Group 1 - The first-generation iPhone Fold's hinge unit price is expected to drop to approximately $70–80 after mass production, significantly lower than the market expectation of $100–120 or higher, which may help Apple reduce costs and increase profits, potentially reflecting in pricing to expand market share [1] - Luxshare Precision (002475.SZ) may join as a new hinge supplier as early as 2027, indicating two possible trends: further downward potential for hinge unit prices and that hinges will become a new battleground for system assembly factories [1] - The joint venture between Hon Hai and New Nikko is responsible for the folding iPhone hinge assembly and production, with Hon Hai holding a slightly higher stake and leading future directions, achieving a higher order ratio (approximately 65%) compared to Amphenol (approximately 35%) [1] Group 2 - Amphenol's low order ratio is attributed to its lack of proactive response to Apple's expansion requirements, possibly considering absolute returns (profit growth in the hinge business) versus relative returns (higher returns from AI investments) [2] - The folding iPhone hinge remains an important trend for New Nikko, but its contribution needs to be reassessed, as market consensus may be overly optimistic by not considering factors such as significantly lower hinge unit prices, Hon Hai's higher profit share from the joint venture, and New Nikko's lack of significant benefits from upstream key component orders [2]

Core Insights - The first-generation iPhone Fold's hinge price is expected to drop to approximately $70–80, significantly lower than the market expectation of $100–120, which could help Apple reduce costs and enhance profits, potentially reflected in pricing strategies to increase market share [1] - Luxshare Precision is anticipated to join as a new hinge supplier after 2027, indicating potential trends of further price reductions and competition in the hinge assembly sector [1] - The joint venture between Hon Hai and New Nikko is responsible for the folding iPhone hinge assembly and production, with Hon Hai holding a slight majority and leading the direction, capturing a higher order share of about 65% compared to Amphenol's 35% [1] Price Dynamics - The decline in hinge prices is attributed to optimized assembly design and Hon Hai's involvement rather than a significant drop in upstream component costs [1] - Hon Hai's expansion and mass production capabilities have enabled the joint venture to secure a larger order volume [1] Competitive Landscape - Amphenol's lower order share is partly due to its lack of proactive response to Apple's expansion demands, possibly influenced by considerations of absolute and relative returns on investment [2] - The folding iPhone hinge remains a significant trend for New Nikko, but there is a need to reassess its contributions as market consensus may be overly optimistic regarding hinge pricing and profit distribution within the joint venture [2]

Core Insights - The cost of the foldable iPhone hinge is expected to be between $70 and $80, significantly lower than the previous market estimates of $100 to $120, providing Apple with greater pricing flexibility and maintaining profit margins for its flagship product [1][2] Group 1 - The joint venture between Foxconn and New Nikkei is responsible for the majority of hinge unit production, holding an estimated combined market share of about 65%, while Amphenol supplies the remaining 35% [1][2] - Luxshare Precision is projected to potentially join as a new hinge supplier by 2027 [1][2]

Core Insights - China Telecom and Samsung Electronics launched the new high-end foldable smartphone, the Samsung W26, featuring upgraded Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 platform and satellite communication capabilities [1] - The foldable smartphone market in China is rapidly growing, with a need for innovation across hardware, software, and materials to transition from niche to mainstream [1] - The global foldable smartphone market is expected to see significant growth, with a forecasted shipment of 15.2 million units in 2025 and a 51% increase in 2026 [3] Industry Trends - The foldable smartphone market is currently in an early growth stage, primarily targeting high-end segments due to cost constraints [3] - The hinge technology has become a critical barrier to success in the foldable smartphone market, with increasing demand expected to drive the hinge industry forward [3][4] - The global market value for foldable smartphone hinges is projected to reach $1.2 billion by 2025, driven by the anticipated release of foldable products from major brands like Apple [4] Company Developments - Jiangsu Jingyan Technology is enhancing its hinge solutions through a dual-driven approach, focusing on lightweight and durable components to improve the reliability of foldable smartphones [4] - The company emphasizes the potential market growth for foldable smartphones as software ecosystems mature and innovative applications are explored [4] - Despite progress, the domestic hinge industry faces challenges in high-end technology and manufacturing capabilities, necessitating further innovation to close the gap with international standards [5]

