俄美元首会晤即将举行。 当地时间15日，俄罗斯总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫称，俄罗斯总统普京的专机将于当地时间8月15日上午11时（北 京时间8月16日凌晨3时）准时降落在美国阿拉斯加州。佩斯科夫称，特朗普将迎接普京。 北京时间8月16日凌晨，俄罗斯总统普京和美国总统特朗普将在美国阿拉斯加州安克雷奇举行会晤，这将是俄 美领导人2021年6月以来的首次面对面会晤。 当地时间8月15日，美股三大指数开盘涨跌不一，随后窄幅震荡，截至发稿，道指微涨，纳指和标普500指数 小幅下跌。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DJI | 道琼斯工业指数 | 44948.46 | 37.20 | 0.08% | | IXIC | 纳斯达克指数 | 21662.73 | -47.94 | -0.22% | | SPX | 标普500 | 6457.00 | -11.54 | -0.18% | 大宗商品市场方面，国际金价小幅震荡，目前伦敦金现涨幅在0.2%左右，COMEX黄金涨幅在0.1%左右。 国际油价持续走低，美油、布油盘中均跌超1%。截至发稿，布 ...

特朗普与普京将于当地时间15日在美国阿拉斯加州最大城市安克雷奇举行会晤。俄罗斯总统助理乌沙科夫14日称，双方会晤的主要部分将在安克雷奇市 埃尔门多夫-理查德森联合军事基地举行。此次会晤前景如何？对俄乌战场将造成什么样的影响？ 0:00 / 1:50 俄欧乌在领土问题上仍坚持各自固有立场 中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员 张弘：在美俄峰会举行之前，欧洲、乌克兰和特朗普政府举行的会议透露许多重要信息。首先，欧洲和乌克 兰仍然坚持冻结冲突，反对任何形式的领土换和平，也不同意俄罗斯提出的领土交换方案。这显示出他们在领土问题上仍然坚持固有的立场，只承认俄乌实 际控制线，却不承认俄罗斯对新领土的所有权。 美仍有可能对俄实施极端的关税制裁 中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员 张弘：显然，欧洲、乌克兰、美国以及俄罗斯在俄乌和平问题上分歧仍然十分严重——欧洲希望能够通过与 美国的对话，影响特朗普政府，希望特朗普政府在谈判中加大对俄罗斯的施压力度，以促成有利于欧洲和乌克兰的方案。总而言之，短期之内要想实现重大 的和平突破，有很大的难度。 中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员 张弘：其次，特朗普政府透露出仍然有可能对俄实施关 ...

此次会晤前景如何？对俄乌战场将造成什么样的影响？ 特朗普与普京将于当地时间15日在美国阿拉斯加州最大城市安克雷奇举行会晤。俄罗斯总统助理乌沙科 夫14日称，双方会晤的主要部分将在安克雷奇市埃尔门多夫-理查德森联合军事基地举行。此次会晤前 景如何？对俄乌战场将造成什么样的影响？ 中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员 张弘：显然，欧洲、乌克兰、美国以及俄罗斯在俄乌和平问 题上分歧仍然十分严重——欧洲希望能够通过与美国的对话，影响特朗普政府，希望特朗普政府在谈判 中加大对俄罗斯的施压力度，以促成有利于欧洲和乌克兰的方案。总而言之，短期之内要想实现重大的 和平突破，有很大的难度。 美仍有可能对俄实施极端的关税制裁 中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员 张弘：其次，特朗普政府透露出仍然有可能对俄实施关税制 裁。特朗普表示，如果美俄就俄乌停火不能达成一致的话，美国仍然有可能对俄罗斯的能源实施极端的 关税制裁，这有可能重创俄罗斯的经济。美国希望在俄乌和平没有达成之前，对俄罗斯保持较高的压 力，以促成俄乌停火。 乌克兰欧洲仍坚持要求安全保障 中国社科院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所研究员 张弘：第三，乌克兰和欧洲仍然坚持有安全保障的和 ...

POLITICO：特朗普告诉欧洲领导人，美国可以为乌克兰提供安全保障。 ...

