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Wall Street Rebounds on Rate Cut Hopes, Tech Volatility Persists
Stock Market News· 2025-11-21 21:07
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant rebound on November 21, 2025, with major indexes closing higher, recovering from earlier losses driven by optimism regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose 1.4%, adding 650 points, while the S&P 500 (SPX) gained 1.4%, closing at 6,590 points, and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) increased by 1.5% [2] Federal Reserve Influence - New York Federal Reserve President John Williams indicated support for a potential interest rate cut "in the near term," which shifted market expectations significantly, raising the likelihood of a rate cut at the December meeting to 73.1% from 39.1% [4] Corporate Performance - Nvidia (NVDA) reported a 62% year-over-year revenue increase to $57 billion, but its shares fell 3.2% on Thursday and 1.7% on Friday due to concerns over AI valuations [5] - Walmart (WMT) saw its stock decline by approximately 2% on Friday after a strong performance on Thursday, where it had jumped 6.5% following better-than-expected third-quarter results [6] - Retailers like Gap (GPS) and Ross Stores (ROST) had positive performances, with Gap surging 9.5% and Ross jumping 8.5% due to strong earnings [7] Notable Stock Movements - Alphabet (GOOGL) increased by over 3%, while Meta Platforms (META) added 1%. In contrast, Microsoft (MSFT) shares fell approximately 1%, and Oracle (ORCL) slid more than 4% [8] Upcoming Earnings and Economic Data - Several companies, including BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ) and IES Holdings (IESC), reported earnings after the market closed, with BJ's EPS at $1.16 against a forecast of $1.10 [9][10] - The upcoming week will feature key economic data releases, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales for September, which were delayed due to a government shutdown [12]
Jim Cramer Gets Into Spirited Debate About Home Depot (HD) With Co-Hosts
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-21 19:21
Core Viewpoint - Jim Cramer has issued a Buy recommendation for The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:HD), highlighting it as a premier stock to consider during interest rate cuts, despite its recent underperformance and lack of revenue growth since COVID [2]. Group 1: Company Performance - The Home Depot has been labeled as "the worst acting stock" in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust prior to his recent Buy recommendation [2]. - Cramer noted that the company is historically a good buy when housing conditions are poor, suggesting that current market conditions may present a buying opportunity [2]. - The stock currently offers a yield of 2.6%, with potential for it to rise to 3% [2]. Group 2: Market Conditions - Cramer emphasized that the current economic environment, including potential interest rate cuts, makes The Home Depot a favorable investment despite concerns about housing and consumer spending [2]. - The discussion highlighted the challenges faced by the housing market, which is at a 40-year low, impacting revenue growth for The Home Depot [2]. - Cramer acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and their impact on the company's operations, but remains optimistic about the potential for recovery [2].
X @Forbes
Forbes· 2025-11-21 18:26
Market Trends - Stocks surge following a Federal Reserve official's indication of support for interest rate cuts [1]
Fed's Hammack warns more rate cuts court financial stability risks
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-20 13:46
By Michael S. Derby (Reuters) -Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack warned Thursday that cutting rates further right now carries a wide range of risks for the economy. Given the persistence ​of inflation running over the Fed’s 2% target, “lowering interest rates to support the ‌labor market risks prolonging this period of elevated inflation, and it could also encourage risk-taking in financial markets,” Hammack said, according ‌to the text of a speech to be presented at a conference h ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-20 00:16
Philippine bonds are poised for further gains as political uncertainties lead investors to anticipate some of the most aggressive interest rate cuts in the nation compared with its emerging Asian peers https://t.co/LrOwqX4fjt ...
