triggered by President Donald Trump's tariff rollout and abrupt 90-day pause, according to Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage ...

Core Insights - MARA Holdings has a high short interest and is heavily reliant on Bitcoin for price appreciation [1] Group 1 - The inquiry regarding whether shorts in MARA Holdings should be concerned stems from its significant short interest [1] - The company's performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's price movements, indicating a direct correlation between the two [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has experienced significant volatility in 2024, leading to a bearish technical indicator known as the Death Cross for its leveraged ETFs, raising questions about future performance and potential buying opportunities [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Tesla's stock is down over 30% year-to-date and has decreased by 7% in the past month, negatively impacting its leveraged ETFs [2]. - The Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares (TSLL) is down nearly 60% year-to-date, while the GraniteShares 2x Long TSLA Daily ETF (TSLR) has declined by almost 59% [2]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - A Death Cross has occurred for both TSLL and TSLR, where the 50-day moving average has fallen below the 200-day moving average, typically indicating a prolonged downside [2]. - Despite the bearish signals, Tesla's stock is currently priced at $266.18, above its 20-day simple moving averages (SMAs), suggesting short-term buying pressure [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Traders face a dilemma between riding the bearish momentum or betting on a potential turnaround, as Tesla's trend is stagnating but not collapsing [4]. - If Tesla maintains strength above its shorter-term moving averages, a short squeeze in TSLL and TSLR could occur, but if the Death Cross remains valid, further declines may follow [4].

Trump Tariffs Narrower Than ExpectedTariff fears have been the proverbial pebble in the shoe for U.S. equity markets since late February, leading to a rapid 10% correction in the S&P 500 Index. Though then-candidate Donald Trump made clear he would impose reciprocal tariffs during his campaign for the White House, executives and investors on Wall Street have complained that the tariffs have changed too rapidly and have been too unpredictable, making it difficult for companies to plan ahead.However, U.S. mar ...

Group 1 - Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX) shares have retraced from their 52-week high to key support at the 50-day moving average, indicating a potential rebound opportunity for SBUX calls [2] - The stock's recent pullback occurred after a gap higher following the earnings report on January 28, with Friday's low remaining above the initial post-earnings reaction level [2] - Options positioning shows a shift in sentiment, with increased put activity as shares tested a key support level, suggesting a cautious outlook among traders [3] Group 2 - Analysts maintain a cautious stance on SBUX despite its strong earnings performance and outperformance against the S&P 500 Index in 2025, with 15 "hold" and 5 "sell" ratings [4] - Short interest in SBUX is at a record high, requiring more than three days' worth of volume to cover, which could lead to a short squeeze if momentum returns [4] - The recommended call option has a leverage ratio of 6.62, indicating that a 14.84% increase in the underlying shares would double the option's value [4]