欧洲领导人正敦促美国加大对俄制裁压力，他们急于影响美国总统特朗普与俄罗斯总统普京的会面结果 ——这场会面可能决定乌克兰的命运及欧洲大陆的长期安全。 上周五，特朗普与普京证实将在阿拉斯加举行会谈。此前，欧洲各国首都已紧急行动，就这场可能成为 俄乌冲突转折点的会面的形式与实质内容形成统一立场。 多位参会或知情官员透露，上周六，英国外交大臣戴维·拉米（David Lammy）主持会议，美国副总统 杰伊·万斯（JD Vance）及欧洲、乌克兰安全顾问出席。会上，各方主张美国应通过制裁威胁向俄罗斯 施加更大压力。 "普京只在压力下行动，"德国总理弗里德里希·默茨（Friedrich Merz）上周日表示，"显然，军事压力还 不够，美国的制裁也尚未充分实施。若全面制裁，对俄罗斯经济的冲击将是巨大的。我一直在敦促美国 总统这么做。" 默茨原定上周日与特朗普通话，他补充道，阿拉斯加会面必须取得实质成果："要么朝着加大对俄压力 的方向推进，要么让俄罗斯自己意识到，这场冲突不能再继续了。" 欧洲官员还主张，未来任何停火协议都应包含"违约即遭严厉制裁"的条款，确保俄罗斯无法在享受和平 带来的经济红利后，再次重启战斗。 "安全保障对 ...

Economic Development - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is nearing completion, with significant achievements in economic growth, labor productivity, and R&D investment, among others [2] - China's economy is projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year, with a contribution rate to global economic growth maintained at around 30% [2][6] - The average economic growth rate over the past four years has been 5.5%, showcasing resilience against various risks and challenges [2] Innovation and Technological Advancement - China has made significant strides in innovation, achieving several "firsts" in various sectors, including the launch of the first domestically produced aircraft carrier and the completion of the first Chinese space station [3][4] - The country has also seen advancements in nuclear power with the operation of the world's first fourth-generation nuclear power plant [4] Green Development - Achievements in green development include a forest coverage rate exceeding 25%, contributing to a quarter of the world's new greening area [4] - Air quality has improved, with 87% of days classified as good, and major rivers meeting Class II water quality standards [4] - Renewable energy generation capacity has surpassed coal power, with one-third of electricity now coming from green sources [4][10] Safety and Security - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has strengthened food, energy, and industrial security, with the largest power infrastructure system globally ensuring energy supply during peak demand [5][7] - The Northeast region is projected to contribute 25.3% of the national grain output and 21% of crude oil production by 2024, enhancing national security [5] Infrastructure and Connectivity - China has built the world's largest networks for highways, high-speed rail, and urban transit, significantly improving logistics and connectivity [6][7] - The renewable energy generation is expected to reach 3.46 trillion kilowatt-hours by 2024, marking a 1.6-fold increase from the end of the previous five-year plan [7][8] Environmental Quality and Resource Efficiency - Resource utilization efficiency has improved, with a projected 11.6% reduction in energy consumption per unit of GDP by 2024 [8][9] - The quality of the ecological environment has seen continuous improvement, with major rivers achieving Class II water quality standards [9][10] - The renewable energy system has become the largest and fastest-growing globally, with installed capacity reaching 2.09 billion kilowatts, more than doubling since the end of the previous five-year plan [10]