Why Lower Interest Rates May Not Fix America’s Job Market
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 20:10
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts aim to stimulate job creation amid a slowdown in the labor market, but experts express skepticism about their effectiveness in addressing underlying issues such as a shrinking workforce and the impact of artificial intelligence [3][4][9]. Labor Market Dynamics - The U.S. economy added only 22,000 jobs in August, with job losses occurring in June for the first time in four years, indicating a significant slowdown in job creation [2]. - The labor force participation rate was at 62.3% in August, a full percentage point below pre-pandemic levels, highlighting challenges in labor supply [1]. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell described the current labor market situation as a "curious balance," where low unemployment persists despite fewer job seekers [2]. Interest Rate Cuts - The Federal Reserve has cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point in recent meetings, with potential for further cuts in December to stimulate hiring [3][10]. - Lower interest rates are intended to reduce borrowing costs, encouraging consumer spending and business expansion, which could lead to increased hiring [6][7]. Economic Implications - Fed officials are divided on whether to continue cutting rates to boost the job market or maintain higher rates to control inflation, which has exceeded the Fed's 2% target for five years [3][10]. - Some experts argue that rate cuts may not effectively address labor market weaknesses, suggesting that a lack of skilled workers could lead to inflation rather than job growth [9][11]. Consumer Behavior - High borrowing costs are currently hindering low- and middle-income families from making significant purchases, such as cars, which could further strain the economy [8]. - Fed Governor Christopher Waller supports a rate cut in December to alleviate financial pressures on households and prevent further deterioration in the labor market [8].
Financial Stocks Send Warning, Threaten to Tumble Below Support
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-18 18:42
Bank and financial stocks are on the cusp of crashing through key support levels, sending a warning sign to the rest of the stock market. Most Read from Bloomberg Weakness in the sector, driven by a combination of credit problems and traders trimming bets on interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, threatens to take out one of the pillars of the market’s hoped-for-advance through the end of the year. The KBW Bank Index has fallen 4.5% over the last five trading sessions, badly underperforming the S&P ...
Dollar Falls Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data
Barrons· 2025-11-18 09:20
Group 1 - The dollar is declining ahead of upcoming jobs data, which may impact expectations regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in December [1][2] - The ADP will release weekly private sector employment data, gaining significance due to the recent government shutdown that delayed official data [2] - The resumption of employment data is expected to increase near-term foreign exchange volatility, with multiple jobs reports likely to cause significant market fluctuations ahead of the December Fed meeting [2]
Nasdaq Year-End Playbook Decode 5-Year Correlations and Seasonal Q4
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 14:00
Group 1 - The Nasdaq is experiencing multi-year strength due to factors such as ongoing interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which make borrowing cheaper and encourage corporate investment and consumer spending [1] - AI enthusiasm is driving earnings growth and significant investments in major tech companies, contributing to the Nasdaq's performance [1] - Strong consumer spending, supported by a solid economy and the holiday season, along with continued corporate earnings expansion in the tech sector, provides a solid foundation for Nasdaq gains heading into the new year [1] Group 2 - Potential headwinds for the Nasdaq rally include high valuations in tech stocks, which may be vulnerable if growth does not meet expectations [2] - Economic uncertainties such as potential trade tensions, new tariffs, or a cooling labor market could pose risks to the Nasdaq [2] - The Nasdaq's heavy reliance on a few mega-cap tech companies creates concentration risk, where any issues with these leaders could lead to broader market volatility [2] Group 3 - The Nasdaq is up 54% year-to-date, following a 26% return in 2024, and has rallied about 59% since April 2025 with minimal corrections [4] - The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) has supported the April rally, with only five retests, indicating a strong upward trend [4] - Despite concerns of overextension and potential corrections, the Nasdaq has continued to defy predictions of downturns, showing little sign of reversing its trend [4] Group 4 - The December Nasdaq futures contract will soon roll over to the March contract, with significant historical correlations observed in previous years [6] - The correlation percentages for years such as 1997, 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2021 are all above 87%, indicating a strong historical trend [6] - Current correlation trends show a steady uptrend into year-end, providing a potential roadmap for future market behavior [6]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-17 10:10
Canada’s housing market bounced back in October, with both sales and prices rising, as the central bank’s rate cuts appear to be nudging buyers off the sidelines https://t.co/IHvj6v2fsX ...