Adhishthana Principles

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APi Group's Rally Looks Strong, But Is It Sustainable?
Benzinga· 2025-07-21 12:36
Core Viewpoint - APi Group Corp (APG) is entering the 9th Phase of its 18-Phase Adhishthana Cycle on July 21, 2025, but concerns arise regarding the timing of its recent breakout, suggesting the rally may not be sustainable [1]. Group 1: Cycle Analysis - APG's stock has formed a Cakra pattern between Phases 4 and 8, with an ideal breakout expected in Phase 9, which sets the stage for a subsequent powerful formation [2]. - The breakout for APG occurred towards the end of Phase 8, rather than in Phase 9 as ideally expected, raising concerns about the potential for a significant decline towards the Nirvana level [3]. Group 2: Monthly Chart Insights - On the monthly chart, APG is currently in Phase 2, which is traditionally a dual-phase characterized by an initial bearish trend followed by a bullish trend towards the end [7]. - APG has rallied nearly 200% from its Phase 2 lows during the bearish Sankhya Move, which is atypical and suggests that such premature bullish moves rarely sustain [8]. Group 3: Investor Outlook - Despite a recent upgrade from JPMorgan to Overweight, the Adhishthana Principles indicate that the current setup may be deceptive, as premature rallies often lead to swift corrections [9]. - The illiquid options market for APG limits retail investors' ability to hedge, warranting caution and close monitoring of the stock's performance [9].
Is Costco Stock Topping Out? Key Price Levels To Watch
Benzinga· 2025-07-18 11:43
Core Viewpoint - Costco is currently in Phase 11 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, suggesting a potential peak formation after a strong rally, with the stock declining approximately 11% from its all-time high of $1078.23 [1][6]. Weekly Chart Analysis - Costco confirmed a breakout from its Cakra formation in Phase 9, leading to a rally of approximately 23% [4]. - In Phase 10, the stock surged an additional 66%, indicating continued upward momentum without forming a peak [4]. - Phase 11 saw the stock reach an all-time high of $1078.23, but it has since failed to reclaim that level, suggesting a possible peak has been formed [6][5]. Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly chart, Costco is in Phase 12, having also broken out of its Cakra in Phase 9 and rallied through Phases 10 and 11 [9]. - Uniquely, the stock did not form a peak in either Phase 10 or 11, which is rare according to the Adhishthana framework [9]. - The last bar of Phase 11 is critical; if it confirms the peak at $1078.23, it would indicate a potential end to the rally [10]. Investor Outlook - Investors should monitor the $893.62 level, which is the Phase 10 high; breaking this level could confirm the beginning of a descent [11]. - If the stock breaches $1078.23, it would indicate that the rally continues, potentially entering a more powerful phase [12].
Chewy Stock Showing Strength: A Pawsible Breakout?
Benzinga· 2025-07-16 11:31
Core Viewpoint - Chewy Inc. (CHWY) is currently in Phase 8 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, showing signs that may favor long-term bullish investors as the stock begins to stabilize after previous declines [1][6]. Group 1: Adhishthana Principles - Chewy has consistently adhered to the Adhishthana Principles, a proprietary framework that utilizes cyclical analysis to forecast stock behavior through quantitative signals and behavioral archetypes [2]. - In Phase 3, Chewy experienced a significant decline of over 72%, which was anticipated by the Adhishthana framework, indicating the predictive power of this analysis [4]. Group 2: Current Stock Structure - The stock is currently forming the Adhishthana Cakra on the weekly chart, a structural channel that spans Phases 4 through 8, typically consolidating prior declines and setting up for a breakout in Phase 9 [6]. - Chewy has respected the lower bound of its Cakra, which is a crucial technical condition for a potential bullish breakout as it approaches Phase 9, expected to begin on December 1, 2025 [7]. Group 3: Investor Outlook - Current holders of CHWY are advised to continue holding the stock, as a breakout in Phase 9 could initiate a strong upward trend [9]. - Potential buyers should monitor for dips toward the lower range of the weekly Cakra channel, which may present high-conviction entry points ahead of the anticipated breakout [9].
