Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly and Company is set to report its first-quarter earnings on May 1, with sales and earnings estimates at $12.62 billion and $3.52 per share respectively, while earnings estimates for 2025 have seen a decline from $23.53 to $22.43 per share over the past month [1][4]. Earnings Performance - The company has exceeded earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 8.47% [2][3]. - The last reported quarter showed an earnings surprise of 5.77% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Trends - Current earnings estimates for Q1, Q2, 2025, and 2026 are $3.52, $5.58, $22.43, and $31.15 respectively, with a notable decline in Q1 estimates from $4.64 to $3.52 over the past 30 days, reflecting a -22.30% revision [1][4]. Factors Influencing Upcoming Results - Top-line growth in Q1 is expected to be driven by demand for FDA-approved tirzepatide medicines, specifically diabetes drug Mounjaro and weight loss medicine Zepbound [5]. - Sales of Mounjaro and Zepbound were below expectations in the latter half of 2024, attributed to slower growth and unfavorable channel dynamics [5][6]. - The FDA's approval of Zepbound for moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apnea is anticipated to contribute positively to sales [7]. Sales Estimates for Key Products - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Mounjaro and Zepbound is $3.75 billion and $2.27 billion respectively, while internal estimates are $3.82 billion and $2.19 billion [8]. - Sales estimates for other drugs include Trulicity at $1.11 billion, Taltz at $663 million, Verzenio at $1.25 billion, Jardiance at $675 million, Olumiant at $228 million, and Emgality at $220 million [10]. Competitive Landscape - Lilly faces competition in the diabetes and obesity market, particularly from Novo Nordisk's Wegovy, with several companies developing GLP-1-based candidates that could threaten market dominance [22][23]. - Despite competition, Lilly is investing in obesity treatments and has new molecules in clinical development, including a promising oral GLP-1 agonist [24]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Lilly's stock has increased by 14.8% this year, outperforming the industry average of 1.5% [13]. - The stock is currently trading at a premium compared to the industry [16]. Investment Outlook - Despite challenges, Lilly is viewed as a strong investment due to its robust growth prospects and position as a leading drugmaker [25].

Core Viewpoint - Twilio is set to report earnings on May 1, 2025, with projected earnings of $0.92 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 15% and quarterly revenue expected to reach $1.14 billion, up 8.54% from the previous year [2]. Group 1: Recent Performance - Twilio's stock closed at $95.07, showing a +1.65% increase from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.74% [1]. - Over the past month, Twilio shares have declined by 8.14%, which is worse than the Computer and Technology sector's loss of 6.23% and the S&P 500's loss of 4.77% [1]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates - For the full year, Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $4.20 per share and revenue of $4.78 billion, indicating increases of +14.44% and +7.18% respectively from the prior year [3]. - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Twilio suggest a favorable outlook on the company's business health and profitability [3]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - Twilio is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.28, which is lower than the industry average of 25.94, indicating a potential discount [6]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.18, compared to the Internet - Software industry's average PEG ratio of 2.13, suggesting Twilio may be undervalued relative to its growth expectations [7]. Group 4: Analyst Ratings - The Zacks Rank system currently rates Twilio at 4 (Sell), with a recent 2.95% decline in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate [5]. - The Zacks Industry Rank places the Internet - Software industry in the top 36% of all industries, indicating a relatively strong position within the Computer and Technology sector [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) is expected to report a decline in both earnings and revenues for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings estimated at $1.42 per share, a 0.7% decrease from the previous year, and revenues projected at $21.06 billion, indicating a 3% decline from the same quarter last year [1][2]. Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UPS's earnings is $1.42 per share, reflecting a downward revision of seven cents over the past 60 days [1]. - Revenue estimates stand at $21.06 billion, which is a 3% decline compared to the year-ago quarter [2]. Earnings Surprise History - UPS has a history of earnings surprises, with an average surprise of 3.43% across the last four quarters [3]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current Earnings ESP for UPS is -4.08%, indicating a lower likelihood of an earnings beat this quarter [5][6]. - UPS holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), suggesting a bearish outlook [6]. Factors Influencing Q1 Results - Geopolitical uncertainties and high inflation are expected to negatively impact shipping volumes [7]. - Labor costs are anticipated to be high, while low fuel costs may provide some relief, with a projected 5.1% decrease in fuel expenses compared to Q1 2024 [8]. Stock Performance - UPS stock has declined by 32.9% over the past year, underperforming its industry, which saw a 29.7% decline, while the S&P 500 rose by 7% [10]. Valuation Metrics - UPS is trading at a forward sales multiple of 0.96, which is higher than its industry peers, indicating a stretched valuation [13]. Investment Thesis - A decline in shipping demand is expected, with average daily volumes projected to decrease by 8.5% in 2025 compared to 2024 [16]. - Recent easing signals in the U.S.-China trade tensions may provide some optimism, but concerns over dividend sustainability amid demand weakness remain [18]. Long-term Outlook - Despite near-term challenges, UPS's strong brand and network position it as a compelling long-term investment in the transportation sector [19].