Group 1 - Samsung China held the "Heartfelt World" series product launch event on October 11, officially releasing the new device Samsung W26, which is based on the Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 7 and features new color options of Danxi Red and Xuan Yao Black along with the Heartfelt World logo [1] - The Samsung W26 is priced at 16,999 yuan for the 16+512GB version and 18,999 yuan for the 16+1TB version [3] - The W26 has a folded thickness of 8.9mm and an unfolded thickness of 4.2mm, making it the thinnest phone in the Heartfelt World series, with a total weight of only 215g [3] Group 2 - The new device is equipped with the Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 for Galaxy mobile platform and includes Galaxy AI, supporting Tiantong satellite communication services [5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company with a target price of 80.50 CNY [5][12][18]. Core Insights - The company specializes in precision components for folding machines, with expectations for continuous improvement in average selling price (ASP) per unit. The company is steadily advancing its domestic and international production capacity, enhancing its global supply capabilities [2][12][21]. - The projected revenue for the company from 2025 to 2027 is 12.37 billion CNY, 16.10 billion CNY, and 21.39 billion CNY, respectively, with net profit attributable to the parent company expected to be 1.07 billion CNY, 1.86 billion CNY, and 2.76 billion CNY [11][16][18]. Summary by Sections 1. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 814 million CNY in 2024, growing to 1.237 billion CNY in 2025, and 1.610 billion CNY in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.9% from 2024 to 2025 [11][16]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.66 CNY, 1.15 CNY, and 1.71 CNY, respectively, indicating significant growth rates of 43.3%, 73.9%, and 48.2% [11][12][18]. 2. Business Situation - The company focuses on MIM (Metal Injection Molding) and non-MIM components, with a strong presence in the supply chains of major smartphone brands, including Apple and Amazon. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for folding screen devices [21][22]. - The revenue from non-MIM precision components is expected to reach 460 million CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 101.9%, driven by new projects from major clients [12][21][24]. 3. Production Capacity and Global Supply Chain - The company is making steady progress in establishing new production capacities both domestically and internationally, with factories in Changsha, Hunan, and Vietnam entering phased production [12][24].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Apple is developing its first foldable smartphone, the iPhone 18 Fold, expected to be released by the end of 2026 [1] - Analyst Jeff Pu indicates that the iPhone 18 Fold will feature a mixed metal frame, utilizing titanium for structural strength and aluminum for weight reduction [1] - The device is expected to have a 7.8-inch inner display and a 5.5-inch outer display, resembling two ultra-thin iPhone Airs stacked side by side [5] Group 2 - The hinge, a critical component of foldable devices, will be made of titanium and stainless steel to ensure stability and alignment during repeated openings and closings [3] - The iPhone 18 Fold is currently in the New Product Introduction (NPI) phase at Foxconn, with mass production anticipated to begin in the second half of 2026 [6] - The timeline aligns with previous rumors about the launch of Apple's first foldable device, likely after the September release of the iPhone 18 series in 2026 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Jingyan Technology, specializes in MIM components for foldable smartphones and has begun mass production of cooling solutions, positioning itself for growth in various sectors including smart wearables and data servers [1][2][5]. Group 1: Company Overview - Jingyan Technology's main products include MIM components and modules, with a significant portion of revenue derived from these products, accounting for nearly 60% of total revenue [2][6]. - The company reported a revenue of 1.415 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 41.19%, and a net profit of 80.75 million yuan, up 36.37% [2][6]. Group 2: Market Position and Opportunities - The foldable smartphone market is expected to see a shipment of around 10 million units in China by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 10.6% projected until 2028 [5]. - The anticipated entry of Apple into the foldable smartphone market is expected to accelerate industry growth, with foldable phone sales projected to increase by 40%-60% in 2026 [5][6]. Group 3: Product Applications and Expansion - MIM components are being utilized in various fields, including smart wearables and data servers, with the company increasing its MIM production capacity [8]. - The company plans to raise up to 578 million yuan through convertible bonds to fund new production projects for precision MIM components and expand its R&D capabilities [8][9]. Group 4: Cooling Solutions and New Growth Points - The company has begun mass production of cooling solutions, including liquid cooling modules and heat pipes, targeting applications in energy storage and edge computing servers [9]. - The liquid cooling business is expected to benefit from increased domestic investment in computing infrastructure, potentially becoming a new growth driver for the company [9]. Group 5: Institutional Perspectives - Analysts from Zhonghang Securities and Huaxin Securities express optimism about the company's ability to capitalize on high-growth trends in the foldable screen and cooling sectors [10].