泽连斯基15日中午抵达土耳其首都安卡拉，后与土总统埃尔多安在土总统府举行了数小时闭门会谈。随后，泽连斯基在乌驻土耳其使馆举行 的记者会上作出上述表态。 他说，乌克兰代表团将由国防部长乌梅罗夫率领，代表团中包括军方和情报部门的代表。尚不清楚谈判时间是15日还是16日。 俄罗斯总统助理、俄方谈判代表团团长梅金斯基15日发表声明说，俄方代表团具备谈判的必要能力和职权，并致力于以建设性方式寻求解决 冲突的可能办法和契合点。他表示，与乌方直接谈判的目标是建立持久和平并消除冲突根源。 泽连斯基称只和普京谈 据CCTV4，俄乌此次直接谈判由普京在11日发出提议。普京11日凌晨对媒体发表声明，提议俄乌双方15日在土耳其伊斯坦布尔无条件重启直 接谈判。普京还说，谈判期间可能就一些新的停火建议达成一致。泽连斯基近日多次喊话，要求各方施压普京亲自出席伊斯坦布尔会谈。 每经编辑｜张锦河 据新华社，乌克兰总统泽连斯基15日在乌克兰驻土耳其使馆举行的记者会上说，他本人将不出席在伊斯坦布尔举行的乌俄谈判，乌方将派遣 高级别代表团参加这一谈判。 谁将参加此次谈判，成为各方关注的焦点。乌克兰总统泽连斯基确认15日访问土耳其，但他称，除了俄罗斯 ...

Core Points - The meeting in Turkey aimed at restarting direct negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, but the absence of key leaders like Putin and Trump downgraded its significance [1] - Ukraine seeks substantial security guarantees from major powers, particularly the US, to enhance its protection beyond the 1994 Budapest Memorandum [1] - The potential for a peace agreement hinges on the balance between effective security guarantees and the risks of Western involvement in future conflicts with Russia [1] Security Guarantees - Ukraine demands security assurances that go beyond the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, which only included respect for sovereignty and discussions in the UN Security Council in case of an attack [1] - The proposed negotiations may include strong security guarantees similar to NATO's Article 5, despite Ukraine not being a NATO member [1] Neutrality vs NATO Membership - Russia insists on Ukraine's neutrality and prohibits foreign military bases, while Ukraine asserts its right to choose alliances independently [3] - The US envoy stated that Ukraine's NATO membership is now unlikely, with Trump suggesting that past support for Ukraine's NATO bid contributed to the conflict [3] Territorial Disputes - Russia claims control over approximately one-fifth of Ukraine's territory, including Crimea, which it annexed in 2014, a stance rejected by most countries [5] - The US may legally recognize Russia's control over Crimea and parts of other regions, while Ukraine firmly opposes any acknowledgment of Russian sovereignty over occupied territories [6] Sanctions and Energy Cooperation - Russia is skeptical about the immediate lifting of Western sanctions, while Ukraine insists on maintaining them [6] - There are discussions about potential energy cooperation, with speculation that the US, Russia, and Saudi Arabia may negotiate significant deals related to oil prices and exports [7] Reconstruction Efforts - Ukraine's reconstruction is estimated to require hundreds of billions of dollars, with European nations considering the use of frozen Russian assets for funding [9] - Disagreements over the allocation of these funds, particularly regarding Russian-controlled areas, could hinder the reconstruction process [9]

Core Viewpoint - The German Chancellor Merz emphasizes the necessity of a permanent ceasefire agreement with Ukraine to provide specific details regarding security guarantees [1] Group 1 - The call for a permanent ceasefire indicates a shift in diplomatic strategy towards Ukraine, highlighting the importance of stability in the region [1] - The statement suggests that security guarantees cannot be effectively outlined without a foundational agreement on ceasefire, reflecting the interconnectedness of military and diplomatic efforts [1]

Group 1 - The core message emphasizes the importance of maintaining safety standards as a political test and a prerequisite for high-quality development, urging all levels of government to align their actions with the directives of General Secretary Xi Jinping [1][2] - The upcoming "May Day" holiday necessitates focused attention on key areas such as fire safety, construction, hazardous materials, and maritime activities, with a call for thorough inspections and risk mitigation [2] - There is a strong emphasis on the full implementation of safety responsibilities, risk assessments, and the need for a comprehensive approach to safety management, ensuring that no risks are overlooked [2] Group 2 - The meeting included participation from various provincial and municipal leaders, indicating a coordinated effort across different levels of government to address safety concerns [3] - Following the provincial safety production video conference, the city is set to reinforce its safety production measures, demonstrating a commitment to implementing the discussed strategies [4]