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) is scheduled to report second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on April 29, 2025, after the closing bell. In the last reported quarter, the company’s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.6%.Trend in Estimate Revision of SBUXThe Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal second-quarter EPS has declined to 49 cents from 52 cents in the past 30 days. The expected figure indicates a fall of 27.9% from the year-ago quarter’s 68 cents per share. (See the Zacks Earnings Calendar to ...

Company Overview - Cinemark Holdings (CNK) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.22 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 215.8% [3] - Revenues are anticipated to be $553.82 million, down 4.4% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for May 2, 2025, and could influence stock movement based on whether results exceed or fall short of expectations [2] - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 8.65% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Cinemark is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -34.26% [10][11] - A negative Earnings ESP reading suggests a lower likelihood of an earnings beat, especially with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Cinemark was expected to post earnings of $0.39 per share but delivered only $0.33, resulting in a surprise of -15.38% [12] - Over the past four quarters, Cinemark has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13] Industry Context - Live Nation (LYV), another company in the film and television production and distribution industry, is expected to report a loss of $0.27 per share, which represents a year-over-year increase of 49.1% [17] - Live Nation's revenues are projected to be $3.5 billion, down 7.8% from the previous year [17] - The consensus EPS estimate for Live Nation has been revised down by 1.4% in the last 30 days, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -39.03% [18]

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Patria Investments, driven by higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is expected on May 2, 2025, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.25, reflecting a +19.1% change year-over-year, and revenues projected at $81.42 million, up 34.4% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook from covering analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Patria Investments is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -8%, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [10][11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Patria Investments exceeded the expected EPS of $0.37 by delivering $0.58, resulting in a surprise of +56.76%. However, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [12][13]. Conclusion - Given the current Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank of 4, Patria Investments does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, suggesting that investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [16].

Core Viewpoint - Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended March 2025, which could significantly influence its stock price depending on the actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for May 2, 2025, with a consensus estimate of $0.59 per share, reflecting a -1.7% change year-over-year. Revenues are projected to be $420.68 million, down 1.4% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.02%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Atmus Filtration is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -5.09%. This suggests a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [10][11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Atmus Filtration exceeded the expected earnings of $0.53 per share by delivering $0.58, resulting in a surprise of +9.43%. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [12][13]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, Atmus Filtration does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for such an outcome, especially given its Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates predictions of beating the consensus EPS estimate [16][11].

Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) is set to release first-quarter results on April 29. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is a profit of $1.85 per share on revenues of $2.2 billion.Let’s delve into the factors that might have influenced the energy explorer’s performance in the March quarter. But it’s worth taking a look at Expand Energy’s previous-quarter performance first.Highlights of Q4 Earnings & Surprise HistoryIn the last reported quarter, this Oklahoma City-based natura ...

Core Viewpoint - Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) reported first-quarter 2025 results that fell short of expectations, with earnings decreasing year-over-year despite a slight increase in net sales [1][8]. Financial Performance - Earnings per share were reported at 34 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 37 cents, and down 8% from the prior year's quarter [1]. - Net sales increased by 2.1% year-over-year to $3.47 billion, but this also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.55 billion [1]. - Comparable store sales declined by 0.9%, contrasting with a 1.1% increase in the same quarter last year [2]. Sales and Margins - Gross profit rose by 2.8% to $1.26 billion, with a gross margin increase of 25 basis points to 36.2% [3]. - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses increased by 5.1% year-over-year to $1.01 billion, with SG&A as a percentage of sales rising by 81 basis points to 29% [4]. - Operating income decreased by 5.3% year-over-year to $249.1 million, and the operating margin fell by 56 basis points to 7.2% [5]. Financial Position - At the end of the quarter, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $231.7 million, long-term debt of $2.1 billion, and total stockholders' equity of $2.2 billion [6]. - Net cash provided by operating activities was $216.8 million, with capital expenditures of $141.3 million during the same period [6]. Shareholder Returns - In the first quarter, the company repurchased 1.7 million shares for $94 million and paid out cash dividends totaling $122.4 million, returning $216.4 million to shareholders [7]. Outlook - For 2025, TSCO expects net sales growth of 4-8%, down from a previous estimate of 5-7%, and comparable store sales growth of 0-4%, revised from 1-3% [9]. - The operating margin is now forecasted between 9.5% and 9.9%, slightly lower than the previous range of 9.6% to 10% [9]. - For the second quarter of 2025, net sales growth is anticipated at approximately 3-4%, with earnings per diluted share expected between $0.79 and $0.81 [10].

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Beacon Roofing Supply, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate predicts a quarterly loss of $0.21 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -151.2% [3]. - Expected revenues are $1.91 billion, which is a decrease of 0.2% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.06% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, leading to a negative Earnings ESP of -233.87% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [6][7]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 have shown a nearly 70% success rate in delivering positive surprises [8]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Beacon Roofing was expected to earn $1.67 per share but delivered $1.65, resulting in a surprise of -1.20% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [13]. Conclusion - Beacon Roofing does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock [16].