Core Insights - Apple has officially launched the iPhone 17 series and iPhone Air, with detailed evaluations provided by industry analysts [1] - The iPhone Air emphasizes design but compromises on certain features, while the upcoming foldable iPhone is expected to enhance this design focus [2][3] Product Development - The foldable iPhone is anticipated to resemble "two iPhone Airs side by side," offering a thin overall appearance [4][6] - The expected price for the foldable iPhone is around $2000, making it more expensive than competitors like the Pixel Fold [7] - The iPhone Air has a thickness of 5.6 mm, suggesting that a foldable version could exceed 11 mm even with perfect alignment [10][11] - Apple is expected to utilize in-cell flexible OLED technology for the foldable iPhone, which could reduce thickness and improve design [14][15][16] Technical Specifications - The foldable iPhone is rumored to feature a 5.5-inch outer screen and a 7.8-inch inner screen, along with four cameras (two front and two rear) [19][20] - It will likely adopt eSIM technology and utilize Apple's custom C2 baseband and N1 communication chips [21] - The design will incorporate a titanium alloy frame and a hinge made from stainless steel and titanium alloy composites [24][26] Production Timeline - Apple has entered the initial prototype phase for the foldable iPhone, with expectations for completion of major prototype testing by the end of the year [32][33] - The engineering validation test (EVT) phase will be handled by major manufacturing partners, preparing for mass production [34] - The foldable iPhone is projected to launch in the second half of 2026, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series [35][36] Market Strategy - Apple may adjust its iPhone release schedule, potentially delaying the standard iPhone 18 to spring 2027 to focus on the foldable model [36][38] - The recently launched iPhone 17 standard version has received many Pro features, positioning it as a strong contender in the market [37]

Core Insights - The iPhone 17 series and iPhone Air have been officially launched, with detailed evaluations highlighting Apple's strengths in design, technological innovation, and supply chain management [1] - The upcoming foldable iPhone is expected to feature a design reminiscent of "two iPhone Airs side by side," emphasizing a focus on design excellence [2][6] Product Design and Features - The foldable iPhone is anticipated to have a price around $2000, making it more expensive than competitors like the Pixel Fold ($1799) [3] - The expected thickness of the foldable iPhone, based on the iPhone Air's dimensions, could exceed 11mm, which may not meet industry standards for thinness [5][6] - The foldable iPhone is projected to utilize a new in-cell flexible OLED panel technology from Samsung, potentially making it the first smartphone to adopt this innovation [6][10] Technical Specifications - The foldable iPhone is rumored to have an external screen size of 5.5 inches and an internal display of 7.8 inches, along with a total of four cameras [10] - It is expected to adopt eSIM technology and utilize Apple's custom C2 baseband and N1 communication chips [11] - The design will likely incorporate a titanium alloy frame and advanced 3D printing techniques to reduce component size and weight [13] Production Timeline - Apple is currently in the Prototype 1 (P1) phase for the foldable iPhone, with expectations to complete major prototype testing by the end of the year [16][17] - The foldable iPhone is projected to launch in the second half of 2026, alongside the iPhone 18 Pro series [17][19] Market Strategy - To accommodate the foldable iPhone, Apple may adjust its release schedule, delaying the standard iPhone 18 to spring 2027 [19] - The iPhone 17 standard version has received significant upgrades, positioning it as a strong contender in the mid-to-high-end market [19]