Nutanix Stock Looks Bullish, But A Peak Could Be Forming
Benzinga· 2025-07-15 13:31
Core Viewpoint - Nutanix (NTNX) is currently in Phase 11 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, indicating a critical point for long positions as the stock may be forming a peak [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Patterns - NTNX has shown impressive alignment with Adhishthana Principles, forming a classic channel pattern (Adhishthana Cakra) between Phases 4 and 8, followed by a breakout in Phase 9 that resulted in a ~54% rally [2]. - The breakout initiated the Adhishthana Himalayan Formation, leading to an additional ~86% gain through Phase 10, with the Phase 9 breakout level remaining intact despite a small pullback [3]. Group 2: Current Phase Analysis - In Phase 11, NTNX reached a new all-time high of $83.36 but has since pulled back by approximately 13%, raising concerns about whether this level represents a peak [4][7]. - If $83.36 is confirmed as the peak, a descent phase of the Himalayan Formation may follow, although Phase 12 could potentially extend the structure further [7]. Group 3: Investor Outlook - The current stock structure remains bullish, but there are increasing signs that a major peak may have formed or is in the process of forming [8]. - Long positions can be maintained but should be hedged, with any significant breaches on the weekly chart prompting immediate action to avoid potential downside back to the Phase 9 breakout zone [9].
Marvell Technology: Stock Levels Look Right, Here's What To Watch
Benzinga· 2025-06-20 13:42
Core Insights - Marvell Technology (MRVL) is currently in Phase 7 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, with a potential significant breakout anticipated in Phase 9 [1][10] - The stock has shown an 83.33% alignment with the Adhishthana Principles, indicating a strong cyclical structure [2] - The current phase involves an eight-bar corrective structure, with three red bars completed, and five more expected by March 31, 2026 [4] Current Structure and Alignment - MRVL is in Phase 7, characterized by the Fall of Artah and Artharthi pattern, indicating ongoing corrective movements [4] - The stock is forming a Cakra, a rounded cyclical base, with critical stages approaching as it nears the completion of this formation [5] - The Nirvana Level is identified at $42.77, acting as a valuation magnet that could influence future price movements [5][11] Weekly Chart Insight - On the weekly chart, MRVL is in Phase 17, which typically shows no action, and the Guna Triads indicate a lack of bullish momentum [9] - The absence of strength on the weekly chart supports the monthly setup, suggesting that the major breakout will occur in Phase 9 starting September 1, 2028 [10] Where Things Stand Now - The stock is near its Nirvana level of $42.77, which historically provides strong accumulation opportunities [11] - A potential rally up to the $110 mark is anticipated, followed by a short-term correction, which would be a healthy development for completing the Cakra [11] Investor Takeaway - Existing holders are advised to remain patient as a major breakout is expected in Phase 9 [13] - Potential buyers should monitor levels near the Nirvana zone for accumulation, as short-term corrections are part of a broader buildup [13]
Spotify: What's Driving the Rally, Key Dates To Watch
Benzinga· 2025-06-16 13:02
Core Insights - Spotify is currently in its 10th Phase of the 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle, with potential key dates ahead that could indicate a peak in stock performance [1] - The company has maintained an 88.88% alignment with the Adhishthana Principles, indicating strong cyclical performance [2] - Significant past performance includes a 155% gain during Phase 2 and an 84.84% surge in Phase 9, demonstrating the effectiveness of the cyclical framework [4][9] Phase Analysis - In Phase 2, Spotify experienced a prolonged consolidation followed by a substantial rally, aligning with the Adhishthana model [4] - Phases 4 to 8 saw the formation of the Cakra, which provided a bullish foundation for the stock, respecting both upper and lower bounds of its cyclical geometry [7] - Phase 9 marked the "Supreme Breakout," where the stock surged by approximately 84.84%, confirming the completion of the Cakra [9] Current and Future Outlook - Currently in Phase 10, Spotify is at a critical juncture that will determine if the ascent continues or pauses, with peak formation expected between 15 September and 20 October 2025 [10] - Monthly charts suggest a more cautious outlook, indicating that while the weekly charts are bullish, the monthly phase may not support a strong rally due to the absence of a preceding bearish move [11] - Investors are advised to monitor the potential peak formation closely, as a corrective wave may follow if a peak is established [16]